RotherhamChesterfield

Rotherham v Chesterfield result

Full-time · Rotherham 2–1 Chesterfield

League Two · · Aesseal New York Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Rotherham · Chesterfield

The model’s pre-match pick

Rotherham 2–1 Chesterfield — Rotherham won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.33 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Rotherham beat Chesterfield 2–1 at Aesseal New York Stadium in League Two on Saturday 29 August. Rotherham have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Rotherham led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Rotherham: Fábio Tavares (12’, assisted by Ewan Otoo) and Paul Mullin (90’); Chesterfield: Liam Mandeville (88’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Paul Mullin’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Rotherham 2.14, Chesterfield 1.17, from 13 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

S. Stockbridge showed three yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Rotherham: Brandon Ashley Cover (17’) and Jili Buyabu (43’); Chesterfield: Lee Bonis (18’).

What it changes

Rotherham move up from 17th to 11th (three league matches played).

Chesterfield move down from 12th to 17th (three league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Liam Mandeville (Chesterfield) 6.6, Ryan Boot (Chesterfield) 5.9 and Jack Simpson (Chesterfield) 5.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Rotherham or Chesterfield (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Rotherham next host Crawley Town on 14 November 2026.

Chesterfield next travel to Bristol Rovers on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Rotherham: Rotherham v Crawley Town, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Chesterfield: Bristol Rovers v Chesterfield, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Rotherham 2–1 Chesterfield · League Two
  • Venue: Aesseal New York Stadium · Rotherham
  • Referee: S. Stockbridge
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Rotherham 0W 2D 3L · Chesterfield 1W 1D 3L

Rotherham 2–1 Chesterfield (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 0.75
Goals
against 2 / 0.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 4.38
Corners
against 6.88 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 3
Shots on target
against 5.25 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.38 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.71 yellows
Referee · S. Stockbridge
23.57 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameRotherham for / againstLineChesterfield for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 2 against n 8
2.5our book
0.75 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
2.88 for · 6.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.38 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
11.5 for · 12.88 against n 8
19.5standard
12.75 for · 9.5 against n 8
Shots on target
2.88 for · 5.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
13 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
10.5 for · 13.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: S. Stockbridge — 3.71 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 23.57 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Rotherham

Rotherham Goalkeeper

Rotherham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Cann391274 min103.3 /9072.3 /9000 /90
Rotherham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Cann n 890.5
37/3

Rotherham Defensive

Rotherham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Otoo391274 min51.6 /9000 /9020.7 /90175.6 /9010.3 /9000 /90
D. Hall385256 min72.5 /9020.7 /9010.4 /90165.6 /9051.8 /9000 /90
Sonny Aljofree385256 min31.1 /9051.8 /9010.4 /90134.6 /9000 /9000 /90
L. Agbaire279157 min10.6 /9021.1 /9042.3 /90105.7 /9031.7 /9000 /90
J. Rafferty22141 min12.2 /9000 /9000 /9024.4 /9000 /9000 /90
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Rotherham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Spence n 880.9
1.16/1
0.83/1
—
E. Otoo n 391.3
0.31/0
00/0
R. Stirk
T. Cann n 890.5
00/0
0.75/1
—
D. Hall n 858.8
1.55/2
0.42/0
R. Stirk
Sonny Aljofree n 385.3
00/0
0.71/1
L. Gordon
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Rotherham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Spence n 880.9
2.27/7
E. Otoo n 391.3
1.63/2
D. Hall n 858.8
2.98/4
Sonny Aljofree n 385.3
1.13/0
J. Buyabu n 382
1.82/2
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Rotherham Attacking

Rotherham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Mullin376228 min00 /9000 /9072.8 /9031.2 /9020.8 /9010.4 /90
T. Bradshaw22652 min00 /9000 /9023.5 /9011.7 /9000 /9000 /90
K. Spence391274 min00 /9010.3 /9031 /9000 /9051.6 /9020.7 /90
J. Buyabu382246 min10.4 /9000 /9031.1 /9010.4 /9031.1 /9010.4 /90
Fábio Tavares380240 min10.4 /9010.4 /9020.8 /9020.8 /9072.6 /9010.4 /90
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Rotherham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Otoo n 391.3
0.71/1
0.31/0
K. Spence n 880.9
0.63/1
00/0
T. Cann n 890.5
00/0
00/0
D. Hall n 858.8
0.62/1
0.42/0
Sonny Aljofree n 385.3
00/0
00/0
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Rotherham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Otoo n 391.3
0.31/0
00/0
K. Spence n 880.9
00/0
0.11/0
T. Cann n 890.5
00/0
00/0
Sonny Aljofree n 385.3
00/0
00/0
D. Hall n 858.8
00/0
00/0
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Chesterfield

Chesterfield Goalkeeper

Chesterfield — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Boot390270 min93 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Chesterfield — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Boot n 890
2.94/3

Chesterfield Defensive

Chesterfield — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Simpson390270 min41.3 /9031 /9000 /90144.7 /9000 /9010.3 /90
K. McFadzean390270 min51.7 /9062 /9020.7 /90124 /9041.3 /9020.7 /90
L. Gordon387262 min113.8 /9020.7 /9000 /90165.5 /9000 /9000 /90
R. Hutton386257 min72.5 /9010.4 /9000 /90196.7 /9051.8 /9000 /90
R. Stirk390270 min51.7 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90124 /9010.3 /9000 /90
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Chesterfield — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. McFadzean n 880.8
2.48/4
1.44/3
—
R. Stirk n 884
0.53/1
0.96/1
D. Hall
R. Boot n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
J. Simpson n 390
00/0
0.72/0
—
L. Gordon n 881.8
0.11/0
15/2
Sonny Aljofree
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Chesterfield — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Stirk n 884
2.58/4
K. McFadzean n 880.8
1.47/3
J. Simpson n 390
1.33/1
L. Gordon n 881.8
2.25/5
D. Markanday n 881
3.17/5
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Chesterfield Attacking

Chesterfield — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Bonis376227 min10.4 /9000 /9093.6 /9020.8 /9020.8 /9020.8 /90
F. Bryden22243 min00 /9000 /9012.1 /9012.1 /9000 /9000 /90
R. Stirk390270 min00 /9000 /9010.3 /9000 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
D. Markanday386257 min00 /9000 /9041.4 /9000 /9072.5 /9062.1 /90
G. McEachran382246 min00 /9000 /9020.7 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9020.7 /90
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Chesterfield — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Stirk n 884
0.54/0
0.11/0
K. McFadzean n 880.8
0.11/0
00/0
R. Boot n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Simpson n 390
00/0
00/0
L. Gordon n 881.8
0.32/0
00/0
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Chesterfield — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Stirk n 884
0.11/0
00/0
R. Boot n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Simpson n 390
00/0
00/0
K. McFadzean n 880.8
00/0
00/0
L. Gordon n 881.8
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
RotherhamChesterfield
32%Possession68%
2.14Expected goals (xG)1.17
13Shots7
4Shots on target2
5Shots off target3
4Blocked shots2
7Shots inside the box4
2Corners0
1Offsides2
14Fouls11
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves2
295Passes640
61%Pass accuracy79%

Rotherham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Cann9000000006.3
K. Ngwenya9000000006.2
D. Hall9000001406.9
Brandon Ashley Cover90000004Y6.6
Sonny Aljofree9000001306.3
K. Spence9000102206.6
E. Otoo9001003006.2
Fábio Tavares8110520007.7
J. Buyabu64000001Y6.3
T. Bradshaw6400110006.7
J. Buyabu64000001Y6.3
E. Adegboyega5800000107
J. Rafferty sub3200000006.5
P. Mullin sub2610211007.7
J. Austerfield sub2600001006.7
A. Martha sub900000006.2

Chesterfield Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Simpson9000000106.3
R. Stirk9000001106.5
K. McFadzean9000000106.9
L. Mandeville9010210006.9
R. Hutton9000001107.2
R. Boot9000000007.2
G. McEachran8200000205.9
D. Markanday8100100306.6
L. Gordon8100000106.5
J. Koroma7000000106.5
L. Bonis60000010Y6
F. Bryden sub3000210006.9
T. Naylor sub2000001006.5
A. Owolabi-Belewu sub900000006.3
D. Anisjko sub900000006.5
R. Lamptey sub800000106.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Rotherham v Chesterfield — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RotherhamDLLLD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
ChesterfieldLDLLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Rotherham#22 pos12 pts14 pl-7 GD
Chesterfield#10 pos19 pts14 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Rotherham scored1.29
Chesterfield scored1.71
Rotherham conceded1.79
Chesterfield conceded1.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Rotherham v Chesterfield?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rotherham v Chesterfield was Home or Away (best price 1.33 at Bet365).
What is the recent form of Rotherham and Chesterfield?
Recent form — Rotherham 0W 2D 3L; Chesterfield 1W 1D 3L.

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