StevenageDoncaster

Stevenage v Doncaster result

Full-time · Stevenage 2–2 Doncaster

League One · · The Lamex Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Stevenage 2–2 Doncaster — this League One match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
Best price: 1.65 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.4% of 1419 landed (95% range 65.9–70.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Stevenage and Doncaster drew 2–2 at The Lamex Stadium in League One on Saturday 29 August. Stevenage are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Doncaster are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Stevenage: Joshua Magennis (57’, assisted by Phoenix Patterson) and Oliver Sanderson (82’, assisted by Phoenix Patterson); Doncaster: Jack Senior (70’) and Owen Bailey (80’, assisted by B. McCann).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Oliver Sanderson’s goal on 82 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Stevenage 0.47, Doncaster 0.65, from 9 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

O. Yates showed three yellow cards — against 5.1 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Doncaster: Isaac Hutchinson (40’), John-Alan McGrath (56’) and Jack Senior (76’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Phoenix Patterson (Stevenage) 7.2, Jack Senior (Doncaster) 5.3 and Owen Bailey (Doncaster) 5.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

Stevenage are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Doncaster, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Doncaster, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.4% of the time in the last 90 days (970 of 1419).

Next up

Stevenage next host Mansfield Town on 14 November 2026.

Doncaster next host Leyton Orient on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Stevenage: Stevenage v Mansfield Town, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Doncaster: Doncaster v Leyton Orient, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Stevenage 2–2 Doncaster · League One
  • Venue: The Lamex Stadium · Stevenage, Hertfordshire
  • Referee: O. Yates
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Stevenage 2 · draws 2 · Doncaster 0 · 1 goals/game
  • Recent form: Stevenage 1W 1D 3L · Doncaster 1W 2D 2L

Stevenage 2–2 Doncaster (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 2.71
Corners
against 5.13 / 5.71 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.63 / 4.86
Shots on target
against 3.63 / 4.29 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.63 / 2
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.71 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
5.1 yellows
Referee · O. Yates
25.6 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameStevenage for / againstLineDoncaster for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5our book
1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
3.63 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
2.71 for · 5.71 against n 7
Shots
10.63 for · 10.75 against n 8
19.5standard
12.71 for · 15.29 against n 7
Shots on target
3.63 for · 3.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.86 for · 4.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
13.25 for · 13.88 against n 8
21.5standard
11 for · 12.86 against n 7
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.71 against n 7

Referee: O. Yates — 5.1 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 25.6 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Stevenage

Stevenage Goalkeeper

Stevenage — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Marschall490360 min82 /9071.8 /9000 /90
Stevenage — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Marschall n 890
2.15/2

Stevenage Defensive

Stevenage — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Freestone488353 min61.5 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90133.3 /9041 /9010.3 /90
C. Piergianni479315 min30.9 /9051.4 /9030.9 /90288 /9072 /9020.6 /90
T. Vancooten475300 min82.4 /9061.8 /9020.6 /90216.3 /9030.9 /9000 /90
L. James-Wildin290180 min52.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90168 /9042 /9010.5 /90
Jack Taylor19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /9066 /9000 /9000 /90
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Stevenage — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Marschall n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
—
L. Freestone n 889.1
0.84/1
0.53/1
—
D. Phillips n 861.9
1.56/2
0.73/1
—
C. Piergianni n 884.4
1.55/3
0.94/3
—
T. Vancooten n 882.5
0.73/2
1.14/3
—
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Stevenage — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Freestone n 889.1
2.57/5
D. Phillips n 861.9
2.56/3
C. Piergianni n 884.4
0.74/1
T. Vancooten n 882.5
28/4
D. Kemp n 881.1
0.75/0
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Stevenage Attacking

Stevenage — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Patterson460238 min00 /9010.4 /9041.5 /9020.8 /9062.3 /9000 /90
J. Magennis439155 min10.6 /9010.6 /9021.2 /9010.6 /9031.7 /9000 /90
J. Reid380239 min00 /9000 /9031.1 /9031.1 /9010.4 /9020.8 /90
O. Sanderson24487 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011 /9011 /90
M. Mellon13131 min00 /9000 /9012.9 /9000 /9000 /9012.9 /90
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Stevenage — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Marschall n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Freestone n 889.1
0.31/1
0.11/0
D. Phillips n 861.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
C. Piergianni n 884.4
1.37/2
00/0
T. Vancooten n 882.5
0.32/0
00/0
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Stevenage — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Marschall n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Freestone n 889.1
00/0
00/0
D. Phillips n 861.9
00/0
00/0
C. Piergianni n 884.4
00/0
00/0
T. Vancooten n 882.5
00/0
00/0
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Doncaster

Doncaster Goalkeeper

Doncaster — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Tommy Simkin290180 min31.5 /9021 /9000 /90
J. Clarke19090 min55 /9033 /9000 /90

Doncaster Defensive

Doncaster — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. McGrath390270 min31 /9010.3 /9020.7 /90155 /9010.3 /9000 /90
J. Sterry375225 min41.6 /9010.4 /9020.8 /90114.4 /9052 /9000 /90
N. Byrne290180 min10.5 /9042 /9010.5 /9094.5 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Grehan285169 min00 /9052.7 /9031.6 /9073.7 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
J. Senior390270 min144.7 /9031 /9010.3 /90196.3 /9010.3 /9000 /90
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Doncaster — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. McGrath n 870.6
1.14/3
0.32/0
—
J. Senior n 890
0.53/1
1.35/2
—
A. May n 868.4
0.53/0
2.16/4
—
O. Bailey n 884.4
1.56/4
1.57/4
—
J. Sterry n 875.5
1.35/3
1.55/4
—
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Doncaster — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Senior n 890
2.87/6
J. McGrath n 870.6
0.85/0
A. May n 868.4
27/3
O. Bailey n 884.4
1.36/3
J. Sterry n 875.5
0.95/1
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Doncaster Attacking

Doncaster — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. May382246 min00 /9000 /9062.2 /9041.5 /9031.1 /9020.7 /90
I. Hutchinson351152 min10.6 /9000 /9053 /9021.2 /9021.2 /9010.6 /90
H. Adelakun267133 min00 /9000 /9021.4 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9021.4 /90
B. Hanlan23467 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
L. Ayinde22957 min00 /9000 /9011.6 /9011.6 /9011.6 /9000 /90
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Doncaster — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Senior n 890
0.63/2
0.32/0
J. McGrath n 870.6
0.32/0
0.21/0
A. May n 868.4
2.58/4
1.24/3
O. Bailey n 884.4
1.25/3
0.32/0
J. Sterry n 875.5
0.31/1
0.31/1
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Doncaster — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Doncaster before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Senior n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. McGrath n 870.6
00/0
00/0
A. May n 868.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
O. Bailey n 884.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Sterry n 875.5
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
StevenageDoncaster
46%Possession54%
0.47Expected goals (xG)0.65
9Shots12
5Shots on target4
2Shots off target1
2Blocked shots7
7Shots inside the box6
9Corners9
3Offsides1
9Fouls16
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves3
307Passes357
68%Pass accuracy71%

Stevenage Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Freestone9000000507.2
F. Marschall9000001006
T. Vancooten9000000106.5
C. Piergianni9000210006.6
D. Phillips9000002006.9
D. Kemp9000000006.7
L. James-Wildin9000000106.9
P. Patterson8902214007.3
J. Roberts7100110106.6
J. Magennis7110110007.5
L. Thompson7100000106.9
T. Taylor sub1900000106.7
O. Sanderson sub1910111007.6
M. Mellon sub1900000006.7
S. Earley sub10000000–

Doncaster Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Senior90101101Y6.6
A. May9000111006.2
R. Gotts9000001307.2
N. Byrne9000000006.5
O. Bailey9010112007
Tommy Simkin9000000006
T. O'Reilly6400000106.3
J. McGrath64000001Y6.7
I. Hutchinson64001010Y6.3
D. Robinson6300001006.2
H. Adelakun4500000006.7
B. McCann4401001006.2
Bayley McCann sub4501001005.9
G. Broadbent sub2700000006.3
L. Ayinde sub2600110006.2
S. Grehan sub2600000106.3
B. Hanlan sub2600000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Stevenage v Doncaster — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
StevenageLWDLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
DoncasterWDLDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Stevenage 2 · 2 draws · Doncaster 0 · 1 goals/game
  • 2026-04-25 Doncaster 1–1 Stevenage
  • 2025-11-22 Stevenage 0–0 Doncaster
  • 2023-04-18 Stevenage 1–0 Doncaster
  • 2022-10-25 Doncaster 0–1 Stevenage
League standing · 2026/27
Stevenage#16 pos16 pts12 pl+4 GD
Doncaster#20 pos12 pts13 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
Stevenage scored1.42
Doncaster scored1.08
Stevenage conceded1.08
Doncaster conceded1.69

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Stevenage v Doncaster?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Stevenage v Doncaster was Draw or Away (best price 1.65 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Stevenage and Doncaster?
In their last 4 meetings, Stevenage won 2, Doncaster won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Stevenage and Doncaster?
Recent form — Stevenage 1W 1D 3L; Doncaster 1W 2D 2L.

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