Marseille v Strasbourg result
Team pages: Marseille · Strasbourg · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Marseille 4–0 Strasbourg — Marseille won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.
What xG said
xG said Marseille: 2.35 to 0.19 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, from 14 shots to 5, ahead on xG from the third minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
Marseille beat Strasbourg 4–0 at CEPAC Vélodrome in Ligue 1 on Friday 21 August.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Marseille: Amine Gouiri (46’, assisted by Adilson Gomes; 68’ pen), Keyliane Abdallah (89’) and Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (90’). Samir El Mourabet (59’) was sent off.
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Amine Gouiri’s goal on 46 minutes.
Discipline
R. Buquet showed three yellow cards and one red — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Marseille: Nayef Aguerd (79’); Strasbourg: Samuel Amo-Ameyaw (48’) and Sékou Mara (61’).
What it changes
Marseille are first after this result (one league match played). Marseille have scored 20 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Marseille have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Strasbourg are 18th after this result (one league match played). Strasbourg have scored 17 goals, the fourth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Strasbourg have conceded 19 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Marseille’s four-goal margin was the biggest of round 1, across nine matches. Marseille have won their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Amine Gouiri (Marseille) 10.9, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (Marseille) 7.8 and Adilson Gomes (Marseille) 6.7 led the match.
Head-to-head
Marseille are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Strasbourg.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.4% of the time in the last 90 days (366 of 543).
Next up
Marseille next travel to Lens on 8 November 2026.
Strasbourg next travel to Toulouse on 6 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Marseille: Lens v Marseille, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Strasbourg: Toulouse v Strasbourg, Friday 6 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Marseille 4–0 Strasbourg · Ligue 1
- Venue: CEPAC Vélodrome · Marseille
- Referee: R. Buquet
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Marseille 1 · draws 4 · Strasbourg 1 · 2.33 goals/game
- Recent form: Marseille 2W 1D 2L · Strasbourg 2W 1D 2L
Marseille 4–0 Strasbourg (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 4 September 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Marseille for / against | Line | Strasbourg for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3our book | 1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.88 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.13 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 17.75 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.63 for · 16.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6.38 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.13 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.38 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: R. Buquet — 2.83 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 21.42 fouls over 12 matches.
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Match Statistics & Details
| Marseille | Strasbourg | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% | Possession | 33% |
| 1.86 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.18 |
| 14 | Shots | 5 |
| 8 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 3 |
| 2 | Blocked shots | 0 |
| 9 | Shots inside the box | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 6 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 687 | Passes | 337 |
| 91% | Pass accuracy | 85% |
Marseille Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. de Lange | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| T. Weah | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Emerson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| P. Højbjerg | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8.3 |
| Igor Paixão | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Gouiri | 90 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8.2 |
| A. Gomes | 89 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7.6 |
| G. Kondogbia | 83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7.3 |
| H. Abdelli | 83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 |
| A. Harit | 83 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| C. Egan-Riley | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| D. Cornelius sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| N. Aguerd sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.9 |
| T. Nnadi sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| K. Abdallah sub | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
| N. Maupay sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Strasbourg Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Jörgensen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| G. Doué | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.2 |
| A. Omobamidele | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.5 |
| L. Høgsberg | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Gessime Yassine | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| G. Antwi | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Sebastian Nanasi | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Diogo Sousa | 69 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5.9 |
| S. Amo-Ameyaw | 69 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.2 |
| S. Mara | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.2 |
| S. El Mourabet | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | R | 5.3 |
| G. Reyna sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| P. Diop sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Ortega sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Mateo Del Blanco sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Marseille v Strasbourg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-02-14 Marseille 2–2 Strasbourg
- 2025-09-26 Strasbourg 1–2 Marseille
- 2025-01-19 Marseille 1–1 Strasbourg
- 2024-09-29 Strasbourg 1–0 Marseille
- 2024-01-12 Marseille 1–1 Strasbourg
- 2023-11-25 Strasbourg 1–1 Marseille
Shot Map and Expected Goals
Marseille 2.35 xG from 14 shots, Strasbourg 0.19 from 5. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 14 | 4 | 2.35 |
| Strasbourg | 5 | 0 | 0.19 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
Expected Goals Race
At half-time, Marseille led on xG, 1.48 to 0.13. At full time, Marseille led on xG, 2.35 to 0.19, 0.76 of it from a penalty. The widest gap was 2.16 xG to Marseille, in the 95th minute.
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Marseille v Strasbourg?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Marseille v Strasbourg was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.57 at Bet365).
- What is the head-to-head record between Marseille and Strasbourg?
- In their last 6 meetings, Marseille won 1, Strasbourg won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Marseille and Strasbourg?
- Recent form — Marseille 2W 1D 2L; Strasbourg 2W 1D 2L.
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