RennesNantes

Rennes v Nantes result

Full-time · Rennes 2–1 Nantes

Ligue 1 · · Roazhon Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Rennes · Nantes · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Rennes 2–1 Nantes — Rennes won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 549 of 855 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Nantes: 2.65 to 1.56 in expected goals, 0.76 of Rennes’s from a penalty, from 24 shots to 14, ahead on xG from the 28th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Rennes beat Nantes 2–1 at Roazhon Park in Ligue 1 on Sunday 26 April.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Rennes: Esteban Lepaul (8’ pen) and Valentin Rongier (90’); Nantes: I. Ganago (40’, assisted by N. Cozza).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Valentin Rongier’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

B. Bastien showed five yellow cards — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Rennes: Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal (73’), Valentin Rongier (88’) and Sebastian Szymański (90+6’); Nantes: N. Cozza (38’) and D. Machado (50’).

What it changes

Rennes move down from fourth to fifth (31 league matches played).

Nantes stay 17th after this result (31 league matches played).

Rennes are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Nantes are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, J. Lepenant (Nantes) 7.8, N. Cozza (Nantes) 6.5 and I. Ganago (Nantes) 6.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Rennes next host Lille on 8 November 2026.

Nantes next travel to PAU on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Rennes: Rennes v Lille, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Nantes: PAU v Nantes, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Rennes 2–1 Nantes · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Roazhon Park · Rennes
  • Referee: B. Bastien
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Rennes 4 · draws 1 · Nantes 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rennes 3W 1D 1L · Nantes 0W 3D 2L

Rennes 2–1 Nantes (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.25 / 0.63
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.5 / 4.25
Corners
against 3 / 4.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.38 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 2.5 / 3.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 2.38
Cards
against 2.38 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.17 yellows
Referee · B. Bastien
23.42 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameRennes for / againstLineNantes for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5standard
0.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
6.5 for · 3 against n 8
9.5standard
4.25 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
15.88 for · 9.25 against n 8
19.5standard
10.63 for · 10.13 against n 8
Shots on target
6.38 for · 2.5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.63 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 12.13 against n 8
21.5standard
13.38 for · 15.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: B. Bastien — 3.17 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 23.42 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Rennes

Rennes Goalkeeper

Rennes — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Samba31902790 min782.5 /90421.4 /9020.1 /90
M. Silistrie290180 min10.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Rennes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rennes before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Samba n 890
1.85/2

Rennes Defensive

Rennes — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Q. Merlin32762431 min572.1 /90331.2 /9090.3 /901154.3 /90200.7 /9020.1 /90
L. Brassier27812177 min291.2 /90381.6 /90200.8 /90943.9 /90281.2 /9020.1 /90
A. Rouault22821814 min301.5 /90201 /90190.9 /90904.5 /90281.4 /9050.2 /90
Jérémy Jacquet21881853 min301.5 /90201 /90170.8 /90894.3 /90231.1 /9060.3 /90
A. Seidu18681231 min342.5 /90191.4 /9020.1 /90866.3 /90151.1 /9020.1 /90
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Rennes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rennes before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Q. Merlin n 890
1.15/4
1.37/2
N. Cozza
B. Samba n 890
00/0
0.42/1
—
Esteban Lepaul n 883.6
0.85/1
0.83/2
M. Abline
M. Camara n 888.1
0.95/2
16/2
J. Lepenant
Mousa Tamari n 865.8
0.32/0
1.25/1
J. Lepenant
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Rennes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rennes before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Q. Merlin n 890
3.17/6
Esteban Lepaul n 883.6
00/0
M. Camara n 888.1
28/4
Mousa Tamari n 865.8
0.93/2
V. Rongier n 890
38/6
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Rennes Attacking

Rennes — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Esteban Lepaul31762353 min160.6 /9040.2 /90572.2 /90321.2 /90170.7 /9090.3 /90
B. Embolo29621794 min100.5 /9030.2 /90351.8 /90180.9 /90170.9 /90140.7 /90
M. Meïté1440559 min20.3 /9020.3 /90152.4 /9071.1 /9071.1 /9061 /90
A. Nordin866526 min10.2 /9010.2 /90132.2 /9040.7 /9030.5 /9050.9 /90
N. Mukiele32265 min11.4 /9000 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9011.4 /90
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Rennes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rennes before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Q. Merlin n 890
0.42/1
0.32/0
B. Samba n 890
00/0
00/0
Esteban Lepaul n 883.6
2.38/5
1.26/3
M. Camara n 888.1
1.16/2
0.64/1
Mousa Tamari n 865.8
2.47/3
12/2
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Rennes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rennes before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Q. Merlin n 890
00/0
0.11/0
B. Samba n 890
00/0
00/0
Esteban Lepaul n 883.6
0.85/1
0.11/0
M. Camara n 888.1
0.31/1
00/0
Mousa Tamari n 865.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
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Nantes

Nantes Goalkeeper

Nantes — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Anthony Lopes30902699 min933.1 /90511.7 /9000 /90
P. Carlgren19090 min33 /9011 /9000 /90
Nantes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nantes before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Anthony Lopes n 890
2.65/4

Nantes Defensive

Nantes — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Cozza25842106 min351.5 /90170.7 /9080.3 /90964.1 /90160.7 /9010 /90
K. Amian23892051 min281.2 /9080.4 /90100.4 /90833.6 /90251.1 /9040.2 /90
C. Awaziem23892041 min231 /90190.8 /90170.7 /90863.8 /90221 /9070.3 /90
T. Tati20861724 min191 /90170.9 /90150.8 /90542.8 /90231.2 /9050.3 /90
D. Machado1368885 min212.1 /9060.6 /9000 /90535.4 /90212.1 /9020.2 /90
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Nantes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nantes before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Anthony Lopes n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
M. Abline n 877.6
0.42/1
1.25/3
Esteban Lepaul
N. Cozza n 890
0.82/2
28/6
Q. Merlin
J. Lepenant n 887.9
1.78/3
1.97/5
Mousa Tamari
K. Amian n 887.6
1.47/4
0.86/0
—
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Nantes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nantes before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Abline n 877.6
0.62/1
N. Cozza n 890
1.85/5
J. Lepenant n 887.9
2.47/6
K. Amian n 887.6
0.53/1
C. Awaziem n 888.1
1.56/3
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Nantes Attacking

Nantes — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Abline29802315 min70.3 /9050.2 /90501.9 /90220.9 /90281.1 /90501.9 /90
Mostafa Mohamed19591119 min40.3 /9000 /90262.1 /9070.6 /9090.7 /9030.2 /90
Bahereba Guirassy1649776 min20.2 /9010.1 /90101.2 /9060.7 /9060.7 /9091 /90
Y. El-Arabi1563947 min30.3 /9010.1 /90121.1 /9090.9 /9090.9 /9070.7 /90
I. Ganago1058582 min10.2 /9000 /9091.4 /9050.8 /9030.5 /9040.6 /90
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Nantes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nantes before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Anthony Lopes n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Abline n 877.6
1.96/3
0.73/2
N. Cozza n 890
0.42/1
0.32/0
J. Lepenant n 887.9
0.86/0
0.43/0
K. Amian n 887.6
0.64/1
0.32/0
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Nantes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nantes before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Anthony Lopes n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Abline n 877.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
N. Cozza n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Lepenant n 887.9
00/0
00/0
K. Amian n 887.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
RennesNantes
63%Possession37%
1.30Expected goals (xG)2.17
14Shots24
5Shots on target8
4Shots off target6
5Blocked shots10
8Shots inside the box21
6Corners8
5Offsides1
15Fouls15
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
6Saves3
466Passes260
84%Pass accuracy71%

Rennes Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Samba9000000007.9
A. Ait Boudlal90001102Y7.6
L. Brassier9000111107.9
Q. Merlin9000001007.2
V. Rongier90101102Y8.2
M. Camara9000100106.3
Esteban Lepaul9010311007.3
Mousa Tamari8900002107.2
B. Embolo8100000207.2
A. Seidu6800001107
L. Blas6800003006.5
M. Nagida sub2200000107.2
S. Szymański sub22000020Y6.6
M. Zabiri sub900210006.2
N. Mukiele sub900000006.3

Nantes Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Anthony Lopes9000000006.6
Ali Yousef Musrati9000001207
N. Cozza90012115Y8.2
D. Machado90000002Y6.3
J. Lepenant9000007607.6
I. Sissoko9000102106.9
M. Abline8700211006.5
I. Ganago8710311108.2
F. Guilbert7700211106.3
M. Kaba6800330406.3
Louis Leroux6800000206.3
D. Assoumani sub2200000006.3
Bahereba Guirassy sub2200000006.7
M. Acapandié sub1300000106.3
Y. El-Arabi sub1300000006.3
Mostafa Mohamed sub1300110006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Rennes v Nantes — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RennesLDWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
NantesLDDDL
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Rennes 4 · 1 draw · Nantes 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-09-20 Nantes 2–2 Rennes
  • 2025-04-18 Rennes 2–1 Nantes
  • 2024-12-08 Nantes 1–0 Rennes
  • 2024-04-20 Nantes 0–3 Rennes
  • 2023-10-01 Rennes 3–1 Nantes
  • 2023-02-26 Nantes 0–1 Rennes
League standing · 2025/26
Rennes#6 pos59 pts34 pl+9 GD
Nantes#17 pos23 pts33 pl-23 GD
Goals per game
Rennes scored1.74
Nantes scored0.88
Rennes conceded1.47
Nantes conceded1.58

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Rennes 1.56 xG from 14 shots, Nantes 2.65 from 24. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Nicolas Cozza 30' · 0.77 xGMohamed Kaba 66' · 0.37 xGIgnatius Ganago 41' · 0.35 xGAbdelhamid Aït Boudlal 35' · 0.34 xGFrederic Guilbert 30' · 0.11 xGAnthony Lopes 98' · 0.10 xGMohamed Kaba 64' · 0.10 xGYassir Zabiri 83' · 0.09 xGMatthis Abline 82' · 0.09 xGMatthis Abline 41' · 0.08 xGIgnatius Ganago 70' · 0.08 xGDehmaine Assoumani 98' · 0.08 xGJohann Lepenant 28' · 0.07 xGBahereba Guirassy 93' · 0.06 xGFrederic Guilbert 64' · 0.06 xGMostafa Mohamed 94' · 0.05 xGEsteban Lepaul 25' · 0.05 xGMousa Al Tamari 53' · 0.05 xGDeiver Machado 74' · 0.05 xGEsteban Lepaul 75' · 0.05 xGBreel Embolo 35' · 0.04 xGDehmaine Assoumani 77' · 0.04 xGYassir Zabiri 83' · 0.03 xGAli Youssif 98' · 0.03 xGNicolas Cozza 15' · 0.03 xGMousa Al Tamari 84' · 0.03 xGMahamadou Nagida 89' · 0.03 xGIgnatius Ganago 77' · 0.03 xGIbrahima Sissoko 28' · 0.03 xGFrederic Guilbert 29' · 0.02 xGMahdi Camara 20' · 0.02 xGEsteban Lepaul 39' · 0.02 xGAli Youssif 46' · 0.02 xGMohamed Kaba 54' · 0.02 xGLilian Brassier 47' · 0.01 xGEsteban Lepaul 7' · 0.76 xG · goalValentin Rongier 91' · 0.03 xG · goalIgnatius Ganago 39' · 0.02 xG · goal
Rennes (attacking right)Nantes (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Rennes1421.56
Nantes2412.65

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Rennes 1.23, Nantes 1.48, including 0.76 from a penalty. At full time, Nantes led on xG, 2.65 to 1.56, 0.76 of Rennes’s from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.09 xG to Nantes, in the 98th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.61.300′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Rennes 7 minGoal - Nantes 39 minGoal - Rennes 91 min
Rennes 1.56 xGNantes 2.65 xGdots = goals · 38 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Rennes v Nantes?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rennes v Nantes was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Rennes and Nantes?
In their last 6 meetings, Rennes won 4, Nantes won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rennes and Nantes?
Recent form — Rennes 3W 1D 1L; Nantes 0W 3D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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