Marseille v Paris Saint-Germain result

Full-time · Marseille 1–2 Paris Saint-Germain

Ligue 1 · Sun, 20 Sep 2026 19:45 BST · Stade Orange Vélodrome

Updated 4 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Marseille · Paris Saint-Germain · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Marseille 1–2 Paris Saint-Germain — Paris Saint-Germain won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.18 at William Hill

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,974 of 2,640 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Paris Saint-Germain: 4.75 to 1.87 in expected goals, from 31 shots to 12, ahead on xG from the seventh minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Paris Saint-Germain won 2–1 at Stade Orange Vélodrome in Ligue 1 on Sunday 20 September. Paris Saint-Germain have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Paris Saint-Germain: Ferran Torres (66’, assisted by Désiré Doué) and Marquinhos (74’); Marseille: Adilson Gomes (72’, assisted by Amine Gouiri). Timothy Weah (77’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Marquinhos’s goal on 74 minutes.

Discipline

Francois Letexier showed three yellow cards and one red — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (all competitions).

What it changes

Marseille move down from 11th to 17th (five league matches played). Marseille have scored seven goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games). Marseille have conceded eight goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Paris Saint-Germain move up from seventh to sixth (five league matches played). Paris Saint-Germain have scored eight goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games). Paris Saint-Germain have conceded seven goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Paris Saint-Germain recorded the only away win among the nine finished matches of round 5. Marseille have lost their last five matches in all competitions. Paris Saint-Germain have won their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Désiré Doué (Paris Saint-Germain) 8.3, Jeffrey de Lange (Marseille) 6.3 and Marquinhos (Paris Saint-Germain) 6.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Marseille or Paris Saint-Germain (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Marseille next travel to Lens on 8 November 2026.

Paris Saint-Germain next travel to Nice on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Marseille: Lens v Marseille, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Paris Saint-Germain: Nice v Paris Saint-Germain, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Marseille 1–2 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1
Venue: Stade Orange Vélodrome · Marseille
Referee: Francois Letexier
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Marseille 1 · draws 1 · Paris Saint-Germain 4 · 3.17 goals/game
Recent form: Marseille 1W 0D 4L · Paris Saint-Germain 2W 2D 1L

Marseille 1–2 Paris Saint-Germain (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 4 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.88

Goals

against 1.75 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.38 / 5.14

Corners

against 5 / 1.29 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

5.63 / 7.43

Shots on target

against 5.25 / 3.43 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.75 / 1.43

Cards

against 2.25 / 1.71 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Marseille for / against	Line	Paris Saint-Germain for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5our book	1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.38 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.14 for · 1.29 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	14.88 for · 15.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	20.57 for · 10 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	5.63 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	7.43 for · 3.43 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.88 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	8.29 for · 10 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.43 for · 1.71 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: Francois Letexier.

Marseille

Marseille Goalkeeper

Marseille — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. de Lange	5	90450 min	183.6 /90	61.2 /90	00 /90

Marseille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. de Lange n 8	90	3.4 8/6

Marseille Defensive

Marseille — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
T. Weah	5	90450 min	122.4 /90	30.6 /90	30.6 /90	244.8 /90	81.6 /90	10.2 /90
C. Egan-Riley	5	87435 min	81.7 /90	81.7 /90	30.6 /90	255.2 /90	10.2 /90	00 /90
Emerson	5	78391 min	71.6 /90	40.9 /90	10.2 /90	214.8 /90	40.9 /90	00 /90
N. Aguerd	5	46231 min	10.4 /90	20.8 /90	20.8 /90	124.7 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90
D. Cornelius	3	3399 min	00 /90	21.8 /90	00 /90	10.9 /90	32.7 /90	00 /90
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Marseille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
P. Højbjerg n 8	89	1.5 6/4	1.3 6/4	Vitinha
T. Weah n 8	84.1	1.3 6/3	0.7 3/2	W. Pacho
J. de Lange n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
A. Harit n 8	70.1	0.6 3/1	2.4 6/5	Vitinha
C. Egan-Riley n 8	77.4	0.6 3/1	0.9 4/1	W. Pacho
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Marseille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
T. Weah n 8	84.1	2.1 6/4
P. Højbjerg n 8	89	1.8 6/5
A. Harit n 8	70.1	1.8 6/5
C. Egan-Riley n 8	77.4	1.7 6/2
Emerson n 8	82.6	2.5 7/6
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Marseille Attacking

Marseille — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Gouiri	5	76381 min	40.9 /90	00 /90	112.6 /90	61.4 /90	30.7 /90	61.4 /90
K. Abdallah	5	37184 min	21 /90	00 /90	83.9 /90	42 /90	31.5 /90	52.4 /90
N. Maupay	2	4284 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90	22.1 /90
T. Mmadi	1	1818 min	00 /90	00 /90	15 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
P. Højbjerg	5	90450 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	61.2 /90	20.4 /90	61.2 /90	20.4 /90
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Marseille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
T. Weah n 8	84.1	1.2 7/2	0.4 3/0
P. Højbjerg n 8	89	1.1 4/3	0.4 3/0
J. de Lange n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Harit n 8	70.1	1.1 5/2	0.6 4/0
C. Egan-Riley n 8	77.4	0.3 1/1	0.1 1/0
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Marseille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
P. Højbjerg n 8	89	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
J. de Lange n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Weah n 8	84.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Harit n 8	70.1	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
C. Egan-Riley n 8	77.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain Goalkeeper

Paris Saint-Germain — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Safonov	7	91636 min	142 /90	81.1 /90	00 /90

Paris Saint-Germain — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Safonov n 8	90.8	2.6 5/4

Paris Saint-Germain Defensive

Paris Saint-Germain — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
W. Pacho	7	87610 min	121.8 /90	60.9 /90	40.6 /90	274 /90	20.3 /90	00 /90
A. Hakimi	7	80559 min	71.1 /90	50.8 /90	10.2 /90	284.5 /90	10.2 /90	20.3 /90
Marquinhos	5	91456 min	30.6 /90	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	132.6 /90	40.8 /90	10.2 /90
Nuno Mendes	4	64255 min	41.4 /90	62.1 /90	10.4 /90	196.7 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
L. Hernández	4	41163 min	31.7 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	42.2 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90
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Paris Saint-Germain — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Safonov n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Vitinha n 8	85.4	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0	A. Harit
W. Pacho n 8	87.5	0.3 2/0	0.5 3/1	C. Egan-Riley
A. Hakimi n 8	81.1	0.6 2/1	1 5/2	—
M. Akliouche n 7	56.6	1.1 4/1	1.4 4/2	—
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Paris Saint-Germain — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Vitinha n 8	85.4	0.8 6/0
W. Pacho n 8	87.5	2.2 5/4
A. Hakimi n 8	81.1	1.2 5/3
M. Akliouche n 7	56.6	3.2 6/4
Fabián Ruiz n 8	57.5	2 5/3
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Paris Saint-Germain Attacking

Paris Saint-Germain — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Akliouche	7	57396 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	71.6 /90	10.2 /90	112.5 /90	30.7 /90
D. Doué	6	67399 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	122.7 /90	71.6 /90	122.7 /90	173.8 /90
K. Kvaratskhelia	6	64382 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	153.5 /90	71.6 /90	71.6 /90	112.6 /90
O. Dembélé	6	46277 min	20.6 /90	41.3 /90	227.1 /90	82.6 /90	134.2 /90	92.9 /90
Ferran Torres	5	59294 min	61.8 /90	00 /90	123.7 /90	61.8 /90	51.5 /90	00 /90
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Paris Saint-Germain — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Safonov n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Vitinha n 8	85.4	1.3 5/2	0.4 2/1
W. Pacho n 8	87.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
A. Hakimi n 8	81.1	1.2 6/3	0.3 2/0
M. Akliouche n 7	56.6	1.6 4/2	0.2 1/0
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Paris Saint-Germain — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Safonov n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Vitinha n 8	85.4	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
W. Pacho n 8	87.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Hakimi n 8	81.1	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
M. Akliouche n 7	56.6	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Marseille		Paris Saint-Germain
39%	Possession	61%
12	Shots	31
4	Shots on target	10
3	Shots off target	12
5	Blocked shots	9
7	Shots inside the box	22
3	Corners	7
1	Offsides	2
9	Fouls	3
2	Yellow cards	1
1	Red cards	0
8	Saves	3
402	Passes	632

Marseille Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. de Lange	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
C. Egan-Riley	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
N. Aguerd	90	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	6
P. Højbjerg	90	0	0	3	3	0	1	0	7.2
A. Gouiri	90	0	1	0	0	4	0	0	7.1
Emerson	84	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6
H. Abdelli	84	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.5
N. Maupay	84	0	0	2	0	2	1	0	6.3
T. Weah	77	0	0	1	0	0	2	R	5.2
A. Harit	63	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.5
A. Gomes	60	1	0	2	1	1	1	Y	7.5
Igor Paixão	30	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
K. Abdallah	27	0	0	1	0	0	0	Y	6.1
F. Moumbagna	6	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.7
U. Garcia	6	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.1
K. Bezahaf	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2

Paris Saint-Germain Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Safonov	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
W. Zaïre-Emery	90	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	6.9
Marquinhos	90	1	0	2	2	1	0	0	7.2
W. Pacho	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
Nuno Mendes	90	0	0	2	2	7	0	Y	8
João Neves	90	0	0	3	1	0	5	0	6.9
Vitinha	90	0	0	3	0	3	2	0	7.2
D. Doué	79	0	1	4	1	5	1	0	7.7
O. Dembélé	79	0	0	7	1	5	0	0	6.4
Fabián Ruiz	65	0	0	2	0	1	1	0	7
K. Kvaratskhelia	59	0	0	2	1	3	1	0	7.4
Ferran Torres	31	1	0	3	2	1	0	0	8.1
M. Akliouche	25	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	6.1
Mika Godts	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Beraldo	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.4

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Marseille v Paris Saint-Germain — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

MarseilleWLLLL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game

Paris Saint-GermainDDLWW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Marseille 1 · 1 draw · Paris Saint-Germain 4 · 3.17 goals/game

2026-02-08 Paris Saint-Germain 5–0 Marseille
2026-01-08 Paris Saint-Germain 2–2 Marseille
2025-09-22 Marseille 1–0 Paris Saint-Germain
2025-03-16 Paris Saint-Germain 3–1 Marseille
2024-10-27 Marseille 0–3 Paris Saint-Germain
2024-03-31 Marseille 0–2 Paris Saint-Germain

League standing · 2026/27

Marseille#6 pos15 pts9 pl+7 GD

Paris Saint-Germain#1 pos23 pts10 pl+12 GD

Goals per game

Marseille scored2.22

Paris Saint-Germain scored2.2

Marseille conceded1.44

Paris Saint-Germain conceded1

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Marseille 1.87 xG from 12 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 4.75 from 31. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Marseille (attacking right)Paris Saint-Germain (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Marseille	12	1	1.87
Paris Saint-Germain	31	2	4.75

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Paris Saint-Germain led on xG, 1.09 to 0.18. At full time, Paris Saint-Germain led on xG, 4.75 to 1.87. The widest gap was 3.54 xG to Paris Saint-Germain, in the 90th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Marseille 1.87 xGParis Saint-Germain 4.75 xGdots = goals · 43 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Marseille v Paris Saint-Germain?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Marseille v Paris Saint-Germain was Home or Away (best price 1.18 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Marseille and Paris Saint-Germain?: In their last 6 meetings, Marseille won 1, Paris Saint-Germain won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Marseille and Paris Saint-Germain?: Recent form — Marseille 1W 0D 4L; Paris Saint-Germain 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 4 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.