SouthamptonArsenal

Southampton v Arsenal result

Full-time · Southampton 2–1 Arsenal

FA Cup ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Southampton · Arsenal · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Southampton 2–1 Arsenal — Southampton won this FA Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Southampton beat Arsenal 2–1 in the FA Cup on Saturday 4 April. Southampton are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Southampton led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Southampton: Ross Stewart (35’, assisted by James Bree) and Shea Charles (85’, assisted by Tom Fellows); Arsenal: Viktor Gyökeres (68’, assisted by Kai Havertz).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Shea Charles’s goal on 85 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Arsenal out-shot Southampton 23 to 8 and created the better chances, 2.10 xG to 0.80 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

S. Barrott showed three yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 29 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Southampton: Ryan Manning (27’) and Caspar Jander (89’); Arsenal: Gabriel Martinelli (90+4’).

What it changes

Southampton have scored nine goals, the 254th-most (shared) of the 748 clubs (this season so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Southampton have conceded six goals, the 212th-fewest (shared) of the 748 clubs.

Arsenal have scored 11 goals, the 46th-most (shared) of the 748 clubs (this season so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). Arsenal have conceded four goals, the 64th-fewest (shared) of the 748 clubs.

It is Southampton’s first win over Arsenal since 16 April 2022, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds). Southampton have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Max Dowman (Arsenal) 5.7, Tom Fellows (Southampton) 4.7 and Christian Nørgaard (Arsenal) 4.7 led the match.

Head-to-head

Arsenal are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Southampton.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Southampton or Arsenal (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Southampton next travel to Preston on 7 November 2026.

Arsenal next host Hull City on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Southampton: Preston v Southampton, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Arsenal: Arsenal v Hull City, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Southampton 2–1 Arsenal · FA Cup
  • Referee: S. Barrott
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Southampton 1 · draws 2 · Arsenal 3 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Southampton 4W 1D 0L · Arsenal 3W 1D 1L

Southampton 2–1 Arsenal (FA Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1.75
Goals
against 0.5 / 0.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 5.63
Corners
against 5.75 / 4.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 3.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.38
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSouthampton for / againstLineArsenal for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 0.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
13.25 for · 12.63 against n 8
19.5standard
15 for · 10.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.5 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.88 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
10 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
9.63 for · 12.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 2.75 against n 8

Referee: S. Barrott.

Southampton

Southampton Goalkeeper

Southampton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Gavin Bazunu19901710 min432.3 /90281.5 /9000 /90
Daniel Peretz15901350 min442.9 /90120.8 /9000 /90
Southampton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Gavin Bazunu n 890
37/7
Daniel Peretz n 890
3.66/4

Southampton Defensive

Southampton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Taylor Harwood-Bellis37893303 min310.8 /90340.9 /90290.8 /902155.9 /90300.8 /90100.3 /90
Nathan Wood29852452 min291.1 /90230.8 /90250.9 /901063.9 /90230.8 /9050.2 /90
J. Stephens28872436 min261 /90291.1 /90250.9 /90752.8 /90110.4 /9040.1 /90
Welington1563938 min323.1 /90161.5 /9030.3 /90696.6 /90201.9 /9010.1 /90
Joshua Quarshie14861210 min151.1 /90120.9 /9070.5 /90574.2 /90141 /9030.2 /90
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Southampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ryan Manning n 889.9
0.95/2
16/2
—
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 890
0.64/1
1.35/4
—
F. Downes n 882.3
1.86/4
1.14/3
—
Finn Azaz n 887.1
0.53/1
1.35/4
—
Caspar Jander n 869.9
1.47/2
14/2
—
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Southampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ryan Manning n 889.9
27/5
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 890
0.83/3
F. Downes n 882.3
1.47/2
Finn Azaz n 887.1
1.46/2
Caspar Jander n 869.9
2.35/4
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Southampton Attacking

Southampton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Armstrong29732115 min110.5 /9040.2 /90672.9 /90381.6 /90251.1 /90130.6 /90
Cameron Archer22461016 min40.4 /9020.2 /90211.9 /90111 /90111 /90131.2 /90
Jay Robinson2143911 min20.2 /9010.1 /90181.8 /90101 /90101 /90272.7 /90
Ross Stewart1943815 min60.7 /9030.3 /90192.1 /90141.5 /90111.2 /9000 /90
D. Downs1034344 min00 /9010.3 /9061.6 /9010.3 /9030.8 /9041 /90
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Southampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Ryan Manning n 889.9
0.94/2
0.53/1
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 890
0.95/2
0.11/0
F. Downes n 882.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
Finn Azaz n 887.1
0.85/1
0.54/0
Caspar Jander n 869.9
0.53/0
0.32/0
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Southampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Ryan Manning n 889.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 890
0.11/0
00/0
F. Downes n 882.3
0.11/0
00/0
Finn Azaz n 887.1
0.32/0
0.11/0
Caspar Jander n 869.9
00/0
00/0
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Arsenal

Arsenal Goalkeeper

Arsenal — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
David Raya40903600 min721.8 /90250.6 /9000 /90
Kepa Arrizabalaga890717 min192.4 /9081 /9000 /90
Robert Sánchez19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /90
Arsenal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
David Raya n 890
2.47/3
Kepa Arrizabalaga n 889.6
2.45/4

Arsenal Defensive

Arsenal — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Timber41763129 min832.4 /90290.8 /9060.2 /901805.2 /90451.3 /9060.2 /90
Gabriel Magalhães37812983 min441.3 /90200.6 /90421.3 /901905.7 /90230.7 /9040.1 /90
William Saliba35873031 min411.2 /90200.6 /9090.3 /901444.3 /90290.9 /9020.1 /90
Piero Hincapié28732044 min492.2 /90251.1 /90100.4 /901165.1 /90190.8 /9030.1 /90
Riccardo Calafiori26671729 min371.9 /90191 /9030.2 /901145.9 /90291.5 /9070.4 /90
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Arsenal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Martín Zubimendi n 884
1.16/2
0.53/1
—
J. Timber n 871.6
0.84/1
0.84/1
—
David Raya n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
Declan Rice n 888.3
0.83/2
0.52/1
—
Bukayo Saka n 884
1.36/3
1.76/4
—
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Arsenal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Martín Zubimendi n 884
28/4
J. Timber n 871.6
27/3
Declan Rice n 888.3
2.37/6
Bukayo Saka n 884
2.17/4
Viktor Gyökeres n 871.5
0.21/0
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Arsenal Attacking

Arsenal — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Bukayo Saka40712832 min90.3 /9050.2 /90611.9 /90431.4 /90762.4 /90591.9 /90
Viktor Gyökeres40672684 min160.5 /9020.1 /90541.8 /90291 /90250.8 /90100.3 /90
Leandro Trossard35642245 min60.2 /9070.3 /90411.6 /90170.7 /90401.6 /90261 /90
Gabriel Martinelli29551607 min100.6 /9050.3 /90372.1 /90191.1 /90251.4 /90362 /90
Noni Madueke25591470 min60.4 /9030.2 /90271.7 /90171 /90281.7 /90392.4 /90
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Arsenal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Martín Zubimendi n 884
0.43/0
00/0
J. Timber n 871.6
0.52/1
0.31/1
David Raya n 890
00/0
00/0
Declan Rice n 888.3
0.53/1
0.31/1
Bukayo Saka n 884
26/5
1.56/3
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Arsenal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Martín Zubimendi n 884
00/0
00/0
J. Timber n 871.6
0.21/0
0.32/0
David Raya n 890
00/0
00/0
Declan Rice n 888.3
0.11/0
0.32/0
Bukayo Saka n 884
0.32/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SouthamptonArsenal
36%Possession64%
0.80Expected goals (xG)2.10
8Shots23
4Shots on target7
3Shots off target6
1Blocked shots10
6Shots inside the box14
4Corners9
9Fouls11
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
6Saves2
304Passes524
79%Pass accuracy89%

Southampton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Daniel Peretz9000000007.3
James Bree9001001107.2
Taylor Harwood-Bellis9000000006.9
Nathan Wood9000000006.9
Caspar Jander90000013Y6.6
Tom Fellows9001211207
Finn Azaz9000211106.6
Ryan Manning89000004Y6.9
Cameron Bragg7600000106.6
Leo Scienza7100100107.2
Ross Stewart7010110007.2
Cyle Larin sub2000001006.7
Samuel Edozie sub1900000006.7
Shea Charles sub1410110007.9
Joshua Quarshie sub10000000–

Arsenal Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Kepa Arrizabalaga9000000006.7
Ben White9000003005.7
Cristhian Mosquera9000001006.3
Christian Nørgaard9000112306.9
Max Dowman9000331007
Gabriel Martinelli90002121Y7
K. Havertz7901001006.3
Gabriel Magalhães7200001107.2
Martin Ødegaard6100213006.9
Myles Lewis-Skelly6000001006.3
Gabriel Jesus6000201106
Riccardo Calafiori sub3000100006.2
Viktor Gyökeres sub3010111007.3
Noni Madueke sub2900102006.3
William Saliba sub1800000006.2
Martín Zubimendi sub1100000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Southampton v Arsenal — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SouthamptonWDWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
ArsenalWDWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Southampton 1 · 2 draws · Arsenal 3 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2025-05-25 Southampton 1–2 Arsenal
  • 2024-10-05 Arsenal 3–1 Southampton
  • 2023-04-21 Arsenal 3–3 Southampton
  • 2022-10-23 Southampton 1–1 Arsenal
  • 2022-04-16 Southampton 1–0 Arsenal
  • 2021-12-11 Arsenal 3–0 Southampton
Goals per game
Southampton scored1.4
Arsenal scored1.4
Southampton conceded0.4
Arsenal conceded0.8

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Southampton v Arsenal?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Southampton v Arsenal was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Southampton and Arsenal?
In their last 6 meetings, Southampton won 1, Arsenal won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Southampton and Arsenal?
Recent form — Southampton 4W 1D 0L; Arsenal 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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