LorientStrasbourg

Lorient v Strasbourg result

Full-time · Lorient 2–3 Strasbourg

Ligue 1 ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lorient · Strasbourg · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Lorient 2–3 Strasbourg — Strasbourg won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,959 of 2,624 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Lorient: 2.57 to 2.03 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG, from 15 shots to 11 (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Strasbourg won 3–2 at Lorient in Ligue 1 on Sunday 26 April.

The goals

Strasbourg came from behind: Lorient led 1–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Lorient: Noah Cadiou (26’, assisted by Panos Katseris), Pablo Pagis (54’ pen) and an own goal by Nathaniel Adjei (90’); Strasbourg: Sebastian Nanasi (62’, assisted by Rafael Luís) and Andrew Omobamidele (90’).

Discipline

B. Millot showed three yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Lorient: Panos Katseris (71’); Strasbourg: Lucas Høgsberg (25’) and M. Oyedele (73’).

What it changes

Lorient stay ninth after this result (31 league matches played).

Strasbourg stay eighth after this result (30 league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Pablo Pagis (Lorient) 11.0, Noah Cadiou (Lorient) 6.7 and Rafael Luís (Strasbourg) 6.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Lorient or Strasbourg (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Lorient next travel to Le Havre on 8 November 2026.

Strasbourg next host Stade Brestois 29 on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lorient: Le Havre v Lorient, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Strasbourg: Strasbourg v Stade Brestois 29, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Lorient 2–3 Strasbourg · Ligue 1
  • Referee: B. Millot
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lorient 2 · draws 3 · Strasbourg 1 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lorient 2W 1D 2L · Strasbourg 2W 0D 3L

Lorient 2–3 Strasbourg (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.38
Goals
against 1 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3 / 4.88
Corners
against 5.71 / 6.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 3.86 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.29 / 1.63
Cards
against 2.86 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.43 yellows
Referee · B. Millot
26.14 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLorient for / againstLineStrasbourg for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
3 for · 5.71 against n 7
9.5standard
4.88 for · 6.88 against n 8
Shots
10 for · 12.57 against n 7
19.5standard
12.63 for · 13.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 3.86 against n 7
8.5standard
4.25 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.71 for · 11 against n 7
21.5standard
10.38 for · 13.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.29 for · 2.86 against n 7
3.5standard
1.63 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: B. Millot — 3.43 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 26.14 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Lorient

Lorient Goalkeeper

Lorient — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Y. Mvogo27902430 min632.3 /90321.2 /9000 /90
B. Kamara690540 min152.5 /9091.5 /9000 /90
Lorient — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Y. Mvogo n 890
2.45/4
B. Kamara n 690
2.54/2

Lorient Defensive

Lorient — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Talbi27902430 min210.8 /90230.9 /90200.7 /901134.2 /9080.3 /9040.1 /90
B. Meité24842019 min271.2 /90140.6 /90140.6 /901245.5 /90361.6 /9050.2 /90
D. Yongwa19701335 min332.2 /90120.8 /9010.1 /90875.9 /90130.9 /9030.2 /90
Igor Silva16861378 min231.5 /90161 /9080.5 /90644.2 /9090.6 /9010.1 /90
A. Faye14821143 min262 /90231.8 /9050.4 /90755.9 /90231.8 /9070.6 /90
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Lorient — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Makengo n 868.3
0.32/0
14/2
—
K. Kouassi n 877
0.32/0
2.27/5
S. El Mourabet
A. Avom n 872.8
1.14/2
0.84/1
—
T. Le Bris n 868.4
0.21/0
0.32/0
—
D. Karim n 846.4
14/0
2.95/3
—
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Lorient — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Makengo n 868.3
1.56/2
K. Kouassi n 877
0.73/2
A. Avom n 872.8
2.36/4
T. Le Bris n 868.4
1.87/2
D. Karim n 846.4
13/1
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Lorient Attacking

Lorient — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Makengo29601738 min30.2 /9020.1 /90271.4 /90130.7 /90201 /90231.2 /90
P. Pagis26631650 min80.4 /9030.2 /90442.4 /90181 /90452.5 /90221.2 /90
S. Soumano2440951 min40.4 /9020.2 /90191.8 /90100.9 /90100.9 /9060.6 /90
A. Tosin2243943 min40.4 /9000 /90242.3 /90121.1 /90101 /90101 /90
B. Dieng18611089 min141.2 /9010.1 /90383.1 /90231.9 /90131.1 /9060.5 /90
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Lorient — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Makengo n 868.3
0.84/1
0.32/0
K. Kouassi n 877
0.32/0
0.32/0
A. Avom n 872.8
0.83/2
0.62/2
T. Le Bris n 868.4
0.53/0
0.32/0
D. Karim n 846.4
0.72/1
00/0
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Lorient — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Makengo n 868.3
00/0
0.21/0
K. Kouassi n 877
00/0
0.32/0
A. Avom n 872.8
0.21/0
00/0
T. Le Bris n 868.4
00/0
00/0
D. Karim n 846.4
00/0
00/0
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Strasbourg

Strasbourg Goalkeeper

Strasbourg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Penders45894009 min1292.9 /90511.1 /9010 /90
K. Johnsson270140 min21.3 /9000 /9000 /90
Strasbourg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Penders n 890
2.95/3

Strasbourg Defensive

Strasbourg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
I. Doukouré36822969 min361.1 /90321 /90200.6 /901203.6 /90280.8 /9060.2 /90
B. Chilwell32772467 min371.3 /90301.1 /90100.4 /90963.5 /90230.8 /9030.1 /90
L. Høgsberg31812508 min301.1 /90200.7 /90240.9 /90822.9 /90260.9 /9030.1 /90
G. Doué30822459 min542 /90341.2 /9080.3 /901646 /90542 /9070.3 /90
A. Omobamidele29722080 min150.6 /90251.1 /90150.6 /90703 /90190.8 /9070.3 /90
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Strasbourg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Penders n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
V. Barco n 874.6
1.15/2
2.77/4
—
J. Panichelli n 874.1
1.76/4
2.35/5
—
S. El Mourabet n 869
1.55/4
0.74/0
K. Kouassi
I. Doukouré n 884.4
1.25/3
0.43/0
—
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Strasbourg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
V. Barco n 874.6
2.76/4
J. Panichelli n 874.1
0.63/1
S. El Mourabet n 869
2.17/5
I. Doukouré n 884.4
1.36/4
Diego Moreira n 880.1
3.16/5
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Strasbourg Attacking

Strasbourg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Panichelli39752938 min200.6 /9040.1 /90822.5 /90471.4 /90351.1 /90170.5 /90
S. Amo-Ameyaw26511337 min10.1 /9040.3 /90151 /9050.3 /90171.1 /90392.6 /90
E. Emegha1456787 min80.9 /9020.2 /90232.6 /90151.7 /9060.7 /9030.3 /90
D. Fofana538189 min00 /9000 /9031.4 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9021 /90
D. Bakwa534169 min10.5 /9021.1 /9021.1 /9021.1 /9073.7 /90105.3 /90
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Strasbourg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Penders n 890
00/0
00/0
V. Barco n 874.6
0.95/1
0.63/1
J. Panichelli n 874.1
2.66/4
1.76/4
S. El Mourabet n 869
0.32/0
0.21/0
I. Doukouré n 884.4
0.31/1
00/0
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Strasbourg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Strasbourg before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Penders n 890
00/0
00/0
V. Barco n 874.6
0.21/0
00/0
J. Panichelli n 874.1
0.95/1
00/0
S. El Mourabet n 869
0.21/0
0.21/0
I. Doukouré n 884.4
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LorientStrasbourg
39%Possession61%
2.28Expected goals (xG)1.34
14Shots11
6Shots on target5
6Shots off target4
2Blocked shots2
14Shots inside the box5
9Corners7
2Offsides1
9Fouls16
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves4
333Passes529
83%Pass accuracy90%

Lorient Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Y. Mvogo9000000006.3
B. Meité9000100406.7
N. Adjei9000321105.9
A. Faye9000110106.3
N. Cadiou9010210207.9
K. Kouassi9000002007.2
P. Katseris85010020Y7.9
J. Makengo8200002107
P. Pagis8210314307.9
L. Abergel7000000106
B. Dieng6900210006.2
A. Tosin sub2100000006.3
A. Avom sub2000001006.6
Igor Silva sub1600000106.2
D. Karim sub800000106.5
S. Soumano sub800000006.3

Strasbourg Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Penders9000000006.9
L. Høgsberg90000001Y6.9
M. Oyedele90001010Y6
S. Amo-Ameyaw9000001106.7
Rafael Luís9001222306.7
Sebastian Nanasi9010110106.9
Gessime Yassine8500002306.2
J. Mwanga7600000205.9
S. El Mourabet6700001006.7
J. Enciso6700000006.5
I. Doukouré6500100106.5
A. Omobamidele sub2510110007.6
A. Ouattara sub2300210006.7
M. Godo sub2300000006.7
E. Emegha sub1600100006.5
Diego Moreira sub1400000106.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lorient v Strasbourg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LorientWLDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
StrasbourgWLWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lorient 2 · 3 draws · Strasbourg 1 · 2 goals/game
  • 2025-12-14 Strasbourg 0–0 Lorient
  • 2024-02-18 Strasbourg 1–3 Lorient
  • 2023-12-17 Lorient 1–2 Strasbourg
  • 2023-06-03 Lorient 2–1 Strasbourg
  • 2022-11-13 Strasbourg 1–1 Lorient
  • 2022-03-20 Lorient 0–0 Strasbourg
League standing · 2025/26
Lorient#9 pos45 pts34 pl-3 GD
Strasbourg#8 pos53 pts34 pl+11 GD
Goals per game
Lorient scored1.41
Strasbourg scored1.71
Lorient conceded1.5
Strasbourg conceded1.38

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Lorient 2.57 xG from 15 shots, Strasbourg 2.03 from 11. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Emanuel Emegha 97' · 0.63 xGNoah Cadiou 95' · 0.44 xGGuemissongui Ouattara 83' · 0.29 xGAhmadou Bamba Dieng 37' · 0.13 xGAhmadou Bamba Dieng 21' · 0.12 xGAhmadou Bamba Dieng 3' · 0.11 xGPablo Pagis 69' · 0.09 xGNathaniel Adjei 35' · 0.08 xGAhmadou Bamba Dieng 59' · 0.07 xGBamo Meïté 87' · 0.07 xGSamuel Amo-Ameyaw 97' · 0.06 xGNathaniel Adjei 60' · 0.05 xGNathaniel Adjei 35' · 0.04 xGRafael Luís 47' · 0.03 xGPablo Pagis 23' · 0.02 xGRafael Luís 18' · 0.02 xGAbdoulaye Faye 37' · 0.02 xGGuemissongui Ouattara 67' · 0.02 xGMaxi Oyedele 46' · 0.02 xGRafael Luís 8' · 0.02 xGIsmaël Doukouré 32' · 0.01 xGNathaniel Adjei 91' · 0.00 xGPablo Pagis 53' · 0.76 xG · goalNoah Cadiou 25' · 0.57 xG · goalAndrew Omobamidele 98' · 0.55 xG · goalSebastian Nanasi 61' · 0.38 xG · goal
Lorient (attacking right)Strasbourg (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Lorient1522.57
Strasbourg1122.03

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Lorient led on xG, 1.09 to 0.05. At full time, Lorient led on xG, 2.57 to 2.03, 0.76 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG. The widest gap was 1.87 xG to Lorient, in the 60th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.61.300′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Lorient 25 minGoal - Lorient 53 minGoal - Strasbourg 61 minGoal - Strasbourg 98 min
Lorient 2.57 xGStrasbourg 2.03 xGdots = goals · 26 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Lorient v Strasbourg?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lorient v Strasbourg was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Lorient and Strasbourg?
In their last 6 meetings, Lorient won 2, Strasbourg won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lorient and Strasbourg?
Recent form — Lorient 2W 1D 2L; Strasbourg 2W 0D 3L.

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