Rotherham v York result
The model’s pre-match pick
Rotherham 1–1 York — this League Two match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.
The result
Rotherham and York drew 1–1 at Aesseal New York Stadium in League Two on Saturday 22 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: York out-shot Rotherham 17 to 10 and created the better chances, 2.23 xG to 0.83 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.
The goals
It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Rotherham: Ewan Otoo (20’, assisted by Kian Spence); York: Alexander Newby (40’, assisted by Harry Boyes).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Alexander Newby’s goal on 40 minutes.
Discipline
D. Bourne showed two yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Rotherham: J. Buyabu (78’) and Brandon Ashley Cover (90+4’).
What it changes
Rotherham move up from 21st to 17th (two league matches played).
York move up from sixth to fourth (shared) (two league matches played).
Rotherham are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Rotherham have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ewan Otoo (Rotherham) 6.8, Alexander Newby (York) 6.7 and Kian Spence (Rotherham) 5.5 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, the draw or York, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (975 of 1431).
Next up
Rotherham next host Crawley Town on 14 November 2026.
York next travel to Rochdale on 14 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Rotherham: Rotherham v Crawley Town, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for York: Rochdale v York, Saturday 14 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Rotherham 1–1 York · League Two
- Venue: Aesseal New York Stadium · Rotherham
- Referee: D. Bourne
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Rotherham 0W 1D 4L · York 3W 1D 1L
Rotherham 1–1 York (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Rotherham | York | |
|---|---|---|
| 41% | Possession | 59% |
| 0.83 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.23 |
| 10 | Shots | 17 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 7 |
| 4 | Blocked shots | 5 |
| 7 | Shots inside the box | 10 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 5 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 318 | Passes | 467 |
| 69% | Pass accuracy | 78% |
Rotherham Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Cann | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 |
| D. Hall | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Sonny Aljofree | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| E. Otoo | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8.7 |
| K. Spence | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Brandon Ashley Cover | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | Y | 6.6 |
| J. Buyabu | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.7 |
| P. Mullin | 76 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| L. Agbaire | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| O. Ashley | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Fábio Tavares | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.6 |
| T. Bradshaw sub | 34 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| K. Ngwenya sub | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Rafferty sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Martha sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
York Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfie Shane McNally | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| M. Williams | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| O. Banks | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| H. Boyes | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| A. Newby | 90 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8.2 |
| J. Grey | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| O. Pearce | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| J. Felix | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6.2 |
| J. Felix | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6.2 |
| M. Kitching | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| A. Hunt | 67 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Z. Johnson | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| R. Fallowfield sub | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Read sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| C. McArthur sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| J. King sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Rotherham v York — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Rotherham v York?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Rotherham v York was Draw or Away.
- What is the recent form of Rotherham and York?
- Recent form — Rotherham 0W 1D 4L; York 3W 1D 1L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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