PeterboroughPort Vale

Peterborough v Port Vale result

Full-time · Peterborough 1–3 Port Vale

League One · · Weston Homes Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Peterborough 1–3 Port Vale — Port Vale won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away cards yellow under 2.5.

Free pick
Away cards yellow under 2.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

The result

Port Vale won 3–1 at Weston Homes Stadium in League One on Thursday 16 April. Peterborough have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Port Vale led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Port Vale: Ryan Croasdale (3’, assisted by O. Hernández) and Ethon Archer (16’, 59’); Peterborough: James Dornelly (31’, assisted by M. Garbett).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with James Dornelly’s goal on 31 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Peterborough 0.00, Port Vale 0.00, from 17 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

H. Wager showed two yellow cards — against 4.5 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Peterborough: David Kamara (69’); Port Vale: T. Magloire (70’).

What it changes

Peterborough move down from 13th to 16th (42 league matches played). Peterborough have scored 64 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Peterborough have conceded 68 goals, the seventh-most of the 24 clubs.

Port Vale move up from 23rd to 22nd (41 league matches played). Port Vale have scored 36 goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Port Vale have conceded 61 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Peterborough are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Port Vale are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ethon Archer (Port Vale) 11.1, O. Hernández (Port Vale) 8.7 and Ryan Croasdale (Port Vale) 8.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

Peterborough are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Port Vale, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Port Vale cards yellow under 2.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Peterborough next host Reading on 7 November 2026.

Port Vale next host Scunthorpe on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Peterborough: Peterborough v Reading, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Port Vale: Port Vale v Scunthorpe, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Peterborough 1–3 Port Vale · League One
  • Venue: Weston Homes Stadium · Peterborough
  • Referee: H. Wager
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Peterborough 5 · draws 0 · Port Vale 0 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Peterborough 1W 2D 2L · Port Vale 1W 1D 3L

Peterborough 1–3 Port Vale (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 0.5
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 3.13
Corners
against 7.88 / 6.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 2.5
Shots on target
against 6.25 / 5.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.38
Cards
against 2.13 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 14 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gamePeterborough for / againstLinePort Vale for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
0.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.5 for · 7.88 against n 8
9.5standard
3.13 for · 6.63 against n 8
Shots
11.75 for · 16.75 against n 8
19.5standard
8.5 for · 15.13 against n 8
Shots on target
5.13 for · 6.25 against n 8
8.5standard
2.5 for · 5.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.63 for · 14.75 against n 8
21.5standard
11.63 for · 12 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 1 against n 8

Referee: H. Wager.

Peterborough

Peterborough Goalkeeper

Peterborough — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Bass36903240 min1293.6 /90481.3 /9000 /90
Peterborough — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Bass n 890
4.57/7

Peterborough Defensive

Peterborough — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Okagbue29772237 min251 /90190.8 /90281.1 /901415.7 /9090.4 /9020.1 /90
T. Lees28842350 min281.1 /90140.5 /90180.7 /901545.9 /9090.3 /9030.1 /90
James Dornelly23801844 min251.2 /90221.1 /9090.4 /90803.9 /90100.5 /9030.1 /90
Harley Mills21761603 min352 /90201.1 /9080.4 /901045.8 /90140.8 /9030.2 /90
A. Collins43893824 min641.5 /90571.3 /90300.7 /901984.7 /90320.8 /9080.2 /90
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Peterborough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Collins n 890
0.53/1
15/2
—
K. Lisbie n 890
0.64/1
1.15/3
—
A. Bass n 890
00/0
0.53/1
—
B. Khela n 875.8
0.42/1
15/2
—
Jimmy Morgan n 886.4
1.36/4
3.68/8
—
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Peterborough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Collins n 890
1.36/2
K. Lisbie n 890
0.64/1
B. Khela n 875.8
2.58/4
Jimmy Morgan n 886.4
2.57/6
H. Leonard n 879.8
0.32/0
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Peterborough Attacking

Peterborough — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Jimmy Morgan34682324 min120.5 /9030.1 /90381.5 /90180.7 /90281.1 /90271 /90
H. Leonard33772552 min130.5 /9050.2 /90551.9 /90341.2 /90210.7 /9080.3 /90
Gustav Lindgren1541622 min30.4 /9010.1 /90101.4 /9081.2 /9060.9 /9010.1 /90
A. Odoh1351667 min00 /9000 /9020.3 /9010.1 /9060.8 /9070.9 /90
A. Collins43893824 min30.1 /9070.2 /90250.6 /90140.3 /90310.7 /90160.4 /90
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Peterborough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Collins n 890
0.95/2
0.65/0
K. Lisbie n 890
1.17/2
0.96/1
A. Bass n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Khela n 875.8
0.74/1
0.43/0
Jimmy Morgan n 886.4
1.77/4
1.37/2
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Peterborough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Collins n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
K. Lisbie n 890
0.11/0
0.43/0
A. Bass n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Khela n 875.8
0.11/0
00/0
Jimmy Morgan n 886.4
0.75/0
0.11/0
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Port Vale

Port Vale Goalkeeper

Port Vale — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Gauci34903071 min922.7 /90431.3 /9010 /90
Port Vale — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Gauci n 890
3.57/5

Port Vale Defensive

Port Vale — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Humphreys38853235 min320.9 /90340.9 /90210.6 /901544.3 /90250.7 /9060.2 /90
C. Hall37883240 min431.2 /90361 /90130.4 /902396.6 /90250.7 /9040.1 /90
K. John29752162 min522.2 /90321.3 /90120.5 /901466.1 /90140.6 /9050.2 /90
J. Lawrence-Gabriel25741856 min311.5 /9080.4 /9080.4 /901346.5 /90271.3 /9050.2 /90
J. Headley24631511 min422.5 /90120.7 /9070.4 /901106.6 /90211.3 /9030.2 /90
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Port Vale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Humphreys n 884.4
1.16/1
0.32/0
—
C. Hall n 890
0.53/1
0.43/0
—
J. Gauci n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
G. Hall n 869.9
0.85/0
1.86/2
—
K. John n 883.6
0.74/1
1.25/2
—
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Port Vale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Humphreys n 884.4
1.57/4
C. Hall n 890
1.67/5
G. Hall n 869.9
2.98/6
K. John n 883.6
27/4
F. Ojo n 879.9
1.36/2
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Port Vale Attacking

Port Vale — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Stockley24471121 min30.2 /9000 /90181.4 /9090.7 /9080.6 /9040.3 /90
D. Cole22821806 min80.4 /9040.2 /90311.5 /90201 /90170.8 /90271.3 /90
D. Brown1646738 min10.1 /9020.2 /90101.2 /9030.4 /9091.1 /9091.1 /90
M. Faal1243514 min10.2 /9000 /90162.8 /9081.4 /9040.7 /9071.2 /90
A. Gray1140439 min00 /9000 /9051 /9020.4 /9030.6 /9000 /90
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Port Vale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Humphreys n 884.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
C. Hall n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
J. Gauci n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Hall n 869.9
0.84/1
0.53/0
K. John n 883.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Port Vale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Humphreys n 884.4
00/0
00/0
C. Hall n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Gauci n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Hall n 869.9
0.21/0
00/0
K. John n 883.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PeterboroughPort Vale
70%Possession30%
17Shots7
3Shots on target4
6Shots off target3
8Blocked shots0
10Shots inside the box3
9Corners1
2Offsides2
13Fouls11
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves2
522Passes230
82%Pass accuracy67%

Peterborough Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Bass9000000005.6
James Dornelly9010212007.2
T. Lees9000001006.9
Harley Mills9000004307.3
A. Collins9000210106.5
K. Lisbie9000100207
H. Leonard9000002006.2
B. Khela8400002106.3
P. Kioso6400210306.2
M. Garbett6401001006.9
Bolu Shofowoke5500000106.2
C. Hayes sub3500000006.3
David Kamara sub26000020Y6.3
Pemi Aderoju sub2600200006.6
P. Sykut sub1200000106.6

Port Vale Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Gauci9000000006.6
T. Magloire90000000Y6.3
C. Hall9000000006.9
Elijah Xavier Campbell9000000107.2
R. Croasdale9010111308.2
J. Shipley9000001507.3
E. Archer9020220209.3
G. Ward8300000306.6
Martin Sherif8300200206.2
J. Headley7100100006.9
O. Hernández5201111608
L. Gordon sub3800000006.9
C. Humphreys sub1900000306.9
D. Brown sub1300000006.5
B. Waine sub1300000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Peterborough v Port Vale — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PeterboroughWDLDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Port ValeLLLWD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Peterborough 5 · 0 draws · Port Vale 0 · 2 goals/game
  • 2025-12-20 Port Vale 0–1 Peterborough
  • 2024-04-10 Peterborough 3–0 Port Vale
  • 2023-10-24 Port Vale 0–1 Peterborough
  • 2023-01-16 Port Vale 0–2 Peterborough
  • 2022-09-24 Peterborough 3–0 Port Vale
League standing · 2025/26
Peterborough#18 pos53 pts46 pl-4 GD
Port Vale#22 pos42 pts46 pl-25 GD
Goals per game
Peterborough scored1.39
Port Vale scored0.78
Peterborough conceded1.48
Port Vale conceded1.33

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Peterborough v Port Vale?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Peterborough v Port Vale was Away cards yellow under 2.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Peterborough and Port Vale?
In their last 5 meetings, Peterborough won 5, Port Vale won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Peterborough and Port Vale?
Recent form — Peterborough 1W 2D 2L; Port Vale 1W 1D 3L.

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