Stevenage v Wigan result
Team pages: Stevenage · Wigan · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Stevenage 1–0 Wigan — Stevenage won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home fouls total over 9.5.
The result
Stevenage beat Wigan 1–0 at The Lamex Stadium in League One on Saturday 10 October.
Wigan have scored five goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games, ranked per game).
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Stevenage: Wanya Marçal (60’, assisted by Joshua Magennis).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Wanya Marçal’s goal on 60 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Stevenage 2.08, Wigan 0.19, from 15 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
The bookings — Wigan: Finley Burns (28’), Charlie Gray (53’), Reggie Walsh (69’) and James Carragher (90+4’).
What it changes
Stevenage move up from 10th to ninth (eight league matches played). Stevenage have scored 12 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games, ranked per game). Stevenage have conceded eight goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs.
Wigan stay 24th after this result (eight league matches played). Wigan have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games, ranked per game).
Wigan are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Wigan have failed to score in their last four matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Wanya Marçal (Stevenage) 6.8, Joseph Whitworth (Wigan) 5.9 and S. Earley (Stevenage) 5.7 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Stevenage fouls total over 9.5, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.
Next up
Stevenage next host Mansfield Town on 14 November 2026.
Wigan next host Barnsley on 14 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Stevenage: Stevenage v Mansfield Town, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Wigan: Wigan v Barnsley, Saturday 14 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Stevenage 1–0 Wigan · League One
- Venue: The Lamex Stadium · Stevenage, Hertfordshire
- Referee: Abigail Byrne
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Stevenage 3 · draws 2 · Wigan 1 · 1.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Stevenage 2W 2D 1L · Wigan 1W 1D 3L
Stevenage 1–0 Wigan (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Stevenage for / against | Line | Wigan for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.25our book | 0.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.25 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.71 for · 5.57 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10.75 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14.71 for · 13.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.75 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.14 for · 3.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.86 for · 10.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.57 for · 2 against n 7 Last 5 |
Referee: Abigail Byrne.
Stevenage
Stevenage Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Marschall | 5 | 90450 min | 102 /90 | 91.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Tommy Setford | 3 | 90270 min | 31 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| F. Marschall n 8 | 90 | 2.1 |
| Tommy Setford n 3 | 90 | 1 |
Stevenage Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Freestone | 9 | 89803 min | 222.5 /90 | 50.6 /90 | 40.4 /90 | 495.5 /90 | 70.8 /90 | 30.3 /90 |
| C. Piergianni | 9 | 85765 min | 172 /90 | 141.6 /90 | 80.9 /90 | 799.3 /90 | 131.5 /90 | 30.4 /90 |
| T. Vancooten | 9 | 83750 min | 161.9 /90 | 101.2 /90 | 40.5 /90 | 455.4 /90 | 40.5 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| L. James-Wildin | 7 | 90630 min | 152.1 /90 | 131.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 385.4 /90 | 121.7 /90 | 30.4 /90 |
| Jack Taylor | 1 | 9090 min | 22 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 66 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Freestone n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0.5 | — |
| D. Phillips n 8 | 86.6 | 1.8 | 1 | — |
| C. Piergianni n 8 | 84.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 | — |
| T. Vancooten n 8 | 82.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | — |
| D. Kemp n 8 | 77.3 | 1 | 1.5 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Freestone n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
| D. Phillips n 8 | 86.6 | 3.5 |
| C. Piergianni n 8 | 84.4 | 2.1 |
| T. Vancooten n 8 | 82.5 | 2 |
| D. Kemp n 8 | 77.3 | 0.4 |
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Stevenage Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kemp | 9 | 79708 min | 40.5 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 131.7 /90 | 50.6 /90 | 162 /90 | 50.6 /90 |
| J. Magennis | 9 | 56501 min | 30.5 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 50.9 /90 | 30.5 /90 | 91.6 /90 | 20.4 /90 |
| M. Mellon | 5 | 24121 min | 10.7 /90 | 00 /90 | 53.7 /90 | 32.2 /90 | 10.7 /90 | 32.2 /90 |
| B. Broggio | 4 | 33133 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.7 /90 | 10.7 /90 | 10.7 /90 | 21.4 /90 |
| J. Reid | 3 | 80239 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 31.1 /90 | 31.1 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 20.8 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Freestone n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| D. Phillips n 8 | 86.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| C. Piergianni n 8 | 84.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| T. Vancooten n 8 | 82.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| D. Kemp n 8 | 77.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Freestone n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Phillips n 8 | 86.6 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Piergianni n 8 | 84.4 | 0 | 0 |
| T. Vancooten n 8 | 82.5 | 0.1 | 0 |
| D. Kemp n 8 | 77.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
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Wigan
Wigan Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Whitworth | 4 | 90360 min | 112.8 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| J. Walsh | 3 | 90270 min | 41.3 /90 | 62 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Whitworth n 4 | 90 | 2.8 |
| J. Walsh n 3 | 90 | 1.3 |
Wigan Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mellish | 7 | 68479 min | 71.3 /90 | 40.8 /90 | 40.8 /90 | 244.5 /90 | 91.7 /90 | 20.4 /90 |
| F. Burns | 6 | 82489 min | 30.6 /90 | 81.5 /90 | 30.6 /90 | 295.3 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| J. Carragher | 6 | 81484 min | 61.1 /90 | 50.9 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 142.6 /90 | 101.9 /90 | 30.6 /90 |
| C. Barrett | 6 | 42253 min | 72.5 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 145 /90 | 51.8 /90 | 20.7 /90 |
| M. Fox | 5 | 90450 min | 71.4 /90 | 30.6 /90 | 30.6 /90 | 224.4 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Power n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 1.4 | — |
| J. Weir n 8 | 88.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 | — |
| J. Mellish n 8 | 70.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | — |
| D. Costelloe n 8 | 65.6 | 1.4 | 0.9 | — |
| S. Perkins n 7 | 65 | 2.4 | 0.8 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Power n 8 | 90 | 1.3 |
| J. Weir n 8 | 88.6 | 0.6 |
| J. Mellish n 8 | 70.5 | 1.3 |
| D. Costelloe n 8 | 65.6 | 0.9 |
| S. Perkins n 7 | 65 | 0.8 |
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Wigan Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Costelloe | 7 | 66465 min | 00 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 122.3 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 122.3 /90 | 51 /90 |
| S. Perkins | 7 | 65455 min | 10.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 142.8 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| B. Burrows | 3 | 35106 min | 00 /90 | 10.8 /90 | 10.8 /90 | 00 /90 | 32.5 /90 | 10.8 /90 |
| C. Sze | 2 | 53105 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.9 /90 | 10.9 /90 | 21.7 /90 | 21.7 /90 |
| Akeel Higgins | 2 | 4895 min | 10.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 32.8 /90 | 10.9 /90 | 10.9 /90 | 10.9 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Power n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| J. Weir n 8 | 88.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| J. Mellish n 8 | 70.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| D. Costelloe n 8 | 65.6 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| S. Perkins n 7 | 65 | 2.8 | 0.4 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Power n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| J. Weir n 8 | 88.6 | 0.3 | 0 |
| J. Mellish n 8 | 70.5 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Costelloe n 8 | 65.6 | 0 | 0.2 |
| S. Perkins n 7 | 65 | 0.2 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Stevenage | Wigan | |
|---|---|---|
| 40% | Possession | 60% |
| 2.08 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.19 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 7 | Shots off target | 2 |
| 2 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 11 | Shots inside the box | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 2 | Offsides | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 5 |
| 342 | Passes | 500 |
Stevenage Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Setford | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
| T. Vancooten | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| L. James-Wildin | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6.9 |
| C. Piergianni | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.1 |
| D. Phillips | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| S. Earley | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| D. Kemp | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Wanya Marçal | 79 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8.2 |
| J. Magennis | 79 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.1 |
| M. Smith | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.2 |
| O. Sanderson | 66 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| L. Thompson | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 |
| B. Broggio | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Mellon | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 |
| P. Patterson | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
Wigan Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Whitworth | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.6 |
| J. Carragher | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6 |
| F. Burns | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.8 |
| C. Barrett | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Charlie Gray | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | Y | 6.2 |
| M. Power | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.4 |
| S. Hogan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.4 |
| J. Mellish | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| J. Weir | 85 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| J. Chilokoa-Mullen | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.7 |
| B. Burrows | 64 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| R. Walsh | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.1 |
| F. Murray | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| S. Perkins | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Archie Harris | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Stevenage v Wigan — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-05-02 Stevenage 1–0 Wigan
- 2025-11-29 Wigan 0–0 Stevenage
- 2025-01-18 Stevenage 1–2 Wigan
- 2024-09-24 Wigan 0–0 Stevenage
- 2024-01-27 Wigan 2–3 Stevenage
- 2023-10-07 Stevenage 1–0 Wigan
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Stevenage v Wigan?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Stevenage v Wigan was Home fouls total over 9.5.
- What is the head-to-head record between Stevenage and Wigan?
- In their last 6 meetings, Stevenage won 3, Wigan won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Stevenage and Wigan?
- Recent form — Stevenage 2W 2D 1L; Wigan 1W 1D 3L.
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