Vasco DA Gama v Botafogo result

Full-time · Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Botafogo

Copa Do Brasil · · Estádio São Januário

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Vasco DA Gama · Botafogo · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Botafogo — this Copa Do Brasil match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Vasco DA Gama and Botafogo drew 1–1 at Estádio São Januário in Copa Do Brasil on Thursday 28 August.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Botafogo: Arthur Cabral (8’, assisted by Alex Telles); Vasco DA Gama: Jair (17’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jair’s goal on 17 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Vasco DA Gama 0.00, Botafogo 0.00, from 14 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Vasco DA Gama: P. Vegetti (85’) and Hugo Moura (89’); Botafogo: Arthur Cabral (25’), Marlon Freitas (60’), Danilo (62’) and Marcal (85’).

What it changes

Vasco DA Gama are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jair (Vasco DA Gama) 9.6, Lucas Piton (Vasco DA Gama) 5.5 and Alex Telles (Botafogo) 5.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Vasco DA Gama next host Boca Juniors on 21 October 2026.

Botafogo next travel to Internacional on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Vasco DA Gama: Vasco DA Gama v Boca Juniors, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Botafogo: Internacional v Botafogo, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Botafogo · Copa Do Brasil
  • Venue: Estádio São Januário · Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
  • Referee: Anderson Daronco
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Vasco DA Gama 2 · draws 1 · Botafogo 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Vasco DA Gama 2W 1D 2L · Botafogo 3W 0D 2L

Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Botafogo (Copa Do Brasil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.38 / 0.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 4.25
Corners
against 4.88 / 3.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 4.75
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 3.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.5 / 2.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameVasco DA Gama for / againstLineBotafogo for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.25 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
15.63 for · 13.13 against n 8
19.5standard
12 for · 12 against n 8
Shots on target
5.38 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.75 for · 3.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.63 for · 11.25 against n 8
21.5standard
12 for · 10.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2.63 against n 8
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Loide Augusto n 811.3
53/1
11/0
—
Cauan Barros n 835
3.26/3
1.34/0
Marlon Freitas
Andrés Gómez n 814
3.23/1
00/0
—
B. Garré n 816.8
2.74/0
1.32/0
—
Paulo Henrique n 889.9
2.48/6
0.95/1
—
Vasco DA Gama — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Andrés Gómez n 814
44/1
2.43/0
P. Vegetti n 880.4
3.28/7
14/1
Coutinho n 873.5
2.88/7
1.45/3
Rayan n 888.5
2.78/7
1.77/5
B. Garré n 816.8
21/1
21/1
Vasco DA Gama — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Andrés Gómez n 814
1.62/0
0.81/0
David n 850.3
0.21/0
0.72/1
P. Vegetti n 880.4
0.64/0
00/0
Lucas Piton n 889.4
0.11/0
0.43/0
Rayan n 888.5
0.54/0
00/0
Vasco DA Gama — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
GB n 823.1
3.44/3
Paulo Henrique n 889.9
2.98/7
Puma Rodríguez n 848.1
2.13/2
Jair n 868
25/3
B. Garré n 816.8
23/0
Vasco DA Gama — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Daniel Fuzato n 871.4
2.85/3
Léo Jardim n 889.5
2.15/3
Botafogo
Botafogo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Newton n 870
2.78/5
0.64/0
—
Marcal n 850.1
2.76/4
0.73/0
—
Allan n 846
2.74/3
1.53/1
—
M. Ponte n 835.1
1.94/1
0.31/0
—
Marlon Freitas n 879.9
1.76/4
0.63/1
Cauan Barros
Botafogo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Jefferson Savarino n 864.6
1.66/3
0.94/1
Matheus Martins n 845.4
1.53/3
1.53/3
Arthur Cabral n 879.4
1.46/2
16/1
Newton n 870
1.44/4
0.83/2
Artur n 867
1.35/2
0.53/0
Botafogo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Nathan Fernandes n 837
0.31/0
0.62/0
Cuiabano n 831.3
0.41/0
0.41/0
Alex Telles n 873.6
0.21/0
0.52/1
Arthur Cabral n 879.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
Jefferson Savarino n 864.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
Botafogo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Allan n 846
4.24/4
Cuiabano n 831.3
46/3
Danilo n 847.9
3.35/5
Newton n 870
2.96/4
Vitinho n 877.9
2.57/6
Botafogo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Neto n 890
3.47/5
John n 890.5
2.66/3
Léo Linck n 878.9
1.12/0

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Vasco DA GamaBotafogo
54%Possession46%
14Shots9
7Shots on target3
5Shots off target4
2Blocked shots2
11Shots inside the box6
2Corners4
1Offsides0
15Fouls16
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
2Saves6
438Passes370
86%Pass accuracy85%

Vasco DA Gama player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Léo Jardim9000000006.7
Hugo Moura90000000Y6.5
Lucas Freitas9000000006.6
Lucas Piton9000003407.3
Jair9010221208.6
P. Vegetti90002201Y6.7
Cauan Barros8900000306.9
Rayan8300411207.3
Nuno Moreira7400101106.9
Coutinho7300212107.2
Paulo Henrique4500001006.2
Puma Rodríguez sub4500111006.9
Andrés Gómez sub1700000006.2
David sub1600000006.2
Guilherme Estrella sub1300000006.3
Thiago Mendes sub10000000–

Botafogo player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
John9000000007.9
Vitinho9000001306.9
Kaio Pantaleão9000210107.3
A. Barboza9000110407
Danilo90001012Y6.9
Arthur Cabral90102101Y7.2
Alex Telles8001102107.2
Marlon Freitas80000012Y6.9
Artur7700000006.3
Álvaro Montoro7700002206.6
Chris Ramos5800000006.3
Jefferson Savarino sub3200000206.9
Newton sub1300000006.3
Matheus Martins sub1300000006.7
Marcal sub10000001Y6.6
Allan sub1000000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Vasco DA Gama v Botafogo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Vasco DA GamaWDWLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
BotafogoWWLLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Vasco DA Gama 2 · 1 draw · Botafogo 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2025-07-12 Vasco DA Gama 0–2 Botafogo
  • 2024-11-06 Botafogo 3–0 Vasco DA Gama
  • 2024-06-29 Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Botafogo
  • 2023-11-06 Vasco DA Gama 1–0 Botafogo
  • 2023-07-02 Botafogo 2–0 Vasco DA Gama
  • 2021-01-10 Vasco DA Gama 3–0 Botafogo
Goals per game
Vasco DA Gama scored2.4
Botafogo scored1.8
Vasco DA Gama conceded1.4
Botafogo conceded0.8

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Vasco DA Gama v Botafogo?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Vasco DA Gama v Botafogo was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Vasco DA Gama and Botafogo?
In their last 6 meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 2, Botafogo won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Vasco DA Gama and Botafogo?
Recent form — Vasco DA Gama 2W 1D 2L; Botafogo 3W 0D 2L.

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