Lincoln v Leyton Orient result

Full-time · Lincoln 2–1 Leyton Orient

League One · Sat, 11 Apr 2026 12:30 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lincoln · Leyton Orient · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Lincoln 2–1 Leyton Orient — Lincoln won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick

Home or Draw

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.6% of 1703 landed (95% range 74.6–78.6%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Lincoln beat Leyton Orient 2–1 in League One on Saturday 11 April. Lincoln are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Leyton Orient are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Lincoln led 2–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Lincoln: Jack Moylan (18’, assisted by Conor McGrandles); Leyton Orient: an own goal by William Forrester (45’) and Dominic Ballard (71’, assisted by Idris El Mizouni).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Lincoln 2.12, Leyton Orient 1.80, from 18 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

R. Joyce showed six yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Lincoln: Benjamin House (31’) and Tendayi Darikwa (45+1’); Leyton Orient: James Morris (5’), Idris El Mizouni (17’), Jack Simpson (37’) and Azeem Abdulai (65’).

What it changes

Lincoln stay first after this result (42 league matches played). Lincoln have scored 89 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Lincoln have conceded 41 goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs.

Leyton Orient stay 15th after this result (42 league matches played). Leyton Orient have scored 59 goals, the 12th-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Leyton Orient have conceded 71 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Lincoln have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Conor McGrandles (Lincoln) 11.4, William Forrester (Leyton Orient) 7.1 and Idris El Mizouni (Leyton Orient) 5.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Lincoln or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.6% of the time in the last 90 days (1305 of 1703).

Next up

Lincoln next host Wrexham on 21 November 2026.

Leyton Orient next travel to Doncaster on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lincoln: Lincoln v Wrexham, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Leyton Orient: Doncaster v Leyton Orient, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Lincoln 2–1 Leyton Orient · League One
Referee: R. Joyce
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 5): Lincoln 3 · draws 0 · Leyton Orient 2 · 2.2 goals/game
Recent form: Lincoln 4W 1D 0L · Leyton Orient 2W 2D 1L

Lincoln 2–1 Leyton Orient (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.25 / 1.5

Goals

against 0.5 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.88 / 4.5

Corners

against 5 / 5.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.88 / 4

Shots on target

against 2 / 3.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 2.5

Cards

against 2.13 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4 yellows

Referee · R. Joyce

26.33 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 6 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Lincoln for / against	Line	Leyton Orient for / against
Goals scored	2.25 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.5 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.88 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.5 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.38 for · 9 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	10.25 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.88 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11 for · 8.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14.38 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.5 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: R. Joyce — 4 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 26.33 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Lincoln

Lincoln Defensive

Lincoln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Darikwa n 8	88.4	0.5 4/0	0.5 4/0	D. Happe
C. McGrandles n 8	89.6	1.1 6/3	1.3 6/3	T. Bakinson
R. Street n 8	71.8	1.1 5/1	0.9 4/2	—
S. Bradley n 8	90	0.3 2/0	1.3 7/2	D. Happe
G. Wickens n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 4/0	—
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Lincoln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
T. Darikwa n 8	88.4	1.4 6/2
C. McGrandles n 8	89.6	2.4 7/6
R. Street n 8	71.8	0.6 4/0
S. Bradley n 8	90	0.6 4/1
G. Wickens n 8	90	0 0/0
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Lincoln Attacking

Lincoln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
T. Darikwa n 8	88.4	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
C. McGrandles n 8	89.6	0.6 4/1	0.4 2/1
R. Street n 8	71.8	1.1 5/1	0.6 3/1
S. Bradley n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
G. Wickens n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Lincoln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Darikwa n 8	88.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
C. McGrandles n 8	89.6	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
R. Street n 8	71.8	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
S. Bradley n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Wickens n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Leyton Orient

Leyton Orient Goalkeeper

Leyton Orient — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Killian Cahill	19	901710 min	462.4 /90	291.5 /90	00 /90

Leyton Orient — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leyton Orient before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Killian Cahill n 8	90	1.9 5/3

Leyton Orient Defensive

Leyton Orient — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Happe	36	742662 min	280.9 /90	291 /90	130.4 /90	1715.8 /90	321.1 /90	100.3 /90
J. Simpson	31	732255 min	391.6 /90	291.2 /90	210.8 /90	1445.7 /90	210.8 /90	40.2 /90
M. Craig	26	661713 min	472.5 /90	140.7 /90	60.3 /90	975.1 /90	261.4 /90	20.1 /90
O. Beckles	24	842009 min	361.6 /90	150.7 /90	150.7 /90	1396.2 /90	251.1 /90	20.1 /90
O. O'Neill	34	722464 min	521.9 /90	180.7 /90	40.1 /90	1545.6 /90	471.7 /90	50.2 /90
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Leyton Orient — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leyton Orient before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Ballard n 8	89	1.3 6/2	1.3 5/4	—
D. Happe n 8	53.8	2.3 6/4	0.4 2/0	S. Bradley
O. O'Neill n 8	67	1.8 6/5	2 7/4	—
T. Bakinson n 8	61	1.1 4/1	1.1 4/1	C. McGrandles
S. Clare n 8	72.3	2.6 8/3	0.9 5/1	—
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Leyton Orient — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leyton Orient before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Ballard n 8	89	0.4 3/0
D. Happe n 8	53.8	0.6 2/1
O. O'Neill n 8	67	1 3/2
T. Bakinson n 8	61	2.8 5/4
S. Clare n 8	72.3	1.7 8/2
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Leyton Orient Attacking

Leyton Orient — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Ballard	37	873207 min	210.6 /90	40.1 /90	641.8 /90	361 /90	371 /90	351 /90
J. Koroma	22	581269 min	30.2 /90	20.1 /90	120.9 /90	50.4 /90	151.1 /90	151.1 /90
A. Lloyd	6	31186 min	00 /90	00 /90	52.4 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	41.9 /90
O. O'Neill	34	722464 min	40.1 /90	80.3 /90	301.1 /90	180.7 /90	301.1 /90	260.9 /90
T. Bakinson	33	722386 min	20.1 /90	10 /90	140.5 /90	60.2 /90	180.7 /90	120.5 /90
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Leyton Orient — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leyton Orient before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Ballard n 8	89	2.1 8/5	1.3 5/3
D. Happe n 8	53.8	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
O. O'Neill n 8	67	1.5 6/3	0.5 3/0
T. Bakinson n 8	61	0.4 2/0	0.4 2/0
S. Clare n 8	72.3	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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Leyton Orient — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leyton Orient before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Ballard n 8	89	0.6 2/2	0.1 1/0
D. Happe n 8	53.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. O'Neill n 8	67	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
T. Bakinson n 8	61	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
S. Clare n 8	72.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

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Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Lincoln		Leyton Orient
43%	Possession	57%
2.12	Expected goals (xG)	1.80
18	Shots	12
6	Shots on target	6
6	Shots off target	6
6	Blocked shots	0
11	Shots inside the box	6
4	Corners	6
2	Offsides	0
12	Fouls	11
2	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
5	Saves	5
310	Passes	413
61%	Pass accuracy	75%

Lincoln Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
G. Wickens	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.7
T. Darikwa	90	0	0	1	0	1	2	Y	6.9
T. Hamer	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7
S. Bradley	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7
R. Towler	90	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	7
T. Bayliss	90	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	7.2
C. McGrandles	90	0	1	0	0	1	9	0	7.7
R. Hackett	85	0	0	3	1	2	0	0	6.9
J. Moylan	72	1	0	2	2	0	1	0	6.9
R. Oné	72	0	0	3	2	4	0	0	6.9
B. House	62	0	0	1	0	1	1	Y	6.7
R. Street sub	28	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.2
A. Lloyd sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
D. Jefferies sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
D. Elerewe sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9

Leyton Orient Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
W. Dennis	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
W. Forrester	90	0	0	3	2	1	2	0	6.5
T. James	90	0	0	3	1	0	2	0	6.9
I. El Mizouni	90	0	1	1	0	1	2	Y	6.3
J. Morris	90	0	0	0	0	2	2	Y	6.9
A. Abdulai	90	0	0	0	0	2	3	Y	6.7
D. Mitchell	90	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	6.6
D. Ballard	90	1	0	2	1	0	1	0	6.7
D. Happe	85	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
T. Bakinson	85	0	0	2	1	1	4	0	6.2
J. Simpson	54	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6
S. Perkins sub	36	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.9
K. Casey sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Charlie Gerard Richard Wellens sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lincoln v Leyton Orient — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

LincolnWDWWW

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Leyton OrientWWDDL

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 5

Lincoln 3 · 0 draws · Leyton Orient 2 · 2.2 goals/game

2025-10-25 Leyton Orient 1–0 Lincoln
2025-02-15 Leyton Orient 3–2 Lincoln
2024-10-05 Lincoln 2–1 Leyton Orient
2024-03-29 Lincoln 1–0 Leyton Orient
2023-11-21 Leyton Orient 0–1 Lincoln

League standing · 2025/26

Lincoln#1 pos103 pts46 pl+48 GD

Leyton Orient#20 pos52 pts46 pl-12 GD

Goals per game

Lincoln scored1.93

Leyton Orient scored1.28

Lincoln conceded0.89

Leyton Orient conceded1.54

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Lincoln v Leyton Orient?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Lincoln v Leyton Orient was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Lincoln and Leyton Orient?: In their last 5 meetings, Lincoln won 3, Leyton Orient won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lincoln and Leyton Orient?: Recent form — Lincoln 4W 1D 0L; Leyton Orient 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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