This Matchweek

MonacoMarseille

Monaco v Marseille result

Full-time · Monaco 2–0 Marseille

Ligue 1 · · Stade Louis II

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Monaco · Marseille · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Monaco 2–0 Marseille — Monaco won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.62 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Monaco: 1.62 to 1.25 in expected goals, from 11 shots to 13, ahead on xG from the seventh minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Monaco beat Marseille 2–0 at Stade Louis II in Ligue 1 on Sunday 30 August. Monaco have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Monaco led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Monaco: Paris Josua Brunner (13’, assisted by Aleksandr Golovin; 53’, assisted by Eric Dier).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Paris Josua Brunner’s goal on 13 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Monaco: D. Zakaria (42’), Lamine Camara (43’), Flávio Nazinho (88’) and Lukáš Hrádecký (90+2’).

What it changes

Monaco move up from fifth to first (two league matches played). Monaco have scored 12 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Monaco have conceded 10 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Marseille move down from first to eighth (two league matches played). Marseille have scored 20 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Marseille have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Monaco have won their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Paris Josua Brunner (Monaco) 12.0, Lamine Camara (Monaco) 6.0 and Vanderson (Monaco) 5.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Monaco next travel to Le Mans on 8 November 2026.

Marseille next travel to Lens on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Monaco: Le Mans v Monaco, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Marseille: Lens v Marseille, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Monaco 2–0 Marseille · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Stade Louis II · Monaco
  • Referee: Willy Delajod
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Monaco 3 · draws 1 · Marseille 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Monaco 3W 0D 2L · Marseille 3W 1D 1L

Monaco 2–0 Marseille (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 13 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.25 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5.75 / 5.5
Corners
against 4.25 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 7
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 3.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 2.38
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMonaco for / againstLineMarseille for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
3our book
1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
5.75 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
13.75 for · 13 against n 8
19.5standard
17.75 for · 11 against n 8
Shots on target
5.5 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
7 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.38 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.88 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: Willy Delajod.

Monaco

Monaco Goalkeeper

Monaco — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Hrádecký390270 min113.7 /9031 /9000 /90
Monaco — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Hrádecký n 890
2.97/5

Monaco Defensive

Monaco — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Dier390270 min41.3 /9000 /9020.7 /90186 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Sadibou Sané390270 min31 /9000 /9010.3 /9072.3 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Vanderson373220 min72.9 /9020.8 /9031.2 /9072.9 /9062.5 /9010.4 /90
Flávio Nazinho285170 min52.6 /9031.6 /9010.5 /9073.7 /9052.6 /9000 /90
C. Mawissa Elebi18080 min11.1 /9033.4 /9000 /9066.8 /9011.1 /9000 /90
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Monaco — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Camara n 880.4
1.56/4
1.57/3
P. Højbjerg
E. Dier n 874.6
0.84/1
0.32/0
Emerson
Sadibou Sané n 390
0.72/0
0.31/0
Emerson
L. Hrádecký n 890
00/0
00/0
—
D. Zakaria n 886.9
1.67/3
0.93/2
P. Højbjerg
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Monaco — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Camara n 880.4
2.97/4
Sadibou Sané n 390
12/1
E. Dier n 874.6
0.93/3
D. Zakaria n 886.9
1.95/4
Paris Josua Brunner n 654.3
0.83/0
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Monaco Attacking

Monaco — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Paris Josua Brunner379237 min20.8 /9000 /9093.4 /9041.5 /9020.8 /9010.4 /90
M. Biereth350149 min21.2 /9000 /9031.8 /9021.2 /9010.6 /9000 /90
M. Detourbet24590 min00 /9011 /9022 /9011 /9011 /9033 /90
L. Camara390270 min10.3 /9000 /9031 /9020.7 /9051.7 /9010.3 /90
D. Zakaria382245 min00 /9000 /9020.7 /9000 /9020.7 /9020.7 /90
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Monaco — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Camara n 880.4
1.35/3
0.74/1
E. Dier n 874.6
0.63/1
0.32/0
L. Hrádecký n 890
00/0
00/0
Sadibou Sané n 390
00/0
00/0
D. Zakaria n 886.9
0.65/0
0.11/0
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Monaco — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Camara n 880.4
0.63/1
00/0
E. Dier n 874.6
0.21/0
00/0
L. Hrádecký n 890
00/0
00/0
Sadibou Sané n 390
00/0
00/0
D. Zakaria n 886.9
00/0
00/0
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Marseille

Marseille Goalkeeper

Marseille — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. de Lange19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
Marseille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. de Lange n 890
2.56/3

Marseille Defensive

Marseille — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Emerson19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /9066 /9011 /9000 /90
T. Weah19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9011 /9022 /9000 /90
G. Kondogbia18383 min44.3 /9033.3 /9000 /9055.4 /9000 /9000 /90
C. Egan-Riley17575 min11.2 /9011.2 /9000 /9022.4 /9000 /9000 /90
D. Cornelius11515 min00 /9016 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Marseille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Højbjerg n 887.1
1.76/4
1.58/4
D. Zakaria
A. Gouiri n 869.8
1.33/2
2.16/4
—
Igor Paixão n 876.4
15/2
1.96/4
—
T. Weah n 884
0.96/1
0.32/0
—
Emerson n 878.6
0.43/0
0.74/1
Sadibou Sané
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Marseille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Emerson n 878.6
1.94/4
Igor Paixão n 876.4
1.55/3
P. Højbjerg n 887.1
1.46/3
T. Weah n 884
1.26/3
A. Gouiri n 869.8
0.63/1
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Marseille Attacking

Marseille — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Gouiri19090 min22 /9000 /9044 /9033 /9011 /9000 /90
K. Abdallah11515 min16 /9000 /9016 /9016 /9000 /90212 /90
Igor Paixão19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9000 /9022 /90
P. Højbjerg19090 min11 /9000 /9033 /9011 /9011 /9000 /90
A. Gomes18989 min00 /9011 /9022 /9011 /9022 /9011 /90
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Marseille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Igor Paixão n 876.4
2.47/5
1.36/2
A. Gouiri n 869.8
1.87/2
14/1
P. Højbjerg n 887.1
1.56/5
0.54/0
T. Weah n 884
0.86/0
0.32/0
Emerson n 878.6
0.43/0
00/0
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Marseille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Gouiri n 869.8
0.63/1
0.21/0
P. Højbjerg n 887.1
0.43/0
0.11/0
Igor Paixão n 876.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. de Lange n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Weah n 884
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MonacoMarseille
36%Possession64%
1.72Expected goals (xG)1.40
11Shots13
5Shots on target2
4Shots off target6
2Blocked shots5
7Shots inside the box7
5Corners7
3Offsides1
9Fouls10
4Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
2Saves3
356Passes648
87%Pass accuracy91%

Monaco Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Hrádecký90000000Y7
Vanderson9000001307.9
Sadibou Sané9000000107.3
E. Dier9001101007.6
Flávio Nazinho90000013Y6.9
L. Camara90000014Y7.6
D. Zakaria90001100Y6.6
S. Idumbo-Muzambo8500311107.3
M. Coulibaly8100003207.3
A. Golovin8101001007.3
Paris Josua Brunner8120430309.5
M. Detourbet sub1100000006.3
A. Soubeir sub900000006.7
M. Biereth sub900000106.9
M. Abline sub900000006.9

Marseille Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. de Lange9000000007.5
T. Weah9000201306.9
C. Egan-Riley9000000106.9
Emerson9000111206.6
P. Højbjerg9000002307
A. Harit9000102106.7
A. Gouiri9000000006.2
A. Gomes8500100206.5
G. Kondogbia5800000206.3
H. Abdelli4500001006.7
Q. Timber4500000006.2
K. Abdallah sub4500212006.7
N. Aguerd sub3200000107.3
T. Nnadi sub2800000206.6
N. Maupay sub1700100006.2
F. Moumbagna sub1100000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Monaco v Marseille — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MonacoLLWWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
MarseilleDLWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Monaco 3 · 1 draw · Marseille 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-04-05 Monaco 2–1 Marseille
  • 2025-12-14 Marseille 1–0 Monaco
  • 2025-04-12 Monaco 3–0 Marseille
  • 2024-12-01 Marseille 2–1 Monaco
  • 2024-01-27 Marseille 2–2 Monaco
  • 2023-09-30 Monaco 3–2 Marseille
League standing · 2026/27
Monaco#7 pos15 pts9 pl+2 GD
Marseille#6 pos15 pts9 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
Monaco scored1.33
Marseille scored2.22
Monaco conceded1.11
Marseille conceded1.44

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Monaco 1.62 xG from 11 shots, Marseille 1.25 from 13. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Faris Moumbagna 93' · 0.59 xGStanis Idumbo Muzambo 71' · 0.34 xGKeyliane Abdallah 46' · 0.14 xGAngel Gomes 31' · 0.11 xGParis Brunner 21' · 0.11 xGParis Brunner 21' · 0.10 xGStanis Idumbo Muzambo 37' · 0.08 xGKeyliane Abdallah 70' · 0.07 xGStanis Idumbo Muzambo 26' · 0.07 xGAmine Harit 24' · 0.06 xGAngel Gomes 47' · 0.06 xGNeal Maupay 88' · 0.06 xGEric Dier 12' · 0.05 xGAmine Gouiri 79' · 0.04 xGParis Brunner 47' · 0.04 xGTimothy Weah 52' · 0.03 xGAmine Harit 27' · 0.03 xGDenis Zakaria 22' · 0.02 xGEmerson 78' · 0.02 xGKeyliane Abdallah 89' · 0.02 xGStanis Idumbo Muzambo 7' · 0.02 xGTimothy Weah 89' · 0.02 xGParis Brunner 12' · 0.43 xG · goalParis Brunner 52' · 0.36 xG · goal
Monaco (attacking right)Marseille (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Monaco1121.62
Marseille1301.25

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Monaco led on xG, 0.88 to 0.21. At full time, Monaco led on xG, 1.62 to 1.25. The widest gap was 1.10 xG to Monaco, in the 71st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.60.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Monaco 12 minGoal - Monaco 52 min
Monaco 1.62 xGMarseille 1.25 xGdots = goals · 24 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Monaco v Marseille?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Monaco v Marseille was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.62 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Monaco and Marseille?
In their last 6 meetings, Monaco won 3, Marseille won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Monaco and Marseille?
Recent form — Monaco 3W 0D 2L; Marseille 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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