RotherhamBarnsley

Rotherham v Barnsley result

Full-time · Rotherham 1–3 Barnsley

League One ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Rotherham · Barnsley · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Rotherham 1–3 Barnsley — Barnsley won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Barnsley won 3–1 at Rotherham in League One on Saturday 11 April. Rotherham are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions.

The goals

Barnsley led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Barnsley: Adam Phillips (37’, assisted by Patrick Kelly) and Thomas Bradshaw (64’, assisted by Jonathan Bland; 74’, assisted by Adam Phillips); Rotherham: Samuel Nombe (90’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Adam Phillips’s goal on 37 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Rotherham 1.44, Barnsley 1.32, from 7 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

L. Swabey showed four yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Barnsley: C. O'Keeffe (20’), Vimal Yoganathan (50’), M. de Gevigney (88’) and E. O'Connell (90+4’).

What it changes

Rotherham stay 22nd after this result (41 league matches played). Rotherham have scored 41 goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Rotherham have conceded 71 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Barnsley move up from 13th to 12th (40 league matches played). Barnsley have scored 68 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Barnsley have conceded 73 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Adam Phillips (Barnsley) 9.5, Thomas Bradshaw (Barnsley) 9.0 and Samuel Nombe (Rotherham) 8.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Rotherham or Barnsley (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Rotherham next travel to Bromley on 7 November 2026.

Barnsley next host Aldershot Town on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Rotherham: Bromley v Rotherham, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Barnsley: Barnsley v Aldershot Town, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Rotherham 1–3 Barnsley · League One
  • Referee: L. Swabey
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Rotherham 1 · draws 0 · Barnsley 5 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rotherham 0W 2D 3L · Barnsley 0W 3D 2L

Rotherham 1–3 Barnsley (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.38 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4.5
Corners
against 5.13 / 6.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 2.88
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 2
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.75 yellows
Referee · L. Swabey
22.75 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameRotherham for / againstLineBarnsley for / against
Goals scored
0.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 6.13 against n 8
Shots
10.5 for · 13.5 against n 8
19.5standard
11.25 for · 13.75 against n 8
Shots on target
3.63 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
2.88 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
11 for · 8.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: L. Swabey — 3.75 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.75 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Rotherham

Rotherham Defensive

Rotherham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Rafferty n 881.1
1.25/3
1.25/2
—
R. James n 888.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
—
A. Martha n 871.6
1.46/3
0.83/2
—
C. Dawson n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
—
J. Baptiste n 880.6
0.64/0
0.43/0
—
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Rotherham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Rafferty n 881.1
2.46/6
R. James n 888.3
1.36/2
A. Martha n 871.6
26/4
C. Dawson n 890
00/0
J. Baptiste n 880.6
1.56/3
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Rotherham Attacking

Rotherham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Rafferty n 881.1
0.32/0
0.11/0
R. James n 888.3
0.42/1
0.31/1
A. Martha n 871.6
0.32/0
0.21/0
C. Dawson n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Baptiste n 880.6
0.32/0
00/0
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Rotherham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Rafferty n 881.1
0.11/0
00/0
R. James n 888.3
00/0
00/0
A. Martha n 871.6
00/0
0.21/0
C. Dawson n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Baptiste n 880.6
00/0
00/0
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Barnsley

Barnsley Goalkeeper

Barnsley — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Mahoney25902250 min622.5 /90441.8 /9000 /90
Barnsley — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Mahoney n 890
2.34/4

Barnsley Defensive

Barnsley — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Shepherd39853312 min260.7 /90270.7 /90431.2 /902356.4 /90280.8 /9090.2 /90
T. Watson34742505 min632.3 /90351.3 /90130.5 /901766.3 /90281 /9030.1 /90
M. de Gevigney24771851 min351.7 /90281.4 /90231.1 /901537.4 /90261.3 /9030.1 /90
N. Ogbeta23691598 min352 /90181 /9050.3 /90804.5 /90100.6 /9010.1 /90
C. O'Keeffe17831418 min271.7 /90231.5 /9020.1 /90946 /90271.7 /9060.4 /90
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Barnsley — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Phillips n 849
1.67/0
00/0
—
J. Shepherd n 885.1
0.43/0
1.15/2
—
L. Connell n 890
0.85/1
0.85/1
—
Jonathan Bland n 862.9
0.73/1
0.52/1
—
R. Cleary n 864
1.94/3
0.93/2
—
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Barnsley — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Phillips n 849
0.92/1
J. Shepherd n 885.1
0.42/1
L. Connell n 890
1.16/3
Jonathan Bland n 862.9
1.14/1
R. Cleary n 864
1.24/2
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Barnsley Attacking

Barnsley — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Keillor-Dunn28812269 min130.5 /9010 /90481.9 /90301.2 /90190.8 /90220.9 /90
Leo Farrell41977 min00 /9000 /9022.3 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9000 /90
A. Phillips40682707 min80.3 /9040.1 /90351.2 /90160.5 /90421.4 /9090.3 /90
L. Connell37873229 min40.1 /9030.1 /90300.8 /90120.3 /90661.8 /90150.4 /90
Jonathan Bland37712616 min00 /9010 /90170.6 /9080.3 /90210.7 /90110.4 /90
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Barnsley — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Phillips n 849
1.14/1
0.21/0
J. Shepherd n 885.1
0.11/0
00/0
L. Connell n 890
15/3
0.11/0
Jonathan Bland n 862.9
00/0
00/0
R. Cleary n 864
0.72/2
0.42/0
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Barnsley — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnsley before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Phillips n 849
00/0
00/0
J. Shepherd n 885.1
00/0
00/0
L. Connell n 890
00/0
00/0
Jonathan Bland n 862.9
00/0
00/0
R. Cleary n 864
00/0
0.42/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
RotherhamBarnsley
66%Possession34%
1.44Expected goals (xG)1.32
7Shots9
2Shots on target9
4Shots off target0
1Blocked shots1
7Shots inside the box5
3Corners2
2Offsides2
10Fouls13
0Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
5Saves1
506Passes259
74%Pass accuracy55%

Rotherham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Cann9000000007.3
J. Baptiste9000001006
Z. Jules9000100007.3
R. James9000001206.2
Daniel Gore9000000306.6
H. Gray9000112006.2
S. Nombe9010110108.5
J. Benson6600002106.7
L. Kelly5800000106.5
L. Agbaire4500000006.5
Gabriele Biancheri4500200106.3
A. Martha sub4500100005.9
D. Hall sub4500000206.7
D. Watmore sub3200000006.6
J. Hugill sub2400000006.3

Barnsley Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
O. Goodman9000000006.2
C. O'Keeffe90001100Y6.7
M. de Gevigney90001101Y6.5
E. O'Connell90000001Y5.6
Jonathan Bland9001111206.9
Vimal Yoganathan90000006Y6.9
Patrick Kelly8901001206.9
T. Bradshaw8920330007.9
J. Earl7800000407.2
A. Phillips7811333007.9
S. Banks6900002107
R. Cleary sub2100000106.7
J. Shepherd sub1200000006.3
T. Watson sub1200000006.3
Leo Farrell sub900000006.2
M. Roberts sub900000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Rotherham v Barnsley — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RotherhamDLLDL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
BarnsleyDDLDL
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Rotherham 1 · 0 draws · Barnsley 5 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2025-10-25 Barnsley 0–1 Rotherham
  • 2025-08-26 Barnsley 2–1 Rotherham
  • 2025-02-22 Rotherham 0–1 Barnsley
  • 2024-11-08 Barnsley 2–0 Rotherham
  • 2021-04-24 Barnsley 1–0 Rotherham
  • 2020-12-29 Rotherham 1–2 Barnsley
League standing · 2025/26
Rotherham#23 pos41 pts46 pl-30 GD
Barnsley#15 pos59 pts46 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Rotherham scored0.89
Barnsley scored1.48
Rotherham conceded1.54
Barnsley conceded1.59

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Rotherham v Barnsley?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rotherham v Barnsley was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Rotherham and Barnsley?
In their last 6 meetings, Rotherham won 1, Barnsley won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rotherham and Barnsley?
Recent form — Rotherham 0W 2D 3L; Barnsley 0W 3D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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