Manchester CityLiverpool

Manchester City v Liverpool result

Full-time · Manchester City 4–0 Liverpool

FA Cup · · Etihad Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Manchester City 4–0 Liverpool — Manchester City won this FA Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Manchester City beat Liverpool 4–0 at Etihad Stadium in the FA Cup on Saturday 4 April.

The goals

Manchester City led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Manchester City: Erling Haaland (39’ pen; 45’, assisted by Antoine Semenyo; 57’, assisted by N. O'Reilly) and Antoine Semenyo (50’, assisted by R. Cherki).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Erling Haaland’s goal on 39 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Manchester City 1.95, Liverpool 1.73, from 11 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. Oliver showed six yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 32 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Manchester City: Rodri (34’), Bernardo Silva (67’) and Nico González (88’); Liverpool: Ryan Gravenberch (24’), Miloš Kerkez (65’) and Ibrahima Konaté (87’).

What it changes

Manchester City sit sixth on 15 points from five games with a goal difference of +18 (2025/26 so far). Manchester City have scored 21 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 748 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Manchester City have conceded three goals, the 33rd-fewest (shared) of the 748 clubs.

Liverpool sit 66th on nine points from four games with a goal difference of +4 (2025/26 so far). Liverpool have scored 10 goals, the 64th-most (shared) of the 748 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). Liverpool have conceded six goals, the 274th-fewest (shared) of the 748 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Erling Haaland (Manchester City) 14.0, N. O'Reilly (Manchester City) 10.6 and James Trafford (Manchester City) 10.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.3% of the time in the last 90 days (352 of 515).

Next up

Manchester City next travel to Nottingham Forest on 7 November 2026.

Liverpool next travel to Crystal Palace on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Manchester City: Nottingham Forest v Manchester City, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Liverpool: Crystal Palace v Liverpool, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Manchester City 4–0 Liverpool · FA Cup
  • Venue: Etihad Stadium · Manchester
  • Referee: M. Oliver
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Manchester City 2 · draws 2 · Liverpool 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Manchester City 2W 1D 2L · Liverpool 2W 1D 2L

Manchester City 4–0 Liverpool (FA Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 2
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7.5 / 6.88
Corners
against 3.13 / 3.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 7.25
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 1.63
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameManchester City for / againstLineLiverpool for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
2 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
7.5 for · 3.13 against n 8
9.5standard
6.88 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
16.88 for · 10.5 against n 8
19.5standard
17.88 for · 10.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5.88 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
7.25 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
10 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.63 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: M. Oliver.

Manchester City

Manchester City Goalkeeper

Manchester City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Donnarumma36903240 min852.4 /90361 /9020.1 /90
J. Trafford12901080 min262.2 /9090.8 /9000 /90
A. Ramsdale19090 min55 /9033 /9000 /90
Manchester City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Donnarumma n 890
37/5
J. Trafford n 890
1.95/2

Manchester City Defensive

Manchester City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. O'Reilly45753364 min912.4 /90260.7 /90100.3 /901975.3 /90541.4 /9070.2 /90
Matheus Nunes40813237 min681.9 /90371 /9080.2 /901795 /90280.8 /9060.2 /90
Rúben Dias32832646 min220.7 /90260.9 /90200.7 /901063.6 /90240.8 /9040.1 /90
A. Khusanov27762047 min472.1 /90462 /9050.2 /90853.7 /90190.8 /9060.3 /90
J. Gvardiol24781870 min281.3 /90251.2 /90120.6 /90864.1 /90241.2 /9020.1 /90
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Manchester City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Haaland n 879.1
0.75/0
14/2
—
N. O'Reilly n 879.5
1.66/3
0.31/1
I. Konaté
Bernardo Silva n 873.1
1.46/2
0.21/0
R. Gravenberch
Matheus Nunes n 882.1
0.85/1
1.25/4
V. van Dijk
T. Reijnders n 844.5
1.54/2
0.83/0
—
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Manchester City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Haaland n 879.1
0.11/0
N. O'Reilly n 879.5
1.76/4
Bernardo Silva n 873.1
1.25/3
Matheus Nunes n 882.1
1.25/3
T. Reijnders n 844.5
1.34/1
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Manchester City Attacking

Manchester City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
E. Haaland45793563 min320.8 /9080.2 /901293.3 /90771.9 /90330.8 /90160.4 /90
Omar Marmoush21541126 min40.3 /9030.2 /90272.2 /90131 /90191.5 /90131 /90
R. McAidoo279158 min10.6 /9000 /9042.3 /9031.7 /9031.7 /9052.8 /90
A. Elanga14545 min12 /9000 /9024 /9012 /9000 /9024 /90
J. Willock14545 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012 /9000 /90
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Manchester City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Haaland n 879.1
2.67/4
1.65/2
N. O'Reilly n 879.5
1.88/4
1.68/3
Bernardo Silva n 873.1
0.63/1
0.52/1
Matheus Nunes n 882.1
0.31/1
0.11/0
T. Reijnders n 844.5
34/3
13/1
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Manchester City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Haaland n 879.1
0.43/0
0.32/0
N. O'Reilly n 879.5
0.73/2
00/0
Bernardo Silva n 873.1
0.21/0
00/0
Matheus Nunes n 882.1
00/0
0.32/0
T. Reijnders n 844.5
00/0
00/0
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Liverpool

Liverpool Goalkeeper

Liverpool — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Alisson Becker33892936 min742.3 /90321 /9000 /90
G. Mamardashvili13861114 min322.6 /90201.6 /9010.1 /90
Liverpool — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Alisson Becker n 890
2.56/3
G. Mamardashvili n 890
38/5

Liverpool Defensive

Liverpool — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
V. van Dijk44903951 min240.5 /90280.6 /90250.6 /902365.4 /90280.6 /9060.1 /90
I. Konaté39853298 min551.5 /90310.8 /90260.7 /902236.1 /90421.1 /9060.2 /90
M. Kerkez34772631 min582 /90210.7 /90100.3 /901404.8 /90270.9 /9040.1 /90
A. Robertson24641544 min181 /90160.9 /9050.3 /90392.3 /90130.8 /9010.1 /90
J. Gomez21531109 min100.8 /90161.3 /9040.3 /90352.8 /90171.4 /9030.2 /90
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Liverpool — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
V. van Dijk n 888.9
15/2
0.11/0
Matheus Nunes
A. Mac Allister n 888.9
1.68/4
0.96/1
—
D. Szoboszlai n 890
0.95/2
1.36/3
—
R. Gravenberch n 883.8
1.56/2
1.55/4
Bernardo Silva
I. Konaté n 887
1.35/4
1.66/4
N. O'Reilly
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Liverpool — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
V. van Dijk n 888.9
0.85/1
A. Mac Allister n 888.9
2.46/6
D. Szoboszlai n 890
1.68/3
R. Gravenberch n 883.8
1.67/3
I. Konaté n 887
1.66/5
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Liverpool Attacking

Liverpool — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Ekitike39672602 min160.6 /9060.2 /90782.7 /90331.1 /90321.1 /90632.2 /90
A. Isak1552780 min30.3 /9010.1 /90222.5 /90111.3 /9050.6 /9040.5 /90
F. Chiesa1441575 min20.3 /9030.5 /90132 /9050.8 /9091.4 /9040.6 /90
Rio Ngumoha1243510 min00 /9000 /9071.2 /9040.7 /9091.6 /90264.6 /90
A. Mac Allister43743188 min50.1 /9050.1 /90391.1 /90190.5 /90411.2 /90170.5 /90
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Liverpool — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
V. van Dijk n 888.9
0.53/1
0.53/1
A. Mac Allister n 888.9
1.57/4
0.85/1
D. Szoboszlai n 890
1.85/5
0.64/1
R. Gravenberch n 883.8
0.94/3
0.54/0
I. Konaté n 887
0.53/1
0.11/0
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Liverpool — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
V. van Dijk n 888.9
0.11/0
00/0
A. Mac Allister n 888.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
D. Szoboszlai n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
R. Gravenberch n 883.8
0.11/0
0.32/0
I. Konaté n 887
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Manchester CityLiverpool
49%Possession51%
1.95Expected goals (xG)1.73
11Shots11
7Shots on target5
2Shots off target3
2Blocked shots3
6Shots inside the box8
4Corners2
1Offsides1
15Fouls10
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
5Saves3
496Passes502
89%Pass accuracy89%

Manchester City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Trafford9000000008.9
Matheus Nunes9000110207.2
A. Khusanov9000000407.3
M. Guéhi9000001107.2
N. O'Reilly9001002508.3
Bernardo Silva90001120Y6.9
E. Haaland7730331009.3
A. Semenyo7111211107.3
R. Cherki7101112007.6
Rodri62000010Y7
J. Doku6200101106.6
Nico González sub28000000Y6.7
Sávio sub2800000206.9
T. Reijnders sub1900000006.6
P. Foden sub1900000006.5
Omar Marmoush sub1300000006.5

Liverpool Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Mamardashvili9000000006
I. Konaté90001101Y5.6
V. van Dijk9000000005.5
M. Kerkez90000002Y5.7
C. Jones9000000106.3
D. Szoboszlai9000002006.5
Mohamed Salah7700320106.9
F. Wirtz6800001206.2
H. Ekitike6800201006.6
R. Gravenberch67000020Y6.5
J. Gomez6200000206.3
Jeremie Frimpong sub2800000006.6
A. Mac Allister sub2300110006.6
Rio Ngumoha sub2200000006.5
C. Gakpo sub2200111006.3
F. Chiesa sub1300000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Manchester City v Liverpool — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Manchester CityWLDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
LiverpoolWLDWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Manchester City 2 · 2 draws · Liverpool 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-02-08 Liverpool 1–2 Manchester City
  • 2025-11-09 Manchester City 3–0 Liverpool
  • 2025-02-23 Manchester City 0–2 Liverpool
  • 2024-12-01 Liverpool 2–0 Manchester City
  • 2024-03-10 Liverpool 1–1 Manchester City
  • 2023-11-25 Manchester City 1–1 Liverpool
Goals per game
Manchester City scored1.4
Liverpool scored1.8
Manchester City conceded1.4
Liverpool conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Manchester City v Liverpool?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Manchester City v Liverpool was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Manchester City and Liverpool?
In their last 6 meetings, Manchester City won 2, Liverpool won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Manchester City and Liverpool?
Recent form — Manchester City 2W 1D 2L; Liverpool 2W 1D 2L.

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