Cardiff v Rotherham result

Full-time · Cardiff 3–0 Rotherham

League One · Sat, 16 Aug 2025 15:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Cardiff · Rotherham · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Cardiff 3–0 Rotherham — Cardiff won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Cardiff beat Rotherham 3–0 in League One on Saturday 16 August.

Cardiff have scored 90 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games).

The goals

Cardiff led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Cardiff: Yousef Salech (43’, assisted by David Turnbull), Cian Ashford (55’, assisted by David Turnbull) and Rubin Colwill (60’, assisted by Yousef Salech).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Yousef Salech’s goal on 43 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Cardiff 0.00, Rotherham 0.00, from 13 shots to 1 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

T. Parsons showed five yellow cards — against 3.1 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Cardiff: D. Mafico (32’) and Joel Bagan (51’); Rotherham: Ar'jany Martha (20’), Lenny Agbaire (38’) and Sean Raggett (68’).

What it changes

Cardiff move down from first to second (three league matches played). Cardiff have conceded 50 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games).

Rotherham move down from 13th to 18th (three league matches played). Rotherham have scored 41 goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Rotherham have conceded 71 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Cardiff’s three-goal margin was the biggest of round 3, across 12 matches. Cardiff are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Rotherham are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Rotherham have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Yousef Salech (Cardiff) 8.9, David Turnbull (Cardiff) 8.6 and Rubin Colwill (Cardiff) 5.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Cardiff or Rotherham (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Cardiff next travel to Norwich on 21 November 2026.

Rotherham next host Crawley Town on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cardiff: Norwich v Cardiff, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Rotherham: Rotherham v Crawley Town, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Cardiff 3–0 Rotherham · League One
Referee: T. Parsons
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Cardiff 4 · draws 1 · Rotherham 1 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Cardiff 2W 2D 1L · Rotherham 2W 2D 1L

Cardiff 3–0 Rotherham (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.13

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6.43 / 4.33

Corners

against 3.29 / 4.17 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 6 matches

4.86 / 2.5

Shots on target

against 3.43 / 5.17 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 6 matches

1.57 / 1.5

Cards

against 2.14 / 2.17 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 6 matches

3.1 yellows

Referee · T. Parsons

21 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 10 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Cardiff for / against	Line	Rotherham for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.43 for · 3.29 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	4.33 for · 4.17 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	15.43 for · 12 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	10.5 for · 14.83 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	4.86 for · 3.43 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	2.5 for · 5.17 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.86 for · 12.57 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	11 for · 11.17 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	1.57 for · 2.14 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.5 for · 2.17 against n 6 Last 5

Referee: T. Parsons — 3.1 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 21 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Cardiff

Cardiff Defensive

Cardiff — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Kpakio n 8	72.9	1.2 5/2	1.4 5/3	R. James
R. Wintle n 8	74	1.1 4/2	0.8 4/1	—
Joel Bagan n 8	81.8	1 5/2	0.7 4/1	—
R. Colwill n 8	67.4	1 5/1	1.5 5/3	—
W. Fish n 8	82.4	0.7 4/1	0.4 3/0	R. James
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Cardiff — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Kpakio n 8	72.9	2.6 7/5
Joel Bagan n 8	81.8	1.5 5/4
R. Wintle n 8	74	1.2 5/2
R. Colwill n 8	67.4	1.3 4/1
W. Fish n 8	82.4	0.4 3/0
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Cardiff Attacking

Cardiff — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Wintle n 8	74	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0
Joel Bagan n 8	81.8	0.3 1/1	0.3 1/1
R. Kpakio n 8	72.9	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
R. Colwill n 8	67.4	2 4/3	1 3/3
W. Fish n 8	82.4	0.8 4/1	0.1 1/0
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Cardiff — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Kpakio n 8	72.9	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Joel Bagan n 8	81.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Wintle n 8	74	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Colwill n 8	67.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
W. Fish n 8	82.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Rotherham

Rotherham Defensive

Rotherham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Powell n 8	90	1.6 8/3	1.3 6/3	—
R. James n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.4 3/0	W. Fish
J. Rafferty n 8	89.3	0.4 3/0	0.8 6/0	—
C. Dawson n 8	89	0 0/0	0.5 4/0	—
S. Nombe n 8	77.8	0.9 5/1	0.7 4/1	—
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Rotherham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. James n 8	90	2.5 6/6
J. Rafferty n 8	89.3	1.3 6/3
J. Powell n 8	90	1.1 7/2
C. Dawson n 8	89	0 0/0
S. Nombe n 8	77.8	0.3 2/0
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Rotherham Attacking

Rotherham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Powell n 8	90	1.3 5/4	0.1 1/0
J. Rafferty n 8	89.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
R. James n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
C. Dawson n 8	89	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Nombe n 8	77.8	1.3 6/2	1 5/2
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Rotherham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Powell n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
R. James n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
J. Rafferty n 8	89.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
C. Dawson n 8	89	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Nombe n 8	77.8	0.9 5/1	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Cardiff		Rotherham
76%	Possession	24%
13	Shots	1
6	Shots on target	1
4	Shots off target	0
3	Blocked shots	0
12	Shots inside the box	0
7	Corners	0
1	Offsides	2
16	Fouls	15
2	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	3
658	Passes	211
91%	Pass accuracy	64%

Cardiff Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
N. Trott	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
W. Fish	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.7
D. Lawlor	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.9
D. Turnbull	90	0	2	1	0	4	1	0	7.6
R. Wintle	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.7
O. Tanner	90	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	6.7
R. Kpakio	88	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
Y. Salech	82	1	1	4	2	2	0	0	8.3
Cian Ashford	81	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	7.7
R. Colwill	81	1	0	4	3	0	0	0	7.3
D. Mafico	36	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2
Joel Bagan sub	55	0	0	0	0	1	0	Y	7
J. Colwill sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
I. Davies sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
C. Robinson sub	9	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.9
C. Chambers sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9

Rotherham Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	Tkl	Cards	Rating
C. Dawson	90	0	0	0	0	6.9
D. Hall	90	0	0	3	0	6.2
S. Raggett	90	0	0	3	Y	6.5
Z. Jules	90	0	0	1	0	6.2
R. James	90	0	0	1	0	6
Daniel Gore	90	0	0	1	0	6.2
J. Hugill	90	0	0	0	0	6.5
D. Yearwood	75	0	0	3	0	6.7
A. Martha	75	0	0	1	Y	6.7
L. Kelly	60	0	0	2	0	6.6
L. Agbaire	45	0	0	1	Y	6.5
Marvin Marvellous Kaleta sub	45	1	1	2	0	6.2
J. Holmes sub	31	0	0	2	0	6.9
James Clarke sub	16	0	0	0	0	6.3
C. McGuckin sub	16	0	0	1	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cardiff v Rotherham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

CardiffDLWDW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

RotherhamDWWLD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Cardiff 4 · 1 draw · Rotherham 1 · 3 goals/game

2024-05-04 Rotherham 5–2 Cardiff
2023-09-30 Cardiff 2–0 Rotherham
2023-04-27 Rotherham 1–2 Cardiff
2022-10-29 Cardiff 1–0 Rotherham
2021-05-08 Cardiff 1–1 Rotherham
2021-02-09 Rotherham 1–2 Cardiff

League standing · 2025/26

Cardiff#2 pos91 pts46 pl+40 GD

Rotherham#23 pos41 pts46 pl-30 GD

Goals per game

Cardiff scored1.96

Rotherham scored0.89

Cardiff conceded1.09

Rotherham conceded1.54

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Cardiff v Rotherham?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Cardiff v Rotherham was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Cardiff and Rotherham?: In their last 6 meetings, Cardiff won 4, Rotherham won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cardiff and Rotherham?: Recent form — Cardiff 2W 2D 1L; Rotherham 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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