DoncasterRotherham

Doncaster v Rotherham result

Full-time · Doncaster 1–0 Rotherham

League One ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Doncaster · Rotherham · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Doncaster 1–0 Rotherham — Doncaster won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.5% of 1761 landed (95% range 74.5–78.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Doncaster beat Rotherham 1–0 in League One on Saturday 30 August.

The goals

Doncaster led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Doncaster: Owen Bailey (25’, assisted by James Maxwell).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Owen Bailey’s goal on 25 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Doncaster 0.00, Rotherham 0.00, from 13 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Elliot Bell, England showed four yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Doncaster: George Broadbent (73’), D. Ajayi (85’) and Jack Senior (87’); Rotherham: K. Etete (12’).

What it changes

Doncaster move up from seventh to second (six league matches played). Doncaster have scored 50 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Doncaster have conceded 69 goals, the sixth-most of the 24 clubs.

Rotherham move down from 17th to 18th (five league matches played). Rotherham have scored 41 goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Rotherham have conceded 71 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Doncaster have won their last three matches in all competitions. Rotherham are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Doncaster have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Owen Bailey (Doncaster) 8.5, James Maxwell (Doncaster) 6.7 and C. O'Riordan (Doncaster) 6.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Doncaster or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1348 of 1761).

Next up

Doncaster next host Leyton Orient on 14 November 2026.

Rotherham next host Crawley Town on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Doncaster: Doncaster v Leyton Orient, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Rotherham: Rotherham v Crawley Town, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Doncaster 1–0 Rotherham · League One
  • Referee: Elliot Bell, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Doncaster 1 · draws 1 · Rotherham 3 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Doncaster 3W 1D 1L · Rotherham 0W 2D 3L

Doncaster 1–0 Rotherham (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1
Goals
against 0.63 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 4
Corners
against 4.38 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
3 / 3.83
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.63 / 2.17
Cards
against 1.5 / 2.67 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
3.5 yellows
Referee · Elliot Bell, England
23 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameDoncaster for / againstLineRotherham for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 0.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.75 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 4.5 against n 6
Shots
12 for · 9.5 against n 8
19.5standard
10.67 for · 13.5 against n 6
Shots on target
3 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.83 for · 4 against n 6
Fouls committed
11.88 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
12.83 for · 11.33 against n 6
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.17 for · 2.67 against n 6

Referee: Elliot Bell, England — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 23 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Doncaster

Doncaster Defensive

Doncaster — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Bailey n 873.6
0.82/2
1.25/3
—
G. Middleton n 752.3
0.73/0
0.21/0
—
L. Molyneux n 876.1
0.32/0
1.55/5
—
B. Sharp n 856.1
1.45/1
2.65/4
—
J. Senior n 863.9
1.15/1
1.45/2
—
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Doncaster — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Bailey n 873.6
1.45/1
G. Middleton n 752.3
0.52/0
L. Molyneux n 876.1
0.93/1
B. Sharp n 856.1
0.21/0
J. Senior n 863.9
1.24/1
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Doncaster Attacking

Doncaster — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Bailey n 873.6
1.25/2
0.63/1
G. Middleton n 752.3
0.52/0
0.21/0
L. Molyneux n 876.1
14/2
0.31/1
B. Sharp n 856.1
1.25/1
0.42/0
J. Senior n 863.9
0.52/1
0.21/0
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Doncaster — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Bailey n 873.6
0.63/1
0.21/0
G. Middleton n 752.3
00/0
0.52/0
L. Molyneux n 876.1
0.11/0
0.32/0
B. Sharp n 856.1
0.42/0
0.21/0
J. Senior n 863.9
00/0
00/0
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Rotherham

Rotherham Defensive

Rotherham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. James n 890
0.64/1
0.32/0
—
C. Dawson n 889
00/0
0.43/0
—
D. Hall n 584.6
1.33/2
1.54/2
—
J. Hugill n 853.8
3.68/6
2.16/2
—
Daniel Gore n 860.1
1.76/2
2.16/2
—
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Rotherham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. James n 890
1.96/5
C. Dawson n 889
00/0
D. Hall n 584.6
1.94/3
J. Hugill n 853.8
0.41/1
Daniel Gore n 860.1
0.74/0
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Rotherham Attacking

Rotherham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. James n 890
0.11/0
00/0
C. Dawson n 889
00/0
00/0
D. Hall n 584.6
0.93/1
0.21/0
J. Hugill n 853.8
1.54/3
0.63/0
Daniel Gore n 860.1
0.42/0
0.21/0
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Rotherham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. James n 890
00/0
0.32/0
C. Dawson n 889
00/0
00/0
D. Hall n 584.6
00/0
00/0
J. Hugill n 853.8
00/0
00/0
Daniel Gore n 860.1
00/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
DoncasterRotherham
58%Possession42%
13Shots14
3Shots on target3
7Shots off target4
3Blocked shots7
7Shots inside the box7
2Corners6
3Offsides2
12Fouls13
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves2
400Passes285
77%Pass accuracy61%

Doncaster Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Lo-Tutala9000000007.9
T. Nixon9000101106.9
C. O'Riordan9000000508.2
M. Pearson9000000207.3
O. Bailey9010320208
G. Broadbent90001012Y6.9
J. Maxwell8501002207.5
G. Middleton8400312207.5
B. Sharp8400001006.6
H. Clifton6900101106.3
J. Gibson6900000306.6
B. Close sub2100000006.7
D. Ajayi sub21001020Y6.5
J. McGrath sub1100000006.7
B. Hanlan sub1100000006.2
J. Senior sub10000010Y6.9

Rotherham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Dawson9000000006.7
D. Hall9000001207
R. James9000000106.6
A. Martha9000211206.3
J. Powell9000004006.6
D. Yearwood9000001106.9
S. McWilliams9000110206.3
K. Etete89000001Y6
J. Rafferty7100000106.2
Z. Jules7100000006.2
Martin Sherif4500211206.3
Marvin Marvellous Kaleta sub4500100306.6
J. Baptiste sub1900000206.9
J. Hugill sub1900100006.2
C. McGuckin sub10000100–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Doncaster v Rotherham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
DoncasterWDLWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
RotherhamLDLDL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Doncaster 1 · 1 draw · Rotherham 3 · 3 goals/game
  • 2022-02-01 Doncaster 0–5 Rotherham
  • 2021-08-28 Rotherham 2–0 Doncaster
  • 2019-09-07 Doncaster 2–1 Rotherham
  • 2018-02-24 Rotherham 2–1 Doncaster
  • 2017-11-11 Doncaster 1–1 Rotherham
League standing · 2025/26
Doncaster#14 pos60 pts46 pl-19 GD
Rotherham#23 pos41 pts46 pl-30 GD
Goals per game
Doncaster scored1.09
Rotherham scored0.89
Doncaster conceded1.5
Rotherham conceded1.54

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Doncaster v Rotherham?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Doncaster v Rotherham was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Doncaster and Rotherham?
In their last 5 meetings, Doncaster won 1, Rotherham won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Doncaster and Rotherham?
Recent form — Doncaster 3W 1D 1L; Rotherham 0W 2D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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