ValenciaGirona

Valencia v Girona result

Full-time · Valencia 2–1 Girona

La Liga · · Estadio de Mestalla

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Valencia 2–1 Girona — Valencia won this La Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,910 of 2,556 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Valencia: 2.31 to 1.39 in expected goals, from 12 shots to 7, ahead on xG from the 17th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Valencia beat Girona 2–1 at Estadio de Mestalla in La Liga on Saturday 25 April.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Valencia: Largie Ramazani (50’, assisted by Javi Guerra) and U. Sadiq (59’, assisted by José Gayà); Girona: Joel Roca (63’, assisted by Alejandro Francés).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Largie Ramazani’s goal on 50 minutes.

Discipline

A. Ruiz showed four yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Valencia: R. Saravia (38’) and Guido Rodríguez (90+9’); Girona: Álex Moreno (41’) and C. Stuani (90+2’).

What it changes

Valencia move up from 13th to 11th (33 league matches played). Valencia have scored 46 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Valencia have conceded 55 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Girona move down from 12th to 14th (33 league matches played). Girona have scored 39 goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Girona have conceded 55 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Girona are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Largie Ramazani (Valencia) 7.7, José Gayà (Valencia) 5.9 and Vitor Nunes (Girona) 5.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Valencia or Girona (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Valencia next host Real Madrid on 7 November 2026.

Girona next host Almeria on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Valencia: Valencia v Real Madrid, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Girona: Girona v Almeria, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Valencia 2–1 Girona · La Liga
  • Venue: Estadio de Mestalla · Valencia
  • Referee: A. Ruiz
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Valencia 1 · draws 1 · Girona 4 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Valencia 1W 1D 3L · Girona 2W 1D 2L

Valencia 2–1 Girona (La Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6 / 4.25
Corners
against 3.5 / 5.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 4 / 5.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.38
Cards
against 2.75 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.9 yellows
Referee · A. Ruiz
23.4 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameValencia for / againstLineGirona for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.25 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
13.5 for · 11.38 against n 8
19.5standard
11.88 for · 14.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
3.63 for · 5.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 13.38 against n 8
21.5standard
8.88 for · 13.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: A. Ruiz — 3.9 yellow cards a game, 0.4 red cards, 23.4 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Valencia

Valencia Goalkeeper

Valencia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Julen Agirrezabala19901710 min573 /90301.6 /9010.1 /90
S. Dimitrievski16901440 min412.6 /90191.2 /9010.1 /90
Valencia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Julen Agirrezabala n 890
2.14/3
S. Dimitrievski n 890
37/4

Valencia Defensive

Valencia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
César Tárrega27822201 min371.5 /90251 /90180.7 /901054.3 /90361.5 /9060.2 /90
José Gayà27792137 min562.4 /90190.8 /9050.2 /901004.2 /90271.1 /9060.3 /90
Copete24801916 min271.3 /90221 /90170.8 /90854 /90231.1 /9060.3 /90
Thierry Correia21651356 min291.9 /90161.1 /9000 /90755 /90281.9 /9050.3 /90
D. Foulquier15871309 min181.2 /9080.6 /9010.1 /90493.4 /90181.2 /9010.1 /90
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Valencia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Luis Rioja n 863.5
0.41/1
1.14/2
Iván Martín
Hugo Duro n 848.5
0.52/0
2.37/2
—
A. Danjuma n 852.1
0.93/1
1.13/1
—
César Tárrega n 869.6
1.66/3
0.83/1
D. Blind
José Gayà n 874.3
1.46/2
0.84/1
Arnau Martínez
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Valencia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Luis Rioja n 863.5
1.43/2
Hugo Duro n 848.5
0.93/1
A. Danjuma n 852.1
0.63/0
César Tárrega n 869.6
0.85/0
José Gayà n 874.3
2.67/5
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Valencia Attacking

Valencia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Hugo Duro30571697 min90.5 /9000 /90261.4 /90120.6 /90140.7 /9030.2 /90
A. Danjuma28601669 min30.2 /9020.1 /90281.5 /90150.8 /90140.8 /90271.5 /90
L. Beltrán25561404 min20.1 /9020.1 /90231.5 /90110.7 /90130.8 /90171.1 /90
L. Ramazani18621119 min40.3 /9010.1 /90302.4 /90171.4 /90151.2 /90171.4 /90
U. Sadiq1552780 min40.5 /9020.2 /90172 /9080.9 /9080.9 /90111.3 /90
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Valencia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Luis Rioja n 863.5
0.52/1
00/0
Hugo Duro n 848.5
1.44/2
0.52/0
A. Danjuma n 852.1
0.93/1
0.63/0
César Tárrega n 869.6
0.32/0
00/0
José Gayà n 874.3
0.53/0
0.32/0
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Valencia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valencia before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Luis Rioja n 863.5
00/0
0.21/0
Hugo Duro n 848.5
0.52/0
00/0
A. Danjuma n 852.1
00/0
00/0
César Tárrega n 869.6
00/0
00/0
José Gayà n 874.3
00/0
00/0
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Girona

Girona Goalkeeper

Girona — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
P. Gazzaniga30892658 min1073.6 /90421.4 /9000 /90
M. ter Stegen290180 min42 /9021 /9000 /90
V. Krapyvtsov268136 min42.6 /9053.3 /9000 /90
Girona — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Girona before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Gazzaniga n 890
4.56/6

Girona Defensive

Girona — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Vitor Nunes31872693 min381.3 /90250.8 /90371.2 /901374.6 /90311 /9070.2 /90
D. Blind29852467 min511.9 /90381.4 /90200.7 /901114 /90160.6 /9010 /90
Arnau Martínez27812175 min582.4 /90351.4 /90120.5 /901205 /90200.8 /9060.2 /90
Hugo Rincón26651690 min392.1 /9060.3 /9080.4 /901136 /90311.7 /9040.2 /90
Álex Moreno25852130 min321.4 /90210.9 /9090.4 /90954 /90231 /9040.2 /90
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Girona — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Girona before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Vitor Nunes n 890
1.35/3
0.85/1
—
Iván Martín n 847.5
0.52/0
0.94/0
Luis Rioja
P. Gazzaniga n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
D. Blind n 888
0.65/0
1.24/3
César Tárrega
Arnau Martínez n 883.3
0.73/1
0.42/1
José Gayà
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Girona — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Girona before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Vitor Nunes n 890
2.17/6
Iván Martín n 847.5
1.24/1
D. Blind n 888
1.36/3
Arnau Martínez n 883.3
1.88/3
V. Tsygankov n 888.8
0.43/0
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Girona Attacking

Girona — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
V. Vanat27742009 min90.4 /9010 /90231 /90180.8 /90120.5 /9090.4 /90
Portu951461 min00 /9000 /9061.2 /9051 /9010.2 /9000 /90
C. Stuani727191 min20.9 /9000 /9031.4 /9031.4 /9000 /9010.5 /90
Abel Ruiz631186 min00 /9010.5 /9021 /9010.5 /9031.5 /9010.5 /90
D. Camara23671 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9022.5 /9000 /90
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Girona — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Girona before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Vitor Nunes n 890
0.53/1
00/0
Iván Martín n 847.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
P. Gazzaniga n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Blind n 888
0.32/0
0.11/0
Arnau Martínez n 883.3
0.31/1
00/0
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Girona — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Girona before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Vitor Nunes n 890
00/0
00/0
Iván Martín n 847.5
00/0
00/0
P. Gazzaniga n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Blind n 888
00/0
00/0
Arnau Martínez n 883.3
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ValenciaGirona
37%Possession63%
1.40Expected goals (xG)1.56
12Shots7
3Shots on target4
4Shots off target2
5Blocked shots1
9Shots inside the box5
4Corners4
4Offsides3
22Fouls8
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves1
320Passes561
79%Pass accuracy86%

Valencia Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Dimitrievski9000000007.3
César Tárrega9000000006.7
Pepelu9000000407.3
José Gayà9001002107
Luis Rioja9000000307.2
G. Rodríguez90002101Y6.6
L. Ramazani8410111307.9
R. Saravia71000001Y6.6
U. Sadiq7110310106.9
Javi Guerra6501003006.6
L. Beltrán6500101206.7
F. Ugrinic sub2500002108.2
Diego López sub2500001206.9
Unai Núñez sub1900000006.9
Hugo Duro sub1900000106.3
André Almeida sub1500000006.3

Girona Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
P. Gazzaniga9000000007.2
Arnau Martínez9000110306.2
Vitor Nunes9000110406.9
Iván Martín9000000206.3
A. Witsel9000000207.5
V. Tsygankov9000001106.2
D. Blind6900000106.2
A. Ounahi6900000206.6
Álex Moreno61000000Y6.2
T. Lemar6100000407
C. Echeverri6100101006.3
Alejandro Francés sub2901001208.5
Joel Roca sub2910110007.6
Bryan Gil sub2900000206.9
Hugo Rincón sub2100000107.9
C. Stuani sub21002100Y6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Valencia v Girona — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ValenciaLWLLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
GironaWLWDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Valencia 1 · 1 draw · Girona 4 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2025-10-04 Girona 2–1 Valencia
  • 2025-03-15 Girona 1–1 Valencia
  • 2024-09-21 Valencia 2–0 Girona
  • 2024-05-19 Valencia 1–3 Girona
  • 2023-12-02 Girona 2–1 Valencia
  • 2023-02-05 Girona 1–0 Valencia
League standing · 2025/26
Valencia#9 pos49 pts38 pl-9 GD
Girona#19 pos41 pts38 pl-16 GD
Goals per game
Valencia scored1.21
Girona scored1.03
Valencia conceded1.45
Girona conceded1.45

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Valencia 2.31 xG from 12 shots, Girona 1.39 from 7. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Hugo Duro 96' · 0.66 xGCristhian Stuani 89' · 0.54 xGUmar Sadiq 18' · 0.52 xGHugo Duro 89' · 0.26 xGGuido Rodríguez 61' · 0.12 xGVitor Reis 93' · 0.08 xGViktor Tsygankov 93' · 0.08 xGUmar Sadiq 29' · 0.07 xGClaudio Echeverri 48' · 0.06 xGLargie Ramazani 44' · 0.06 xGLuis Rioja 46' · 0.05 xGLucas Beltrán 17' · 0.05 xGPepelu 17' · 0.04 xGGuido Rodríguez 70' · 0.03 xGArnau Martinez 55' · 0.02 xGCristhian Stuani 94' · 0.02 xGJoel Roca 62' · 0.58 xG · goalUmar Sadiq 58' · 0.39 xG · goalLargie Ramazani 49' · 0.07 xG · goal
Valencia (attacking right)Girona (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Valencia1222.31
Girona711.39

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Valencia led on xG, 0.74 to 0.00. At full time, Valencia led on xG, 2.31 to 1.39. The widest gap was 1.28 xG to Valencia, in the 61st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.31.200′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Valencia 49 minGoal - Valencia 58 minGoal - Girona 62 min
Valencia 2.31 xGGirona 1.39 xGdots = goals · 19 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Valencia v Girona?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Valencia v Girona was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Valencia and Girona?
In their last 6 meetings, Valencia won 1, Girona won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Valencia and Girona?
Recent form — Valencia 1W 1D 3L; Girona 2W 1D 2L.

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