Raków Częstochowa v Zaglebie Lubin result

Full-time · Raków Częstochowa 2–3 Zaglebie Lubin

Ekstraklasa · Tue, 15 Sep 2026 17:00 BST · Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie

Updated 29 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Raków Częstochowa · Zaglebie Lubin · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Raków Częstochowa 2–3 Zaglebie Lubin — Zaglebie Lubin won this Ekstraklasa match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.30 at William Hill

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4833 landed (95% range 76.2–78.5%); it had given them 74.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Zaglebie Lubin won 3–2 at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie in the Ekstraklasa on Tuesday 15 September. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Raków Częstochowa out-shot Zaglebie Lubin 21 to 9 and created the better chances, 2.17 xG to 1.38 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Zaglebie Lubin came from behind: Raków Częstochowa led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Raków Częstochowa: Marko Bulat (45’) and Patryk Makuch (90’ pen); Zaglebie Lubin: M. Nalepa (70’, assisted by R. Yakuba), M. Reguła (87’) and D. Michalski (90’, assisted by R. Yakuba). Fran Tudor (84’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Patryk Makuch’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Raków Częstochowa: Fran Tudor (25’), Fran Tudor (84’), Marko Bulat (89’), S. Svarnas (90+1’) and Oskar Repka (90+15’); Zaglebie Lubin: F. Kocaba (90’), Z. Alomerovic (90+6’), M. Nalepa (90+8’) and M. Reguła (90+11’).

What it changes

Raków Częstochowa stay 18th after this result (eight league matches played). Raków Częstochowa have scored 16 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Raków Częstochowa have conceded 28 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Zaglebie Lubin move up from sixth to fourth (eight league matches played). Zaglebie Lubin have scored 15 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Zaglebie Lubin have conceded 15 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

With five goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 3, across nine matches. Zaglebie Lubin are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, R. Yakuba (Zaglebie Lubin) 8.2, M. Reguła (Zaglebie Lubin) 7.4 and Patryk Makuch (Raków Częstochowa) 7.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Raków Częstochowa or Zaglebie Lubin (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3740 of 4833).

Next up

Raków Częstochowa next host Pogon Szczecin on 2 November 2026.

Zaglebie Lubin next host Korona Kielce on 2 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Raków Częstochowa: Raków Częstochowa v Pogon Szczecin, Monday 2 November — the preview. Next for Zaglebie Lubin: Zaglebie Lubin v Korona Kielce, Monday 2 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Raków Częstochowa 2–3 Zaglebie Lubin · Ekstraklasa
Venue: Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie · Czestochowa
Referee: Daniel Stefanski, Poland
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Raków Częstochowa 3 · draws 1 · Zaglebie Lubin 2 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: Raków Częstochowa 1W 0D 4L · Zaglebie Lubin 2W 3D 0L

Raków Częstochowa 2–3 Zaglebie Lubin (Ekstraklasa): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 29 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1

Goals

against 1.88 / 0.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

4.43 / 3.63

Corners

against 6.57 / 6.63 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.86 / 3.88

Shots on target

against 5.43 / 3.75 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.14 / 2.13

Cards

against 1.86 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Raków Częstochowa for / against	Line	Zaglebie Lubin for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.43 for · 6.57 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	3.63 for · 6.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	9 for · 13 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	14 for · 15.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.86 for · 5.43 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	3.88 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11 for · 13.71 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	13.38 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.14 for · 1.86 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Daniel Stefanski, Poland.

Raków Częstochowa

Raków Częstochowa Goalkeeper

Raków Częstochowa — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
K. Trelowski	6	90540 min	233.8 /90	132.2 /90	10.2 /90
W. Zolneczko	1	9090 min	11 /90	22 /90	00 /90

Raków Częstochowa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
K. Trelowski n 8	90	4 7/6

Raków Częstochowa Defensive

Raków Częstochowa — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Bogdan Racovitan	7	90630 min	60.9 /90	60.9 /90	101.4 /90	253.6 /90	71 /90	10.1 /90
F. Tudor	5	84420 min	112.4 /90	112.4 /90	30.6 /90	286 /90	71.5 /90	30.6 /90
Didí Gaucho	4	59237 min	93.4 /90	62.3 /90	10.4 /90	238.7 /90	83 /90	20.8 /90
S. Svarnas	4	59235 min	41.5 /90	20.8 /90	20.8 /90	83.1 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90
J. Napieraj	2	78156 min	21.2 /90	00 /90	00 /90	84.6 /90	21.2 /90	00 /90
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Raków Częstochowa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Bogdan Racovitan n 8	84.4	0.9 5/1	1.3 4/3	A. Ławniczak
P. Makuch n 8	83.9	1.7 7/5	1.7 7/4	—
M. Emreli n 7	82.3	1.1 5/2	0.6 4/0	—
J. C. Silva n 8	78.3	0.9 5/1	1.7 5/3	F. Kocaba
V. Kochergin n 8	54.1	0.6 2/1	0.6 3/0	F. Kocaba
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Raków Częstochowa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Bogdan Racovitan n 8	84.4	0.9 5/1
P. Makuch n 8	83.9	0.5 3/1
M. Emreli n 7	82.3	0.2 1/0
J. C. Silva n 8	78.3	1.9 6/4
V. Kochergin n 8	54.1	1 4/1
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Raków Częstochowa Attacking

Raków Częstochowa — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
P. Makuch	7	84590 min	40.6 /90	00 /90	182.7 /90	91.4 /90	60.9 /90	20.3 /90
M. Emreli	7	82576 min	30.5 /90	10.2 /90	182.8 /90	91.4 /90	91.4 /90	81.3 /90
Adam Basse	2	3774 min	00 /90	00 /90	22.4 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.2 /90
J. C. Silva	7	78546 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	50.8 /90	20.3 /90	71.2 /90	91.5 /90
V. Kochergin	7	55387 min	00 /90	20.5 /90	40.9 /90	00 /90	81.9 /90	30.7 /90
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Raków Częstochowa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Bogdan Racovitan n 8	84.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
P. Makuch n 8	83.9	2.4 7/7	1.2 5/3
M. Emreli n 7	82.3	2.8 7/6	1.4 5/4
J. C. Silva n 8	78.3	0.9 5/1	0.4 3/0
V. Kochergin n 8	54.1	0.8 4/0	0 0/0
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Raków Częstochowa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Bogdan Racovitan n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Makuch n 8	83.9	0.5 3/1	0 0/0
M. Emreli n 7	82.3	0.5 3/0	0.2 1/0
J. C. Silva n 8	78.3	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
V. Kochergin n 8	54.1	0 0/0	0.4 2/0
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Zaglebie Lubin

Zaglebie Lubin Goalkeeper

Zaglebie Lubin — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Z. Alomerovic	6	90540 min	152.5 /90	30.5 /90	00 /90
J. Burić	1	9090 min	55 /90	33 /90	00 /90

Zaglebie Lubin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Zaglebie Lubin before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Z. Alomerovic n 6	90	2.5 4/2
J. Burić n 8	90	3.5 7/5

Zaglebie Lubin Defensive

Zaglebie Lubin — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Ławniczak	7	90630 min	40.6 /90	91.3 /90	81.1 /90	446.3 /90	40.6 /90	00 /90
M. Nalepa	5	90450 min	20.4 /90	71.4 /90	61.2 /90	204 /90	10.2 /90	00 /90
D. Michalski	5	86430 min	20.4 /90	51 /90	30.6 /90	132.7 /90	30.6 /90	10.2 /90
R. Yakuba	4	79315 min	61.7 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90	205.7 /90	51.4 /90	20.6 /90
D. Colina	3	66197 min	41.8 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	52.3 /90	20.9 /90	10.5 /90
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Zaglebie Lubin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Zaglebie Lubin before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Ławniczak n 8	90	0.6 4/1	1.1 7/2	Bogdan Racovitan
M. Reguła n 8	88.9	1.9 7/5	1.8 7/5	—
F. Kocaba n 8	88.8	1.8 7/3	1.9 7/5	V. Kochergin
Z. Alomerovic n 6	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
J. Ćorluka n 8	76	1.6 6/3	0.4 3/0	—
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Zaglebie Lubin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Zaglebie Lubin before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Ławniczak n 8	90	0.8 5/1
M. Reguła n 8	88.9	1.6 6/3
F. Kocaba n 8	88.8	2 7/4
J. Ćorluka n 8	76	2.2 6/4
J. Kolan n 8	58.8	2.3 7/4
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Zaglebie Lubin Attacking

Zaglebie Lubin — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Reguła	7	89621 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	162.3 /90	60.9 /90	71 /90	101.4 /90
Filip Szymczak	5	51253 min	00 /90	00 /90	51.8 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	31.1 /90
M. Kosidis	4	48191 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	52.4 /90	31.4 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
M. Mlinarić	4	39155 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90
L. Szabó	3	37111 min	10.8 /90	00 /90	21.6 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Zaglebie Lubin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Zaglebie Lubin before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Ławniczak n 8	90	1.8 7/3	0.4 2/1
M. Reguła n 8	88.9	2.4 8/5	0.9 4/2
F. Kocaba n 8	88.8	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
Z. Alomerovic n 6	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Ćorluka n 8	76	0.7 5/0	0.3 2/0
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Zaglebie Lubin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Zaglebie Lubin before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Ławniczak n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
M. Reguła n 8	88.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
F. Kocaba n 8	88.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Z. Alomerovic n 6	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Ćorluka n 8	76	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
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The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Raków Częstochowa		Zaglebie Lubin
66%	Possession	34%
2.17	Expected goals (xG)	1.38
21	Shots	9
7	Shots on target	4
9	Shots off target	4
5	Blocked shots	1
17	Shots inside the box	5
5	Corners	2
2	Offsides	0
8	Fouls	19
5	Yellow cards	4
1	Red cards	0
1	Saves	5
554	Passes	288
83%	Pass accuracy	69%

Raków Częstochowa Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
K. Trelowski	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
Bogdan Racovitan	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
S. Svarnas	90	0	0	0	2	1	Y	7.3
O. Repka	90	0	3	0	2	0	Y	6.3
M. Bulat	90	1	1	1	4	1	Y	8.3
M. Emreli	90	0	3	1	2	0	0	6.2
P. Makuch	90	1	6	3	1	0	0	7
Tomasz Pieńko	88	0	0	0	1	1	0	7.2
J. C. Silva	88	0	1	1	0	1	0	7
F. Tudor	84	0	1	1	1	1	RY	6.2
V. Kochergin	16	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
A. Molnar	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	6
K. Struski sub	62	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.6
M. Perović sub	18	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.6
Adin Molnar sub	18	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.6
Adam Basse sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6

Zaglebie Lubin Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Z. Alomerovic	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	7.2
A. Ławniczak	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
M. Nalepa	90	1	0	2	1	0	0	Y	7
R. Yakuba	90	0	2	0	0	3	2	0	6.9
F. Kocaba	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.5
M. Reguła	90	1	0	2	1	0	6	Y	7.7
D. Dąbrowski	81	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.2
I. Orlikowski	62	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
Filip Szymczak	62	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
D. Colina	61	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.2
K. Nowogoński	45	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	6.7
J. Sypek sub	45	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
D. Michalski sub	29	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	7.3
S. Kerk sub	28	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
M. Kosidis sub	28	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.2
J. Kolan sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Raków Częstochowa v Zaglebie Lubin — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Raków CzęstochowaLLLLW

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

Zaglebie LubinWDDDW

Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Raków Częstochowa 3 · 1 draw · Zaglebie Lubin 2 · 2.67 goals/game

2026-02-14 Zaglebie Lubin 0–0 Raków Częstochowa
2025-12-14 Raków Częstochowa 0–1 Zaglebie Lubin
2025-03-31 Zaglebie Lubin 0–2 Raków Częstochowa
2024-09-22 Raków Częstochowa 5–1 Zaglebie Lubin
2024-05-04 Zaglebie Lubin 2–0 Raków Częstochowa
2023-11-05 Raków Częstochowa 5–0 Zaglebie Lubin

League standing · 2026/27

Raków Częstochowa#18 pos6 pts12 pl-12 GD

Zaglebie Lubin#7 pos19 pts12 pl0 GD

Goals per game

Raków Częstochowa scored1.33

Zaglebie Lubin scored1.25

Raków Częstochowa conceded2.33

Zaglebie Lubin conceded1.25

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Raków Częstochowa v Zaglebie Lubin?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Raków Częstochowa v Zaglebie Lubin was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Raków Częstochowa and Zaglebie Lubin?: In their last 6 meetings, Raków Częstochowa won 3, Zaglebie Lubin won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Raków Częstochowa and Zaglebie Lubin?: Recent form — Raków Częstochowa 1W 0D 4L; Zaglebie Lubin 2W 3D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 29 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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