Swansea v Birmingham result
Team pages: Swansea · Birmingham · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Swansea 0–1 Birmingham — Birmingham won this League Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 3.5 goals.
The result
Birmingham won 1–0 at Swansea.com Stadium in the League Cup on Saturday 8 August. Birmingham have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
Birmingham led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Birmingham: A. Priske (44’, assisted by Carlos Vicente).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Priske’s goal on 44 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Swansea 0.00, Birmingham 0.00, from 14 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
R. Ricardo showed two yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Swansea: M. Widell (21’) and Cameron Burgess (62’).
What it changes
Swansea sit 23rd on no points from one game with a goal difference of -1 (2026/27 so far).
Birmingham sit 10th on three points from one game with a goal difference of +1 (2026/27 so far).
Birmingham are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Carlos Vicente (Birmingham) 5.3, A. Priske (Birmingham) 5.1 and Bright Osayi-Samuel (Birmingham) 4.5 led the match.
Head-to-head
Birmingham are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Swansea, every meeting checked.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Under 3.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 72.4% of the time in the last 90 days (1232 of 1701).
Next up
Swansea next host West Brom on 21 November 2026.
Birmingham next travel to Stoke City on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Swansea: Swansea v West Brom, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Birmingham: Stoke City v Birmingham, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Swansea 0–1 Birmingham · League Cup
- Venue: Swansea.com Stadium · Swansea
- Referee: R. Ricardo
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Swansea 0 · draws 4 · Birmingham 2 · 3.33 goals/game
- Recent form: Swansea 3W 1D 1L · Birmingham 3W 2D 0L
Swansea 0–1 Birmingham (League Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 22 August 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Swansea for / against | Line | Birmingham for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 1.13 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.63 for · 7.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.63 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.75 for · 16.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.5 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.5 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.75 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9.13 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.25 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: R. Ricardo.
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Swansea | Birmingham | |
|---|---|---|
| 61% | Possession | 39% |
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 9 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 3 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 10 | Shots inside the box | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 467 | Passes | 296 |
| 75% | Pass accuracy | 65% |
Swansea Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Vigouroux | 96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| B. Cabango | 96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Tymon | 96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| E. Just | 96 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| Joseph Opoku | 96 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| C. Burgess | 88 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 7.3 |
| M. Stamenić | 82 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| F. Lissah | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Widell | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.9 |
| M. Yeo | 63 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Idah | 63 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| L. Walta sub | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| J. Fulton sub | 33 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Z. Vipotnik sub | 33 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| J. Key sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Eom Ji-Sung sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
Birmingham Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Beadle | 96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| B. Osayi-Samuel | 96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.5 |
| P. Neumann | 96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| C. Klarer | 96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| T. Iwata | 96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Solis | 96 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Carlos Vicente | 95 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Stansfield | 72 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| A. Priske | 72 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Paik Seung-Ho | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Cochrane | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| L. Buchanan sub | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| D. Gray sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| E. Laird sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| L. Vázquez sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| S. Wright sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Swansea v Birmingham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-01-17 Swansea 1–1 Birmingham
- 2025-09-20 Birmingham 1–0 Swansea
- 2024-01-13 Birmingham 2–2 Swansea
- 2023-08-05 Swansea 1–1 Birmingham
- 2023-02-04 Swansea 3–4 Birmingham
- 2022-11-08 Birmingham 2–2 Swansea
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Swansea v Birmingham?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Swansea v Birmingham was Under 3.5 goals (best price 1.37 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Swansea and Birmingham?
- In their last 6 meetings, Swansea won 0, Birmingham won 2 and there were 4 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Swansea and Birmingham?
- Recent form — Swansea 3W 1D 1L; Birmingham 3W 2D 0L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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