This Matchweek

ElcheReal Madrid

Elche v Real Madrid result

Full-time · Elche 2–3 Real Madrid

La Liga · · Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Elche · Real Madrid · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Elche 2–3 Real Madrid — Real Madrid won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.

Free pick
Away win
Best price: 1.23 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 84.8% of 125 landed (95% range 77.5–90%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Real Madrid: 3.56 to 1.05 in expected goals, from 20 shots to 12, ahead on xG from the first minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Real Madrid won 3–2 at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero in La Liga on Tuesday 15 September. Elche are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions. Real Madrid have won their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

Real Madrid led 2–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Elche: an own goal by M. Dituro (25’), Abiel Osorio (71’, assisted by L. Cepeda) and Fer Niño (83’, assisted by Josan); Real Madrid: Kylian Mbappé (33’, assisted by Yan Diomande) and Carlos Espí (90’, assisted by Kylian Mbappé).

Discipline

Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain showed six yellow cards — against 5.2 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Elche: Marc Aguado (31’), L. Cepeda (78’), Josan (90+3’) and Gonzalo Villar (90+4’); Real Madrid: Yan Diomande (4’) and Ibrahima Konaté (73’).

What it changes

Elche move down from 19th to 20th (six league matches played). Elche have scored 14 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Elche have conceded 18 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs.

Real Madrid stay second after this result (six league matches played). Real Madrid have scored 28 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Real Madrid have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) 8.9, Yan Diomande (Real Madrid) 8.7 and F. Redondo (Elche) 5.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

Real Madrid are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Elche, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Real Madrid to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Elche next host Real Betis on 8 November 2026.

Real Madrid next travel to Valencia on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Elche: Elche v Real Betis, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Real Madrid: Valencia v Real Madrid, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Elche 2–3 Real Madrid · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero · Elche
  • Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Elche 0 · draws 2 · Real Madrid 4 · 3.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Elche 0W 2D 3L · Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L

Elche 2–3 Real Madrid (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 2.63
Goals
against 2 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4 / 6.5
Corners
against 4 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4 / 7.88
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 4.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 1.38
Cards
against 2.25 / 2.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.22 yellows
Referee · Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain
25.33 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameElche for / againstLineReal Madrid for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 2 against n 8
3.5our book
2.63 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
6.5 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
10 for · 11.75 against n 8
19.5standard
18.13 for · 12.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
7.88 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.5 for · 14.25 against n 8
21.5standard
9.38 for · 13.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 2.63 against n 8

Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain — 5.22 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 25.33 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Elche

Elche Goalkeeper

Elche — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Dituro590450 min122.4 /90132.6 /9000 /90
Elche — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Dituro n 890
2.67/4

Elche Defensive

Elche — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Víctor Chust590450 min61.2 /9051 /9010.2 /90163.2 /9030.6 /9000 /90
Buba Sangaré587435 min102.1 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90163.3 /9051 /9000 /90
Germán Valera585424 min20.4 /9020.4 /9000 /90183.8 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
D. Affengruber390270 min31 /9051.7 /9031 /90113.7 /9010.3 /9000 /90
F. Redondo377231 min93.5 /9072.7 /9000 /90135.1 /9020.8 /9010.4 /90
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Elche — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Víctor Chust n 882.3
15/2
0.11/0
—
M. Dituro n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Buba Sangaré n 872
1.96/4
0.52/1
—
Germán Valera n 886.6
1.25/3
1.97/5
F. Valverde
Gonzalo Villar n 883.6
27/6
3.58/7
F. Valverde
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Elche — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Víctor Chust n 882.3
1.45/5
Buba Sangaré n 872
2.37/5
Germán Valera n 886.6
0.85/1
Gonzalo Villar n 883.6
2.28/6
Fer Niño n 577.4
1.45/1
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Elche Attacking

Elche — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Fer Niño577387 min20.5 /9000 /9071.6 /9061.4 /9020.5 /9030.7 /90
L. Cepeda42497 min00 /9010.9 /9054.6 /9043.7 /9043.7 /9010.9 /90
E. Ponce340121 min00 /9000 /9021.5 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9000 /90
A. Osorio22856 min00 /9000 /9034.8 /9011.6 /9023.2 /9000 /90
Gonzalo Villar585423 min00 /9010.2 /9030.6 /9030.6 /9061.3 /9051.1 /90
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Elche — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Víctor Chust n 882.3
0.54/0
0.32/0
M. Dituro n 890
00/0
00/0
Buba Sangaré n 872
0.21/0
0.21/0
Germán Valera n 886.6
0.53/1
00/0
Gonzalo Villar n 883.6
0.53/1
0.42/1
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Elche — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Elche before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Víctor Chust n 882.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
M. Dituro n 890
00/0
00/0
Buba Sangaré n 872
0.21/0
00/0
Germán Valera n 886.6
00/0
0.11/0
Gonzalo Villar n 883.6
00/0
0.11/0
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Real Madrid

Real Madrid Goalkeeper

Real Madrid — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Thibaut Courtois690540 min223.7 /9050.8 /9000 /90
Real Madrid — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Thibaut Courtois n 890
3.56/4

Real Madrid Defensive

Real Madrid — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Dean Huijsen590450 min71.4 /9071.4 /9010.2 /90204 /9071.4 /9010.2 /90
I. Konaté590450 min81.6 /9010.2 /9040.8 /90163.2 /9061.2 /9020.4 /90
D. Dumfries583414 min92 /9040.9 /9000 /90143 /9040.9 /9000 /90
Marc Cucurella568339 min71.9 /9020.5 /9030.8 /90154 /9000 /9000 /90
Álvaro Fernández366199 min41.8 /9020.9 /9000 /90104.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
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Real Madrid — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Thibaut Courtois n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Kylian Mbappé n 889.9
0.83/2
0.94/3
—
Vinícius Júnior n 887.1
1.36/2
2.77/5
—
J. Bellingham n 884.5
1.36/3
3.27/7
—
F. Valverde n 881.8
0.43/0
0.11/0
Gonzalo Villar
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Real Madrid — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Kylian Mbappé n 889.9
0.31/1
Vinícius Júnior n 887.1
0.94/2
J. Bellingham n 884.5
2.17/5
F. Valverde n 881.8
1.45/3
I. Konaté n 590
1.65/2
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Real Madrid Attacking

Real Madrid — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Kylian Mbappé690539 min71.2 /9010.2 /90335.5 /90254.2 /9091.5 /90203.3 /90
Y. Diomande437149 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9000 /9042.4 /9063.6 /90
Vinícius Júnior688530 min10.2 /9030.5 /90111.9 /9050.8 /90122 /90132.2 /90
J. Bellingham686515 min30.5 /9020.3 /90142.4 /9091.6 /90122.1 /90142.4 /90
F. Valverde679474 min10.2 /9010.2 /9050.9 /9020.4 /9040.8 /9010.2 /90
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Real Madrid — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Thibaut Courtois n 890
00/0
00/0
Kylian Mbappé n 889.9
5.18/8
3.47/7
Vinícius Júnior n 887.1
1.87/4
0.84/2
J. Bellingham n 884.5
2.16/6
1.56/5
F. Valverde n 881.8
16/1
0.64/0
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Real Madrid — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Madrid before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Thibaut Courtois n 890
00/0
00/0
Kylian Mbappé n 889.9
15/2
0.11/0
Vinícius Júnior n 887.1
0.32/0
0.43/0
J. Bellingham n 884.5
0.54/0
0.31/1
F. Valverde n 881.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ElcheReal Madrid
56%Possession44%
0.78Expected goals (xG)3.61
11Shots20
3Shots on target4
6Shots off target11
2Blocked shots5
7Shots inside the box15
2Corners5
1Offsides5
21Fouls8
4Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves1
542Passes430
91%Pass accuracy89%

Elche Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Víctor Chust9000000306.3
A. Osorio9010310007.9
F. Redondo9000000407.3
Roy Revivo9000001006.2
Gonzalo Villar90000014Y6.9
M. Dituro9000000006.3
Tete Morente8000311006.6
Buba Sangaré6800001106.3
Martim Neto6800201006.2
Marc Aguado58000001Y6.2
Germán Valera5800002106.9
L. Cepeda sub32010010Y7.3
T. Lemar sub3200001207
Fer Niño sub2210110007.5
Rubén Sánchez sub2200000206.7
Josan sub10010010Y6.3

Real Madrid Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Marc Cucurella9000000205.9
Dean Huijsen9000110106.3
I. Konaté90001000Y6.9
Kylian Mbappé9011213108.3
F. Valverde9000001107
Thibaut Courtois9000000006.3
Y. Diomande89010032Y7.2
Trent Alexander-Arnold8700102107.2
A. Tchouaméni8600002206.9
A. Güler6800303007.3
Vinícius Júnior6800511105.6
J. Bellingham sub2200002006.9
Brahim Díaz sub2200001006.2
Endrick sub1000000006.5
Carlos Espí sub910210007.9
D. Dumfries sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Elche v Real Madrid — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ElcheDLLLD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Real MadridWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Elche 0 · 2 draws · Real Madrid 4 · 3.83 goals/game
  • 2026-03-14 Real Madrid 4–1 Elche
  • 2025-11-23 Elche 2–2 Real Madrid
  • 2023-02-15 Real Madrid 4–0 Elche
  • 2022-10-19 Elche 0–3 Real Madrid
  • 2022-01-23 Real Madrid 2–2 Elche
  • 2022-01-20 Elche 1–2 Real Madrid
League standing · 2026/27
Elche#17 pos10 pts11 pl-4 GD
Real Madrid#3 pos27 pts11 pl+18 GD
Goals per game
Elche scored1.27
Real Madrid scored2.55
Elche conceded1.64
Real Madrid conceded0.91

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Elche 1.05 xG from 12 shots, Real Madrid 3.56 from 20. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Arda Güler 37' · 0.86 xGVinícius Júnior 1' · 0.36 xGVinícius Júnior 64' · 0.27 xGDean Huijsen 10' · 0.12 xGEndrick 89' · 0.12 xGVinícius Júnior 37' · 0.12 xGCarlos Espí 89' · 0.11 xGAbiel Osorio 42' · 0.10 xGYan Diomande 75' · 0.10 xGAbiel Osorio 16' · 0.09 xGIbrahima Konaté 57' · 0.09 xGVinícius Júnior 44' · 0.09 xGAbiel Osorio 48' · 0.09 xGVinícius Júnior 20' · 0.07 xGMartim Neto 53' · 0.06 xGTrent Alexander-Arnold 78' · 0.06 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 45' · 0.05 xGArda Güler 24' · 0.05 xGMartim Neto 58' · 0.04 xGTete Morente 7' · 0.04 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 84' · 0.04 xGKylian Mbappe-Lottin 60' · 0.03 xGArda Güler 61' · 0.02 xGGerman Valera 3' · 0.02 xGTete Morente 62' · 0.02 xGJude Bellingham 85' · 0.02 xGTete Morente 46' · 0.01 xGMatías Dituro 24' · 0.00 xGCarlos Espí 90' · 0.62 xG · goalAbiel Osorio 70' · 0.51 xG · goalKylian Mbappe-Lottin 32' · 0.36 xG · goalFernando Niño 82' · 0.07 xG · goal
Elche (attacking right)Real Madrid (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Elche1221.05
Real Madrid2023.56

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Real Madrid led on xG, 2.08 to 0.26. At full time, Real Madrid led on xG, 3.56 to 1.05. The widest gap was 2.51 xG to Real Madrid, in the 90th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.61.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Real Madrid 32 minGoal - Elche 70 minGoal - Elche 82 minGoal - Real Madrid 90 min
Elche 1.05 xGReal Madrid 3.56 xGdots = goals · 32 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Elche v Real Madrid?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Elche v Real Madrid was Away win (best price 1.23 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Elche and Real Madrid?
In their last 6 meetings, Elche won 0, Real Madrid won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Elche and Real Madrid?
Recent form — Elche 0W 2D 3L; Real Madrid 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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