Manchester UnitedBrighton

Manchester United v Brighton result

Full-time · Manchester United 2–3 Brighton

League Cup · · Old Trafford

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Manchester United · Brighton · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Manchester United 2–3 Brighton — Brighton won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.57 at Unibet
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Brighton won 3–2 at Old Trafford in the League Cup on Wednesday 16 September. Brighton have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Brighton came from behind: Manchester United led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Manchester United: S. Lacey (8’, assisted by Youri Tielemans) and Mason Mount (9’); Brighton: Charalampos Kostoulas (45+1’, assisted by Jaouen Hadjam), Pascal Groß (65’, assisted by Luka Vušković) and Maxim De Cuyper (69’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Maxim De Cuyper’s goal on 69 minutes.

Discipline

F. Hallam showed four yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 23 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Brighton: José María Andrés Baixauli (43’), Jaouen Hadjam (59’), Yasin Ayari (85’) and Maxim De Cuyper (90+1’).

What it changes

Brighton are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Youri Tielemans (Manchester United) 8.4, S. Lacey (Manchester United) 8.0 and Pascal Groß (Brighton) 6.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Manchester United next host Aston Villa on 8 November 2026.

Brighton next host Brentford on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Manchester United: Manchester United v Aston Villa, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Brighton: Brighton v Brentford, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Manchester United 2–3 Brighton · League Cup
  • Venue: Old Trafford · Manchester
  • Referee: F. Hallam
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Manchester United 3 · draws 0 · Brighton 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Manchester United 2W 1D 2L · Brighton 3W 1D 1L

Manchester United 2–3 Brighton (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.75
over 8 matches
5.88 / 6
Corners
against 3.75 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6 / 6
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 3.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 13 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameManchester United for / againstLineBrighton for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.75our book
2.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 3.75 against n 8
9.5standard
6 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
19.5 for · 11.38 against n 8
19.5standard
19.5 for · 9.38 against n 8
Shots on target
6 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
6 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 10 against n 8
21.5standard
12.75 for · 9 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: F. Hallam.

Manchester United

Manchester United Goalkeeper

Manchester United — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. Lammens590450 min102 /9071.4 /9000 /90
Manchester United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Lammens n 890
2.36/3

Manchester United Defensive

Manchester United — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
H. Maguire490360 min20.5 /9051.3 /9020.5 /90215.3 /9071.8 /9020.5 /90
Lisandro Martínez490360 min51.3 /9010.3 /9020.5 /90143.5 /9030.8 /9000 /90
P. Dorgu457227 min114.4 /9020.8 /9020.8 /90218.3 /9093.6 /9020.8 /90
L. Shaw384252 min62.1 /9041.4 /9031.1 /90113.9 /9020.7 /9010.4 /90
Diogo Dalot383248 min31.1 /9031.1 /9000 /9082.9 /9062.2 /9010.4 /90
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Manchester United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Bruno Fernandes n 890
0.85/1
0.42/1
—
S. Lammens n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
B. Mbeumo n 875.1
0.42/1
0.63/1
—
Matheus Cunha n 883.4
1.36/3
1.67/4
—
Y. Tielemans n 571.8
0.31/0
1.83/2
P. Groß
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Manchester United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Bruno Fernandes n 890
15/3
B. Mbeumo n 875.1
0.62/1
Matheus Cunha n 883.4
1.16/2
Y. Tielemans n 571.8
12/2
K. Mainoo n 876.4
1.34/4
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Manchester United Attacking

Manchester United — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Matheus Cunha582410 min10.2 /9010.2 /90112.4 /9051.1 /9061.3 /9020.4 /90
Benjamin Šeško433130 min21.4 /9000 /9042.8 /9021.4 /9000 /9021.4 /90
J. Zirkzee12626 min00 /9000 /90310.4 /9026.9 /9000 /90310.4 /90
S. Lacey11818 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9015 /9000 /90
Bruno Fernandes590450 min40.8 /9010.2 /90112.2 /9071.4 /90132.6 /9030.6 /90
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Manchester United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Bruno Fernandes n 890
28/4
1.16/2
S. Lammens n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Mbeumo n 875.1
2.27/4
1.27/1
Matheus Cunha n 883.4
28/5
1.16/1
Y. Tielemans n 571.8
0.82/1
0.82/1
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Manchester United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Bruno Fernandes n 890
0.63/1
0.43/0
S. Lammens n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Mbeumo n 875.1
0.64/0
0.11/0
Matheus Cunha n 883.4
0.43/0
0.11/0
Y. Tielemans n 571.8
00/0
0.31/0
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Brighton

Brighton Goalkeeper

Brighton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Verbruggen690540 min111.8 /9050.8 /9000 /90
Brighton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Verbruggen n 890
2.13/3

Brighton Defensive

Brighton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Vušković688528 min71.2 /9071.2 /9020.3 /90417 /9050.9 /9010.2 /90
O. Boscagli688527 min30.5 /9061 /9010.2 /90193.2 /90111.9 /9010.2 /90
L. Dunk581405 min30.7 /9020.4 /9051.1 /90214.7 /9040.9 /9010.2 /90
F. Kadıoğlu486345 min20.5 /9010.3 /9000 /9071.8 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90
M. Wieffer473293 min92.8 /90103.1 /9041.2 /90247.4 /9030.9 /9000 /90
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Brighton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Groß n 890
1.16/3
00/0
Y. Tielemans
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
L. Vušković n 688
0.95/0
1.24/3
—
O. Boscagli n 888.4
1.45/3
1.47/4
—
D. Gómez n 871
14/2
0.32/0
—
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Brighton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Groß n 890
0.94/2
L. Vušković n 688
1.25/2
O. Boscagli n 888.4
0.95/2
D. Gómez n 871
1.96/4
C. Kostoulas n 864.1
1.15/1
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Brighton Attacking

Brighton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Kostoulas665392 min20.5 /9010.2 /90173.9 /9051.1 /9040.9 /9071.6 /90
I. Osman339117 min00 /9000 /9021.5 /9010.8 /9043.1 /9032.3 /90
G. Rutter284168 min00 /9010.5 /9031.6 /9010.5 /9042.1 /9031.6 /90
Z. Yohanna12424 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013.8 /9000 /90
P. Groß690540 min20.3 /9020.3 /90101.7 /9040.7 /90213.5 /9000 /90
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Brighton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Groß n 890
1.67/4
0.96/1
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Vušković n 688
1.46/2
0.53/0
O. Boscagli n 888.4
0.54/0
0.32/0
D. Gómez n 871
2.57/4
0.63/1
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Brighton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Groß n 890
0.32/0
0.31/1
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Vušković n 688
0.21/0
00/0
O. Boscagli n 888.4
0.11/0
00/0
D. Gómez n 871
00/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Manchester UnitedBrighton
42%Possession58%
12Shots18
4Shots on target5
7Shots off target8
1Blocked shots5
6Shots inside the box14
4Corners3
0Offsides2
5Fouls14
0Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
2Saves2
527Passes535

Manchester United Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Darlow9000000005.7
Diogo Dalot9000000205.9
Leny Yoro9000000306.2
A. Heaven9000001106.1
N. Mazraoui9000000606
Y. Tielemans9001401407.3
M. Rashford8000321105.8
M. Mount7310210307.2
Andrey Santos6600000206.2
S. Lacey6610110307.2
Benjamin Šeško6600000006
J. Zirkzee2400100006.1
B. Mbeumo2400001006.4
K. Mainoo2400000006.4
Bruno Fernandes1700102006.3
Matheus Cunha1000001006.5

Brighton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Vušković9001201206.9
P. Struijk9000001206.7
P. Groß9010315008.2
Costinha9000003006.3
José María Andrés Baixauli90001001Y6.5
Jason Steele9000000006.1
C. Kostoulas8210412007.8
J. Hadjam74010013Y6.6
O. Boscagli7400210206.4
M. Yalcouyé6600101006.2
M. O'Riley6600200106.4
M. De Cuyper24102100Y7
D. Gómez2400111105.9
Y. Ayari16000002Y6
F. Kadıoğlu1600000106.2
G. Rutter800000206.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Manchester United v Brighton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Manchester UnitedLWDWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
BrightonWWLDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 3.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Manchester United 3 · 0 draws · Brighton 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-05-24 Brighton 0–3 Manchester United
  • 2026-01-11 Manchester United 1–2 Brighton
  • 2025-10-25 Manchester United 4–2 Brighton
  • 2025-01-19 Manchester United 1–3 Brighton
  • 2024-08-24 Brighton 2–1 Manchester United
  • 2024-05-19 Brighton 0–2 Manchester United
Goals per game
Manchester United scored2.2
Brighton scored3.4
Manchester United conceded1.4
Brighton conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Manchester United v Brighton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Manchester United v Brighton was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.57 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between Manchester United and Brighton?
In their last 6 meetings, Manchester United won 3, Brighton won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Manchester United and Brighton?
Recent form — Manchester United 2W 1D 2L; Brighton 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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