Oxford United v Stevenage prediction

FA Cup · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · Kassam Stadium

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 15:19 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Oxford United v Stevenage, FA Cup on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 4960 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Oxford United host Stevenage in the FA Cup on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Oxford United or Stevenage (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Oxford United are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Oxford United’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Oxford United’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Oxford United have four wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.88 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 0.75.

Seven of Stevenage’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Stevenage’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Stevenage have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.14.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Stevenage the stronger side, 61 rating points above Oxford United (Stevenage 1624, Oxford United 1563, after at least 22 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Oxford United are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Stevenage, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 22 August 2026, finished Stevenage 1–2 Oxford United.

Team news

Predicted Oxford United XI (4-2-3-1): J. Cumming, M. Helik, C. Brown, J. Currie, P. Kioso, C. Brannagan, S. Dembélé, K. Andrews, T. Goodrham, M. Missanga, M. Harris — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, S. Dembélé (5.3 per match over 13 appearances, two goals and four assists) and Cameron Brannagan (3.2 per match over 12 appearances, two goals) have been Oxford United’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Oxford United (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), S. Dembélé averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 1003 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Cameron Brannagan averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 1067 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Stevenage XI (4-4-2): T. Setford, T. Vancooten, C. Piergianni, L. James-Wildin, S. Earley, D. Phillips, L. Thompson, O. Sanderson, B. Broggio, J. Magennis, D. Kemp — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Daniel Kemp (3.7 per match over 13 appearances, four goals and two assists) and Joshua Magennis (3.5 per match over 14 appearances, four goals and four assists) have been Stevenage’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Stevenage (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Daniel Kemp averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 1067 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Joshua Magennis averages 1.2 shots per 90 over 957 minutes, with a shot in four of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · FA Cup · Kassam Stadium
Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 3): Oxford United 2 · draws 1 · Stevenage 0 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Oxford United 3W 2D 0L · Stevenage 2W 0D 3L

Oxford United v Stevenage (FA Cup): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.38

Goals

against 0.5 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.63 / 3.75

Corners

against 6.88 / 5.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.63 / 4

Shots on target

against 3.13 / 1.88 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 2

Cards

against 2.75 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

182

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Oxford United for / against	Line	Stevenage for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.38 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.63 for · 6.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.75 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.88 for · 14 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.38 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.63 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.38 for · 15.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.13 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5

Oxford United

Oxford United Goalkeeper

Oxford United — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Cumming	7	91635 min	182.6 /90	60.9 /90	00 /90
S. Eastwood	5	88441 min	132.7 /90	51 /90	00 /90

Oxford United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oxford United before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Cumming n 8	90.6	3 6/5
S. Eastwood n 8	83.3	2.6 5/3

Oxford United Defensive

Oxford United — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Brown	12	901085 min	70.6 /90	70.6 /90	110.9 /90	534.4 /90	00 /90	00 /90
J. Currie	10	79785 min	364.1 /90	40.5 /90	40.5 /90	677.7 /90	50.6 /90	20.2 /90
B. Spencer	10	69691 min	233 /90	111.4 /90	50.7 /90	617.9 /90	40.5 /90	00 /90
M. Helik	9	90810 min	50.6 /90	121.3 /90	70.8 /90	364 /90	60.7 /90	20.2 /90
P. Kioso	9	70632 min	152.1 /90	101.4 /90	30.4 /90	446.3 /90	81.1 /90	30.4 /90
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Oxford United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oxford United before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Brown n 8	90	0 0/0	0.8 5/1	—
C. Brannagan n 8	87.8	0.9 5/2	1 6/2	—
S. Dembélé n 8	82.9	1.5 7/3	3.1 8/7	—
M. Harris n 8	75	1.5 5/3	0.9 5/1	—
G. O'Donkor n 8	32.3	3.5 7/2	3.8 6/3	—
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Oxford United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oxford United before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Brown n 8	90	0.6 3/2
C. Brannagan n 8	87.8	1.5 5/3
S. Dembélé n 8	82.9	1.9 5/3
M. Harris n 8	75	1.2 5/2
G. O'Donkor n 8	32.3	1 2/1
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Oxford United Attacking

Oxford United — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Harris	12	80954 min	50.5 /90	10.1 /90	141.3 /90	100.9 /90	80.8 /90	30.3 /90
G. O'Donkor	11	31342 min	30.8 /90	10.3 /90	133.4 /90	51.3 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90
A. Emakhu	6	59353 min	00 /90	00 /90	71.8 /90	10.3 /90	51.3 /90	61.5 /90
L. Lynch	5	42212 min	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	52.1 /90
L. Snowden	2	2651 min	00 /90	11.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.8 /90	00 /90
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Oxford United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oxford United before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Brown n 8	90	0.3 1/1	0.1 1/0
C. Brannagan n 8	87.8	1.8 6/4	0.8 4/1
S. Dembélé n 8	82.9	1.6 7/3	0.7 4/1
M. Harris n 8	75	1.7 6/4	1.2 5/3
G. O'Donkor n 8	32.3	4.2 7/3	1.4 4/0
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Oxford United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oxford United before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Brown n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Brannagan n 8	87.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
S. Dembélé n 8	82.9	0.3 2/0	0.5 4/0
M. Harris n 8	75	0.6 3/1	0.2 1/0
G. O'Donkor n 8	32.3	0.7 2/0	0 0/0
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Stevenage

Stevenage Goalkeeper

Stevenage — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Tommy Setford	7	90630 min	81.1 /90	40.6 /90	00 /90
F. Marschall	5	90450 min	102 /90	91.8 /90	00 /90

Stevenage — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Tommy Setford n 7	90	1.1 2/1
F. Marschall n 8	90	2.1 5/2

Stevenage Defensive

Stevenage — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Piergianni	13	871125 min	231.8 /90	181.4 /90	80.6 /90	1098.7 /90	171.4 /90	40.3 /90
T. Vancooten	13	851110 min	191.5 /90	151.2 /90	50.4 /90	655.3 /90	80.6 /90	10.1 /90
L. James-Wildin	11	87962 min	252.3 /90	181.7 /90	10.1 /90	605.6 /90	141.3 /90	30.3 /90
L. Freestone	9	89803 min	222.5 /90	50.6 /90	40.4 /90	495.5 /90	70.8 /90	30.3 /90
S. Earley	6	75447 min	112.2 /90	51 /90	10.2 /90	408.1 /90	71.4 /90	00 /90
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Stevenage — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Phillips n 8	86.1	1.8 6/4	0.7 4/1	—
C. Piergianni n 8	90	1.1 6/3	0.9 5/1	—
T. Vancooten n 8	90	0.6 3/1	0.9 4/3	—
D. Kemp n 8	86	0.8 4/1	1 5/1	—
J. Magennis n 8	77	1.6 5/3	1.3 6/3	—
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Stevenage — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Phillips n 8	86.1	3 7/5
C. Piergianni n 8	90	2.5 7/6
T. Vancooten n 8	90	1.3 5/4
D. Kemp n 8	86	0.4 2/1
J. Magennis n 8	77	0 0/0
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Stevenage Attacking

Stevenage — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Kemp	13	821067 min	40.3 /90	20.2 /90	231.9 /90	90.8 /90	322.7 /90	90.8 /90
J. Magennis	13	65842 min	40.4 /90	30.3 /90	121.3 /90	60.6 /90	151.6 /90	50.5 /90
P. Patterson	8	58463 min	10.2 /90	30.6 /90	112.1 /90	61.2 /90	122.3 /90	30.6 /90
B. Broggio	8	40321 min	00 /90	00 /90	61.7 /90	20.6 /90	10.3 /90	41.1 /90
M. Mellon	8	37294 min	20.6 /90	10.3 /90	103.1 /90	41.2 /90	30.9 /90	51.5 /90
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Stevenage — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Phillips n 8	86.1	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
C. Piergianni n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0 0/0
T. Vancooten n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.3 2/0
D. Kemp n 8	86	2 8/4	0.9 6/1
J. Magennis n 8	77	1.3 5/1	0.6 3/1
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Stevenage — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Phillips n 8	86.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Piergianni n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Vancooten n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
D. Kemp n 8	86	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0
J. Magennis n 8	77	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Oxford United v Stevenage — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Oxford UnitedWDWDW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

StevenageLWLWL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 3

Oxford United 2 · 1 draw · Stevenage 0 · 3 goals/game

2026-08-22 Stevenage 1–2 Oxford United
2024-04-19 Oxford United 1–1 Stevenage
2023-09-30 Stevenage 1–3 Oxford United

Goals per game

Oxford United scored1.2

Stevenage scored0.8

Oxford United conceded0.6

Stevenage conceded0.8

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Oxford United v Stevenage?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Oxford United v Stevenage is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Oxford United and Stevenage?: In their last 3 meetings, Oxford United won 2, Stevenage won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Oxford United and Stevenage?: Recent form — Oxford United 3W 2D 0L; Stevenage 2W 0D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 31 Oct 2026, 15:19 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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