Marseille v Paris FC result

Full-time · Marseille 2–3 Paris FC

Ligue 1 · Sun, 06 Sep 2026 19:45 BST · CEPAC Vélodrome

Updated 20 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Marseille · Paris FC

The model’s pre-match pick

Marseille 2–3 Paris FC — Paris FC won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.73 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 543 of 844 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Paris FC: 3.38 to 1.72 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, from 18 shots to 14, ahead on xG from the 0th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Paris FC won 3–2 at CEPAC Vélodrome in Ligue 1 on Sunday 6 September. Paris FC are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Paris FC led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Paris FC: Lassine Sinayoko (1’, assisted by Luca Koleosho; 19’, assisted by Pablo Pagis; 86’ pen); Marseille: Amine Gouiri (8’; 53’, assisted by Amine Harit).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Lassine Sinayoko’s goal on 86 minutes.

Discipline

Clement Turpin, France showed two yellow cards — against 2.7 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Paris FC: Rudy Matondo (65’) and Lassine Sinayoko (87’).

What it changes

Marseille move down from eighth to 10th (shared) (three league matches played). Marseille have scored 20 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Marseille have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Paris FC move down from first to second (shared) (three league matches played). Paris FC have scored 16 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Paris FC have conceded 10 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lassine Sinayoko (Paris FC) 14.4, Amine Gouiri (Marseille) 8.7 and Amine Harit (Marseille) 7.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.2% of the time in the last 90 days (369 of 549).

Next up

Marseille next travel to Lens on 8 November 2026.

Paris FC next travel to Auxerre on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Marseille: Lens v Marseille, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Paris FC: Auxerre v Paris FC, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Marseille 2–3 Paris FC · Ligue 1
Venue: CEPAC Vélodrome · Marseille
Referee: Clement Turpin, France
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Marseille 1 · draws 1 · Paris FC 0 · 5.5 goals/game
Recent form: Marseille 3W 0D 2L · Paris FC 3W 1D 1L

Marseille 2–3 Paris FC (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 20 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 2.13

Goals

against 1.25 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

5.38 / 3.63

Corners

against 4.5 / 5.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

6.13 / 4.75

Shots on target

against 3.63 / 3.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 2.13

Cards

against 2 / 1.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Marseille for / against	Line	Paris FC for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	2.13 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.38 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.63 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	17 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6.13 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.75 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.38 for · 8.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Clement Turpin, France.

Marseille

Marseille Goalkeeper

Marseille — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. de Lange	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90

Marseille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. de Lange n 8	90	2.8 7/4

Marseille Defensive

Marseille — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Emerson	2	90180 min	42 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	105 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90
T. Weah	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	63 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90
C. Egan-Riley	2	83165 min	21.1 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	73.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90
G. Kondogbia	2	71141 min	63.8 /90	31.9 /90	10.6 /90	74.5 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90
N. Aguerd	2	2447 min	11.9 /90	00 /90	00 /90	47.7 /90	11.9 /90	11.9 /90
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Marseille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
P. Højbjerg n 8	87.3	1.5 6/3	1.3 7/3	P. Lees-Melou
A. Gouiri n 8	77.9	1.2 3/2	1.9 6/4	—
T. Weah n 8	84	0.9 6/1	0.3 2/0	Diego Coppola
Emerson n 8	86.5	0.5 3/1	0.7 4/1	Diego Coppola
J. de Lange n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
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Marseille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Emerson n 8	86.5	2 5/5
P. Højbjerg n 8	87.3	1.8 7/4
T. Weah n 8	84	1.5 6/4
A. Gouiri n 8	77.9	0.6 3/1
A. Gomes n 8	69	2 6/4
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Marseille Attacking

Marseille — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Gouiri	2	90180 min	21 /90	00 /90	42 /90	31.5 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90
K. Abdallah	2	3060 min	11.5 /90	00 /90	34.5 /90	23 /90	23 /90	34.5 /90
N. Maupay	1	1717 min	00 /90	00 /90	15.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
P. Højbjerg	2	90180 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	31.5 /90	10.5 /90	31.5 /90	10.5 /90
A. Gomes	2	87174 min	00 /90	10.5 /90	31.6 /90	10.5 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90
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Marseille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Gouiri n 8	77.9	1.4 6/2	0.9 4/1
P. Højbjerg n 8	87.3	1.3 5/4	0.4 3/0
T. Weah n 8	84	0.9 6/1	0.3 2/0
Emerson n 8	86.5	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
J. de Lange n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Marseille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Gouiri n 8	77.9	0.6 3/1	0.1 1/0
P. Højbjerg n 8	87.3	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
J. de Lange n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Emerson n 8	86.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Weah n 8	84	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Paris FC

Paris FC Goalkeeper

Paris FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
K. Trapp	2	90180 min	63 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Paris FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
K. Trapp n 8	90	2.5 6/4

Paris FC Defensive

Paris FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Camara	2	90180 min	21 /90	42 /90	00 /90	63 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
Diego Coppola	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	94.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
Otávio	2	87173 min	42.1 /90	31.6 /90	42.1 /90	73.6 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90
M. Mbow	1	9090 min	11 /90	00 /90	11 /90	11 /90	11 /90	00 /90
S. Chergui	1	9090 min	11 /90	22 /90	11 /90	11 /90	22 /90	00 /90
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Paris FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Camara n 8	84.4	0.9 5/2	0.3 2/0	—
P. Lees-Melou n 8	88.5	0.8 4/1	1.1 5/2	P. Højbjerg
Diego Coppola n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0	Emerson
K. Trapp n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
I. Kebbal n 8	54.5	1.4 4/3	1.4 5/1	—
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Paris FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
P. Lees-Melou n 8	88.5	3.3 8/8
A. Camara n 8	84.4	2.5 7/6
Diego Coppola n 8	90	0.9 3/3
Otávio n 8	86.4	2.9 7/5
I. Kebbal n 8	54.5	0.4 2/0
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Paris FC Attacking

Paris FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Sinayoko	2	85169 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	42.1 /90	10.5 /90	52.7 /90	10.5 /90
P. Lees-Melou	2	90180 min	00 /90	00 /90	21 /90	00 /90	00 /90	31.5 /90
I. Kebbal	2	87173 min	00 /90	10.5 /90	31.6 /90	10.5 /90	52.6 /90	52.6 /90
P. Pagis	2	77153 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.8 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90
M. Lopez	2	59117 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90
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Paris FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
P. Lees-Melou n 8	88.5	0.8 4/2	0 0/0
Diego Coppola n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
A. Camara n 8	84.4	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
K. Trapp n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
I. Kebbal n 8	54.5	1.7 6/2	0.6 3/0
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Paris FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
P. Lees-Melou n 8	88.5	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
Diego Coppola n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
K. Trapp n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Camara n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
I. Kebbal n 8	54.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Marseille		Paris FC
61%	Possession	39%
1.42	Expected goals (xG)	3.29
14	Shots	18
5	Shots on target	7
7	Shots off target	8
2	Blocked shots	3
10	Shots inside the box	12
5	Corners	4
2	Offsides	1
10	Fouls	12
0	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
4	Saves	3
644	Passes	420
93%	Pass accuracy	83%

Marseille Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
J. de Lange	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
T. Weah	90	0	0	1	1	2	0	6.6
C. Egan-Riley	90	0	0	0	0	0	5	7.5
P. Højbjerg	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
A. Harit	90	0	1	0	0	4	0	7.7
A. Gouiri	90	2	0	4	3	0	0	8.2
Emerson	89	0	0	1	0	1	2	6.5
H. Abdelli	89	0	0	1	0	0	0	6.7
N. Aguerd	73	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
A. Gomes	73	0	0	2	1	0	2	6.9
Igor Paixão	72	0	0	1	0	2	1	6.2
T. Mmadi sub	18	0	0	1	0	0	0	6.2
D. Cornelius sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
K. Abdallah sub	17	0	0	1	0	1	0	6.6
U. Garcia sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
F. Moumbagna sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Paris FC Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
H. Traoré	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
P. Lees-Melou	90	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	6.9
Diego Coppola	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
S. Chergui	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.3
A. Camara	90	0	0	1	0	0	8	0	7
K. Trapp	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
L. Sinayoko	89	3	0	4	4	1	1	Y	9
M. Lopez	89	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	6.9
L. Koleosho	77	0	1	4	1	2	1	0	6.7
I. Kebbal	77	0	0	2	1	3	3	0	6.6
P. Pagis	64	0	1	1	0	4	1	0	7.6
R. Matondo sub	26	0	0	0	0	1	2	Y	6.9
E. Zabi sub	13	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
M. Simon sub	13	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	6.9
M. Mbow sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
O. Sissoko sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Marseille v Paris FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

MarseilleLWWWL

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Paris FCWLWDW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Marseille 1 · 1 draw · Paris FC 0 · 5.5 goals/game

2026-01-31 Paris FC 2–2 Marseille
2025-08-23 Marseille 5–2 Paris FC

League standing · 2026/27

Marseille#6 pos15 pts9 pl+7 GD

Paris FC#4 pos17 pts9 pl+6 GD

Goals per game

Marseille scored2.22

Paris FC scored1.78

Marseille conceded1.44

Paris FC conceded1.11

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Marseille 1.72 xG from 14 shots, Paris FC 3.38 from 18. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Marseille (attacking right)Paris FC (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Marseille	14	2	1.72
Paris FC	18	3	3.38

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Paris FC led on xG, 2.09 to 0.98. At full time, Paris FC led on xG, 3.38 to 1.72, 0.76 of it from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.76 xG to Paris FC, in the 89th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Marseille 1.72 xGParis FC 3.38 xGdots = goals · 32 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Marseille v Paris FC?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Marseille v Paris FC was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.73 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Marseille and Paris FC?: In their last 2 meetings, Marseille won 1, Paris FC won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 5.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Marseille and Paris FC?: Recent form — Marseille 3W 0D 2L; Paris FC 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 20 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.