Crystal PalaceMiddlesbrough

Crystal Palace v Middlesbrough result

Full-time · Crystal Palace 3–0 Middlesbrough

League Cup · · Selhurst Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Crystal Palace · Middlesbrough

The model’s pre-match pick

Crystal Palace 3–0 Middlesbrough — Crystal Palace won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.65 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Crystal Palace beat Middlesbrough 3–0 at Selhurst Park in the League Cup on Tuesday 8 September.

The goals

Crystal Palace led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Crystal Palace: Jørgen Strand Larsen (37’, assisted by Óscar Mingueza; 53’, assisted by Benjamin Chilwell) and Daichi Kamada (72’, assisted by Jørgen Strand Larsen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jørgen Strand Larsen’s goal on 37 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Crystal Palace 0.00, Middlesbrough 0.00, from 8 shots to 16 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

T. Harrington showed two yellow cards — against 2.9 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Middlesbrough: Adilson Malanda (65’) and Myles Peart-Harris (83’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jørgen Strand Larsen (Crystal Palace) 12.3, Óscar Mingueza (Crystal Palace) 8.4 and Benjamin Chilwell (Crystal Palace) 7.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.2% of the time in the last 90 days (369 of 549).

Next up

Crystal Palace next host Liverpool on 8 November 2026.

Middlesbrough next travel to Watford on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace v Liverpool, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Middlesbrough: Watford v Middlesbrough, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Crystal Palace 3–0 Middlesbrough · League Cup
  • Venue: Selhurst Park · London
  • Referee: T. Harrington
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Crystal Palace 0 · draws 0 · Middlesbrough 1 · 1 goals/game
  • Recent form: Crystal Palace 2W 0D 3L · Middlesbrough 3W 1D 1L

Crystal Palace 3–0 Middlesbrough (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 22 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.5
Goals
against 2.13 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
2.88 / 5.38
Corners
against 6.25 / 4.38 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 3.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 1
Cards
against 1.5 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCrystal Palace for / againstLineMiddlesbrough for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 2.13 against n 8
3our book
1.5 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
2.88 for · 6.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5.38 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
11.5 for · 16 against n 8
19.5standard
17 for · 10.88 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
9 for · 9.88 against n 8
21.5standard
10.13 for · 9 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: T. Harrington.

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace Goalkeeper

Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Henderson390270 min124 /9062 /9000 /90
Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Henderson n 890
3.15/5

Crystal Palace Defensive

Crystal Palace — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Richards390270 min51.7 /9041.3 /9031 /9093 /9010.3 /9000 /90
J. Canvot390270 min72.3 /9031 /9031 /90134.3 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Disasi253106 min54.2 /9043.4 /9021.7 /9097.6 /9010.8 /9000 /90
T. Tomiyasu24692 min11 /9043.9 /9000 /9032.9 /9011 /9000 /90
C. Riad17272 min11.3 /9011.3 /9000 /9033.8 /9022.5 /9000 /90
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Crystal Palace — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Wharton n 873.4
0.83/1
1.57/3
—
C. Richards n 882.4
0.54/0
0.11/0
—
D. Henderson n 890
00/0
00/0
—
J. Canvot n 890
00/0
0.84/2
—
D. Kamada n 874.9
0.94/1
1.76/3
—
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Crystal Palace — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Wharton n 873.4
2.67/4
C. Richards n 882.4
1.97/5
J. Canvot n 890
1.56/4
D. Kamada n 874.9
2.97/5
T. Mitchell n 882.4
2.97/7
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Crystal Palace Attacking

Crystal Palace — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Yeremy Pino364192 min00 /9000 /9041.9 /9000 /9052.3 /9000 /90
E. Nketiah356168 min00 /9010.5 /9042.1 /9021.1 /9042.1 /9021.1 /90
J. Strand Larsen345135 min00 /9000 /9021.3 /9010.7 /9000 /9010.7 /90
D. McNeil24385 min00 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
E. Guessand22754 min00 /9000 /9011.7 /9011.7 /9000 /9000 /90
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Crystal Palace — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Wharton n 873.4
0.93/2
0.52/1
C. Richards n 882.4
0.74/1
0.43/0
J. Canvot n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
D. Henderson n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Kamada n 874.9
0.21/0
00/0
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Crystal Palace — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Wharton n 873.4
0.21/0
00/0
D. Henderson n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Canvot n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Richards n 882.4
00/0
00/0
D. Kamada n 874.9
00/0
0.21/0
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Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough Goalkeeper

Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Vítek590450 min112.2 /9051 /9000 /90
S. Brynn290180 min63 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Vítek n 590
2.24/1
S. Brynn n 890
2.45/3

Middlesbrough Defensive

Middlesbrough — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Brittain782573 min91.4 /9040.6 /9020.3 /90325 /90121.9 /9010.2 /90
L. Ayling780558 min71.1 /9030.5 /9020.3 /90274.4 /9030.5 /9000 /90
A. Malanda690540 min101.7 /9081.3 /9050.8 /90325.3 /9040.7 /9010.2 /90
Neto Borges686513 min40.7 /9020.4 /9030.5 /90244.2 /9050.9 /9010.2 /90
Maximilian Arfsten658349 min153.9 /9030.8 /9000 /90379.5 /9041 /9000 /90
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Middlesbrough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Brittain n 882.9
1.67/3
0.32/0
—
L. Ayling n 881
0.42/1
0.86/0
—
Sebastian Berhalter n 776.1
1.25/2
0.73/1
—
W. Lankshear n 772.3
25/4
0.53/0
—
K. Joseph n 752.6
25/2
25/2
—
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Middlesbrough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Brittain n 882.9
1.46/2
L. Ayling n 881
1.47/2
Sebastian Berhalter n 776.1
2.46/4
W. Lankshear n 772.3
0.42/0
K. Joseph n 752.6
0.72/1
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Middlesbrough Attacking

Middlesbrough — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
W. Lankshear772506 min71.2 /9000 /90183.2 /90112 /9061.1 /9020.4 /90
K. Joseph753368 min10.2 /9000 /9082 /9041 /9061.5 /9041 /90
T. Conway23264 min00 /9000 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9011.4 /90
Sebastian Berhalter776533 min00 /9020.3 /9071.2 /9020.3 /90183 /9000 /90
M. Whittaker584421 min00 /9010.2 /90112.4 /9051.1 /90102.1 /9071.5 /90
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Middlesbrough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Brittain n 882.9
0.74/1
0.11/0
L. Ayling n 881
0.74/1
0.11/0
Sebastian Berhalter n 776.1
1.25/1
0.32/0
W. Lankshear n 772.3
3.26/5
25/4
K. Joseph n 752.6
23/2
13/1
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Middlesbrough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Brittain n 882.9
00/0
0.11/0
L. Ayling n 881
00/0
0.11/0
Sebastian Berhalter n 776.1
00/0
0.32/0
W. Lankshear n 772.3
1.25/2
00/0
K. Joseph n 752.6
0.21/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Crystal PalaceMiddlesbrough
41%Possession59%
8Shots16
5Shots on target4
1Shots off target6
2Blocked shots6
4Shots inside the box9
1Corners6
2Offsides3
10Fouls11
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Saves2
415Passes600
83%Pass accuracy90%

Crystal Palace Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Tomiyasu9000000207.2
H. Ahanor9000000208.2
B. Chilwell9001001607.9
Óscar Mingueza9001002607.6
W. Hughes9000000707.7
W. Benítez9000000007.3
J. Strand Larsen7321321009.7
A. Disasi7300000007.2
Yeremy Pino7300220307.3
D. Osorio5900000106.9
Q. Timber5900001206.9
D. Kamada sub3110110108
A. Wharton sub3100000106.9
Z. Gozo sub1700000206.3
J. Lerma sub1700000006.6
D. McNeil sub1700000106.6

Middlesbrough Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Brittain9000212106.6
L. Ayling9000101006
A. Jones9000000205.9
A. Cozier-Duberry9000322106.2
M. Peart-Harris90001030Y6.3
S. Brynn9000000006.9
A. Morris8400111307.6
A. Malanda77000000Y5.9
D. Strelec6700102006.9
T. Conway6700002006.5
S. Byram4500000106.3
Neto Borges sub4500000005.9
Leo Castledine sub2300000006.2
W. Lankshear sub2300001006.3
A. Phillips sub1300000006.6
R. Pukštas sub900101006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Crystal Palace v Middlesbrough — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Crystal PalaceLWLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
MiddlesbroughLWWDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Crystal Palace 0 · 0 draws · Middlesbrough 1 · 1 goals/game
  • 2018-10-31 Middlesbrough 1–0 Crystal Palace
Goals per game
Crystal Palace scored1.2
Middlesbrough scored1.8
Crystal Palace conceded2
Middlesbrough conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Crystal Palace v Middlesbrough?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Crystal Palace v Middlesbrough was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.65 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Crystal Palace and Middlesbrough?
In their last 1 meetings, Crystal Palace won 0, Middlesbrough won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Crystal Palace and Middlesbrough?
Recent form — Crystal Palace 2W 0D 3L; Middlesbrough 3W 1D 1L.

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