Port Vale v Luton result
Port Vale 1–1 Luton — this League One match was drawn.
The result
Port Vale and Luton drew 1–1 in League One on Saturday 28 February. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Luton created the better chances, 2.34 xG to 1.55 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.
The goals
It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Luton: Nahki Wells (5’, assisted by Emilio Lawrence); Port Vale: Benjamin Waine (29’, assisted by George Hall).
Discipline
L. Swabey showed six yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Port Vale: George Hall (6’), C. Humphreys (25’) and Benjamin Waine (87’); Luton: Joseph Johnson (22’), Jordan Clark (40’) and Kallum Naismith (43’).
What it changes
Port Vale stay 24th after this result (32 league matches played). Port Vale have scored 36 goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Port Vale have conceded 61 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Luton stay 10th after this result (34 league matches played). Luton have scored 68 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Luton have conceded 56 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 24 clubs.
Port Vale are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Luton are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Port Vale have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, George Hall (Port Vale) 7.9, Benjamin Waine (Port Vale) 6.7 and Connor Hall (Port Vale) 6.0 led the match.
Next up
Port Vale next host Scunthorpe on 7 November 2026.
Luton next host Forest Green on 7 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Port Vale: Port Vale v Scunthorpe, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Luton: Luton v Forest Green, Saturday 7 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Port Vale 1–1 Luton · League One
- Referee: L. Swabey
- Head-to-head (last 3): Port Vale 1 · draws 1 · Luton 1 · 3.33 goals/game
- Recent form: Port Vale 1W 2D 2L · Luton 2W 1D 2L
Port Vale 1–1 Luton (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 February 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Port Vale for / against | Line | Luton for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.88 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.88 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.63 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 9 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.75 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 2.88 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.25 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 8.63 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14.38 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.25 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.75 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: L. Swabey — 3.75 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.75 fouls over 8 matches.
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Port Vale
Port Vale Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gauci | 23 | 902081 min | 441.9 /90 | 251.1 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Gauci n 8 | 90 | 1.8 |
Port Vale Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Humphreys | 31 | 852650 min | 230.8 /90 | 291 /90 | 170.6 /90 | 1234.2 /90 | 180.6 /90 | 40.1 /90 |
| J. Headley | 21 | 601263 min | 362.6 /90 | 110.8 /90 | 60.4 /90 | 886.3 /90 | 181.3 /90 | 30.2 /90 |
| B. Heneghan | 20 | 801593 min | 140.8 /90 | 301.7 /90 | 201.1 /90 | 1257.1 /90 | 160.9 /90 | 50.3 /90 |
| M. Clark | 14 | 741035 min | 232 /90 | 121 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 645.6 /90 | 40.3 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
| M. Johnson | 7 | 64451 min | 112.2 /90 | 61.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 255 /90 | 51 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Humphreys n 8 | 82 | 0.7 | 0.1 | N. Lonwijk |
| C. Hall n 8 | 81.1 | 0.6 | 0.7 | N. Lonwijk |
| R. Croasdale n 8 | 73.1 | 1.1 | 1.2 | — |
| G. Hall n 8 | 70.3 | 1.3 | 1.6 | — |
| J. Gauci n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Humphreys n 8 | 82 | 1 |
| C. Hall n 8 | 81.1 | 0.6 |
| R. Croasdale n 8 | 73.1 | 1.5 |
| G. Hall n 8 | 70.3 | 1.3 |
| K. John n 8 | 83.9 | 2.4 |
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Port Vale Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Cole | 22 | 821806 min | 80.4 /90 | 40.2 /90 | 311.5 /90 | 201 /90 | 170.8 /90 | 271.3 /90 |
| J. Stockley | 21 | 47981 min | 30.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 151.4 /90 | 80.7 /90 | 70.6 /90 | 40.4 /90 |
| M. Faal | 12 | 43514 min | 10.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 162.8 /90 | 81.4 /90 | 40.7 /90 | 71.2 /90 |
| R. Croasdale | 27 | 661777 min | 20.1 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 150.8 /90 | 50.3 /90 | 120.6 /90 | 80.4 /90 |
| G. Hall | 24 | 671602 min | 10.1 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 70.4 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 160.9 /90 | 261.5 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Humphreys n 8 | 82 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| C. Hall n 8 | 81.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| R. Croasdale n 8 | 73.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| G. Hall n 8 | 70.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| J. Gauci n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Humphreys n 8 | 82 | 0.1 | 0 |
| C. Hall n 8 | 81.1 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Croasdale n 8 | 73.1 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Hall n 8 | 70.3 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Gauci n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
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Luton
Luton Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Keeley n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| G. Kodua n 8 | 70.8 | 0.8 | 2.1 | — |
| M. Andersen n 8 | 86.4 | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| N. Lonwijk n 8 | 90 | 1.6 | 0.5 | C. Hall |
| J. Clark n 8 | 89.1 | 1.1 | 1.3 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Joshua Keeley n 8 | 90 | 0 |
| G. Kodua n 8 | 70.8 | 1.6 |
| M. Andersen n 8 | 86.4 | 0.7 |
| N. Lonwijk n 8 | 90 | 2.4 |
| J. Clark n 8 | 89.1 | 0.8 |
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Luton Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Keeley n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Kodua n 8 | 70.8 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| M. Andersen n 8 | 86.4 | 0.1 | 0 |
| N. Lonwijk n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| J. Clark n 8 | 89.1 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Keeley n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Kodua n 8 | 70.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| M. Andersen n 8 | 86.4 | 0 | 0 |
| N. Lonwijk n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Clark n 8 | 89.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
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Match Statistics & Details
| Port Vale | Luton | |
|---|---|---|
| 40% | Possession | 60% |
| 1.55 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.34 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 2 | Shots off target | 3 |
| 5 | Blocked shots | 4 |
| 7 | Shots inside the box | 8 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 21 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 4 |
| 274 | Passes | 425 |
| 66% | Pass accuracy | 76% |
Port Vale Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gauci | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| K. John | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| C. Humphreys | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.3 |
| C. Hall | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6.9 |
| L. Gordon | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| F. Ojo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.6 |
| J. Lawrence-Gabriel | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| B. Waine | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | Y | 8.2 |
| G. Hall | 78 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | Y | 7.6 |
| R. Walters | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.7 |
| J. Stockley | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| A. Gray sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| J. Shipley sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Martin Sherif sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
Luton Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Keeley | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| K. Naismith | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.7 |
| J. Johnson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Y | 7.2 |
| G. Saville | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7.7 |
| J. Clark | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.9 |
| Emilio Lawrence | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| I. Jones | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5.6 |
| N. Lonwijk | 80 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| L. Walsh | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Richards | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.3 |
| N. Wells | 61 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| K. Palmer sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Ali Al Hamadi sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| D. van den Berg sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| H. Odoffin sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| S. Morris sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Port Vale v Luton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-12-13 Luton 2–2 Port Vale
- 2017-12-30 Port Vale 4–0 Luton
- 2017-09-12 Luton 2–0 Port Vale
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Port Vale and Luton?
- In their last 3 meetings, Port Vale won 1, Luton won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Port Vale and Luton?
- Recent form — Port Vale 1W 2D 2L; Luton 2W 1D 2L.
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