LensNantes

Lens v Nantes result

Full-time · Lens 1–0 Nantes

Ligue 1 · · Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lens · Nantes · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Lens 1–0 Nantes — Lens won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away shots on over 2.5.

Free pick
Away shots on over 2.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Nantes: 1.07 to 0.72 in expected goals, from 15 shots to 14, ahead on xG from the 55th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Lens beat Nantes 1–0 at Stade Bollaert-Delelis in Ligue 1 on Friday 8 May.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Lens: M. Soares (79’, assisted by Andrija Bulatović).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with M. Soares’s goal on 79 minutes.

Discipline

M. Vernice showed three yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Lens: Abdallah Sima (15’) and Andrija Bulatović (36’); Nantes: Ali Yousef Musrati (75’).

What it changes

Lens stay second after this result (32 league matches played). Lens have scored 62 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Lens have conceded 33 goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Nantes stay 17th after this result (33 league matches played). Nantes have scored 29 goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 33 games, ranked per game). Nantes have conceded 52 goals, the fourth-most of the 18 clubs.

Lens are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Lens have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, F. Guilbert (Nantes) 8.0, I. Ganiou (Lens) 6.5 and Andrija Bulatović (Lens) 6.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Nantes shots on over 2.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Lens next host Marseille on 8 November 2026.

Nantes next travel to PAU on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lens: Lens v Marseille, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Nantes: PAU v Nantes, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Lens 1–0 Nantes · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Stade Bollaert-Delelis · Lens
  • Referee: M. Vernice
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lens 4 · draws 0 · Nantes 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lens 2W 2D 1L · Nantes 1W 2D 2L

Lens 1–0 Nantes (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.5 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
7.5 / 5.38
Corners
against 2.38 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
7.13 / 5
Shots on target
against 2.88 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.13 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.08 yellows
Referee · M. Vernice
26.5 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLens for / againstLineNantes for / against
Goals scored
2.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.25our book
0.88 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
7.5 for · 2.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.38 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
21.63 for · 8.38 against n 8
19.5standard
14.25 for · 12 against n 8
Shots on target
7.13 for · 2.88 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.38 for · 10.25 against n 8
21.5standard
12.75 for · 15.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: M. Vernice — 4.08 yellow cards a game, 0.33 red cards, 26.5 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Lens

Lens Goalkeeper

Lens — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Risser34903060 min802.4 /90361.1 /9020.1 /90
Lens — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Risser n 890
1.32/2

Lens Defensive

Lens — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Sarr34903060 min692 /90752.2 /90240.7 /901524.5 /90210.6 /9030.1 /90
I. Ganiou24892130 min401.7 /90231 /90130.5 /901205.1 /90251.1 /9040.2 /90
S. Baidoo23831916 min351.6 /90251.2 /90231.1 /90944.4 /90211 /9020.1 /90
J. Gradit990808 min171.9 /90161.8 /9091 /90434.8 /90141.6 /9020.2 /90
N. Čelik775528 min183.1 /9081.4 /9040.7 /90254.3 /90101.7 /9010.2 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Lens — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Udol n 890
0.95/2
0.65/0
—
M. Sarr n 890
0.42/1
0.96/1
N. Cozza
R. Risser n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
A. Thomasson n 883.3
1.15/3
1.25/2
—
F. Thauvin n 866
0.32/0
1.24/2
—
See more players · Pro
Lens — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Udol n 890
2.16/5
M. Sarr n 890
2.37/4
A. Thomasson n 883.3
3.48/7
F. Thauvin n 866
1.24/3
M. Sangaré n 882.3
2.26/5
See more players · Pro

Lens Attacking

Lens — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Thauvin32772448 min110.4 /9060.2 /90562.1 /90281 /90792.9 /90491.8 /90
O. Édouard30621866 min130.6 /9030.1 /90532.6 /90331.6 /90201 /90211 /90
W. Saïd29671929 min100.5 /9020.1 /90472.2 /90251.2 /90251.2 /90321.5 /90
R. Fofana2141866 min60.6 /9000 /90282.9 /90121.2 /9060.6 /90121.2 /90
M. Guilavogui1639627 min10.1 /9000 /90101.4 /9030.4 /90121.7 /9081.1 /90
See more players · Pro
Lens — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Udol n 890
1.95/4
15/2
M. Sarr n 890
0.62/2
0.11/0
R. Risser n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Thomasson n 883.3
1.54/3
0.72/1
F. Thauvin n 866
27/2
1.25/2
See more players · Pro
Lens — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Udol n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
M. Sarr n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Risser n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Thomasson n 883.3
0.32/0
0.43/0
F. Thauvin n 866
0.74/0
0.52/1
See more players · Pro

Nantes

Nantes Goalkeeper

Nantes — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Anthony Lopes31902789 min963.1 /90531.7 /9000 /90
P. Carlgren290180 min115.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Nantes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nantes before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Anthony Lopes n 890
2.96/5

Nantes Defensive

Nantes — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Cozza27852286 min431.7 /90170.7 /90100.4 /901074.2 /90190.7 /9020.1 /90
C. Awaziem24892131 min261.1 /90200.8 /90170.7 /90923.9 /90231 /9070.3 /90
K. Amian23892051 min281.2 /9080.4 /90100.4 /90833.6 /90251.1 /9040.2 /90
T. Tati20861724 min191 /90170.9 /90150.8 /90542.8 /90231.2 /9050.3 /90
D. Machado15671001 min232.1 /9070.6 /9010.1 /90595.3 /90232.1 /9030.3 /90
See more players · Pro
Nantes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nantes before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Anthony Lopes n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
—
M. Abline n 877.3
0.43/0
0.73/2
—
N. Cozza n 890
0.83/2
1.87/5
M. Sarr
J. Lepenant n 887.9
1.27/2
1.88/6
—
C. Awaziem n 888.1
1.15/3
0.64/1
—
See more players · Pro
Nantes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nantes before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Abline n 877.3
0.11/0
N. Cozza n 890
2.35/5
J. Lepenant n 887.9
2.67/6
C. Awaziem n 888.1
1.86/4
K. Amian n 887.6
0.53/1
See more players · Pro

Nantes Attacking

Nantes — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Abline31802492 min80.3 /9060.2 /90552 /90250.9 /90321.2 /90531.9 /90
Mostafa Mohamed19591119 min40.3 /9000 /90262.1 /9070.6 /9090.7 /9030.2 /90
Bahereba Guirassy1747798 min20.2 /9010.1 /90101.1 /9060.7 /9060.7 /9091 /90
Y. El-Arabi1563947 min30.3 /9010.1 /90121.1 /9090.9 /9090.9 /9070.7 /90
I. Ganago1263759 min30.4 /9010.1 /90141.7 /9070.8 /9050.6 /9060.7 /90
See more players · Pro
Nantes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nantes before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Anthony Lopes n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Abline n 877.3
2.26/4
14/3
N. Cozza n 890
0.63/2
0.43/0
J. Lepenant n 887.9
0.65/0
0.43/0
C. Awaziem n 888.1
0.43/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Nantes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nantes before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Anthony Lopes n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Abline n 877.3
0.32/0
0.32/0
N. Cozza n 890
00/0
0.11/0
J. Lepenant n 887.9
00/0
00/0
C. Awaziem n 888.1
00/0
0.32/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LensNantes
64%Possession36%
0.82Expected goals (xG)1.25
14Shots15
5Shots on target3
5Shots off target6
4Blocked shots6
9Shots inside the box9
8Corners3
4Offsides0
15Fouls15
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves4
467Passes260
81%Pass accuracy70%

Lens Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Risser9000000008
I. Ganiou9000001307.3
S. Baidoo9000000107.5
M. Sarr9000100007.3
A. Bulatović90012132Y7.3
M. Udol9000312106.6
A. Sima79001010Y6.9
W. Saïd7900110106.9
A. Haidara6500001006.7
O. Édouard5900002006.3
R. Fofana4500000006.7
F. Sotoca sub4500000206.9
R. Aguilar sub3100000006.9
F. Sylla sub2500000106.7
A. Bermont sub1100110106.6
M. Soares sub1110111007.6

Nantes Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Anthony Lopes9000100006.9
C. Awaziem9000000206.6
N. Cozza9000000106.2
I. Sissoko9000000206.9
M. Acapandié9000002306.9
J. Lepenant9000221007.2
F. Guilbert8700004307.5
M. Kaba8200212106.6
I. Ganago8200201006.2
M. Abline8200200106.6
U. Radaković6600001106.9
Ali Yousef Musrati sub24000010Y5.9
D. Assoumani sub900000006.3
Louis Leroux sub800000006.3
Mostafa Mohamed sub800000106.3
Y. El-Arabi sub800000106.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lens v Nantes — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LensLWWDD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
NantesDDLLW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lens 4 · 0 draws · Nantes 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2025-12-06 Nantes 1–2 Lens
  • 2025-02-23 Nantes 3–1 Lens
  • 2024-11-09 Lens 3–2 Nantes
  • 2024-02-03 Nantes 0–1 Lens
  • 2023-10-28 Lens 4–0 Nantes
  • 2023-03-01 Nantes 2–1 Lens
League standing · 2025/26
Lens#2 pos70 pts34 pl+31 GD
Nantes#17 pos23 pts33 pl-23 GD
Goals per game
Lens scored1.94
Nantes scored0.88
Lens conceded1.03
Nantes conceded1.58

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Lens 0.72 xG from 14 shots, Nantes 1.07 from 15. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Matthis Abline 74' · 0.30 xGIgnatius Ganago 42' · 0.12 xGMatthis Abline 59' · 0.10 xGIgnatius Ganago 27' · 0.09 xGIbrahima Sissoko 60' · 0.09 xGMatthieu Udol 38' · 0.09 xGAndrija Bulatovic 2' · 0.08 xGAnthony Bermont 85' · 0.08 xGWesley Said 7' · 0.07 xGMatthis Abline 26' · 0.07 xGRayan Fofana 13' · 0.06 xGMatthis Abline 55' · 0.06 xGMohamed Kaba 19' · 0.05 xGMalang Sarr 88' · 0.05 xGIgnatius Ganago 9' · 0.05 xGJohann Lepenant 55' · 0.04 xGAndrija Bulatovic 76' · 0.04 xGMatthieu Udol 47' · 0.04 xGAndrija Bulatovic 50' · 0.03 xGMohamed Kaba 53' · 0.03 xGAndrija Bulatovic 25' · 0.03 xGAbdallah Sima 12' · 0.02 xGMatthis Abline 52' · 0.02 xGJohann Lepenant 73' · 0.02 xGAnthony Lopes 90' · 0.02 xGAbdallah Sima 47' · 0.02 xGMatthieu Udol 50' · 0.02 xGMatthis Abline 30' · 0.01 xGMezian Soares 78' · 0.11 xG · goal
Lens (attacking right)Nantes (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Lens1410.72
Nantes1501.07

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Lens 0.35, Nantes 0.38. At full time, Nantes led on xG, 1.07 to 0.72. The widest gap was 0.60 xG to Nantes, in the 74th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.10.500′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Lens 78 min
Lens 0.72 xGNantes 1.07 xGdots = goals · 29 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Lens v Nantes?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lens v Nantes was Away shots on over 2.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Lens and Nantes?
In their last 6 meetings, Lens won 4, Nantes won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lens and Nantes?
Recent form — Lens 2W 2D 1L; Nantes 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+