WycombeRotherham

Wycombe v Rotherham result

Full-time · Wycombe 3–2 Rotherham

League One ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Wycombe · Rotherham · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Wycombe 3–2 Rotherham — Wycombe won this League One match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Wycombe beat Rotherham 3–2 in League One on Saturday 2 May. Wycombe are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Rotherham, every meeting checked.

The goals

It was 2–2 at half-time. The goals — Wycombe: Taylor Allen (11’, assisted by Jamie Mullins), Bradley Fink (25’, assisted by Armando Quitirna) and M. Olabiyi (90’, assisted by Declan Skura); Rotherham: J. Holmes (17’, assisted by Joe Rafferty; 22’, assisted by Harry Gray).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with M. Olabiyi’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Wycombe 2.96, Rotherham 0.71, from 20 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

H. Blair showed three yellow cards — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Wycombe: Ewan Henderson (45+9’); Rotherham: D. Yearwood (1’) and Harry Gray (76’).

What it changes

Wycombe move up from 12th to 10th (46 league matches played).

Rotherham move down from 22nd to 23rd (46 league matches played).

Rotherham are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jamie Mullins (Wycombe) 9.8, J. Holmes (Rotherham) 9.1 and Declan Skura (Wycombe) 7.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.5% of the time in the last 90 days (346 of 505).

Next up

Wycombe next host Huddersfield on 14 November 2026.

Rotherham next host Crawley Town on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Wycombe: Wycombe v Huddersfield, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Rotherham: Rotherham v Crawley Town, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Wycombe 3–2 Rotherham · League One
  • Referee: H. Blair
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Wycombe 3 · draws 3 · Rotherham 0 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Wycombe 0W 1D 4L · Rotherham 1W 1D 3L

Wycombe 3–2 Rotherham (League One): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 0.5
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
7.25 / 3.63
Corners
against 5.88 / 5.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 2.5
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.75 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameWycombe for / againstLineRotherham for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
3our book
0.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
7.25 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
3.63 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
14.38 for · 13.25 against n 8
19.5standard
10.13 for · 10.75 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
2.5 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.13 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
12 for · 13.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: H. Blair.

Wycombe

Wycombe Defensive

Wycombe — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wycombe before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Harvie n 890
15/2
0.64/1
J. Baptiste
F. Onyedinma n 883.6
2.28/6
1.77/6
—
J. Grimmer n 888.1
0.64/1
0.54/0
—
C. Woodrow n 869.1
15/1
1.65/4
—
W. Norris n 890
00/0
00/0
—
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Wycombe — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wycombe before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Harvie n 890
1.46/3
F. Onyedinma n 883.6
0.53/1
J. Grimmer n 888.1
1.76/4
C. Woodrow n 869.1
0.73/1
W. Norris n 890
00/0
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Wycombe Attacking

Wycombe — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wycombe before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Harvie n 890
0.63/1
0.32/0
F. Onyedinma n 883.6
1.96/3
1.15/1
J. Grimmer n 888.1
0.53/1
00/0
C. Woodrow n 869.1
2.47/4
1.36/2
W. Norris n 890
00/0
00/0
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Wycombe — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wycombe before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Harvie n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Onyedinma n 883.6
0.11/0
00/0
J. Grimmer n 888.1
00/0
0.11/0
C. Woodrow n 869.1
0.53/0
0.21/0
W. Norris n 890
00/0
00/0
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Rotherham

Rotherham Defensive

Rotherham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Rafferty n 882.1
0.54/0
0.84/1
—
A. Martha n 848.8
1.84/2
0.52/0
—
R. James n 888.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
—
J. Baptiste n 878.5
1.65/3
0.74/1
D. Harvie
Daniel Gore n 881.6
1.45/4
1.56/4
—
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Rotherham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Rafferty n 882.1
1.67/3
A. Martha n 848.8
0.93/1
R. James n 888.3
1.57/3
J. Baptiste n 878.5
2.46/4
Daniel Gore n 881.6
1.87/4
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Rotherham Attacking

Rotherham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Rafferty n 882.1
0.32/0
00/0
A. Martha n 848.8
0.52/0
00/0
R. James n 888.3
0.42/1
0.31/1
J. Baptiste n 878.5
0.43/0
0.11/0
Daniel Gore n 881.6
0.32/0
00/0
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Rotherham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Rafferty n 882.1
00/0
00/0
A. Martha n 848.8
00/0
00/0
R. James n 888.3
00/0
00/0
J. Baptiste n 878.5
00/0
00/0
Daniel Gore n 881.6
00/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
WycombeRotherham
54%Possession46%
2.96Expected goals (xG)0.71
20Shots6
9Shots on target3
3Shots off target2
8Blocked shots1
16Shots inside the box2
14Corners1
3Offsides4
14Fouls13
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves6
392Passes344
78%Pass accuracy73%

Wycombe Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Mikki Avelon Leander van Sas9000000006.2
D. Skura9001221106.7
D. Harvie9000000106
J. Scowen9000102306.9
Jamie Mullins9001224407.7
B. Fink9010330007.9
Armando Quitirna7801103107.7
T. Allen7810211007.3
C. Taylor6800002006.5
F. Onyedinma6800001006.5
E. Henderson59000020Y6.2
A. Morley sub3100001006.6
Jack Matton sub2200000006.6
André Vidigal sub2200000006.3
Micah Olabiyi sub1210110107.6
Mohamed Keita sub1200000006.7

Rotherham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Cann9000000007
J. Baptiste9000000206.3
Z. Jules9000000005.9
R. James9000000005.7
Daniel Gore9000001206.9
D. Yearwood90000003Y6.6
H. Gray90011012Y6.2
S. Nombe9000000006.3
J. Rafferty8901001006.7
J. Holmes8920220008.3
A. Martha6800110106.5
J. Benson sub2200100006.5
J. Hugill sub10000000–
James Clarke sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Wycombe v Rotherham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
WycombeLLDLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 1.4 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
RotherhamLLWLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Wycombe 3 · 3 draws · Rotherham 0 · 2 goals/game
  • 2025-11-29 Rotherham 1–1 Wycombe
  • 2025-03-18 Rotherham 2–3 Wycombe
  • 2024-08-24 Wycombe 2–0 Rotherham
  • 2022-03-12 Wycombe 0–0 Rotherham
  • 2021-10-19 Rotherham 0–0 Wycombe
  • 2021-04-05 Rotherham 0–3 Wycombe
League standing · 2025/26
Wycombe#11 pos63 pts46 pl+11 GD
Rotherham#23 pos41 pts46 pl-30 GD
Goals per game
Wycombe scored1.5
Rotherham scored0.89
Wycombe conceded1.26
Rotherham conceded1.54

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Wycombe v Rotherham?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Wycombe v Rotherham was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Wycombe and Rotherham?
In their last 6 meetings, Wycombe won 3, Rotherham won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Wycombe and Rotherham?
Recent form — Wycombe 0W 1D 4L; Rotherham 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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