Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Kyoto Sanga result

Full-time · Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Kyoto Sanga

J1 League · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 06:00 BST · Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima

Updated 17 Oct 2026, 08:58 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Kyoto Sanga · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Kyoto Sanga — Sanfrecce Hiroshima won this J1 League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick

Home win

Best price: 1.38 at Betano

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 195 landed (95% range 71.1–82.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Sanfrecce Hiroshima beat Kyoto Sanga 3–0 at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima in the J1 League on Saturday 17 October.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are unbeaten in their last eight matches.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Sanfrecce Hiroshima: D. Suga (48’, assisted by S. Higashi), A. Suzuki (78’, assisted by T. Asano) and M. Kato (82’, assisted by A. Suzuki).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with D. Suga’s goal on 48 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.94, Kyoto Sanga 0.75, from 24 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Sanfrecce Hiroshima: S. Haller (67’); Kyoto Sanga: K. Sato (31’).

What it changes

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have scored in eight consecutive matches. Sanfrecce Hiroshima have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Suzuki (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) 11.7, S. Higashi (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) 5.9 and D. Suga (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (151 of 195).

Next up

Sanfrecce Hiroshima next travel to V-varen Nagasaki on 21 October 2026.

Kyoto Sanga next host Kashima on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sanfrecce Hiroshima: V-varen Nagasaki v Sanfrecce Hiroshima, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Kyoto Sanga: Kyoto Sanga v Kashima, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Kyoto Sanga · J1 League
Venue: Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima · Hiroshima
Referee: Koei Koya
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2 · draws 1 · Kyoto Sanga 3 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5W 0D 0L · Kyoto Sanga 3W 0D 2L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Kyoto Sanga (J1 League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 0.63

Goals

against 0.63 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

5.25 / 4.13

Corners

against 3 / 5.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.5 / 3.5

Shots on target

against 3.38 / 4.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.13 / 1.63

Cards

against 1.63 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Sanfrecce Hiroshima for / against	Line	Kyoto Sanga for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	0.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.25 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.13 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	9.88 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.5 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.5 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.38 for · 8.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Kinoshita Kosuke n 8	34.8	3.6 7/3	1.6 5/0	—
D. Suga n 8	33.3	2.7 6/1	2 4/1	—
A. Suzuki n 8	60.4	2.4 5/3	1.5 5/2	—
Ryo Germain n 8	38.5	2.3 6/2	0.9 3/0	—
Y. Chajima n 8	26.1	1.7 2/2	0.4 1/0	—

Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Kato n 8	40.6	3 6/3	1.9 5/1
Y. Chajima n 8	26.1	2.6 4/2	0.9 1/1
T. Arslan n 8	37	2.4 5/3	1.2 3/1
Kinoshita Kosuke n 8	34.8	2.3 5/2	1 2/1
Mutsuki Kato n 8	53.8	2.1 5/3	1.5 4/2

Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Suzuki n 8	60.4	0.4 2/0	0.6 3/0
Y. Chajima n 8	26.1	0.9 1/1	0 0/0
T. Matsumoto n 8	60	0.4 2/0	0.4 2/0
Mutsuki Kato n 8	53.8	0.6 3/0	0.2 1/0
M. Kato n 8	40.6	0.8 3/0	0 0/0

Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Y. Nakajima n 8	41.8	2.7 6/2
N. Maeda n 8	26.3	2.6 5/1
M. Kato n 8	40.6	2.5 5/2
T. Matsumoto n 8	60	2.1 6/3
H. Kawabe n 8	88.4	1.9 6/4

Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
I. Ouchi n 4	90	2.8 3/2
K. Osako n 8	90	2.3 4/3

Kyoto Sanga

Kyoto Sanga — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Nagasawa n 8	30.6	3.3 5/2	0 0/0	—
Everton n 8	36.6	2.2 4/1	0.6 2/0	—
João Pedro n 8	70.6	1.9 6/5	1.6 5/3	—
H. Tawiah n 8	71.4	1.6 4/3	0.5 3/0	—
Alex Negueba n 8	39.8	1.4 4/1	1.4 3/1	—

Kyoto Sanga — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Rafael Elias n 8	74.4	2.7 6/4	1.8 4/3
Everton n 8	36.6	2.5 4/3	0.9 2/1
M. Okugawa n 8	56	1.8 6/2	0.6 3/0
R. Nakano n 8	55	1.8 7/2	0.8 3/1
S. Nagasawa n 8	30.6	1.5 3/1	1.1 3/0

Kyoto Sanga — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Honda n 8	40.6	0 0/0	0.8 2/1
Rafael Elias n 8	74.4	0.5 3/0	0.2 1/0
H. Arai n 8	72.3	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
T. Matsuda n 8	50.6	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
S. Nagasawa n 8	30.6	0 0/0	0.4 1/0

Kyoto Sanga — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Thiago n 3	64	3.3 3/3
João Pedro n 8	70.6	2.7 8/5
Henrique Trevisan n 8	85.3	2.2 7/5
K. Sato n 8	80.8	2.2 7/3
T. Matsuda n 8	50.6	1.8 5/3

Kyoto Sanga — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Halls n 4	90	3.8 3/2
G. Ota n 8	90	1.5 4/3

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Kyoto Sanga
64%	Possession	36%
1.94	Expected goals (xG)	0.75
24	Shots	7
7	Shots on target	2
10	Shots off target	3
7	Blocked shots	2
13	Shots inside the box	6
9	Corners	4
1	Offsides	0
5	Fouls	14
1	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	4
508	Passes	295

Sanfrecce Hiroshima player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Shuto Nakano	90	0	0	1	1	1	3	0	7.5
K. Osako	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
H. Kawabe	90	0	0	2	1	1	1	0	7.2
N. Arai	90	0	0	7	2	0	0	0	7.4
S. Higashi	90	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	7.8
H. Araki	90	0	0	2	0	1	2	0	7.6
A. Suzuki	86	1	1	3	1	5	3	0	9
S. Haller	73	0	0	0	0	1	0	Y	6.3
D. Suga	64	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	7.3
S. Ayukawa	63	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	6.3
Y. Nakajima	63	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	7.1
T. Matsumoto	27	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
M. Kato	27	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	7.5
Kim Ju-Sung	26	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
T. Asano	17	0	1	3	0	1	1	0	7.1
T. Kawamura	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.8

Kyoto Sanga player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
H. Arai	90	1	0	2	1	0	6.5
K. Sato	90	0	0	0	1	Y	5.7
K. Nagata	90	1	1	0	1	0	6.4
Y. Suzuki	90	2	0	0	1	0	6.3
Y. Ishida	90	1	0	0	4	0	6.5
Halls	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
H. Morooka	80	0	0	0	3	0	6.1
T. Kato	72	0	0	4	0	0	6.7
Yoon Sung-Jun	72	0	0	0	0	0	5.7
R. Nakano	55	1	1	0	0	0	6.1
T. Shichi	55	1	0	0	1	0	6
T. Matsuda	35	0	0	0	0	0	5.8
Alex Negueba	35	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
João Pedro	18	0	0	0	2	0	6
Marco Túlio	18	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
T. Yonemoto	10	0	0	0	0	0	5.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Kyoto Sanga — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Sanfrecce HiroshimaWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Kyoto SangaWLWLW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2 · 1 draw · Kyoto Sanga 3 · 2.67 goals/game

2026-05-17 Kyoto Sanga 0–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2026-02-27 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 Kyoto Sanga
2025-09-12 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Kyoto Sanga
2025-03-29 Kyoto Sanga 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2024-11-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Kyoto Sanga
2024-05-19 Kyoto Sanga 0–5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

League standing · 2027

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima#2 pos20 pts9 pl+16 GD

Kyoto Sanga#16 pos8 pts9 pl-5 GD

Goals per game

Sanfrecce Hiroshima scored2.44

Kyoto Sanga scored1.22

Sanfrecce Hiroshima conceded0.67

Kyoto Sanga conceded1.78

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Kyoto Sanga?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Kyoto Sanga was Home win (best price 1.38 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kyoto Sanga?: In their last 6 meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 2, Kyoto Sanga won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kyoto Sanga?: Recent form — Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5W 0D 0L; Kyoto Sanga 3W 0D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 17 Oct 2026, 08:58 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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