GrimsbyNorthampton

Grimsby v Northampton result

Full-time · Grimsby 0–2 Northampton

League Two · · Blundell Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Grimsby · Northampton · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Grimsby 0–2 Northampton — Northampton won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.23 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1739 landed (95% range 74.3–78.3%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Northampton won 2–0 at Blundell Park in League Two on Saturday 17 October.

Northampton have scored nine goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game).

The goals

Northampton led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Northampton: Matthew Warhurst (34’, assisted by Lee Evans) and Jonathan Guthrie (58’, assisted by Elliott Moore). Edon Pruti (61’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jonathan Guthrie’s goal on 58 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Grimsby 2.24, Northampton 2.28, from 13 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. Woods showed seven yellow cards and one red — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition).

What it changes

Grimsby move down from ninth to 15th (11 league matches played). Grimsby have scored 24 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Grimsby have conceded 18 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Northampton move up from 23rd to 20th (nine league matches played). Northampton have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game).

Grimsby have lost their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Géza Turi (Grimsby) 9.2, Jonathan Guthrie (Northampton) 8.3 and Matthew Warhurst (Northampton) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Grimsby or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.4% of the time in the last 90 days (1328 of 1739).

Next up

Grimsby next travel to Stafford Rangers on 8 November 2026.

Northampton next travel to York on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Grimsby: Stafford Rangers v Grimsby, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Northampton: York v Northampton, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Grimsby 0–2 Northampton · League Two
  • Venue: Blundell Park · Cleethorpes, North East Lincolnshire
  • Referee: M. Woods
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Grimsby 1 · draws 3 · Northampton 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Grimsby 2W 0D 3L · Northampton 1W 2D 2L

Grimsby 0–2 Northampton (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 0.5
Goals
against 1.38 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
6.75 / 5
Corners
against 5.63 / 4 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5 / 3.38
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 3 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 1.63
Cards
against 3.25 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.67 yellows
Referee · M. Woods
21.67 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameGrimsby for / againstLineNorthampton for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.75our book
0.5 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
6.75 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
14.88 for · 10.13 against n 8
19.5standard
10.5 for · 10.38 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
3.38 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.88 for · 12.5 against n 8
21.5standard
11.5 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 3.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: M. Woods — 3.67 yellow cards a game, 0.33 red cards, 21.67 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Grimsby

Grimsby Goalkeeper

Grimsby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Pym985765 min202.4 /9091.1 /9000 /90
D. Harrington290180 min31.5 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Auton14545 min12 /9012 /9000 /90
Grimsby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Pym n 884.4
2.57/2

Grimsby Defensive

Grimsby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. McJannet1190990 min171.5 /9090.8 /9030.3 /90898.1 /90121.1 /9020.2 /90
J. Sweeney1188973 min252.3 /90131.2 /9020.2 /90666.1 /90171.6 /9010.1 /90
H. Rodgers1188968 min80.7 /9050.5 /9020.2 /90585.4 /9040.4 /9010.1 /90
M. Kacurri1090900 min161.6 /90121.2 /9040.4 /90616.1 /90171.7 /9020.2 /90
E. Pruti256112 min21.6 /9054 /9000 /901612.9 /9000 /9000 /90
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Grimsby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. McJannet n 890
15/2
1.35/2
—
J. Sweeney n 887.9
1.56/5
1.78/3
—
H. Rodgers n 887.3
0.43/0
1.57/4
—
K. Green n 888.3
1.15/3
0.54/0
—
C. Vernam n 866.4
0.52/1
1.77/3
—
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Grimsby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. McJannet n 890
1.55/5
J. Sweeney n 887.9
1.34/3
H. Rodgers n 887.3
0.95/2
K. Green n 888.3
0.94/2
C. Vernam n 866.4
1.25/2
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Grimsby Attacking

Grimsby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Iwan Morgan1138415 min10.2 /9020.4 /90132.8 /9030.7 /90112.4 /90153.3 /90
A. Cook1074743 min20.2 /9000 /90202.4 /90101.2 /9091.1 /9050.6 /90
S. Finch657343 min00 /9000 /9082.1 /9030.8 /9010.3 /9000 /90
J. Andrews21631 min00 /9000 /9025.8 /9000 /9012.9 /9000 /90
K. Green1187955 min30.3 /9020.2 /9070.7 /9030.3 /90181.7 /9030.3 /90
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Grimsby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. McJannet n 890
0.11/0
00/0
J. Sweeney n 887.9
0.54/0
0.11/0
H. Rodgers n 887.3
0.65/0
0.32/0
K. Green n 888.3
0.84/2
0.43/0
C. Vernam n 866.4
2.77/6
1.76/4
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Grimsby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. McJannet n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Sweeney n 887.9
00/0
0.11/0
H. Rodgers n 887.3
00/0
0.11/0
K. Green n 888.3
0.43/0
0.32/0
C. Vernam n 866.4
00/0
0.21/0
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Northampton

Northampton Goalkeeper

Northampton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Z. Jeacock991819 min192.1 /9080.9 /9000 /90
Northampton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Z. Jeacock n 890
2.16/2

Northampton Defensive

Northampton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Moore991819 min50.5 /90111.2 /9070.8 /90414.5 /9060.7 /9000 /90
J. Guthrie991819 min91 /90131.4 /9070.8 /90545.9 /9040.4 /9000 /90
J. Maxwell791639 min131.8 /9081.1 /9010.1 /90354.9 /9030.4 /9010.1 /90
J. Donacien575374 min133.1 /9051.2 /9010.2 /90256 /9020.5 /9000 /90
M. Dyche536182 min00 /9031.5 /9021 /90125.9 /9042 /9021 /90
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Northampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Moore n 890
0.64/1
0.52/1
—
J. Guthrie n 890
0.54/0
0.53/1
—
Z. Jeacock n 890
00/0
0.54/0
—
T. Fornah n 880.9
15/2
13/2
—
J. Wormleighton n 875.4
1.87/4
1.86/5
—
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Northampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Guthrie n 890
1.16/2
E. Moore n 890
0.64/1
T. Fornah n 880.9
1.35/2
J. Wormleighton n 875.4
3.97/6
J. Maxwell n 791.3
1.86/5
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Northampton Attacking

Northampton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Matthew Warhurst753368 min00 /9000 /9020.5 /9010.2 /9030.7 /9030.7 /90
N. Opoku661368 min10.2 /9000 /9051.2 /9030.7 /9000 /9082 /90
H. Saunders659356 min00 /9000 /90112.8 /9051.3 /9010.3 /9041 /90
C. Lemonheigh-Evans579394 min00 /9000 /9030.7 /9030.7 /9010.2 /9051.1 /90
O. Dale369207 min00 /9000 /9062.6 /9031.3 /9041.7 /9052.2 /90
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Northampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Moore n 890
0.63/2
00/0
J. Guthrie n 890
0.54/0
0.32/0
Z. Jeacock n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Fornah n 880.9
0.32/0
00/0
J. Wormleighton n 875.4
00/0
00/0
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Northampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Moore n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Guthrie n 890
00/0
00/0
Z. Jeacock n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Fornah n 880.9
00/0
00/0
J. Wormleighton n 875.4
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
GrimsbyNorthampton
52%Possession48%
2.24Expected goals (xG)2.28
13Shots10
3Shots on target6
9Shots off target2
1Blocked shots2
11Shots inside the box9
3Corners7
3Offsides2
9Fouls16
4Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
4Saves3
390Passes378

Grimsby Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Green9000210005.9
M. Kacurri9000000106.7
H. Rodgers9000100006.1
G. Turi9000002706.5
C. Pym90000000Y6.2
Justin Amaluzor7800211006
Iwan Morgan7800212006.7
J. Walker78001012Y6.3
C. Vernam66001021Y6
E. Pruti61002000R4.7
D. Tharme49000000Y5.8
J. Foulkes4100000006.4
F. Cartwright2400100306.3
A. Cook1200100006.1
Cian Doyle1200001006.2
S. Finch1200001006.6

Northampton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
O. Dale9000110106.2
L. Evans9001002007.7
C. Lemonheigh-Evans9000101206.4
E. Moore9001111007.7
Z. Jeacock9000000006.8
J. Wormleighton9000000206.6
J. Guthrie90102202Y7.2
J. Donacien8900102107.5
Joshua Alan Powell80000003Y6.6
Matthew Warhurst8010420107.4
J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh5700001006.8
E. List33000001Y6.3
S. Hoskins1000000006.4
J. Maxwell1000000007.1
M. Dyche100000000

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Grimsby v Northampton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GrimsbyWWLLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
NorthamptonDWLLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Grimsby 1 · 3 draws · Northampton 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2023-02-18 Northampton 1–2 Grimsby
  • 2022-08-06 Grimsby 1–1 Northampton
  • 2020-02-29 Grimsby 0–3 Northampton
  • 2019-11-23 Northampton 2–0 Grimsby
  • 2019-03-16 Grimsby 0–0 Northampton
  • 2018-11-24 Northampton 2–2 Grimsby
League standing · 2026/27
Grimsby#6 pos20 pts14 pl+6 GD
Northampton#21 pos14 pts13 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Grimsby scored1.71
Northampton scored0.69
Grimsby conceded1.29
Northampton conceded0.77

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Grimsby v Northampton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Grimsby v Northampton was Home or Draw (best price 1.23 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Grimsby and Northampton?
In their last 6 meetings, Grimsby won 1, Northampton won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Grimsby and Northampton?
Recent form — Grimsby 2W 0D 3L; Northampton 1W 2D 2L.

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