Chelsea v Manchester City result

Full-time · Chelsea 0–1 Manchester City

FA Cup · Sat, 16 May 2026 15:00 BST · Wembley Stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Chelsea · Manchester City · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Chelsea 0–1 Manchester City — Manchester City won this FA Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 502 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Manchester City won 1–0 at Wembley Stadium in the FA Cup on Saturday 16 May. Manchester City have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Manchester City: Antoine Semenyo (72’, assisted by Erling Haaland).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Antoine Semenyo’s goal on 72 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Chelsea 0.00, Manchester City 0.00, from 7 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. England showed four yellow cards — against 4.6 yellows a game across the last 22 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Chelsea: Enzo Fernández (29’), Marc Cucurella (32’) and M. Caicedo (90+2’); Manchester City: Abduqodir Khusanov (56’).

What it changes

Chelsea sit seventh on 15 points from six games with a goal difference of +17 (2025/26 so far). Chelsea have scored 21 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 748 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Chelsea have conceded four goals, the 36th-fewest (shared) of the 748 clubs.

Manchester City sit first on 18 points from six games with a goal difference of +19 (2025/26 so far). Manchester City have scored 22 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 748 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Manchester City have conceded three goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 748 clubs.

Chelsea are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Manchester City are unbeaten in their last 10 matches in all competitions. Manchester City have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Antoine Semenyo (Manchester City) 5.1, Jérémy Doku (Manchester City) 4.9 and Erling Haaland (Manchester City) 4.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Manchester City are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Chelsea, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.7% of the time in the last 90 days (345 of 502).

Next up

Chelsea next host Leeds on 21 November 2026.

Manchester City next host Fulham on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Chelsea: Chelsea v Leeds, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Manchester City: Manchester City v Fulham, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Chelsea 0–1 Manchester City · FA Cup
Venue: Wembley Stadium · London
Referee: D. England
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Chelsea 0 · draws 2 · Manchester City 4 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Chelsea 1W 1D 3L · Manchester City 4W 1D 0L

Chelsea 0–1 Manchester City (FA Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 2.63

Goals

against 1.75 / 0.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6.38 / 9.13

Corners

against 4.25 / 3.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.88 / 6.63

Shots on target

against 4.63 / 3.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 1.38

Cards

against 1.63 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 13 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Chelsea for / against	Line	Manchester City for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.63 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.38 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	9.13 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.25 for · 9.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	19.88 for · 8.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.88 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.63 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.88 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.38 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: D. England.

Chelsea

Chelsea Goalkeeper

Chelsea — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
Robert Sánchez	49	894341 min	1352.8 /90	631.3 /90
F. Jörgensen	13	811053 min	181.5 /90	171.5 /90
Kepa Arrizabalaga	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90

Chelsea — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Robert Sánchez n 8	87	2.7 5/4
F. Jörgensen n 8	76.1	2.4 6/3

Chelsea Defensive

Chelsea — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Gusto	50	693461 min	882.3 /90	571.5 /90	50.1 /90	1614.2 /90	310.8 /90	80.2 /90
Marc Cucurella	49	803911 min	841.9 /90	481.1 /90	160.4 /90	1794.1 /90	721.7 /90	110.3 /90
T. Chalobah	46	853929 min	370.8 /90	481.1 /90	200.5 /90	1734 /90	250.6 /90	40.1 /90
R. James	37	732715 min	632.1 /90	471.6 /90	90.3 /90	1424.7 /90	321.1 /90	60.2 /90
W. Fofana	32	752385 min	240.9 /90	471.8 /90	240.9 /90	1345.1 /90	291.1 /90	80.3 /90
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Chelsea — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
E. Fernández n 8	86	0.8 3/2	1.3 5/3	—
Pedro Neto n 8	83.9	1.2 4/3	0.5 3/1	—
M. Gusto n 8	82.3	0.7 3/1	1 4/2	Bernardo Silva
Robert Sánchez n 8	87	0 0/0	0.4 3/0	—
M. Caicedo n 8	87.5	2.1 7/4	1.9 8/4	Bernardo Silva
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Chelsea — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
E. Fernández n 8	86	1.2 6/2
Pedro Neto n 8	83.9	0.4 2/1
M. Gusto n 8	82.3	1.6 4/3
M. Caicedo n 8	87.5	2.3 8/5
Marc Cucurella n 8	87.6	1 6/2
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Chelsea Attacking

Chelsea — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
João Pedro	49	733561 min	220.6 /90	60.2 /90	741.9 /90	401 /90	401 /90	541.4 /90
L. Delap	32	471519 min	30.2 /90	40.2 /90	352.1 /90	201.2 /90	120.7 /90	160.9 /90
J. Bynoe-Gittens	23	461066 min	10.1 /90	50.4 /90	141.2 /90	70.6 /90	171.4 /90	353 /90
Tyrique George	11	48528 min	40.7 /90	10.2 /90	91.5 /90	81.4 /90	81.4 /90	30.5 /90
Marc Guiu	10	46456 min	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	132.6 /90	81.6 /90	30.6 /90	20.4 /90
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Chelsea — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
E. Fernández n 8	86	1.4 5/5	1 4/3
Pedro Neto n 8	83.9	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
M. Gusto n 8	82.3	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
Robert Sánchez n 8	87	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Caicedo n 8	87.5	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
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Chelsea — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
E. Fernández n 8	86	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Pedro Neto n 8	83.9	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
M. Gusto n 8	82.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Robert Sánchez n 8	87	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Caicedo n 8	87.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Manchester City

Manchester City Goalkeeper

Manchester City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
G. Donnarumma	42	903780 min	972.3 /90	401 /90	20 /90
J. Trafford	14	901260 min	332.4 /90	100.7 /90	10.1 /90
A. Ramsdale	1	9090 min	55 /90	33 /90	00 /90

Manchester City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
G. Donnarumma n 8	90	2 5/3
J. Trafford n 8	90	2.6 7/3

Manchester City Defensive

Manchester City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
N. O'Reilly	52	753897 min	1032.4 /90	300.7 /90	140.3 /90	2325.4 /90	661.5 /90	80.2 /90
Matheus Nunes	48	823925 min	781.8 /90	451 /90	100.2 /90	2094.8 /90	330.8 /90	70.2 /90
A. Khusanov	33	782587 min	561.9 /90	561.9 /90	140.5 /90	1093.8 /90	250.9 /90	60.2 /90
Rúben Dias	32	832646 min	220.7 /90	260.9 /90	200.7 /90	1063.6 /90	240.8 /90	40.1 /90
J. Gvardiol	25	771928 min	281.3 /90	271.3 /90	130.6 /90	884.1 /90	241.1 /90	20.1 /90
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Manchester City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
E. Haaland n 8	79.5	0.7 4/1	0.4 3/0	—
N. O'Reilly n 8	77.9	2 7/5	1 4/3	—
Matheus Nunes n 8	86	0.7 4/1	0.5 2/2	—
Bernardo Silva n 8	87.1	0.9 4/2	0.5 4/0	M. Caicedo
P. Foden n 8	45.4	0.2 1/0	2 6/2	—
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Manchester City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
E. Haaland n 8	79.5	0.3 1/1
N. O'Reilly n 8	77.9	2.3 6/3
Matheus Nunes n 8	86	1.3 4/3
Bernardo Silva n 8	87.1	2.6 7/5
P. Foden n 8	45.4	1.7 5/1
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Manchester City Attacking

Manchester City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
E. Haaland	52	794109 min	390.9 /90	90.2 /90	1493.3 /90	891.9 /90	370.8 /90	190.4 /90
Sávio	27	551489 min	50.3 /90	30.2 /90	291.8 /90	191.1 /90	241.5 /90	523.1 /90
Omar Marmoush	24	541306 min	60.4 /90	30.2 /90	332.3 /90	161.1 /90	201.4 /90	151 /90
R. McAidoo	2	79158 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	42.3 /90	31.7 /90	31.7 /90	52.8 /90
A. Elanga	1	4545 min	12 /90	00 /90	24 /90	12 /90	00 /90	24 /90
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Manchester City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
E. Haaland n 8	79.5	3 7/5	1.7 6/3
N. O'Reilly n 8	77.9	1 3/2	0.9 3/2
Matheus Nunes n 8	86	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Bernardo Silva n 8	87.1	0.8 5/1	0.3 2/0
P. Foden n 8	45.4	2 6/2	0.7 2/1
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Manchester City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
E. Haaland n 8	79.5	1 5/1	0.1 1/0
N. O'Reilly n 8	77.9	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
Matheus Nunes n 8	86	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Bernardo Silva n 8	87.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Foden n 8	45.4	0 0/0	0.5 1/1
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Chelsea		Manchester City
44%	Possession	56%
7	Shots	9
1	Shots on target	4
5	Shots off target	3
1	Blocked shots	2
5	Shots inside the box	7
4	Corners	4
3	Offsides	3
15	Fouls	13
3	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
4	Saves	0
418	Passes	541
83%	Pass accuracy	87%

Chelsea Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Robert Sánchez	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
W. Fofana	90	1	0	1	2	0	6.7
Levi Colwill	90	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
J. Hato	90	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
M. Gusto	90	0	0	1	2	0	6.7
M. Caicedo	90	1	1	0	1	Y	6.7
C. Palmer	90	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
E. Fernández	90	1	0	1	3	Y	7.2
João Pedro	86	1	0	0	0	0	6.5
R. James	83	0	0	1	1	0	7.3
Marc Cucurella	74	1	0	0	2	Y	6.7
Pedro Neto sub	16	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
L. Delap sub	13	1	0	0	0	0	6.2
A. Garnacho sub	10	0	0	0	1	0	6.7

Manchester City Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Trafford	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Matheus Nunes	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7
A. Khusanov	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.9
M. Guéhi	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7.7
N. O'Reilly	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.3
Bernardo Silva	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.9
A. Semenyo	90	1	0	3	1	0	0	0	7.3
J. Doku	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.3
E. Haaland	90	0	1	1	1	1	1	0	6.9
Rodri	65	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	7
Omar Marmoush	45	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.5
R. Cherki sub	45	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	7
M. Kovačić sub	25	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Chelsea v Manchester City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ChelseaLLWLD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Manchester CityWWDWW

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Chelsea 0 · 2 draws · Manchester City 4 · 2.33 goals/game

2026-04-12 Chelsea 0–3 Manchester City
2026-01-04 Manchester City 1–1 Chelsea
2025-01-25 Manchester City 3–1 Chelsea
2024-08-18 Chelsea 0–2 Manchester City
2024-04-20 Manchester City 1–0 Chelsea
2024-02-17 Manchester City 1–1 Chelsea

Goals per game

Chelsea scored0.6

Manchester City scored2.4

Chelsea conceded1.6

Manchester City conceded0.8

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Chelsea v Manchester City?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Chelsea v Manchester City was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Chelsea and Manchester City?: In their last 6 meetings, Chelsea won 0, Manchester City won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chelsea and Manchester City?: Recent form — Chelsea 1W 1D 3L; Manchester City 4W 1D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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