MonacoMarseille

Monaco v Marseille result

Full-time · Monaco 2–1 Marseille

Ligue 1 · · Stade Louis II

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Monaco · Marseille · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Monaco 2–1 Marseille — Monaco won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,997 of 2,670 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Marseille: 3.11 to 1.68 in expected goals, from 19 shots to 7, ahead on xG from the 10th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Monaco beat Marseille 2–1 at Stade Louis II in Ligue 1 on Sunday 5 April. Monaco have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. Marseille have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Monaco: Aleksandr Golovin (59’, assisted by Jordan Teze) and Folarin Balogun (74’); Marseille: Amine Gouiri (85’, assisted by Facundo Medina).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Aleksandr Golovin’s goal on 59 minutes.

Discipline

C. Turpin showed four yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Monaco: Lamine Camara (8’) and T. Kehrer (70’); Marseille: Facundo Medina (34’) and L. Balerdi (87’).

What it changes

Monaco stay fifth after this result (28 league matches played). Monaco have scored 56 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Monaco have conceded 48 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs.

Marseille move down from third to fourth (28 league matches played). Marseille have scored 59 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Marseille have conceded 44 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Monaco are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jordan Teze (Monaco) 8.5, Amine Gouiri (Marseille) 7.8 and Folarin Balogun (Monaco) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Monaco or Marseille (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Monaco next travel to Le Mans on 8 November 2026.

Marseille next travel to Lens on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Monaco: Le Mans v Monaco, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Marseille: Lens v Marseille, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Monaco 2–1 Marseille · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Stade Louis II · Monaco
  • Referee: C. Turpin
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Monaco 2 · draws 2 · Marseille 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Monaco 4W 1D 0L · Marseille 3W 1D 1L

Monaco 2–1 Marseille (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.38 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 4.86
Corners
against 5.63 / 3.43 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5 / 4.14
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 4.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
3.13 / 3
Cards
against 1.38 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.33 yellows
Referee · C. Turpin
23.75 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMonaco for / againstLineMarseille for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4.86 for · 3.43 against n 7
Shots
11.38 for · 17 against n 8
19.5standard
13.43 for · 12.71 against n 7
Shots on target
5 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.14 for · 4.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.63 for · 9.25 against n 8
21.5standard
13.71 for · 11 against n 7
Cards shown
3.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
3 for · 2 against n 7

Referee: C. Turpin — 3.33 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 23.75 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Monaco

Monaco Goalkeeper

Monaco — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
P. Köhn28902508 min873.1 /90481.7 /9010 /90
L. Hrádecký12891069 min342.9 /90141.2 /9000 /90
Monaco — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Köhn n 890
3.97/6
L. Hrádecký n 890
3.27/5

Monaco Defensive

Monaco — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Teze36772777 min712.3 /90290.9 /90110.4 /901374.4 /90381.2 /9080.3 /90
T. Kehrer32872773 min652.1 /90421.4 /90301 /901735.6 /90270.9 /9090.3 /90
Caio Henrique32782506 min441.6 /90260.9 /90110.4 /90983.5 /90160.6 /9030.1 /90
Vanderson22581278 min453.2 /90322.3 /9040.3 /90835.8 /90282 /9050.4 /90
K. Ouattara19701330 min372.5 /90201.4 /9020.1 /90815.5 /90271.8 /9040.3 /90
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Monaco — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Akliouche n 873.9
1.26/1
1.78/3
—
J. Teze n 879.5
0.73/2
0.43/0
Igor Paixão
F. Balogun n 878.4
1.44/4
1.45/4
—
T. Kehrer n 890
0.64/1
0.53/1
—
Caio Henrique n 866.1
0.21/0
0.52/1
—
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Monaco — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Akliouche n 873.9
2.47/5
J. Teze n 879.5
3.17/6
F. Balogun n 878.4
0.11/0
T. Kehrer n 890
2.68/6
Caio Henrique n 866.1
1.56/1
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Monaco Attacking

Monaco — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Balogun36742649 min150.5 /9040.1 /90792.7 /90421.4 /90240.8 /90150.5 /90
M. Biereth25521294 min50.3 /9020.1 /90171.2 /90110.8 /90171.2 /9030.2 /90
Ansu Fati2143905 min90.9 /9000 /90262.6 /90191.9 /90151.5 /90131.3 /90
G. Ilenikhena1134372 min10.2 /9000 /90122.9 /9051.2 /9020.5 /9010.2 /90
Paris Josua Brunner33089 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011 /90
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Monaco — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Akliouche n 873.9
1.55/3
0.94/2
J. Teze n 879.5
0.43/0
0.11/0
F. Balogun n 878.4
2.98/5
1.78/3
T. Kehrer n 890
0.43/0
00/0
Caio Henrique n 866.1
00/0
00/0
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Monaco — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Akliouche n 873.9
0.53/0
0.32/0
J. Teze n 879.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
F. Balogun n 878.4
16/1
0.11/0
T. Kehrer n 890
00/0
00/0
Caio Henrique n 866.1
00/0
0.21/0
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Marseille

Marseille Goalkeeper

Marseille — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Rulli31902790 min1003.2 /90391.3 /9010 /90
J. de Lange790630 min172.4 /9030.4 /9000 /90
Marseille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Rulli n 890
2.48/2
J. de Lange n 890
2.45/3

Marseille Defensive

Marseille — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Emerson29792293 min512 /90351.4 /90100.4 /901074.2 /90230.9 /9040.2 /90
B. Pavard28782185 min311.3 /90281.2 /90140.6 /90923.8 /90271.1 /9060.2 /90
L. Balerdi26812108 min522.2 /90331.4 /90160.7 /901144.9 /90291.2 /9060.3 /90
N. Aguerd21881849 min321.6 /90361.8 /90110.5 /90874.2 /90271.3 /9060.3 /90
A. Murillo19741413 min271.7 /9090.6 /9020.1 /90785 /90261.7 /9040.3 /90
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Marseille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Greenwood n 876.5
1.56/3
15/1
—
P. Højbjerg n 889.6
0.95/2
1.16/3
—
T. Weah n 889.3
1.57/3
0.95/2
—
Igor Paixão n 865.9
0.74/0
2.65/4
J. Teze
G. Rulli n 890
0.11/0
0.31/1
—
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Marseille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Greenwood n 876.5
0.94/2
P. Højbjerg n 889.6
2.37/5
T. Weah n 889.3
2.16/5
Igor Paixão n 865.9
1.46/2
P. Aubameyang n 871.5
0.62/1
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Marseille Attacking

Marseille — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Aubameyang31702162 min110.5 /9090.4 /90522.2 /90321.3 /90301.2 /90150.6 /90
A. Gouiri20591180 min90.7 /9040.3 /90312.4 /90201.5 /90191.4 /90141.1 /90
R. Vaz1038380 min40.9 /9020.5 /9071.7 /9051.2 /9061.4 /9010.2 /90
J. Rowe16363 min00 /9000 /9045.7 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Greenwood37792929 min230.7 /9080.2 /901003.1 /90621.9 /90702.2 /90631.9 /90
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Marseille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Greenwood n 876.5
3.47/5
1.66/3
P. Højbjerg n 889.6
0.53/1
0.32/0
T. Weah n 889.3
0.54/0
0.11/0
Igor Paixão n 865.9
1.97/2
0.74/0
G. Rulli n 890
00/0
00/0
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Marseille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Greenwood n 876.5
0.43/0
0.11/0
P. Højbjerg n 889.6
00/0
0.11/0
T. Weah n 889.3
00/0
0.11/0
Igor Paixão n 865.9
0.21/0
0.53/0
G. Rulli n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MonacoMarseille
48%Possession52%
1.58Expected goals (xG)2.23
7Shots19
3Shots on target9
3Shots off target5
1Blocked shots5
7Shots inside the box12
0Corners8
2Offsides4
14Fouls9
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
7Saves1
409Passes441
84%Pass accuracy84%

Monaco Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Hrádecký9000000008.2
T. Kehrer90000014Y7.5
D. Zakaria9000100107.3
Wout Felix Lina Faes9000000106.5
J. Teze9001003507.6
L. Camara90000003Y6.6
M. Akliouche8400210006.3
F. Balogun8410111007.6
A. Golovin7510110107.9
M. Coulibaly6500000106.9
C. Mawissa Elebi6500000106.6
A. Bamba sub2500000106.9
K. Diatta sub2500000206.6
Ansu Fati sub1500001006.7
S. Adingra sub1300100006.6
M. Biereth sub1300000006.5

Marseille Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Rulli9000000006.3
B. Pavard9000000105.6
F. Medina90011111Y7
Q. Timber9000211306.9
Igor Paixão9000431006.6
P. Aubameyang9000211006.2
A. Gouiri9010115008.2
T. Weah8900102206.6
P. Højbjerg8900211007.3
C. Egan-Riley7700000306.5
H. Traorè7300112106.3
E. Nwaneri sub1700000006.3
L. Balerdi sub13000000Y6.6
Emerson sub800000006.3
H. Abdelli sub800000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Monaco v Marseille — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MonacoDWWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
MarseilleWDWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Monaco 2 · 2 draws · Marseille 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-12-14 Marseille 1–0 Monaco
  • 2025-04-12 Monaco 3–0 Marseille
  • 2024-12-01 Marseille 2–1 Monaco
  • 2024-01-27 Marseille 2–2 Monaco
  • 2023-09-30 Monaco 3–2 Marseille
  • 2023-01-28 Marseille 1–1 Monaco
League standing · 2025/26
Monaco#7 pos54 pts34 pl+6 GD
Marseille#5 pos59 pts34 pl+18 GD
Goals per game
Monaco scored1.76
Marseille scored1.85
Monaco conceded1.59
Marseille conceded1.32

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Monaco 1.68 xG from 7 shots, Marseille 3.11 from 19. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 90' · 0.85 xGSimon Adingra 92' · 0.53 xGHamed Junior Traore 10' · 0.38 xGFacundo Medina 90' · 0.34 xGMaghnes Akliouche 12' · 0.31 xGIgor Paixão 35' · 0.29 xGMaghnes Akliouche 9' · 0.11 xGPierre-Emile Højbjerg 65' · 0.11 xGDenis Zakaria 82' · 0.09 xGPierre-Emerick Aubameyang 3' · 0.07 xGTimothy Weah 31' · 0.07 xGPierre-Emile Højbjerg 66' · 0.06 xGMamadou Coulibaly 29' · 0.06 xGBenjamin Pavard 27' · 0.04 xGIgor Paixão 61' · 0.04 xGIgor Paixão 8' · 0.04 xGIgor Paixão 48' · 0.03 xGQuinten Timber 56' · 0.02 xGPierre-Emerick Aubameyang 32' · 0.02 xGPierre-Emerick Aubameyang 65' · 0.02 xGQuinten Timber 71' · 0.02 xGAmine Gouiri 47' · 0.02 xGQuinten Timber 71' · 0.01 xGAmine Gouiri 84' · 0.68 xG · goalAleksandr Golovin 58' · 0.49 xG · goalFolarin Balogun 73' · 0.09 xG · goal
Monaco (attacking right)Marseille (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Monaco721.68
Marseille1913.11

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Marseille led on xG, 0.91 to 0.47. At full time, Marseille led on xG, 3.11 to 1.68. The widest gap was 1.96 xG to Marseille, in the 90th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.11.600′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Monaco 58 minGoal - Monaco 73 minGoal - Marseille 84 min
Monaco 1.68 xGMarseille 3.11 xGdots = goals · 26 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Monaco v Marseille?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Monaco v Marseille was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Monaco and Marseille?
In their last 6 meetings, Monaco won 2, Marseille won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Monaco and Marseille?
Recent form — Monaco 4W 1D 0L; Marseille 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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