Leicester v Oxford United result
Team pages: Leicester · Oxford United
The model’s pre-match pick
Leicester 0–4 Oxford United — Oxford United won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Oxford United won 4–0 at King Power Stadium in League One on Saturday 5 September.
The goals
Oxford United led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Oxford United: Mark Harris (8’, assisted by M. Missanga; 60’, assisted by Kai Andrews), M. Missanga (57’, assisted by Kai Andrews) and Jamie Carson McDonnell (77’, assisted by Luka Lynch).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with M. Missanga’s goal on 57 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Leicester 1.03, Oxford United 2.31, from 14 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
D. Whitestone showed two yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Leicester: E. Riis (49’); Oxford United: Kai Andrews (34’).
What it changes
Leicester move down from 10th to 16th (five league matches played). Leicester have scored 22 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). Leicester have conceded 19 goals, the 12th-fewest of the 24 clubs.
Oxford United move up from 13th to eighth (four league matches played). Oxford United have scored 22 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). Oxford United have conceded 11 goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Mark Harris (Oxford United) 9.3, Jamie Carson McDonnell (Oxford United) 9.2 and M. Missanga (Oxford United) 8.9 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Leicester or Oxford United (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).
Next up
Leicester next travel to Oxford City on 6 November 2026.
Oxford United next host Stevenage on 7 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Leicester: Oxford City v Leicester, Friday 6 November — the preview. Next for Oxford United: Oxford United v Stevenage, Saturday 7 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Leicester 0–4 Oxford United · League One
- Venue: King Power Stadium · Leicester, Leicestershire
- Referee: D. Whitestone
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 2): Leicester 0 · draws 1 · Oxford United 1 · 3.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Leicester 1W 2D 2L · Oxford United 1W 1D 3L
Leicester 0–4 Oxford United (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Leicester for / against | Line | Oxford United for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.88 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.25 for · 7 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 16 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.88 for · 16.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.13 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.5 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9.63 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.63 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.13 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: D. Whitestone.
Leicester
Leicester Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Stolarczyk | 3 | 93279 min | 92.9 /90 | 31 /90 | 00 /90 |
| A. McCarthy | 3 | 88264 min | 93.1 /90 | 31 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Stolarczyk n 8 | 92.1 | 2 |
| A. McCarthy n 3 | 88 | 3.1 |
Leicester Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Thomas | 6 | 89536 min | 101.7 /90 | 61 /90 | 30.5 /90 | 233.9 /90 | 30.5 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| H. Souttar | 5 | 92459 min | 61.2 /90 | 61.2 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 265.1 /90 | 71.4 /90 | 20.4 /90 |
| Jayden Joseph | 5 | 73363 min | 51.2 /90 | 41 /90 | 00 /90 | 205 /90 | 41 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| C. Okoli | 3 | 93279 min | 41.3 /90 | 41.3 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 165.2 /90 | 31 /90 | 00 /90 |
| C. McFarlane | 3 | 90270 min | 51.7 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 196.3 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Braybrooke n 7 | 80.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 | — |
| L. Thomas n 8 | 89.5 | 0.4 | 1.1 | — |
| B. De Cordova-Reid n 8 | 65.3 | 1.4 | 0.5 | — |
| Wes Burns n 6 | 46 | 2 | 1.3 | — |
| H. Souttar n 8 | 90.3 | 1 | 0.4 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Braybrooke n 7 | 80.7 | 1.6 |
| L. Thomas n 8 | 89.5 | 1.8 |
| B. De Cordova-Reid n 8 | 65.3 | 0.5 |
| Wes Burns n 6 | 46 | 0.7 |
| H. Souttar n 8 | 90.3 | 1 |
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Leicester Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. De Cordova-Reid | 6 | 64386 min | 00 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 102.3 /90 | 30.7 /90 | 51.2 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| Wes Burns | 6 | 46276 min | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 31 /90 | 10.3 /90 |
| T. Watson | 5 | 53265 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 82.7 /90 | 41.4 /90 | 62 /90 | 31 /90 |
| A. Bristrić | 4 | 56222 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 31.2 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 41.6 /90 | 20.8 /90 |
| S. Braybrooke | 6 | 92549 min | 00 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 81.3 /90 | 30.5 /90 | 142.3 /90 | 61 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Braybrooke n 7 | 80.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| L. Thomas n 8 | 89.5 | 0 | 0 |
| B. De Cordova-Reid n 8 | 65.3 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| Wes Burns n 6 | 46 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| H. Souttar n 8 | 90.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Braybrooke n 7 | 80.7 | 0 | 0.2 |
| L. Thomas n 8 | 89.5 | 0 | 0.3 |
| B. De Cordova-Reid n 8 | 65.3 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Wes Burns n 6 | 46 | 0.3 | 0 |
| H. Souttar n 8 | 90.3 | 0.1 | 0 |
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Oxford United
Oxford United Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cumming | 2 | 93185 min | 52.4 /90 | 41.9 /90 | 00 /90 |
| S. Eastwood | 2 | 86171 min | 73.7 /90 | 42.1 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Cumming n 8 | 90.6 | 2.6 |
| S. Eastwood n 8 | 83.3 | 3 |
Oxford United Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brown | 4 | 91365 min | 20.5 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 61.5 /90 | 225.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| J. Currie | 4 | 91363 min | 143.5 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 266.4 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| S. Long | 3 | 92275 min | 31 /90 | 51.6 /90 | 72.3 /90 | 144.6 /90 | 51.6 /90 | 10.3 /90 |
| B. Spencer | 3 | 78234 min | 72.7 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 186.9 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
| P. Kioso | 2 | 55109 min | 43.3 /90 | 43.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 108.3 /90 | 32.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brannagan n 8 | 79.8 | 0.6 | 1 | — |
| C. Brown n 8 | 90.6 | 0.1 | 0.9 | — |
| J. Currie n 8 | 82.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | — |
| M. Harris n 8 | 62.1 | 2.5 | 1.6 | — |
| S. Dembélé n 8 | 54.8 | 1.2 | 3.9 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Brannagan n 8 | 79.8 | 0.7 |
| C. Brown n 8 | 90.6 | 0.5 |
| J. Currie n 8 | 82.3 | 2.9 |
| M. Harris n 8 | 62.1 | 0.9 |
| S. Dembélé n 8 | 54.8 | 1.2 |
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Oxford United Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Harris | 4 | 89354 min | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 30.8 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 20.5 /90 |
| G. O'Donkor | 4 | 28112 min | 21.6 /90 | 10.8 /90 | 21.6 /90 | 21.6 /90 | 10.8 /90 | 10.8 /90 |
| L. Snowden | 1 | 2727 min | 00 /90 | 13.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 13.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| A. Elliott-Wheeler | 1 | 2121 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 14.3 /90 |
| C. Brannagan | 4 | 91365 min | 10.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 41 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 30.7 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brannagan n 8 | 79.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| C. Brown n 8 | 90.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| J. Currie n 8 | 82.3 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Harris n 8 | 62.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| S. Dembélé n 8 | 54.8 | 0.6 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brown n 8 | 90.6 | 0.1 | 0 |
| C. Brannagan n 8 | 79.8 | 0.1 | 0 |
| J. Currie n 8 | 82.3 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Harris n 8 | 62.1 | 0.2 | 0 |
| S. Dembélé n 8 | 54.8 | 0 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Leicester | Oxford United | |
|---|---|---|
| 63% | Possession | 37% |
| 1.03 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.31 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 7 | Shots off target | 3 |
| 2 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 11 | Shots inside the box | 7 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 521 | Passes | 307 |
| 88% | Pass accuracy | 81% |
Leicester Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McCarthy | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Jayden Joseph | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6.2 |
| H. Souttar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| L. Thomas | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| L. Page | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| S. Braybrooke | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| E. Riis | 69 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.3 |
| C. McFarlane | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Wes Burns | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| W. Alves | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| B. De Cordova-Reid | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| K. Doyle sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| T. Watson sub | 34 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| H. Howell sub | 34 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| O. Aluko sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| A. Bristrić sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
Oxford United Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Eastwood | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| M. Helik | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| C. Brown | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| B. Spencer | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Jamie Carson McDonnell | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| Kai Andrews | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | Y | 7.3 |
| P. Kioso | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| C. Brannagan | 81 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| S. Dembélé | 70 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| M. Harris | 70 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8.9 |
| M. Missanga | 61 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9.2 |
| J. Currie | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| L. Lynch sub | 29 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| G. O'Donkor sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| T. Goodrham sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| L. Sibley sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Currie sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Leicester v Oxford United — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-01-24 Leicester 1–2 Oxford United
- 2025-09-13 Oxford United 2–2 Leicester
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Leicester v Oxford United?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Leicester v Oxford United was Home or Away (best price 1.28 at Bet365).
- What is the head-to-head record between Leicester and Oxford United?
- In their last 2 meetings, Leicester won 0, Oxford United won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Leicester and Oxford United?
- Recent form — Leicester 1W 2D 2L; Oxford United 1W 1D 3L.
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