Le Havre v Marseille result

Full-time · Le Havre 0–1 Marseille

Ligue 1 · Sun, 10 May 2026 20:00 BST · Stade Océane

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Le Havre · Marseille · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Le Havre 0–1 Marseille — Marseille won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Le Havre 1.24, Marseille 1.03 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Marseille won 1–0 at Stade Océane in Ligue 1 on Sunday 10 May. Le Havre are winless in their last 11 matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Marseille: Mason Greenwood (55’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Mason Greenwood’s goal on 55 minutes.

Discipline

B. Bastien showed six yellow cards — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Le Havre: S. Boufal (41’), Ayumu Seko (47’), Yanis Zouaoui (57’) and Simon Ebonog (88’); Marseille: Tochukwu Nnadi (59’) and Quinten Timber (81’).

What it changes

Le Havre stay 14th after this result (33 league matches played). Le Havre have scored 32 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 21 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Le Havre have conceded 44 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 21 clubs.

Marseille move up from sixth to fifth (33 league matches played). Marseille have scored 63 goals, the fourth-most of the 21 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Marseille have conceded 45 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 21 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Mason Greenwood (Marseille) 7.6, Emerson (Marseille) 7.5 and Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (Marseille) 5.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Marseille are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Le Havre, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.4% of the time in the last 90 days (366 of 543).

Next up

Le Havre next host Lorient on 8 November 2026.

Marseille next travel to Lens on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Le Havre: Le Havre v Lorient, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Marseille: Lens v Marseille, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Le Havre 0–1 Marseille · Ligue 1
Venue: Stade Océane · Le Havre
Referee: B. Bastien
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 5): Le Havre 0 · draws 0 · Marseille 5 · 4.8 goals/game
Recent form: Le Havre 0W 5D 0L · Marseille 1W 1D 3L

Le Havre 0–1 Marseille (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1

Goals

against 1.63 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

3.88 / 6.75

Corners

against 5.5 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.25 / 5.38

Shots on target

against 4.63 / 3.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 2.63

Cards

against 1.75 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.17 yellows

Referee · B. Bastien

23.42 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 12 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Le Havre for / against	Line	Marseille for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.88 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.75 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.38 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	16.63 for · 9.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.25 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.38 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.25 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.25 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: B. Bastien — 3.17 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 23.42 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Le Havre

Le Havre Goalkeeper

Le Havre — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Diaw	28	882475 min	782.8 /90	391.4 /90	10 /90
L. Mpasi	4	79315 min	154.3 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90
Paul Argney	2	90180 min	42 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90

Le Havre — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Diaw n 8	90	3.1 5/4
L. Mpasi n 4	78.8	4.3 4/2

Le Havre Defensive

Le Havre — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Négo	29	832408 min	521.9 /90	331.2 /90	70.3 /90	1013.8 /90	180.7 /90	30.1 /90
Y. Zouaoui	29	782268 min	471.9 /90	261 /90	130.5 /90	1094.3 /90	200.8 /90	60.2 /90
G. Lloris	27	832254 min	421.7 /90	411.6 /90	200.8 /90	1315.2 /90	271.1 /90	10 /90
A. Sangante	26	862242 min	371.5 /90	361.4 /90	150.6 /90	1375.5 /90	401.6 /90	40.2 /90
T. Pembélé	8	35282 min	72.2 /90	20.6 /90	10.3 /90	165.1 /90	20.6 /90	10.3 /90
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Le Havre — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
I. Soumaré n 8	90	1.8 7/4	1.8 6/5	Igor Paixão
R. Ndiaye n 8	84.3	1.1 4/2	1.3 6/3	P. Højbjerg
A. Seko n 8	90	0.9 7/0	0.1 1/0	—
L. Négo n 8	81.4	0.4 1/1	0.3 2/0	—
Y. Zouaoui n 8	70.8	1.1 4/3	1.1 4/1	—
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Le Havre — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
I. Soumaré n 8	90	1.4 5/4
R. Ndiaye n 8	84.3	2.3 7/4
A. Seko n 8	90	0.9 6/1
L. Négo n 8	81.4	2.8 6/6
Y. Zouaoui n 8	70.8	3 7/4
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Le Havre Attacking

Le Havre — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
I. Soumaré	33	872859 min	70.2 /90	50.2 /90	672.1 /90	260.8 /90	311 /90	240.8 /90
M. Samatta	24	571358 min	20.1 /90	10.1 /90	322.1 /90	151 /90	181.2 /90	120.8 /90
S. Boufal	13	65849 min	10.1 /90	30.3 /90	70.7 /90	20.2 /90	232.4 /90	161.7 /90
E. Koffi Vinette	10	36363 min	00 /90	00 /90	41 /90	20.5 /90	51.2 /90	92.2 /90
F. Mambimbi	9	54484 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	71.3 /90	10.2 /90
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Le Havre — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
I. Soumaré n 8	90	2.4 8/6	0.6 4/1
R. Ndiaye n 8	84.3	0.8 3/3	0.4 2/1
A. Seko n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0.3 1/1
L. Négo n 8	81.4	0.4 1/1	0 0/0
Y. Zouaoui n 8	70.8	0.5 2/1	0.3 1/1
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Le Havre — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
I. Soumaré n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0
R. Ndiaye n 8	84.3	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
A. Seko n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Négo n 8	81.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Zouaoui n 8	70.8	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Marseille

Marseille Goalkeeper

Marseille — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
G. Rulli	35	903150 min	1063 /90	451.3 /90	10 /90
J. de Lange	8	90720 min	192.4 /90	60.8 /90	00 /90

Marseille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
G. Rulli n 8	90	2.1 5/3
J. de Lange n 8	90	2.4 5/3

Marseille Defensive

Marseille — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
B. Pavard	32	802545 min	381.3 /90	361.3 /90	150.5 /90	1124 /90	321.1 /90	70.2 /90
Emerson	32	792535 min	531.9 /90	361.3 /90	100.4 /90	1134 /90	240.9 /90	50.2 /90
L. Balerdi	30	822466 min	612.2 /90	371.4 /90	170.6 /90	1425.2 /90	301.1 /90	60.2 /90
F. Medina	22	761665 min	241.3 /90	201.1 /90	100.5 /90	553 /90	251.4 /90	80.4 /90
N. Aguerd	21	881849 min	321.6 /90	361.8 /90	110.5 /90	874.2 /90	271.3 /90	60.3 /90
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Marseille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Greenwood n 8	68.9	1.1 4/2	1.1 6/1	—
P. Højbjerg n 8	88.1	1.7 8/4	1.1 6/3	R. Ndiaye
T. Weah n 8	83.5	1.1 7/1	0.7 4/1	—
Igor Paixão n 8	72.9	0.8 4/1	1.7 6/3	I. Soumaré
P. Aubameyang n 8	79.4	0.6 3/1	0.7 4/1	—
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Marseille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Greenwood n 8	68.9	0.7 3/1
P. Højbjerg n 8	88.1	1 5/2
T. Weah n 8	83.5	2.2 7/5
Igor Paixão n 8	72.9	1.2 5/3
P. Aubameyang n 8	79.4	0.1 1/0
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Marseille Attacking

Marseille — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
P. Aubameyang	36	702535 min	120.4 /90	90.3 /90	642.3 /90	381.3 /90	341.2 /90	160.6 /90
A. Gouiri	24	601444 min	100.6 /90	50.3 /90	352.2 /90	221.4 /90	342.1 /90	181.1 /90
R. Vaz	10	38380 min	40.9 /90	20.5 /90	71.7 /90	51.2 /90	61.4 /90	10.2 /90
J. Rowe	1	6363 min	00 /90	00 /90	45.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
M. Greenwood	41	783218 min	230.6 /90	100.3 /90	1133.2 /90	702 /90	792.2 /90	661.8 /90
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Marseille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Greenwood n 8	68.9	4.1 8/7	2.3 7/4
P. Højbjerg n 8	88.1	1.4 7/4	0.5 4/0
T. Weah n 8	83.5	0.8 6/0	0.3 2/0
Igor Paixão n 8	72.9	2.3 7/4	1.1 5/1
P. Aubameyang n 8	79.4	2 7/4	1 5/1
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Marseille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Greenwood n 8	68.9	0.2 1/0	0.3 1/1
P. Højbjerg n 8	88.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
T. Weah n 8	83.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Igor Paixão n 8	72.9	0.3 2/0	0.5 3/0
P. Aubameyang n 8	79.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

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Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Le Havre		Marseille
50%	Possession	50%
1.14	Expected goals (xG)	1.21
10	Shots	8
2	Shots on target	3
4	Shots off target	4
4	Blocked shots	1
8	Shots inside the box	5
3	Corners	0
4	Offsides	3
20	Fouls	22
4	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	2
386	Passes	392
80%	Pass accuracy	81%

Le Havre Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Diaw	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
A. Sangante	90	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
A. Seko	90	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2
G. Lloris	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
R. Ndiaye	90	0	0	2	5	0	7.5
I. Soumaré	90	1	1	0	3	0	7.2
M. Samatta	90	2	1	0	0	0	6.9
L. Gourna-Douath	89	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Y. Zouaoui	80	0	0	0	1	Y	5.9
F. Doucouré	72	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
S. Boufal	72	2	0	2	4	Y	6.9
T. Pembélé sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
S. Ebonog sub	18	1	0	0	0	Y	6.6
Y. Kechta sub	11	0	0	1	2	0	6.9
E. Koffi Vinette sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	6.2

Marseille Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
G. Rulli	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
B. Pavard	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
L. Balerdi	90	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.6
F. Medina	90	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.3
Emerson	90	0	1	0	0	6	0	7.9
P. Højbjerg	90	0	0	0	2	3	0	7.2
Igor Paixão	90	0	2	1	0	3	0	7
A. Gouiri	89	0	1	0	0	0	0	6
M. Greenwood	87	1	1	1	1	1	0	7.3
Q. Timber	87	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.9
T. Nnadi	66	0	2	1	0	0	Y	6
A. Vermeeren sub	24	0	0	0	0	4	0	6.9
Nouhoum Kamissoko sub	13	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
Ange Lago sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
U. Lamare El Kadmiri sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Le Havre v Marseille — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Le HavreDDDDD

Last 5: 0W 5D 0L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

MarseilleLWLDL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 5

Le Havre 0 · 0 draws · Marseille 5 · 4.8 goals/game

2025-10-18 Marseille 6–2 Le Havre
2025-05-10 Le Havre 1–3 Marseille
2025-01-05 Marseille 5–1 Le Havre
2024-05-19 Le Havre 1–2 Marseille
2023-10-08 Marseille 3–0 Le Havre

League standing · 2025/26

Le Havre#14 pos35 pts34 pl-12 GD

Marseille#5 pos59 pts34 pl+18 GD

Goals per game

Le Havre scored0.94

Marseille scored1.85

Le Havre conceded1.29

Marseille conceded1.32

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Le Havre 1.24 xG from 10 shots, Marseille 1.03 from 7. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Le Havre (attacking right)Marseille (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Le Havre	10	0	1.24
Marseille	7	1	1.03

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Le Havre 0.14, Marseille 0.17. At full time, xG was level: Le Havre 1.24, Marseille 1.03, including 1.52 from a penalty. The widest gap was 0.83 xG to Marseille, in the 54th minute (level on open-play xG).

xG timeline (cumulative)

Le Havre 1.24 xGMarseille 1.03 xGdots = goals · 17 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Le Havre v Marseille?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Le Havre v Marseille was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Le Havre and Marseille?: In their last 5 meetings, Le Havre won 0, Marseille won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.8 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Le Havre and Marseille?: Recent form — Le Havre 0W 5D 0L; Marseille 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.