Leicester v Stevenage prediction

League One · Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT · King Power Stadium

Updated 28 Oct 2026, 19:36 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Leicester v Stevenage, League One on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Leicester host Stevenage in League One on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Leicester have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Leicester’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Leicester’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Leicester have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.43. Leicester have scored 20 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Leicester have conceded 17 goals, the 12th-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Seven of Stevenage’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Stevenage’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Stevenage have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.14. Stevenage have scored 15 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Stevenage have conceded 11 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Leicester (11th) and Stevenage (13th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Leicester the stronger side, 10 rating points above Stevenage (Leicester 1535, Stevenage 1525, after at least 12 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Leicester XI (3-4-2-1): A. McCarthy, W. O'Hora, H. Souttar, C. Okoli, W. Alves, L. Page, L. Thomas, J. Lundstram, K. Doyle, S. Braybrooke, E. Riis — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, E. Riis (4.6 per match over eight appearances, six goals and one assist) and Luke Thomas (4.4 per match over 14 appearances, one goal and five assists) have been Leicester’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Leicester (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), E. Riis averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 713 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Luke Thomas averages 1.9 tackles per 90 over 1256 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Stevenage XI (4-4-2): T. Setford, T. Vancooten, C. Piergianni, L. James-Wildin, S. Earley, D. Phillips, L. Thompson, O. Sanderson, B. Broggio, J. Magennis, D. Kemp — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Daniel Kemp (3.7 per match over 13 appearances, four goals and two assists) and Joshua Magennis (3.5 per match over 13 appearances, four goals and three assists) have been Stevenage’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Stevenage (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Daniel Kemp averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 1067 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Joshua Magennis averages 1.3 shots per 90 over 912 minutes, with a shot in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT · League One · King Power Stadium
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Leicester 3W 0D 2L · Stevenage 2W 0D 3L

Leicester v Stevenage (League One): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1.38

Goals

against 1.75 / 0.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

7 / 3.75

Corners

against 6.25 / 5.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

6 / 4

Shots on target

against 4.75 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 2

Cards

against 2.5 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Leicester for / against	Line	Stevenage for / against
Goals scored	2 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.38 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	7 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.75 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.38 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.25 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.13 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5

Leicester

Leicester Goalkeeper

Leicester — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. McCarthy	11	89984 min	353.2 /90	141.3 /90	00 /90
J. Stolarczyk	3	93279 min	92.9 /90	31 /90	00 /90

Leicester — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. McCarthy n 8	90	3.2 8/4
J. Stolarczyk n 8	92.1	2 4/3

Leicester Defensive

Leicester — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Thomas	14	901256 min	271.9 /90	161.1 /90	50.4 /90	674.8 /90	241.7 /90	30.2 /90
H. Souttar	11	91999 min	111 /90	191.7 /90	30.3 /90	494.4 /90	100.9 /90	30.3 /90
C. Okoli	8	84672 min	131.7 /90	91.2 /90	10.1 /90	405.4 /90	121.6 /90	10.1 /90
W. O'Hora	7	83580 min	121.9 /90	91.4 /90	00 /90	192.9 /90	40.6 /90	10.2 /90
Jayden Joseph	7	78543 min	111.8 /90	50.8 /90	00 /90	315.1 /90	50.8 /90	10.2 /90

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Leicester — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Thomas n 8	90	2.6 8/6	1.6 7/3	—
S. Braybrooke n 8	61.6	1.3 5/2	1.8 8/2	—
L. Page n 8	80.3	1.8 7/3	2.2 8/5	—
W. Alves n 8	81.3	0.7 4/1	1.1 4/2	—
H. Souttar n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.5 3/1	—

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Leicester — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Thomas n 8	90	2.1 8/7
S. Braybrooke n 8	61.6	1.1 4/2
L. Page n 8	80.3	1.5 4/4
W. Alves n 8	81.3	1.5 6/3
H. Souttar n 8	90	1.1 5/3

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Leicester Attacking

Leicester — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Wes Burns	10	45450 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	51 /90	30.6 /90
B. De Cordova-Reid	9	57515 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	132.3 /90	30.5 /90	71.2 /90	10.2 /90
E. Riis	8	83661 min	60.8 /90	10.1 /90	223 /90	141.9 /90	111.5 /90	30.4 /90
T. Watson	7	47327 min	00 /90	00 /90	102.8 /90	51.4 /90	113 /90	41.1 /90
A. Bristrić	5	49243 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.5 /90	20.7 /90	41.5 /90	20.7 /90

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Leicester — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Thomas n 8	90	1 4/2	0.4 2/1
S. Braybrooke n 8	61.6	1.6 5/2	0.9 4/1
L. Page n 8	80.3	0.8 5/1	0 0/0
W. Alves n 8	81.3	1.2 5/3	0.4 3/0
H. Souttar n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.3 2/0

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Leicester — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Thomas n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.5 4/0
S. Braybrooke n 8	61.6	0 0/0	0.5 1/1
L. Page n 8	80.3	0 0/0	0.3 1/1
W. Alves n 8	81.3	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
H. Souttar n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0

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Stevenage

Stevenage Goalkeeper

Stevenage — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Tommy Setford	7	90630 min	81.1 /90	40.6 /90	00 /90
F. Marschall	5	90450 min	102 /90	91.8 /90	00 /90

Stevenage — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Tommy Setford n 7	90	1.1 2/1
F. Marschall n 8	90	2.1 5/2

Stevenage Defensive

Stevenage — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Piergianni	13	871125 min	231.8 /90	181.4 /90	80.6 /90	1098.7 /90	171.4 /90	40.3 /90
T. Vancooten	13	851110 min	191.5 /90	151.2 /90	50.4 /90	655.3 /90	80.6 /90	10.1 /90
L. James-Wildin	11	87962 min	252.3 /90	181.7 /90	10.1 /90	605.6 /90	141.3 /90	30.3 /90
L. Freestone	9	89803 min	222.5 /90	50.6 /90	40.4 /90	495.5 /90	70.8 /90	30.3 /90
S. Earley	6	75447 min	112.2 /90	51 /90	10.2 /90	408.1 /90	71.4 /90	00 /90

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Stevenage — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Phillips n 8	86.1	1.8 6/4	0.7 4/1	—
C. Piergianni n 8	90	1.1 6/3	0.9 5/1	—
T. Vancooten n 8	90	0.6 3/1	0.9 4/3	—
D. Kemp n 8	86	0.8 4/1	1 5/1	—
J. Magennis n 8	77	1.6 5/3	1.3 6/3	—

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Stevenage — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Phillips n 8	86.1	3 7/5
C. Piergianni n 8	90	2.5 7/6
T. Vancooten n 8	90	1.3 5/4
D. Kemp n 8	86	0.4 2/1
J. Magennis n 8	77	0 0/0

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Stevenage Attacking

Stevenage — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Kemp	13	821067 min	40.3 /90	20.2 /90	231.9 /90	90.8 /90	322.7 /90	90.8 /90
J. Magennis	13	65842 min	40.4 /90	30.3 /90	121.3 /90	60.6 /90	151.6 /90	50.5 /90
P. Patterson	8	58463 min	10.2 /90	30.6 /90	112.1 /90	61.2 /90	122.3 /90	30.6 /90
B. Broggio	8	40321 min	00 /90	00 /90	61.7 /90	20.6 /90	10.3 /90	41.1 /90
M. Mellon	8	37294 min	20.6 /90	10.3 /90	103.1 /90	41.2 /90	30.9 /90	51.5 /90

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Stevenage — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Phillips n 8	86.1	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
C. Piergianni n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0 0/0
T. Vancooten n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.3 2/0
D. Kemp n 8	86	2 8/4	0.9 6/1
J. Magennis n 8	77	1.3 5/1	0.6 3/1

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Stevenage — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Phillips n 8	86.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Piergianni n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Vancooten n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
D. Kemp n 8	86	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0
J. Magennis n 8	77	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Leicester v Stevenage — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

LeicesterLWWLW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

StevenageLWLWL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Leicester#11 pos18 pts12 pl+3 GD

Stevenage#13 pos15 pts11 pl+4 GD

Goals per game

Leicester scored1.67

Stevenage scored1.36

Leicester conceded1.42

Stevenage conceded1

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Leicester v Stevenage?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Leicester v Stevenage is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Leicester and Stevenage?: Recent form — Leicester 3W 0D 2L; Stevenage 2W 0D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 28 Oct 2026, 19:36 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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