Tranmere v Rochdale result
Team pages: Tranmere · Rochdale · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Tranmere 1–1 Rochdale — this League Two match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.
The result
Tranmere and Rochdale drew 1–1 at Prenton Park in League Two on Saturday 10 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Tranmere out-shot Rochdale 14 to 9 and created the better chances, 1.67 xG to 0.72 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.
The goals
Tranmere led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Tranmere: Tom Conlon (15’, assisted by William Vaulks); Rochdale: Dajaune Brown (57’, assisted by Charlie Tasker).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Dajaune Brown’s goal on 57 minutes.
Discipline
S. Gill showed one yellow card — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Rochdale: Olutobi Adebayo-Rowling (90+1’).
What it changes
Tranmere move down from 11th to 13th (10 league matches played). Tranmere have scored 13 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Tranmere have conceded 13 goals, the 12th-most of the 24 clubs.
Rochdale move up from 11th to 10th (10 league matches played). Rochdale have scored 11 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Rochdale have conceded 12 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Tranmere are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Rochdale are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Tom Conlon (Tranmere) 8.3, Charlie Tasker (Rochdale) 5.6 and Dajaune Brown (Rochdale) 5.6 led the match.
Head-to-head
Tranmere are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Rochdale.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Tranmere or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.6% of the time in the last 90 days (1305 of 1703).
Next up
Tranmere next travel to Barnet on 7 November 2026.
Rochdale next host York on 14 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Tranmere: Fleetwood Town v Tranmere, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Rochdale: Rochdale v York, Saturday 14 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Tranmere 1–1 Rochdale · League Two
- Venue: Prenton Park · Birkenhead, Merseyside
- Referee: S. Gill
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Tranmere 1 · draws 3 · Rochdale 2 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Tranmere 1W 2D 2L · Rochdale 3W 1D 1L
Tranmere 1–1 Rochdale (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Tranmere for / against | Line | Rochdale for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 1.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.38 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.38 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.88 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 9.38 for · 16.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.38 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.25 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.25 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.5 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.5 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: S. Gill — 3.2 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 20.2 fouls over 5 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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Tranmere
Tranmere Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Male | 5 | 83413 min | 143.1 /90 | 51.1 /90 | 00 /90 |
| L. McGee | 4 | 90360 min | 112.8 /90 | 61.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| H. Male n 5 | 82.6 | 3.1 |
| L. McGee n 8 | 90 | 2.4 |
Tranmere Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Senior | 9 | 90810 min | 151.7 /90 | 40.4 /90 | 60.7 /90 | 384.2 /90 | 80.9 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
| N. Smith | 8 | 86685 min | 81.1 /90 | 81.1 /90 | 50.7 /90 | 678.8 /90 | 91.2 /90 | 30.4 /90 |
| J. Slater | 8 | 78625 min | 111.6 /90 | 30.4 /90 | 30.4 /90 | 365.2 /90 | 60.9 /90 | 30.4 /90 |
| B. Faulkner | 7 | 90630 min | 131.9 /90 | 142 /90 | 71 /90 | 699.9 /90 | 40.6 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| J. Turnbull | 4 | 58233 min | 51.9 /90 | 103.9 /90 | 20.8 /90 | 259.7 /90 | 20.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Senior n 8 | 90 | 0.9 | 1 | Kaiden Wilson |
| W. Vaulks n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0.4 | H. Gilmour |
| T. Ince n 8 | 90 | 1 | 1.1 | B. Adeeko |
| J. Ironside n 8 | 65.8 | 2.7 | 1.5 | — |
| T. Conlon n 8 | 56.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | H. Gilmour |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| W. Vaulks n 8 | 90 | 2.4 |
| J. Senior n 8 | 90 | 1.6 |
| T. Ince n 8 | 90 | 1 |
| J. Ironside n 8 | 65.8 | 0.2 |
| T. Conlon n 8 | 56.8 | 4 |
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Tranmere Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ironside | 9 | 68615 min | 10.1 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 30.4 /90 | 30.4 /90 | 71 /90 | 00 /90 |
| D. Jones | 7 | 53368 min | 30.7 /90 | 00 /90 | 102.4 /90 | 71.7 /90 | 30.7 /90 | 51.2 /90 |
| David Kamara | 2 | 2651 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 35.3 /90 |
| David Kamara | 2 | 2651 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.8 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 35.3 /90 |
| W. Vaulks | 9 | 90810 min | 00 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 91 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 101.1 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| W. Vaulks n 8 | 90 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| J. Senior n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| T. Ince n 8 | 90 | 2.4 | 1 |
| J. Ironside n 8 | 65.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| T. Conlon n 8 | 56.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| W. Vaulks n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 |
| J. Senior n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 |
| T. Ince n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| J. Ironside n 8 | 65.8 | 0.2 | 0 |
| T. Conlon n 8 | 56.8 | 0 | 0 |
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Rochdale
Rochdale Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Ramming | 9 | 90810 min | 303.3 /90 | 80.9 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Sam Waller | 1 | 9090 min | 33 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Nils Ramming n 8 | 90 | 2.8 |
Rochdale Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaiden Wilson | 10 | 74744 min | 60.7 /90 | 50.6 /90 | 50.6 /90 | 222.7 /90 | 111.3 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| D. Moss | 6 | 85508 min | 61.1 /90 | 71.2 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 244.3 /90 | 40.7 /90 | 20.4 /90 |
| O. Adebayo-Rowling | 6 | 75452 min | 102 /90 | 30.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 255 /90 | 71.4 /90 | 20.4 /90 |
| C. Tasker | 5 | 90450 min | 81.6 /90 | 81.6 /90 | 30.6 /90 | 183.6 /90 | 61.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
| S. Sherring | 5 | 85423 min | 81.7 /90 | 00 /90 | 30.6 /90 | 224.7 /90 | 30.6 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Brown n 8 | 86.1 | 2 | 1.7 | — |
| Kaiden Wilson n 8 | 87.1 | 1.4 | 0.6 | J. Senior |
| Nils Ramming n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| H. Gilmour n 8 | 77.3 | 2.2 | 1.5 | T. Conlon |
| B. Adeeko n 8 | 80.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 | T. Ince |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Brown n 8 | 86.1 | 0.3 |
| Kaiden Wilson n 8 | 87.1 | 0.5 |
| H. Gilmour n 8 | 77.3 | 2.3 |
| B. Adeeko n 8 | 80.9 | 0.8 |
| L. Hannant n 8 | 59.8 | 1.3 |
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Rochdale Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Brown | 10 | 81806 min | 20.2 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 171.9 /90 | 91 /90 | 50.6 /90 | 70.8 /90 |
| E. Dieseruvwe | 7 | 72502 min | 00 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 81.4 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| C. Hayes | 2 | 2244 min | 12 /90 | 00 /90 | 12 /90 | 12 /90 | 12 /90 | 12 /90 |
| H. Gilmour | 9 | 79708 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 40.5 /90 | 30.4 /90 |
| B. Adeeko | 8 | 81647 min | 10.1 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 40.6 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 40.6 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Brown n 8 | 86.1 | 2 | 0.9 |
| Kaiden Wilson n 8 | 87.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Nils Ramming n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| H. Gilmour n 8 | 77.3 | 0.1 | 0 |
| B. Adeeko n 8 | 80.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Brown n 8 | 86.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Kaiden Wilson n 8 | 87.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Nils Ramming n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| H. Gilmour n 8 | 77.3 | 0 | 0 |
| B. Adeeko n 8 | 80.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Tranmere | Rochdale | |
|---|---|---|
| 40% | Possession | 60% |
| 1.67 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.72 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 6 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 4 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 8 | Shots inside the box | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 0 | Saves | 3 |
| 378 | Passes | 526 |
Tranmere Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Male | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 |
| J. Senior | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| N. Smith | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| G. Nevett | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| J. Slater | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| W. Vaulks | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| T. Conlon | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8.2 |
| T. Ince | 90 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.1 |
| Charlie Jay Whitaker | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
| D. Jones | 82 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| David Kamara | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Charlie Veevers | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Ironside | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
Rochdale Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Ramming | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| C. Tasker | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Flint | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.4 |
| Kaiden Wilson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| O. Adebayo-Rowling | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Y | 6.1 |
| H. Gilmour | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| B. Adeeko | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| D. Brown | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.8 |
| G. Middleton | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Kane Taylor | 88 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6.4 |
| C. Hayes | 68 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 |
| E. Dieseruvwe | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| E. Francis | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Tranmere v Rochdale — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-08-01 Tranmere 2–2 Rochdale
- 2023-04-18 Rochdale 2–2 Tranmere
- 2022-10-25 Tranmere 1–1 Rochdale
- 2022-01-15 Tranmere 2–0 Rochdale
- 2021-09-11 Rochdale 1–0 Tranmere
- 2019-08-03 Tranmere 2–3 Rochdale
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Tranmere v Rochdale?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Tranmere v Rochdale was Home or Draw (best price 1.28 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Tranmere and Rochdale?
- In their last 6 meetings, Tranmere won 1, Rochdale won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Tranmere and Rochdale?
- Recent form — Tranmere 1W 2D 2L; Rochdale 3W 1D 1L.
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