Stevenage v Sheffield Wednesday prediction

League One · Tue, 24 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT · The Lamex Stadium

Updated 1 Nov 2026, 15:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Stevenage · Sheffield Wednesday

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Stevenage v Sheffield Wednesday, League One on Tue, 24 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68% of 1465 landed (95% range 65.6–70.3%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Stevenage host Sheffield Wednesday in League One on Tuesday 24 November (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Sheffield Wednesday, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Sheffield Wednesday are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Stevenage’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Stevenage’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Stevenage have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.29. Stevenage have scored 17 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Stevenage have conceded 13 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Six of Sheffield Wednesday’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Sheffield Wednesday’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Sheffield Wednesday have three wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.50. Sheffield Wednesday have scored 22 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). Sheffield Wednesday have conceded 14 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Stevenage (16th) and Sheffield Wednesday (ninth) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Stevenage the stronger side, 58 rating points above Sheffield Wednesday (Stevenage 1533, Sheffield Wednesday 1475, after at least 109 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Stevenage XI (4-4-2): T. Setford, T. Vancooten, C. Piergianni, S. Earley, L. James-Wildin, D. Phillips, L. Thompson, O. Sanderson, B. Broggio, J. Magennis, D. Kemp — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Daniel Kemp (3.7 per match over 13 appearances, four goals and two assists) and Joshua Magennis (3.5 per match over 14 appearances, four goals and four assists) have been Stevenage’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Stevenage (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Daniel Kemp averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 1067 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Joshua Magennis averages 1.2 shots per 90 over 980 minutes, with a shot in four of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Sheffield Wednesday XI (4-2-3-1): A. Maynard-Brewer, Y. Valery, R. James, L. Cooper, E. Weaver, B. Bannan, D. Keillor-Dunn, C. Slattery, B. Mitchell, J. Heskey, M. Burstow — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Callum Slattery (4.5 per match over 13 appearances, three goals and two assists) and Davis Keillor-Dunn (4.0 per match over nine appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Sheffield Wednesday’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sheffield Wednesday (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Callum Slattery averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1099 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Davis Keillor-Dunn averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 669 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Tue, 24 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT · League One · The Lamex Stadium
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Stevenage 2W 1D 2L · Sheffield Wednesday 1W 2D 2L

Stevenage v Sheffield Wednesday (League One): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.13

Goals

against 1 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.63 / 5.38

Corners

against 6.88 / 6.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4 / 4.88

Shots on target

against 2.75 / 4.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 2.38

Cards

against 1.5 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Stevenage for / against	Line	Sheffield Wednesday for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.13 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.63 for · 6.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.38 for · 6.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.13 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.13 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.88 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.38 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.63 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Stevenage

Stevenage Goalkeeper

Stevenage — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Tommy Setford	8	90720 min	131.6 /90	40.5 /90	00 /90
F. Marschall	5	90450 min	102 /90	91.8 /90	00 /90

Stevenage — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Tommy Setford n 8	90	1.6 3/2
F. Marschall n 8	90	2.1 5/2

Stevenage Defensive

Stevenage — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Piergianni	14	871215 min	241.8 /90	191.4 /90	80.6 /90	1128.3 /90	181.3 /90	40.3 /90
T. Vancooten	14	861200 min	221.7 /90	151.1 /90	50.4 /90	695.2 /90	90.7 /90	10.1 /90
L. James-Wildin	11	87962 min	252.3 /90	181.7 /90	10.1 /90	605.6 /90	141.3 /90	30.3 /90
L. Freestone	9	89803 min	222.5 /90	50.6 /90	40.4 /90	495.5 /90	70.8 /90	30.3 /90
S. Earley	7	77537 min	132.2 /90	50.8 /90	10.2 /90	498.2 /90	91.5 /90	10.2 /90
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Stevenage — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Piergianni n 8	90	1.1 6/3	0.8 4/1	—
T. Vancooten n 8	90	0.8 4/1	0.9 4/3	—
D. Phillips n 8	83.5	2 6/5	0.8 4/2	—
J. Magennis n 8	77.6	1.6 5/3	1.3 6/3	—
D. Kemp n 8	86	0.8 4/1	1 5/1	—
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Stevenage — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Piergianni n 8	90	2.1 7/5
T. Vancooten n 8	90	1.4 5/4
D. Phillips n 8	83.5	2.8 7/5
J. Magennis n 8	77.6	0 0/0
D. Kemp n 8	86	0.4 2/1
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Stevenage Attacking

Stevenage — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Magennis	14	65910 min	40.4 /90	40.4 /90	121.2 /90	60.6 /90	181.8 /90	50.5 /90
D. Kemp	13	821067 min	40.3 /90	20.2 /90	231.9 /90	90.8 /90	322.7 /90	90.8 /90
B. Broggio	9	44397 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	81.8 /90	40.9 /90	20.5 /90	40.9 /90
M. Mellon	9	35315 min	20.6 /90	10.3 /90	102.9 /90	41.1 /90	30.9 /90	51.4 /90
J. Reid	3	80239 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.1 /90	31.1 /90	10.4 /90	20.8 /90
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Stevenage — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Piergianni n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
T. Vancooten n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.3 2/0
D. Phillips n 8	83.5	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
J. Magennis n 8	77.6	1.3 5/1	0.6 3/1
D. Kemp n 8	86	2 8/4	0.9 6/1
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Stevenage — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stevenage before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Piergianni n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Vancooten n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
D. Phillips n 8	83.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Magennis n 8	77.6	0.3 2/0	0.4 3/0
D. Kemp n 8	86	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0
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Sheffield Wednesday

Sheffield Wednesday Goalkeeper

Sheffield Wednesday — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Lumley	10	91907 min	232.3 /90	101 /90	00 /90
A. Maynard-Brewer	5	90450 min	153 /90	20.4 /90	00 /90

Sheffield Wednesday — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Wednesday before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Lumley n 8	90	2.5 6/3
A. Maynard-Brewer n 5	90	3 4/3

Sheffield Wednesday Defensive

Sheffield Wednesday — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Y. Valery	13	871126 min	292.3 /90	161.3 /90	00 /90	715.7 /90	90.7 /90	10.1 /90
G. Otegbayo	11	59646 min	60.8 /90	40.6 /90	40.6 /90	334.6 /90	121.7 /90	10.1 /90
R. James	10	87866 min	151.6 /90	121.2 /90	50.5 /90	293 /90	70.7 /90	30.3 /90
L. Cooper	10	78781 min	40.5 /90	212.4 /90	141.6 /90	708.1 /90	80.9 /90	20.2 /90
M. Lowe	9	68616 min	202.9 /90	121.8 /90	30.4 /90	466.7 /90	40.6 /90	00 /90
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Sheffield Wednesday — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Wednesday before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
B. Bannan n 8	80.6	0.7 4/1	0.1 1/0	—
Y. Valery n 8	85.5	0.4 2/1	0.8 5/1	—
C. Slattery n 8	80.3	2.1 7/4	2.5 7/6	—
B. Mitchell n 8	65.6	0.5 2/1	0.7 2/1	—
Mason Paul James Burstow n 8	57.1	1.4 5/1	0.6 2/1	—
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Sheffield Wednesday — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Wednesday before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Bannan n 8	80.6	0.7 4/1
Y. Valery n 8	85.5	2.4 6/6
C. Slattery n 8	80.3	2.1 6/5
B. Mitchell n 8	65.6	2.4 8/5
Mason Paul James Burstow n 8	57.1	0.8 3/1
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Sheffield Wednesday Attacking

Sheffield Wednesday — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Mason Paul James Burstow	12	60721 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	243 /90	141.7 /90	81 /90	10.1 /90
J. Lowe	11	75822 min	60.7 /90	20.2 /90	222.4 /90	141.5 /90	111.2 /90	20.2 /90
Ali Al Hamadi	5	42212 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.7 /90	20.8 /90	31.3 /90	10.4 /90
B. Bannan	15	781165 min	10.1 /90	20.2 /90	120.9 /90	60.5 /90	161.2 /90	60.5 /90
C. Slattery	13	851099 min	30.2 /90	20.2 /90	181.5 /90	50.4 /90	181.5 /90	80.7 /90
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Sheffield Wednesday — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Wednesday before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
B. Bannan n 8	80.6	0.8 5/1	0.4 2/1
Y. Valery n 8	85.5	0.7 3/2	0.3 2/0
C. Slattery n 8	80.3	1.4 5/3	0.4 2/1
B. Mitchell n 8	65.6	0.5 2/1	0 0/0
Mason Paul James Burstow n 8	57.1	3.7 8/5	2.2 6/3
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Sheffield Wednesday — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Wednesday before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. Bannan n 8	80.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Y. Valery n 8	85.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Slattery n 8	80.3	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
B. Mitchell n 8	65.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Mason Paul James Burstow n 8	57.1	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Stevenage v Sheffield Wednesday — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

StevenageWLWLD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game

Sheffield WednesdayWLLDD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Stevenage#16 pos16 pts12 pl+4 GD

Sheffield Wednesday#9 pos20 pts13 pl+8 GD

Goals per game

Stevenage scored1.42

Sheffield Wednesday scored1.69

Stevenage conceded1.08

Sheffield Wednesday conceded1.08

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Stevenage v Sheffield Wednesday?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Stevenage v Sheffield Wednesday is Draw or Away.
What is the recent form of Stevenage and Sheffield Wednesday?: Recent form — Stevenage 2W 1D 2L; Sheffield Wednesday 1W 2D 2L.

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