Paris Saint-Germain v Lorient result

Full-time · Paris Saint-Germain 2–2 Lorient

Ligue 1 · Sat, 02 May 2026 16:00 BST · Parc des Princes

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Paris Saint-Germain · Lorient · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Paris Saint-Germain 2–2 Lorient — this Ligue 1 match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 546 of 850 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Paris Saint-Germain: 3.09 to 1.28 in expected goals, from 24 shots to 5, ahead on xG from the fifth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Paris Saint-Germain and Lorient drew 2–2 at Parc des Princes in Ligue 1 on Saturday 2 May. Paris Saint-Germain have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Paris Saint-Germain: Ibrahim Mbaye (6’) and Warren Zaïre-Emery (62’, assisted by Désiré Doué); Lorient: Pablo Pagis (12’, assisted by Panos Katseris) and Aiyegun Tosin (78’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Aiyegun Tosin’s goal on 78 minutes.

Discipline

B. Dechepy showed two yellow cards — against 5.3 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Paris Saint-Germain: Lucas Hernández (47’); Lorient: D. Yongwa (90’).

What it changes

Paris Saint-Germain stay first after this result (31 league matches played).

Lorient stay ninth after this result (32 league matches played).

Paris Saint-Germain are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Désiré Doué (Paris Saint-Germain) 7.6, Panos Katseris (Lorient) 7.3 and Aiyegun Tosin (Lorient) 5.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

Paris Saint-Germain are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Lorient.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Paris Saint-Germain next host Estac Troyes on 7 November 2026.

Lorient next travel to Le Havre on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Paris Saint-Germain: Paris Saint-Germain v Estac Troyes, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Lorient: Le Havre v Lorient, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Paris Saint-Germain 2–2 Lorient · Ligue 1
Venue: Parc des Princes · Paris
Referee: B. Dechepy
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Paris Saint-Germain 3 · draws 2 · Lorient 1 · 3.33 goals/game
Recent form: Paris Saint-Germain 4W 0D 1L · Lorient 1W 1D 3L

Paris Saint-Germain 2–2 Lorient (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.88 / 1

Goals

against 0.88 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

5.13 / 3.86

Corners

against 4.25 / 5.71 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

7 / 4.14

Shots on target

against 3.13 / 4.14 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.75 / 1.29

Cards

against 1.13 / 2.71 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

5.3 yellows

Referee · B. Dechepy

25.2 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 10 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Paris Saint-Germain for / against	Line	Lorient for / against
Goals scored	2.88 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	1 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.13 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.86 for · 5.71 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	16.25 for · 8.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	9.86 for · 12.71 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	7 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.14 for · 4.14 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	7.88 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.43 for · 11.86 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.29 for · 2.71 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: B. Dechepy — 5.3 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 25.2 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain Goalkeeper

Paris Saint-Germain — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
L. Chevalier	24	902160 min	431.8 /90	241 /90	10 /90
M. Safonov	22	901980 min	532.4 /90	231 /90	10 /90

Paris Saint-Germain — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
L. Chevalier n 8	90	2.1 5/3
M. Safonov n 8	90	2.1 4/3

Paris Saint-Germain Defensive

Paris Saint-Germain — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
W. Pacho	42	863591 min	761.9 /90	431.1 /90	240.6 /90	1563.9 /90	180.5 /90	00 /90
Nuno Mendes	41	712927 min	631.9 /90	341 /90	70.2 /90	2056.3 /90	280.9 /90	40.1 /90
A. Hakimi	36	812911 min	451.4 /90	220.7 /90	30.1 /90	1083.3 /90	250.8 /90	50.2 /90
I. Zabarnyi	31	802484 min	341.2 /90	170.6 /90	120.4 /90	843 /90	190.7 /90	60.2 /90
Marquinhos	30	802399 min	291.1 /90	180.7 /90	140.5 /90	1023.8 /90	180.7 /90	10 /90
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Paris Saint-Germain — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
W. Zaïre-Emery n 8	71.4	0.8 5/0	0.8 4/1	—
Vitinha n 8	75.3	0.6 4/0	0.6 3/1	—
B. Barcola n 8	55.5	1.4 5/2	0 0/0	A. Avom
K. Kvaratskhelia n 8	72.1	0.9 4/2	1.9 4/3	—
W. Pacho n 8	90	0.5 2/1	0.1 1/0	—
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Paris Saint-Germain — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
W. Zaïre-Emery n 8	71.4	1.6 7/2
Vitinha n 8	75.3	1.2 6/2
B. Barcola n 8	55.5	1.2 3/2
K. Kvaratskhelia n 8	72.1	2.5 7/4
W. Pacho n 8	90	1.3 5/2
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Paris Saint-Germain Attacking

Paris Saint-Germain — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
B. Barcola	46	612789 min	120.4 /90	70.2 /90	722.3 /90	431.4 /90	732.4 /90	591.9 /90
K. Kvaratskhelia	45	622788 min	180.6 /90	90.3 /90	902.9 /90	511.6 /90	561.8 /90	782.5 /90
D. Doué	39	612386 min	130.5 /90	60.2 /90	622.3 /90	341.3 /90	642.4 /90	652.5 /90
O. Dembélé	35	541876 min	190.9 /90	100.5 /90	673.2 /90	351.7 /90	713.4 /90	261.2 /90
Gonçalo Ramos	32	481525 min	100.6 /90	10.1 /90	623.7 /90	362.1 /90	171 /90	201.2 /90
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Paris Saint-Germain — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
W. Zaïre-Emery n 8	71.4	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Vitinha n 8	75.3	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
B. Barcola n 8	55.5	2.2 6/3	1.8 6/3
K. Kvaratskhelia n 8	72.1	3.7 8/8	2.7 8/7
W. Pacho n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Paris Saint-Germain — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
W. Zaïre-Emery n 8	71.4	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Vitinha n 8	75.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
B. Barcola n 8	55.5	0.6 3/0	0.2 1/0
K. Kvaratskhelia n 8	72.1	1.1 5/2	0.3 2/0
W. Pacho n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Lorient

Lorient Goalkeeper

Lorient — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Y. Mvogo	28	902520 min	662.4 /90	351.3 /90	00 /90
B. Kamara	6	90540 min	152.5 /90	91.5 /90	00 /90

Lorient — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Y. Mvogo n 8	90	2.8 6/5
B. Kamara n 6	90	2.5 4/2

Lorient Defensive

Lorient — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Talbi	27	902430 min	210.8 /90	230.9 /90	200.7 /90	1134.2 /90	80.3 /90	40.1 /90
B. Meité	25	842109 min	311.3 /90	140.6 /90	140.6 /90	1345.7 /90	361.5 /90	50.2 /90
D. Yongwa	19	701335 min	332.2 /90	120.8 /90	10.1 /90	875.9 /90	130.9 /90	30.2 /90
Igor Silva	17	821394 min	241.5 /90	161 /90	80.5 /90	654.2 /90	90.6 /90	10.1 /90
A. Faye	15	821233 min	272 /90	241.8 /90	50.4 /90	795.8 /90	231.7 /90	70.5 /90
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Lorient — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Makengo n 8	75.6	0.3 2/0	1 5/2	—
K. Kouassi n 8	80.3	0.1 1/0	2.2 8/5	—
A. Avom n 8	72.4	1.2 5/2	0.9 5/1	B. Barcola
Y. Mvogo n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
T. Le Bris n 8	68.4	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0	—
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Lorient — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Makengo n 8	75.6	1.5 7/2
K. Kouassi n 8	80.3	0.7 3/2
A. Avom n 8	72.4	2.3 6/4
T. Le Bris n 8	68.4	1.8 7/2
D. Karim n 8	46.4	1 3/1
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Lorient Attacking

Lorient — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Makengo	30	611820 min	30.1 /90	20.1 /90	271.3 /90	130.6 /90	221.1 /90	231.1 /90
P. Pagis	27	641732 min	90.5 /90	30.2 /90	472.4 /90	191 /90	492.5 /90	251.3 /90
S. Soumano	24	40951 min	40.4 /90	20.2 /90	191.8 /90	100.9 /90	100.9 /90	60.6 /90
A. Tosin	23	42964 min	40.4 /90	00 /90	242.2 /90	121.1 /90	100.9 /90	100.9 /90
B. Dieng	19	611158 min	141.1 /90	10.1 /90	403.1 /90	241.9 /90	131 /90	60.5 /90
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Lorient — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Makengo n 8	75.6	0.6 3/1	0.3 2/0
K. Kouassi n 8	80.3	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
A. Avom n 8	72.4	0.8 3/2	0.6 2/2
Y. Mvogo n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Le Bris n 8	68.4	0.5 3/0	0.3 2/0
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Lorient — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Makengo n 8	75.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Kouassi n 8	80.3	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
A. Avom n 8	72.4	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Y. Mvogo n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Le Bris n 8	68.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Paris Saint-Germain		Lorient
68%	Possession	32%
2.42	Expected goals (xG)	0.96
24	Shots	5
6	Shots on target	3
10	Shots off target	2
8	Blocked shots	0
15	Shots inside the box	4
12	Corners	2
1	Offsides	2
9	Fouls	7
1	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	4
619	Passes	291
91%	Pass accuracy	80%

Paris Saint-Germain Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Renato Bellucci	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
Senny Mayulu	90	0	0	4	1	2	1	0	6.2
Beraldo	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
W. Pacho	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
L. Hernández	90	0	0	2	0	1	3	Y	6.9
Lee Kang-In	90	0	0	1	1	4	1	0	7.3
Pedro Fernández	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.9
B. Barcola	90	0	0	1	0	1	3	0	7.5
D. Doué	75	0	1	3	1	1	2	0	7.7
I. Mbaye	62	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.5
Fabián Ruiz	61	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	7.2
W. Zaïre-Emery sub	29	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	7.6
João Neves sub	28	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.7
Pierre Mounguengue sub	15	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	5.6

Lorient Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Y. Mvogo	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
N. Adjei	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
M. Talbi	90	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	6.9
A. Faye	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
L. Abergel	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
N. Cadiou	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
K. Kouassi	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
P. Katseris	80	0	1	0	0	1	4	0	7.2
A. Avom	73	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.2
P. Pagis	72	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	7.5
B. Dieng	72	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
A. Tosin sub	18	1	0	2	2	0	0	0	8.3
D. Karim sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
J. Makengo sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
D. Yongwa sub	10	0	0	0	0	1	0	Y	6.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Paris Saint-Germain v Lorient — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Paris Saint-GermainWLWWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

LorientLDLWL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Paris Saint-Germain 3 · 2 draws · Lorient 1 · 3.33 goals/game

2025-10-29 Lorient 1–1 Paris Saint-Germain
2024-04-24 Lorient 1–4 Paris Saint-Germain
2023-08-12 Paris Saint-Germain 0–0 Lorient
2023-04-30 Paris Saint-Germain 1–3 Lorient
2022-11-06 Lorient 1–2 Paris Saint-Germain
2022-04-03 Paris Saint-Germain 5–1 Lorient

League standing · 2025/26

Paris Saint-Germain#1 pos76 pts34 pl+45 GD

Lorient#9 pos45 pts34 pl-3 GD

Goals per game

Paris Saint-Germain scored2.18

Lorient scored1.41

Paris Saint-Germain conceded0.85

Lorient conceded1.5

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Paris Saint-Germain 3.09 xG from 24 shots, Lorient 1.28 from 5. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Paris Saint-Germain (attacking right)Lorient (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Paris Saint-Germain	24	2	3.09
Lorient	5	2	1.28

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Paris Saint-Germain led on xG, 1.10 to 0.39. At full time, Paris Saint-Germain led on xG, 3.09 to 1.28. The widest gap was 1.81 xG to Paris Saint-Germain, in the 89th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Paris Saint-Germain 3.09 xGLorient 1.28 xGdots = goals · 29 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Paris Saint-Germain v Lorient?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Paris Saint-Germain v Lorient was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Paris Saint-Germain and Lorient?: In their last 6 meetings, Paris Saint-Germain won 3, Lorient won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Paris Saint-Germain and Lorient?: Recent form — Paris Saint-Germain 4W 0D 1L; Lorient 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.