Crystal Palace v Liverpool result

Full-time · Crystal Palace 2–2 Liverpool

Community Shield · · Wembley Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Crystal Palace 2–2 Liverpool — this Community Shield match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.7% of 630 landed (95% range 61.9–69.3%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Crystal Palace and Liverpool drew 2–2 at Wembley Stadium in Community Shield on Sunday 10 August. Crystal Palace are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions. Liverpool are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Liverpool led 2–1 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Liverpool: H. Ekitike (4’, assisted by Florian Wirtz) and Jeremie Frimpong (21’, assisted by Dominik Szoboszlai); Crystal Palace: Jean-Philippe Mateta (17’ pen) and Ismaïla Sarr (77’, assisted by Adam Wharton).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ismaïla Sarr’s goal on 77 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Crystal Palace 0.00, Liverpool 0.00, from 14 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Liverpool: Ibrahima Konaté (43’), Florian Wirtz (44’) and Mohamed Salah (87’).

What it changes

Crystal Palace have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions. Liverpool have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, D. Muñoz (Crystal Palace) 7.7, Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool) 7.5 and Jeremie Frimpong (Liverpool) 7.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 65.7% of the time in the last 90 days (414 of 630).

Next up

Crystal Palace next travel to Beşiktaş on 22 October 2026.

Liverpool next host Brighton on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Crystal Palace: Beşiktaş v Crystal Palace, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for Liverpool: Liverpool v Brighton, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Crystal Palace 2–2 Liverpool · Community Shield
  • Venue: Wembley Stadium · London
  • Referee: Chris Kavanagh
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Crystal Palace 1 · draws 3 · Liverpool 2 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Crystal Palace 3W 2D 0L · Liverpool 1W 2D 2L

Crystal Palace 2–2 Liverpool (Community Shield): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 2
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 7.25
Corners
against 6.75 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 5.63
Shots on target
against 4 / 5.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.25
Cards
against 3.13 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 May 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 May 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCrystal Palace for / againstLineLiverpool for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5standard
2 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
3.5 for · 6.75 against n 8
9.5standard
7.25 for · 2.13 against n 8
Shots
12.63 for · 14 against n 8
19.5standard
17.38 for · 12.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
5.63 for · 5.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.75 for · 8.5 against n 8
21.5standard
10.75 for · 9.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 3.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Nketiah n 833.9
2.35/2
2.75/2
—
Matheus França n 810.9
2.12/0
00/0
—
W. Hughes n 847.6
1.94/3
0.92/1
—
J. Devenny n 823.3
1.94/0
00/0
—
D. Muñoz n 890
1.85/5
0.32/0
D. Szoboszlai
Crystal Palace — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Matheus França n 810.9
7.25/2
3.13/0
E. Nketiah n 833.9
3.36/4
1.74/1
I. Sarr n 877.1
2.57/6
1.25/3
Eberechi Eze n 867.1
2.26/4
1.26/1
J. Mateta n 856.1
1.66/2
14/1
Crystal Palace — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Eberechi Eze n 867.1
1.26/1
00/0
E. Nketiah n 833.9
0.71/1
0.31/0
Matheus França n 810.9
11/0
00/0
I. Sarr n 877.1
0.42/1
0.43/0
J. Devenny n 823.3
00/0
0.51/0
Crystal Palace — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Esse n 823.1
5.44/2
J. Devenny n 823.3
3.44/2
D. Muñoz n 890
2.87/6
T. Mitchell n 885.6
2.58/5
B. Chilwell n 841.4
2.25/3
Liverpool
Liverpool — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Endo n 818.6
3.64/2
0.61/0
—
Diogo Jota n 836.4
2.23/2
1.23/1
—
A. Mac Allister n 869.4
1.98/3
1.15/2
—
J. Quansah n 846.8
1.94/4
00/0
—
D. Szoboszlai n 856.4
1.83/3
0.62/1
D. Muñoz
Liverpool — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Harvey Elliott n 835
2.64/2
12/1
Diogo Jota n 836.4
2.56/1
0.31/0
C. Gakpo n 865.3
2.16/4
14/1
Mohamed Salah n 889.4
27/4
0.64/1
F. Chiesa n 839
25/2
1.74/2
Liverpool — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Díaz n 868.9
0.74/0
0.21/0
Harvey Elliott n 835
0.31/0
0.62/0
D. Szoboszlai n 856.4
0.21/0
0.62/1
A. Mac Allister n 869.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
C. Gakpo n 865.3
0.32/0
0.21/0
Liverpool — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 25 May 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Tsimikas n 861.8
3.36/5
A. Mac Allister n 869.4
3.26/5
W. Endo n 818.6
33/1
F. Chiesa n 839
2.34/2
R. Gravenberch n 886.4
2.27/7

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Crystal PalaceLiverpool
41%Possession59%
14Shots12
4Shots on target5
6Shots off target4
4Blocked shots3
10Shots inside the box7
5Corners2
4Offsides3
5Fouls13
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves2
359Passes536
79%Pass accuracy86%

Crystal Palace player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Henderson9000000008
C. Richards9000110106.9
M. Lacroix9000000106.2
D. Muñoz9000003706.9
I. Sarr9010110108.7
Eberechi Eze9000111005.9
J. Mateta9010310007.2
M. Guéhi8900001106.6
A. Wharton8501003106.9
T. Mitchell7900101307
D. Kamada2900000006.5
W. Hughes sub6200200207.3
B. Sosa sub1200000005.6
J. Lerma sub1100000006.7
J. Devenny sub10010000–

Liverpool player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Alisson Becker9000000108.3
Jeremie Frimpong9010210307
I. Konaté90000001Y6.5
V. van Dijk9000000005.9
D. Szoboszlai9001223307.7
Mohamed Salah90001100Y4.6
C. Gakpo9000000006.7
M. Kerkez8400003107.3
F. Wirtz84011042Y6.2
C. Jones7100000006.9
H. Ekitike7110310107.3
W. Endo sub2000000106.5
A. Mac Allister sub2000002005.3
A. Robertson sub1200000006.7
Harvey Elliott sub1200000105.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Crystal Palace v Liverpool — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Crystal PalaceDWWWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
LiverpoolWLDLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 2.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Crystal Palace 1 · 3 draws · Liverpool 2 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2025-05-25 Liverpool 1–1 Crystal Palace
  • 2024-10-05 Crystal Palace 0–1 Liverpool
  • 2024-04-14 Liverpool 0–1 Crystal Palace
  • 2023-12-09 Crystal Palace 1–2 Liverpool
  • 2023-02-25 Crystal Palace 0–0 Liverpool
  • 2022-08-15 Liverpool 1–1 Crystal Palace
Goals per game
Crystal Palace scored1.8
Liverpool scored2.2
Crystal Palace conceded0.8
Liverpool conceded2

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Crystal Palace v Liverpool?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Crystal Palace v Liverpool was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Crystal Palace and Liverpool?
In their last 6 meetings, Crystal Palace won 1, Liverpool won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Crystal Palace and Liverpool?
Recent form — Crystal Palace 3W 2D 0L; Liverpool 1W 2D 2L.

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