RotherhamNewport County

Rotherham v Newport County result

Full-time · Rotherham 2–2 Newport County

League Two · · AESSEAL New York Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Rotherham · Newport County

The model’s pre-match pick

Rotherham 2–2 Newport County — this League Two match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.31 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Rotherham and Newport County drew 2–2 at AESSEAL New York Stadium in League Two on Tuesday 20 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Newport County created the better chances, 1.92 xG to 1.44 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

The goals

Rotherham led 2–1 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Rotherham: Paul Mullin (4’ pen) and Aaron Nemane (12’, assisted by Jayce Fitzgerald); Newport County: Harrison Biggins (28’ pen) and Gerard Garner (54’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Gerard Garner’s goal on 54 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Rotherham: Jamie Jellis (16’), Paul Mullin (42’) and Hamish Douglas (89’); Newport County: Gerard Garner (42’).

What it changes

Rotherham move down from 20th to 22nd (12 league matches played). Rotherham have scored 18 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Rotherham have conceded 25 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Newport County stay 11th after this result (12 league matches played). Newport County have scored 20 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Newport County have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Rotherham are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Newport County are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Harrison Biggins (Newport County) 11.4, Aaron Nemane (Rotherham) 7.2 and Jayce Fitzgerald (Rotherham) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Rotherham or Newport County (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Rotherham next travel to Bromley on 7 November 2026.

Newport County next host Walsall on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Rotherham: Bromley v Rotherham, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Newport County: Newport County v Walsall, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Rotherham 2–2 Newport County · League Two
  • Venue: AESSEAL New York Stadium · Rotherham, South Yorkshire
  • Referee: J. Callum
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Rotherham 1W 1D 3L · Newport County 2W 3D 0L

Rotherham 2–2 Newport County (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 0.75
Goals
against 1.75 / 0.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 4.25
Corners
against 5.13 / 3.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 3.38
Shots on target
against 4 / 3.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 1.88
Cards
against 2.63 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameRotherham for / againstLineNewport County for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5our book
0.75 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.25 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
11.38 for · 11.88 against n 8
19.5standard
11.38 for · 13.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
3.38 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.5 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
12.88 for · 15 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2.88 against n 8

Referee: J. Callum.

Rotherham

Rotherham Goalkeeper

Rotherham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Cann691544 min172.8 /90101.7 /9000 /90
J. Eyestone690540 min132.2 /9081.3 /9000 /90
Rotherham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Cann n 890.5
3.17/4
J. Eyestone n 690
2.24/3

Rotherham Defensive

Rotherham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Hall12891066 min231.9 /90181.5 /9040.3 /90564.7 /90110.9 /9010.1 /90
Sonny Aljofree12861029 min131.1 /90171.5 /9070.6 /90554.8 /90100.9 /9020.2 /90
E. Otoo891724 min101.2 /9050.6 /9030.4 /90394.8 /9060.7 /9010.1 /90
K. Ngwenya665390 min30.7 /9020.5 /9000 /90184.2 /9071.6 /9010.2 /90
D. Iorfa583414 min81.7 /9020.4 /9020.4 /90429.1 /9061.3 /9030.7 /90
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Rotherham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Hall n 890
0.85/1
0.11/0
C. Brennan
Sonny Aljofree n 885.4
0.94/2
0.74/1
—
P. Mullin n 874.8
1.56/4
1.15/2
H. Biggins
T. Bradshaw n 836.6
1.83/1
1.54/1
—
Brandon Ashley Cover n 881.9
0.84/2
14/2
—
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Rotherham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Hall n 890
1.56/5
Sonny Aljofree n 885.4
0.96/1
P. Mullin n 874.8
0.53/0
T. Bradshaw n 836.6
00/0
Brandon Ashley Cover n 881.9
2.67/4
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Rotherham Attacking

Rotherham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Mullin1175826 min50.5 /9000 /90192.1 /90111.2 /9080.9 /9030.3 /90
T. Bradshaw1137409 min10.2 /9000 /9061.3 /9040.9 /9030.7 /9000 /90
Fábio Tavares877619 min20.3 /9010.1 /90121.7 /9071 /9081.2 /9040.6 /90
A. Nemane840322 min10.3 /9000 /9020.6 /9020.6 /9020.6 /9030.8 /90
Marvin Marvellous Kaleta251101 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9032.7 /9000 /90
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Rotherham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Hall n 890
0.42/1
00/0
Sonny Aljofree n 885.4
00/0
00/0
P. Mullin n 874.8
1.87/5
1.25/3
T. Bradshaw n 836.6
0.93/0
0.62/0
Brandon Ashley Cover n 881.9
15/2
0.53/1
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Rotherham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rotherham before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Hall n 890
00/0
00/0
Sonny Aljofree n 885.4
00/0
00/0
P. Mullin n 874.8
0.85/0
00/0
T. Bradshaw n 836.6
0.31/0
00/0
Brandon Ashley Cover n 881.9
0.11/0
00/0
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Newport County

Newport County Goalkeeper

Newport County — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Wright1190990 min282.5 /90111 /9000 /90
Newport County — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Wright n 890
2.66/5

Newport County Defensive

Newport County — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Cameron1190990 min191.7 /9070.6 /9070.6 /90524.7 /9070.6 /9000 /90
L. Jenkins1190990 min161.5 /9080.7 /9070.6 /90797.2 /90100.9 /9010.1 /90
C. Norman1188971 min161.5 /9050.5 /9050.5 /90797.3 /90201.9 /9030.3 /90
M. Jacob780557 min101.6 /9061 /9000 /90396.3 /9071.1 /9010.2 /90
Joe Thomas562309 min41.2 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90123.5 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90
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Newport County — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Jenkins n 890
0.64/1
1.15/3
—
K. Cameron n 890
0.63/2
0.64/1
—
J. Wright n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
H. Biggins n 888.8
0.85/1
2.27/6
P. Mullin
C. Brennan n 890
1.46/4
1.15/2
D. Hall
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Newport County — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Cameron n 890
1.88/4
L. Jenkins n 890
1.35/2
H. Biggins n 888.8
0.64/1
C. Brennan n 890
3.58/8
C. Norman n 887.6
1.57/3
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Newport County Attacking

Newport County — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Doidge777541 min20.3 /9020.3 /90111.8 /9030.5 /9050.8 /9000 /90
T. Nyakuhwa340120 min10.8 /9010.8 /9043 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9010.8 /90
K. Etete13838 min12.4 /9000 /9037.1 /9012.4 /9000 /9024.7 /90
H. Biggins1189979 min20.2 /9020.2 /90171.6 /9060.6 /90201.8 /9080.7 /90
C. Brennan1189978 min00 /9010.1 /9050.5 /9030.3 /9030.3 /9030.3 /90
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Newport County — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Jenkins n 890
14/3
0.11/0
K. Cameron n 890
0.64/1
0.32/0
J. Wright n 890
00/0
00/0
H. Biggins n 888.8
1.57/3
0.64/1
C. Brennan n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
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Newport County — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Jenkins n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Cameron n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Wright n 890
00/0
00/0
H. Biggins n 888.8
0.11/0
00/0
C. Brennan n 890
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
RotherhamNewport County
62%Possession38%
1.44Expected goals (xG)1.92
12Shots12
5Shots on target4
4Shots off target7
3Blocked shots1
7Shots inside the box9
2Corners2
2Offsides1
18Fouls16
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves3
393Passes245

Rotherham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Eyestone9000000005.8
D. Iorfa9000111006.6
H. Douglas90000002Y6.2
J. Rafferty9000100206.3
A. Nemane9010111108.1
Jayce Fitzgerald9001101307.1
Jamie Jellis90003020Y6.8
P. Mullin90103321Y7
K. Spence8500100306.4
D. Hall7300000106.1
J. Buyabu6400100106.5
K. Ngwenya1700000106.1
T. Bradshaw500000006.5

Newport County Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Norman9000000106
Joe Thomas9000000206.4
L. Jenkins9000000306
M. Dibley-Dias9000100306.2
K. Cameron9000200006.2
C. Brennan9000100206.1
H. Biggins9011224007.2
J. Wright9000000005.9
G. Garner60101110Y7.7
M. Adu-Poku6000210206.8
M. Smith4500101106.4
Alfie Merritt4500000205.6
K. Etete3000200006.6
Y. Bamba3000000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Rotherham v Newport County — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RotherhamWDLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Newport CountyDWDWD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 0.8 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Rotherham#22 pos12 pts14 pl-7 GD
Newport County#14 pos18 pts14 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Rotherham scored1.29
Newport County scored1.43
Rotherham conceded1.79
Newport County conceded1.21

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Rotherham v Newport County?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rotherham v Newport County was Home or Away (best price 1.31 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Rotherham and Newport County?
Recent form — Rotherham 1W 1D 3L; Newport County 2W 3D 0L.

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