BlackpoolBurton Albion

Blackpool v Burton Albion result

Full-time · Blackpool 1–0 Burton Albion

League One ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Blackpool 1–0 Burton Albion — Blackpool won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Blackpool beat Burton Albion 1–0 in League One on Saturday 28 March.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Blackpool: Christopher Hamilton (90’, assisted by Leighton Clarkson).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Christopher Hamilton’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Blackpool 1.19, Burton Albion 0.05, from 9 shots to 1 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. Coy showed eight yellow cards — against 2.4 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Blackpool: Jordan Brown (15’), Ashley Fletcher (56’), F. Horsfall (64’), Leighton Clarkson (90+6’) and George Honeyman (90+7’); Burton Albion: Alex Hartridge (22’), Kgaogelo Chauke (68’) and Kyran Lofthouse (90+8’).

What it changes

Blackpool move up from 21st to 20th (40 league matches played). Blackpool have scored 54 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Blackpool have conceded 65 goals, the eighth-most of the 24 clubs.

Burton Albion move down from 17th to 18th (40 league matches played). Burton Albion have scored 50 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Burton Albion have conceded 60 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Blackpool are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Christopher Hamilton (Blackpool) 6.5, Joel Randall (Blackpool) 4.6 and Joshua Bowler (Blackpool) 3.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Blackpool or Burton Albion (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Blackpool next travel to AFC Wimbledon on 14 November 2026.

Burton Albion next travel to Milton Keynes Dons on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Blackpool: AFC Wimbledon v Blackpool, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Burton Albion: Milton Keynes Dons v Burton Albion, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Blackpool 1–0 Burton Albion · League One
  • Referee: M. Coy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Blackpool 3 · draws 1 · Burton Albion 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Blackpool 1W 2D 2L · Burton Albion 2W 1D 2L

Blackpool 1–0 Burton Albion (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 4.5
Corners
against 7.13 / 5.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 3.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 1.63
Cards
against 1 / 2.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.44 yellows
Referee · M. Coy
25 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBlackpool for / againstLineBurton Albion for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 7.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
9 for · 14.5 against n 8
19.5standard
9.5 for · 8.88 against n 8
Shots on target
2.13 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
3.5 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 10.25 against n 8
21.5standard
10.13 for · 11.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.88 for · 1 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 2.75 against n 8

Referee: M. Coy — 2.44 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 25 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Blackpool

Blackpool Goalkeeper

Blackpool — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Peacock-Farrell40893555 min1223.1 /90641.6 /9010 /90
Blackpool — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackpool before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Peacock-Farrell n 890
37/6

Blackpool Defensive

Blackpool — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
O. Casey40893541 min671.7 /90581.5 /90381 /902466.3 /90451.1 /9060.2 /90
C. Hamilton32642040 min361.6 /9080.4 /9060.3 /90853.8 /90160.7 /9010 /90
Z. Ashworth24741780 min532.7 /90211.1 /9080.4 /901648.3 /90351.8 /9060.3 /90
F. Horsfall22831815 min211 /90271.3 /90130.6 /901678.3 /90221.1 /9080.4 /90
A. Lyons1658924 min151.5 /9090.9 /90131.3 /90525.1 /90151.5 /9010.1 /90
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Blackpool — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackpool before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Peacock-Farrell n 890
00/0
0.42/1
—
O. Casey n 890
1.34/3
0.64/1
—
J. Brown n 888.1
1.17/2
0.64/1
K. Lofthouse
A. Fletcher n 877.6
14/2
0.95/1
J. Beesley
T. Bloxham n 844.5
2.55/3
1.83/3
J. Beesley
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Blackpool — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackpool before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Casey n 890
1.97/5
J. Brown n 888.1
2.27/5
A. Fletcher n 877.6
0.74/1
T. Bloxham n 844.5
1.35/0
C. Hamilton n 856
1.66/1
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Blackpool Attacking

Blackpool — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Fletcher39783027 min180.5 /9040.1 /90511.5 /90290.9 /90290.9 /90220.7 /90
T. Bloxham38602275 min60.2 /9040.2 /90281.1 /90150.6 /90210.8 /90230.9 /90
J. Brown40783134 min00 /9040.1 /90140.4 /9030.1 /90260.7 /90130.4 /90
G. Honeyman31792446 min20.1 /9040.1 /9090.3 /9050.2 /90261 /90150.6 /90
J. Bowler27601623 min20.1 /9040.2 /90231.3 /90110.6 /90251.4 /90231.3 /90
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Blackpool — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackpool before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Peacock-Farrell n 890
00/0
00/0
O. Casey n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
J. Brown n 888.1
0.32/0
00/0
A. Fletcher n 877.6
1.97/4
0.74/1
T. Bloxham n 844.5
0.83/0
0.31/0
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Blackpool — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackpool before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Peacock-Farrell n 890
00/0
00/0
O. Casey n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Brown n 888.1
00/0
0.11/0
A. Fletcher n 877.6
0.32/0
00/0
T. Bloxham n 844.5
00/0
0.31/0
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Burton Albion

Burton Albion Goalkeeper

Burton Albion — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Collins34903060 min902.6 /90451.3 /9010 /90
K. Dudek390270 min134.3 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Burton Albion — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Collins n 890
2.15/3

Burton Albion Defensive

Burton Albion — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Hartridge33862823 min511.6 /90411.3 /90210.7 /901665.3 /90220.7 /9030.1 /90
T. Sibbick32832642 min582 /90270.9 /9080.3 /901274.3 /90230.8 /9030.1 /90
J. Armer31792464 min451.6 /90250.9 /90160.6 /901354.9 /90190.7 /9040.1 /90
T. Vancooten19821549 min231.3 /90241.4 /9090.5 /901126.5 /90251.5 /9050.3 /90
K. Lofthouse40893563 min681.7 /90340.9 /9070.2 /902666.7 /90521.3 /9060.2 /90
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Burton Albion — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Lofthouse n 889.5
15/3
0.95/1
J. Brown
J. Beesley n 889.5
1.36/3
1.46/4
T. Bloxham
K. Chauke n 883.1
0.95/2
0.74/1
—
B. Collins n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
T. Shade n 885.4
0.94/3
0.53/1
—
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Burton Albion — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Lofthouse n 889.5
1.95/5
J. Beesley n 889.5
1.34/4
K. Chauke n 883.1
1.24/3
T. Shade n 885.4
0.31/1
A. Hartridge n 887.3
1.36/2
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Burton Albion Attacking

Burton Albion — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Beesley39893468 min130.3 /9080.2 /90671.7 /90290.8 /90360.9 /90100.3 /90
T. Shade34722457 min120.4 /9000 /90632.3 /90411.5 /90240.9 /90471.7 /90
Julian Larsson16631013 min00 /9020.2 /90121.1 /9030.3 /90141.2 /9070.6 /90
Fábio Tavares1655874 min30.3 /9010.1 /90111.1 /9070.7 /90121.2 /9030.3 /90
K. Adom850398 min00 /9010.2 /9071.6 /9030.7 /9051.1 /9010.2 /90
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Burton Albion — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Lofthouse n 889.5
0.85/1
0.32/0
J. Beesley n 889.5
1.58/3
15/3
K. Chauke n 883.1
0.43/0
0.11/0
B. Collins n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Shade n 885.4
2.17/6
1.47/3
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Burton Albion — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burton Albion before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Lofthouse n 889.5
0.11/0
00/0
J. Beesley n 889.5
0.11/0
0.32/0
K. Chauke n 883.1
00/0
00/0
B. Collins n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Shade n 885.4
0.42/1
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BlackpoolBurton Albion
52%Possession48%
1.19Expected goals (xG)0.05
9Shots1
4Shots on target1
1Shots off target0
4Blocked shots0
6Shots inside the box0
6Corners8
3Offsides1
14Fouls15
5Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Saves3
338Passes307
62%Pass accuracy63%

Blackpool Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Ravizzoli9000000006.6
F. Horsfall90000000Y7.2
J. Husband9000001007
J. Brown90001110Y6.7
G. Honeyman90000014Y6.9
C. Hamilton9010111207.6
J. Bowler7600000207.3
J. Randall7600111407.3
A. Fletcher76002111Y6.3
T. Bloxham5900000006.3
O. Casey4000000207.7
R. Walters sub5000000106.6
N. Ennis sub3100000106.3
H. Coulson sub1400000006.7
L. Clarkson sub14010010Y6.6
D. Taylor sub1400000006.3

Burton Albion Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Collins9000000006.6
U. Godwin-Malife9000000006.3
J. Moon9000000007
A. Hartridge90000001Y7.2
K. Lofthouse90001102Y6.3
T. Sibbick9000001106.5
J. Beesley9000000006.2
Sulyman Krubally8900000106.2
A. Cannon7000000206.6
K. Adom7000000006.5
G. Evans5000000106.3
K. Chauke sub40000002Y6.5
C. Webster sub2000000006.5
Fábio Tavares sub2000000006.3
J. McKiernan sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Blackpool v Burton Albion — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BlackpoolDLLWD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Burton AlbionDLWLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Blackpool 3 · 1 draw · Burton Albion 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2025-11-15 Burton Albion 1–0 Blackpool
  • 2025-02-08 Burton Albion 1–1 Blackpool
  • 2024-09-28 Blackpool 3–0 Burton Albion
  • 2024-08-13 Burton Albion 0–4 Blackpool
  • 2023-12-26 Burton Albion 1–0 Blackpool
  • 2023-08-05 Blackpool 2–0 Burton Albion
League standing · 2025/26
Blackpool#13 pos60 pts46 pl-11 GD
Burton Albion#17 pos54 pts46 pl-10 GD
Goals per game
Blackpool scored1.17
Burton Albion scored1.09
Blackpool conceded1.41
Burton Albion conceded1.3

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Blackpool v Burton Albion?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Blackpool v Burton Albion was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Blackpool and Burton Albion?
In their last 6 meetings, Blackpool won 3, Burton Albion won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Blackpool and Burton Albion?
Recent form — Blackpool 1W 2D 2L; Burton Albion 2W 1D 2L.

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