LorientParis FC

Lorient v Paris FC result

Full-time · Lorient 1–1 Paris FC

Ligue 1 ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lorient · Paris FC · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Lorient 1–1 Paris FC — this Ligue 1 match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Lorient 1.17, Paris FC 1.45 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Lorient and Paris FC drew 1–1 in Ligue 1 on Sunday 5 April. Paris FC are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Lorient: B. Dieng (54’, assisted by Pablo Pagis); Paris FC: Marshall Munetsi (74’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Marshall Munetsi’s goal on 74 minutes.

Discipline

G. Angoula showed three yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Lorient: Kan Kouassi (85’); Paris FC: Adama Camara (50’) and Pierre Lees-Melou (79’).

What it changes

Lorient move up from 10th to ninth (28 league matches played). Lorient have scored 44 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Lorient have conceded 49 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs.

Paris FC stay 13th after this result (28 league matches played). Paris FC have scored 44 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Paris FC have conceded 47 goals, the seventh-most of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Pablo Pagis (Lorient) 6.0, Marshall Munetsi (Paris FC) 5.8 and Abdoulaye Faye (Lorient) 4.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Lorient next travel to Le Havre on 8 November 2026.

Paris FC next travel to Auxerre on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lorient: Le Havre v Lorient, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Paris FC: Auxerre v Paris FC, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Lorient 1–1 Paris FC · Ligue 1
  • Referee: G. Angoula
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lorient 4 · draws 0 · Paris FC 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lorient 1W 3D 1L · Paris FC 2W 3D 0L

Lorient 1–1 Paris FC (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 0.75
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.71 / 4.63
Corners
against 5 / 7.63 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.43 / 3.75
Shots on target
against 3.86 / 5.13 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.43 / 2.75
Cards
against 2.14 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.33 yellows
Referee · G. Angoula
24.67 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLorient for / againstLineParis FC for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
3.71 for · 5 against n 7
9.5standard
4.63 for · 7.63 against n 8
Shots
10.71 for · 12 against n 7
19.5standard
10.88 for · 15.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.43 for · 3.86 against n 7
8.5standard
3.75 for · 5.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.71 for · 11.14 against n 7
21.5standard
11.25 for · 9.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.43 for · 2.14 against n 7
3.5standard
2.75 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: G. Angoula — 3.33 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 24.67 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Lorient

Lorient Goalkeeper

Lorient — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Y. Mvogo24902160 min542.3 /90291.2 /9000 /90
B. Kamara690540 min152.5 /9091.5 /9000 /90
Lorient — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Y. Mvogo n 890
24/3
B. Kamara n 690
2.54/2

Lorient Defensive

Lorient — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Talbi26902340 min210.8 /90230.9 /90200.8 /901124.3 /9080.3 /9040.2 /90
B. Meité21831749 min241.2 /90130.7 /90140.7 /901115.7 /90301.5 /9040.2 /90
D. Yongwa17721228 min292.1 /90110.8 /9010.1 /90795.8 /90120.9 /9030.2 /90
Igor Silva16861378 min231.5 /90161 /9080.5 /90644.2 /9090.6 /9010.1 /90
A. Faye1179873 min192 /90192 /9050.5 /90545.6 /90202.1 /9070.7 /90
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Lorient — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Karim n 854.9
0.84/0
2.76/3
—
M. Talbi n 890
0.64/1
0.42/1
M. Mbow
K. Kouassi n 876.4
0.11/0
1.96/4
—
T. Le Bris n 869.4
00/0
0.32/0
—
J. Makengo n 866.3
0.32/0
1.24/3
M. Simon
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Lorient — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Karim n 854.9
1.24/2
M. Talbi n 890
1.16/3
K. Kouassi n 876.4
0.42/1
T. Le Bris n 869.4
1.56/1
J. Makengo n 866.3
14/1
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Lorient Attacking

Lorient — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Makengo26591524 min30.2 /9020.1 /90251.5 /90120.7 /90171 /90221.3 /90
P. Pagis23611406 min80.5 /9010.1 /90362.3 /90171.1 /90352.2 /90161 /90
S. Soumano2340928 min40.4 /9020.2 /90191.8 /90101 /9090.9 /9060.6 /90
A. Tosin1947893 min40.4 /9000 /90222.2 /90121.2 /90101 /9090.9 /90
M. Bamba1646728 min30.4 /9020.2 /90151.9 /9070.9 /9070.9 /9060.7 /90
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Lorient — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Karim n 854.9
13/2
00/0
M. Talbi n 890
0.31/1
0.31/1
K. Kouassi n 876.4
0.43/0
0.43/0
T. Le Bris n 869.4
0.53/0
0.21/0
J. Makengo n 866.3
1.24/3
0.53/0
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Lorient — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Karim n 854.9
00/0
00/0
M. Talbi n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Kouassi n 876.4
0.11/0
0.32/0
T. Le Bris n 869.4
00/0
00/0
J. Makengo n 866.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Paris FC

Paris FC Goalkeeper

Paris FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Trapp16901440 min452.8 /90231.4 /9010.1 /90
O. Nkambadio14901260 min372.6 /90171.2 /9010.1 /90
Paris FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Trapp n 890
3.47/5
O. Nkambadio n 890
2.64/2

Paris FC Defensive

Paris FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Mbow29872536 min521.8 /90361.3 /90230.8 /901314.6 /90210.7 /9030.1 /90
Otávio21861814 min391.9 /90271.3 /90160.8 /90974.8 /90231.1 /9070.3 /90
N. Sangui18841514 min201.2 /90130.8 /9040.2 /90482.9 /9060.4 /9000 /90
T. De Smet17691180 min292.2 /9090.7 /9030.2 /90624.7 /90120.9 /9080.6 /90
S. Chergui1281974 min161.5 /9060.6 /9040.4 /90413.8 /90121.1 /9010.1 /90
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Paris FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Mbow n 880.8
0.74/1
0.64/0
M. Talbi
I. Kebbal n 873.8
1.15/1
2.16/5
—
A. Camara n 883.5
1.16/2
1.26/2
—
M. Simon n 866.5
0.21/0
1.25/2
J. Makengo
Otávio n 886.9
16/2
1.24/2
—
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Paris FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Mbow n 880.8
2.15/3
I. Kebbal n 873.8
1.56/3
A. Camara n 883.5
2.38/6
M. Simon n 866.5
0.74/0
Otávio n 886.9
1.87/5
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Paris FC Attacking

Paris FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Krasso21501059 min10.1 /9020.2 /90211.8 /9090.8 /90221.9 /90151.3 /90
J. Ikoné1948921 min50.5 /9000 /90121.2 /9080.8 /9060.6 /90141.4 /90
W. Geubbels1947900 min30.3 /9010.1 /90222.2 /9060.6 /9070.7 /9030.3 /90
A. Gory1843773 min20.2 /9010.1 /90111.3 /9030.3 /9030.3 /9030.3 /90
L. Koleosho1131340 min10.3 /9000 /9061.6 /9041.1 /9051.3 /9051.3 /90
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Paris FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Mbow n 880.8
0.11/0
00/0
I. Kebbal n 873.8
1.47/2
0.95/1
A. Camara n 883.5
0.43/0
0.11/0
M. Simon n 866.5
15/1
0.74/0
Otávio n 886.9
0.43/0
0.32/0
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Paris FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Mbow n 880.8
00/0
00/0
I. Kebbal n 873.8
0.32/0
00/0
A. Camara n 883.5
00/0
00/0
M. Simon n 866.5
00/0
00/0
Otávio n 886.9
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LorientParis FC
49%Possession51%
1.21Expected goals (xG)0.95
10Shots7
3Shots on target5
5Shots off target2
2Blocked shots0
6Shots inside the box7
5Corners6
3Offsides0
8Fouls6
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Saves2
445Passes452
87%Pass accuracy87%

Lorient Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Y. Mvogo9000000007.2
B. Meité9000000006.5
M. Talbi9000000006.9
A. Faye9000100207.3
N. Cadiou9000111107.3
A. Avom9000001207.2
K. Kouassi90000002Y6.6
T. Le Bris8100110206.9
J. Makengo7200102106.9
P. Pagis7201103107.2
B. Dieng6710211007.5
S. Soumano sub2300001106.2
D. Karim sub1800000006.2
A. Tosin sub1800100006.7
P. Katseris sub900000006.9

Paris FC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Trapp9000000007
Diego Coppola9000110407.2
M. Mbow9000000106.7
N. Sangui9000111106.9
P. Lees-Melou90000012Y6.3
M. Munetsi9010111107.3
M. Simon8900000006.6
A. Camara71000012Y6.2
M. Lopez7100001106.6
J. Ikoné7100310106.2
W. Geubbels7100000006.3
H. Traoré sub1900000006.7
L. Koleosho sub1900000106.7
I. Kebbal sub1900001106.9
A. Gory sub1900000106.5
S. Chergui sub10011000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lorient v Paris FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LorientDDDWL
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
Paris FCDWDDW
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lorient 4 · 0 draws · Paris FC 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-02-04 Lorient 2–0 Paris FC
  • 2025-10-03 Paris FC 2–0 Lorient
  • 2025-03-08 Paris FC 3–2 Lorient
  • 2024-12-14 Lorient 2–0 Paris FC
  • 2021-02-09 Lorient 2–1 Paris FC
  • 2019-07-29 Lorient 3–0 Paris FC
League standing · 2025/26
Lorient#9 pos45 pts34 pl-3 GD
Paris FC#11 pos44 pts34 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Lorient scored1.41
Paris FC scored1.38
Lorient conceded1.5
Paris FC conceded1.47

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Lorient 1.17 xG from 10 shots, Paris FC 1.45 from 7. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Ahmadou Bamba Dieng 0' · 0.44 xGNhoa Sangui 44' · 0.38 xGThéo Le Bris 33' · 0.23 xGJonathan Ikone 44' · 0.12 xGJonathan Ikone 59' · 0.11 xGAiyegun Tosin 87' · 0.11 xGSamir Chergui 96' · 0.10 xGPablo Pagis 30' · 0.10 xGJean-Victor Makengo 65' · 0.08 xGAbdoulaye Faye 23' · 0.07 xGJean-Victor Makengo 32' · 0.05 xGDiego Coppola 73' · 0.05 xGArthur Avom 44' · 0.04 xGJonathan Ikone 46' · 0.03 xGNoah Cadiou 84' · 0.02 xGMarshall Munetsi 73' · 0.66 xG · goalAhmadou Bamba Dieng 53' · 0.05 xG · goal
Lorient (attacking right)Paris FC (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Lorient1011.17
Paris FC711.45

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Lorient led on xG, 0.92 to 0.50. At full time, xG was level: Lorient 1.17, Paris FC 1.45. The widest gap was 0.92 xG to Lorient, in the 44th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.40.700′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Lorient 53 minGoal - Paris FC 73 min
Lorient 1.17 xGParis FC 1.45 xGdots = goals · 17 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Lorient v Paris FC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lorient v Paris FC was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Lorient and Paris FC?
In their last 6 meetings, Lorient won 4, Paris FC won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lorient and Paris FC?
Recent form — Lorient 1W 3D 1L; Paris FC 2W 3D 0L.

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