Blackpool v Burton Albion result
Team pages: Blackpool · Burton Albion · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Blackpool 1–0 Burton Albion — Blackpool won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Blackpool beat Burton Albion 1–0 in League One on Saturday 28 March.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Blackpool: Christopher Hamilton (90’, assisted by Leighton Clarkson).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Christopher Hamilton’s goal on 90 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Blackpool 1.19, Burton Albion 0.05, from 9 shots to 1 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
M. Coy showed eight yellow cards — against 2.4 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Blackpool: Jordan Brown (15’), Ashley Fletcher (56’), F. Horsfall (64’), Leighton Clarkson (90+6’) and George Honeyman (90+7’); Burton Albion: Alex Hartridge (22’), Kgaogelo Chauke (68’) and Kyran Lofthouse (90+8’).
What it changes
Blackpool move up from 21st to 20th (40 league matches played). Blackpool have scored 54 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Blackpool have conceded 65 goals, the eighth-most of the 24 clubs.
Burton Albion move down from 17th to 18th (40 league matches played). Burton Albion have scored 50 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Burton Albion have conceded 60 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Blackpool are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Christopher Hamilton (Blackpool) 6.5, Joel Randall (Blackpool) 4.6 and Joshua Bowler (Blackpool) 3.5 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Blackpool or Burton Albion (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).
Next up
Blackpool next travel to AFC Wimbledon on 14 November 2026.
Burton Albion next travel to Milton Keynes Dons on 14 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Blackpool: AFC Wimbledon v Blackpool, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Burton Albion: Milton Keynes Dons v Burton Albion, Saturday 14 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Blackpool 1–0 Burton Albion · League One
- Referee: M. Coy
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Blackpool 3 · draws 1 · Burton Albion 2 · 2.17 goals/game
- Recent form: Blackpool 1W 2D 2L · Burton Albion 2W 1D 2L
Blackpool 1–0 Burton Albion (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Blackpool for / against | Line | Burton Albion for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.38 for · 7.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.5 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 9 for · 14.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 9.5 for · 8.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 2.13 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.5 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.5 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.13 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.88 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.63 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: M. Coy — 2.44 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 25 fouls over 9 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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Blackpool
Blackpool Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Peacock-Farrell | 40 | 893555 min | 1223.1 /90 | 641.6 /90 | 10 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| B. Peacock-Farrell n 8 | 90 | 3 |
Blackpool Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Casey | 40 | 893541 min | 671.7 /90 | 581.5 /90 | 381 /90 | 2466.3 /90 | 451.1 /90 | 60.2 /90 |
| C. Hamilton | 32 | 642040 min | 361.6 /90 | 80.4 /90 | 60.3 /90 | 853.8 /90 | 160.7 /90 | 10 /90 |
| Z. Ashworth | 24 | 741780 min | 532.7 /90 | 211.1 /90 | 80.4 /90 | 1648.3 /90 | 351.8 /90 | 60.3 /90 |
| F. Horsfall | 22 | 831815 min | 211 /90 | 271.3 /90 | 130.6 /90 | 1678.3 /90 | 221.1 /90 | 80.4 /90 |
| A. Lyons | 16 | 58924 min | 151.5 /90 | 90.9 /90 | 131.3 /90 | 525.1 /90 | 151.5 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Peacock-Farrell n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| O. Casey n 8 | 90 | 1.3 | 0.6 | — |
| J. Brown n 8 | 88.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | K. Lofthouse |
| A. Fletcher n 8 | 77.6 | 1 | 0.9 | J. Beesley |
| T. Bloxham n 8 | 44.5 | 2.5 | 1.8 | J. Beesley |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| O. Casey n 8 | 90 | 1.9 |
| J. Brown n 8 | 88.1 | 2.2 |
| A. Fletcher n 8 | 77.6 | 0.7 |
| T. Bloxham n 8 | 44.5 | 1.3 |
| C. Hamilton n 8 | 56 | 1.6 |
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Blackpool Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Fletcher | 39 | 783027 min | 180.5 /90 | 40.1 /90 | 511.5 /90 | 290.9 /90 | 290.9 /90 | 220.7 /90 |
| T. Bloxham | 38 | 602275 min | 60.2 /90 | 40.2 /90 | 281.1 /90 | 150.6 /90 | 210.8 /90 | 230.9 /90 |
| J. Brown | 40 | 783134 min | 00 /90 | 40.1 /90 | 140.4 /90 | 30.1 /90 | 260.7 /90 | 130.4 /90 |
| G. Honeyman | 31 | 792446 min | 20.1 /90 | 40.1 /90 | 90.3 /90 | 50.2 /90 | 261 /90 | 150.6 /90 |
| J. Bowler | 27 | 601623 min | 20.1 /90 | 40.2 /90 | 231.3 /90 | 110.6 /90 | 251.4 /90 | 231.3 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| B. Peacock-Farrell n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| O. Casey n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| J. Brown n 8 | 88.1 | 0.3 | 0 |
| A. Fletcher n 8 | 77.6 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| T. Bloxham n 8 | 44.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| B. Peacock-Farrell n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| O. Casey n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| J. Brown n 8 | 88.1 | 0 | 0.1 |
| A. Fletcher n 8 | 77.6 | 0.3 | 0 |
| T. Bloxham n 8 | 44.5 | 0 | 0.3 |
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Burton Albion
Burton Albion Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Collins | 34 | 903060 min | 902.6 /90 | 451.3 /90 | 10 /90 |
| K. Dudek | 3 | 90270 min | 134.3 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| B. Collins n 8 | 90 | 2.1 |
Burton Albion Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hartridge | 33 | 862823 min | 511.6 /90 | 411.3 /90 | 210.7 /90 | 1665.3 /90 | 220.7 /90 | 30.1 /90 |
| T. Sibbick | 32 | 832642 min | 582 /90 | 270.9 /90 | 80.3 /90 | 1274.3 /90 | 230.8 /90 | 30.1 /90 |
| J. Armer | 31 | 792464 min | 451.6 /90 | 250.9 /90 | 160.6 /90 | 1354.9 /90 | 190.7 /90 | 40.1 /90 |
| T. Vancooten | 19 | 821549 min | 231.3 /90 | 241.4 /90 | 90.5 /90 | 1126.5 /90 | 251.5 /90 | 50.3 /90 |
| K. Lofthouse | 40 | 893563 min | 681.7 /90 | 340.9 /90 | 70.2 /90 | 2666.7 /90 | 521.3 /90 | 60.2 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lofthouse n 8 | 89.5 | 1 | 0.9 | J. Brown |
| J. Beesley n 8 | 89.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | T. Bloxham |
| K. Chauke n 8 | 83.1 | 0.9 | 0.7 | — |
| B. Collins n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| T. Shade n 8 | 85.4 | 0.9 | 0.5 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| K. Lofthouse n 8 | 89.5 | 1.9 |
| J. Beesley n 8 | 89.5 | 1.3 |
| K. Chauke n 8 | 83.1 | 1.2 |
| T. Shade n 8 | 85.4 | 0.3 |
| A. Hartridge n 8 | 87.3 | 1.3 |
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Burton Albion Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Beesley | 39 | 893468 min | 130.3 /90 | 80.2 /90 | 671.7 /90 | 290.8 /90 | 360.9 /90 | 100.3 /90 |
| T. Shade | 34 | 722457 min | 120.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 632.3 /90 | 411.5 /90 | 240.9 /90 | 471.7 /90 |
| Julian Larsson | 16 | 631013 min | 00 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 121.1 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 141.2 /90 | 70.6 /90 |
| Fábio Tavares | 16 | 55874 min | 30.3 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 111.1 /90 | 70.7 /90 | 121.2 /90 | 30.3 /90 |
| K. Adom | 8 | 50398 min | 00 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 71.6 /90 | 30.7 /90 | 51.1 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lofthouse n 8 | 89.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| J. Beesley n 8 | 89.5 | 1.5 | 1 |
| K. Chauke n 8 | 83.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| B. Collins n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| T. Shade n 8 | 85.4 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lofthouse n 8 | 89.5 | 0.1 | 0 |
| J. Beesley n 8 | 89.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| K. Chauke n 8 | 83.1 | 0 | 0 |
| B. Collins n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| T. Shade n 8 | 85.4 | 0.4 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Blackpool | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| 52% | Possession | 48% |
| 1.19 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.05 |
| 9 | Shots | 1 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 1 | Shots off target | 0 |
| 4 | Blocked shots | 0 |
| 6 | Shots inside the box | 0 |
| 6 | Corners | 8 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 338 | Passes | 307 |
| 62% | Pass accuracy | 63% |
Blackpool Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Ravizzoli | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| F. Horsfall | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7.2 |
| J. Husband | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| J. Brown | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.7 |
| G. Honeyman | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | Y | 6.9 |
| C. Hamilton | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.6 |
| J. Bowler | 76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| J. Randall | 76 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7.3 |
| A. Fletcher | 76 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Y | 6.3 |
| T. Bloxham | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| O. Casey | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.7 |
| R. Walters sub | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| N. Ennis sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| H. Coulson sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| L. Clarkson sub | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.6 |
| D. Taylor sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Burton Albion Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Collins | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| U. Godwin-Malife | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Moon | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| A. Hartridge | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 7.2 |
| K. Lofthouse | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.3 |
| T. Sibbick | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| J. Beesley | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Sulyman Krubally | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| A. Cannon | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| K. Adom | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| G. Evans | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| K. Chauke sub | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.5 |
| C. Webster sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Fábio Tavares sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. McKiernan sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Blackpool v Burton Albion — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-11-15 Burton Albion 1–0 Blackpool
- 2025-02-08 Burton Albion 1–1 Blackpool
- 2024-09-28 Blackpool 3–0 Burton Albion
- 2024-08-13 Burton Albion 0–4 Blackpool
- 2023-12-26 Burton Albion 1–0 Blackpool
- 2023-08-05 Blackpool 2–0 Burton Albion
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Blackpool v Burton Albion?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Blackpool v Burton Albion was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Blackpool and Burton Albion?
- In their last 6 meetings, Blackpool won 3, Burton Albion won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Blackpool and Burton Albion?
- Recent form — Blackpool 1W 2D 2L; Burton Albion 2W 1D 2L.
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