Racing Santander v Valencia result

Full-time · Racing Santander 2–2 Valencia

La Liga · Sun, 11 Oct 2026 20:00 BST · Estadio El Sardinero

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 01:34 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Racing Santander · Valencia

The model’s pre-match pick

Racing Santander 2–2 Valencia — this La Liga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.30 at William Hill

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5130 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,909 of 2,555 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Valencia: 1.75 to 1.40 in expected goals, from 10 shots to 20, ahead on xG from the 93rd minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Racing Santander and Valencia drew 2–2 at Estadio El Sardinero in La Liga on Sunday 11 October.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Valencia: Dani Raba (2’, assisted by Justin de Haas) and David Otorbi (65’, assisted by Javi Guerra); Racing Santander: Mohamed Zabiri (32’, assisted by Iñigo Vicente) and Iván Martín (47’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with David Otorbi’s goal on 65 minutes.

Discipline

Luis Bestard Servera, Spain showed six yellow cards — against 5.5 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Racing Santander: Pablo Ramón (22’), Jorge Salinas (45+2’) and Iván Martín (90+2’); Valencia: Guido Rodríguez (45+2’), Dani Raba (45+4’) and Pablo Maffeo (72’).

What it changes

Racing Santander move down from 14th to 15th (eight league matches played). Racing Santander have scored 15 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Racing Santander have conceded 29 goals, the most of the 20 clubs.

Valencia stay 19th after this result (eight league matches played). Valencia have scored eight goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Valencia have conceded 17 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Racing Santander are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Iñigo Vicente (Racing Santander) 10.2, Javi Guerra (Valencia) 7.6 and David Otorbi (Valencia) 6.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Racing Santander or Valencia (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.6% of the time in the last 90 days (3983 of 5130).

Next up

Racing Santander next travel to Malaga on 7 November 2026.

Valencia next host Real Madrid on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Racing Santander: Malaga v Racing Santander, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Valencia: Valencia v Real Madrid, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Racing Santander 2–2 Valencia · La Liga
Venue: Estadio El Sardinero · Santander
Referee: Luis Bestard Servera, Spain
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Racing Santander 2W 0D 3L · Valencia 1W 0D 4L

Racing Santander 2–2 Valencia (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 0.88

Goals

against 2.75 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

4.13 / 4.75

Corners

against 8.38 / 4.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 3.13

Shots on target

against 6.75 / 4.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.38 / 2

Cards

against 2.38 / 2.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 20 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Racing Santander for / against	Line	Valencia for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	0.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.13 for · 8.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.75 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.63 for · 16.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.63 for · 14.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.5 for · 6.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.13 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.75 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.63 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.38 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Luis Bestard Servera, Spain.

Racing Santander

Racing Santander Goalkeeper

Racing Santander — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Julen Agirrezabala	7	90630 min	304.3 /90	213 /90	10.1 /90

Racing Santander — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Racing Santander before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Julen Agirrezabala n 7	90	4.3 6/6

Racing Santander Defensive

Racing Santander — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Jorge Salinas	6	90540 min	233.8 /90	81.3 /90	20.3 /90	467.7 /90	40.7 /90	20.3 /90
Álvaro Mantilla	6	85512 min	142.5 /90	50.9 /90	30.5 /90	234 /90	61.1 /90	20.4 /90
Manu Hernando	5	79397 min	51.1 /90	40.9 /90	40.9 /90	184.1 /90	51.1 /90	10.2 /90
Pablo Ramón	5	76382 min	153.5 /90	71.6 /90	10.2 /90	327.5 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90
Facundo González	3	77231 min	41.6 /90	51.9 /90	41.6 /90	103.9 /90	62.3 /90	10.4 /90
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Racing Santander — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Racing Santander before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Julen Agirrezabala n 7	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/1	—
Iñigo Vicente n 8	79.3	1.3 5/1	2 6/4	—
Sergio Canales n 7	72.4	0.9 4/1	1.6 6/3	—
M. Zabiri n 7	55.1	3 7/3	0.7 3/0	—
Jorge Salinas n 8	90	0.9 5/2	1.8 8/3	Pepelu
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Racing Santander — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Racing Santander before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Iñigo Vicente n 8	79.3	1.7 7/4
Sergio Canales n 7	72.4	1.2 4/2
M. Zabiri n 7	55.1	1.4 5/1
Jorge Salinas n 8	90	3.9 8/8
Álvaro Mantilla n 8	86.5	2.1 8/4
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Racing Santander Attacking

Racing Santander — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Zabiri	7	55386 min	61.4 /90	00 /90	92.1 /90	81.9 /90	20.5 /90	40.9 /90
Asier Villalibre	6	43257 min	00 /90	10.4 /90	31.1 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
Iker Luque	3	46137 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90	42.6 /90
G. Guliashvili	3	1751 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.8 /90
Juan Carlos Arana	1	5959 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Racing Santander — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Racing Santander before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Julen Agirrezabala n 7	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Iñigo Vicente n 8	79.3	0.7 3/2	0.3 2/0
Sergio Canales n 7	72.4	1.6 5/2	0.9 4/1
M. Zabiri n 7	55.1	2.1 3/3	1.9 3/3
Jorge Salinas n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
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Racing Santander — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Racing Santander before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Julen Agirrezabala n 7	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Iñigo Vicente n 8	79.3	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0
Sergio Canales n 7	72.4	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
M. Zabiri n 7	55.1	1.4 3/2	0 0/0
Jorge Salinas n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Valencia

Valencia Goalkeeper

Valencia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
S. Dimitrievski	7	90630 min	223.1 /90	131.9 /90	00 /90

Valencia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
S. Dimitrievski n 8	90	3.1 8/7

Valencia Defensive

Valencia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Pepelu	7	81568 min	121.9 /90	61 /90	30.5 /90	162.5 /90	40.6 /90	10.2 /90
Pablo Maffeo	6	55330 min	41.1 /90	51.4 /90	30.8 /90	154.1 /90	61.6 /90	10.3 /90
José Gayà	5	72360 min	143.5 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	225.5 /90	82 /90	10.3 /90
Jesús Vázquez	5	68339 min	92.4 /90	30.8 /90	10.3 /90	225.8 /90	61.6 /90	00 /90
César Tárrega	5	66330 min	102.7 /90	41.1 /90	10.3 /90	174.6 /90	61.6 /90	00 /90
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Valencia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Dimitrievski n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Pepelu n 8	82.3	0.5 3/1	0.3 2/0	Jorge Salinas
Javi Guerra n 8	81.8	0.4 2/1	1 4/2	—
A. Danjuma n 8	67.9	1 5/1	1.3 7/1	—
F. Ugrinic n 8	74.9	0.8 5/0	1.5 5/2	—
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Valencia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Pepelu n 8	82.3	1.6 7/3
Javi Guerra n 8	81.8	0.8 4/2
A. Danjuma n 8	67.9	0.3 2/0
F. Ugrinic n 8	74.9	1.4 4/2
Pablo Maffeo n 6	55	1.1 3/1
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Valencia Attacking

Valencia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Danjuma	7	75526 min	00 /90	00 /90	132.2 /90	50.9 /90	71.2 /90	101.7 /90
David Otorbi	5	52261 min	00 /90	00 /90	31 /90	10.3 /90	41.4 /90	20.7 /90
Hugo Duro	5	49245 min	00 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	31.1 /90	00 /90
U. Sadiq	3	53158 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	31.7 /90	31.7 /90	10.6 /90	21.1 /90
Luis Rioja	3	38114 min	10.8 /90	00 /90	21.6 /90	10.8 /90	21.6 /90	00 /90
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Valencia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Dimitrievski n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Pepelu n 8	82.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Javi Guerra n 8	81.8	1.2 4/3	0.3 2/0
A. Danjuma n 8	67.9	2.2 7/4	0.8 4/1
F. Ugrinic n 8	74.9	0.8 4/1	0.5 3/0
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Valencia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Dimitrievski n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Pepelu n 8	82.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Javi Guerra n 8	81.8	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
A. Danjuma n 8	67.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Ugrinic n 8	74.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Racing Santander		Valencia
54%	Possession	46%
1.28	Expected goals (xG)	1.80
20	Shots	10
11	Shots on target	2
5	Shots off target	6
4	Blocked shots	2
7	Shots inside the box	7
8	Corners	3
1	Offsides	1
15	Fouls	10
3	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
0	Saves	9
524	Passes	453
85%	Pass accuracy	77%

Racing Santander Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Iñigo Vicente	90	0	1	1	1	8	2	0	8.3
J. Belocian	90	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.6
Álvaro Mantilla	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Iván Martín	90	1	0	1	1	1	0	Y	7.9
Jorge Salinas	90	0	0	1	0	1	3	Y	6.3
Julen Agirrezabala	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
M. Prati	87	0	0	1	0	2	3	0	7.2
M. Zabiri	87	1	0	3	3	0	1	0	7.2
Sergio Canales	75	0	0	3	1	1	1	0	6.7
André Almeida	61	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	6.5
Pablo Ramón	61	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.3
Andrés Martín sub	29	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	6.5
Aarón Martín sub	29	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.2
Pablo García sub	15	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	6.7
Asier Villalibre sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
M. Gueye sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Valencia Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
S. Dimitrievski	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.6
J. de Haas	90	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	6.7
Hugo Duro	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6
José Gayà	90	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	6.5
Pepelu	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
G. Rodríguez	90	0	0	0	0	0	6	Y	7.3
Pablo Maffeo	86	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6
Javi Guerra	85	0	1	2	0	1	1	0	7.5
F. Ugrinic	58	0	0	0	0	1	5	0	6.9
Dani Raba	58	1	0	2	1	1	0	Y	7.2
M. Diakhaby	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
A. Danjuma sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
Harvey Elliott sub	32	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.5
David Otorbi sub	32	1	0	1	1	2	1	0	8
A. Dieng sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Arnau Martínez sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Racing Santander v Valencia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Racing SantanderWLWLL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 3.6 conceded per game

ValenciaLLLWL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Racing Santander#16 pos11 pts11 pl-14 GD

Valencia#19 pos9 pts11 pl-9 GD

Goals per game

Racing Santander scored1.36

Valencia scored0.73

Racing Santander conceded2.64

Valencia conceded1.55

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Racing Santander 1.40 xG from 20 shots, Valencia 1.75 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Racing Santander (attacking right)Valencia (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Racing Santander	20	2	1.40
Valencia	10	2	1.75

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Racing Santander 0.70, Valencia 0.82. At full time, Valencia led on xG, 1.75 to 1.40. The widest gap was 0.70 xG to Valencia, in the 22nd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Racing Santander 1.40 xGValencia 1.75 xGdots = goals · 30 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Racing Santander v Valencia?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Racing Santander v Valencia was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at William Hill).
What is the recent form of Racing Santander and Valencia?: Recent form — Racing Santander 2W 0D 3L; Valencia 1W 0D 4L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 01:34 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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