BurnleyBrighton

Burnley v Brighton result

Full-time · Burnley 0–2 Brighton

Premier League · · Turf Moor

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Burnley · Brighton · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Burnley 0–2 Brighton — Brighton won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1452 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 829 of 1,283 times (64.6%), against an average rating of 69.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Burnley 0.81, Brighton 1.07 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Brighton won 2–0 at Turf Moor in the Premier League on Saturday 11 April. Burnley are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions. Brighton have won their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

Brighton led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Brighton: Mats Wieffer (43’, assisted by Pascal Groß; 89’, assisted by Yasin Ayari).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Mats Wieffer’s goal on 43 minutes.

Discipline

T. Bramall showed three yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Burnley: Maxime Estève (30’) and Florentino (60’); Brighton: Jan van Hecke (48’).

What it changes

Burnley stay 19th after this result (32 league matches played). Burnley have scored 38 goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Burnley have conceded 75 goals, the most of the 20 clubs.

Brighton move down from eighth to ninth (32 league matches played). Brighton have scored 52 goals, the 10th-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Brighton have conceded 46 goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Mats Wieffer (Brighton) 13.9, Yasin Ayari (Brighton) 8.4 and James Ward-Prowse (Burnley) 7.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Brighton are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Burnley.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Brighton, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (989 of 1452).

Next up

Burnley next travel to Cardiff on 7 November 2026.

Brighton next host Brentford on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Burnley: Cardiff v Burnley, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Brighton: Brighton v Brentford, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Burnley 0–2 Brighton · Premier League
  • Venue: Turf Moor · Burnley
  • Referee: T. Bramall
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Burnley 1 · draws 3 · Brighton 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Burnley 0W 2D 3L · Brighton 4W 0D 1L

Burnley 0–2 Brighton (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 0.88
Goals
against 2 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 4.13
Corners
against 6 / 5.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 3.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 3
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.29 yellows
Referee · T. Bramall
21.53 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 17 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBurnley for / againstLineBrighton for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 2 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 6 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
12.63 for · 15.13 against n 8
19.5standard
12.13 for · 11.75 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.63 for · 9.63 against n 8
21.5standard
13.63 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
3 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: T. Bramall — 4.29 yellow cards a game, 0.06 red cards, 21.53 fouls over 17 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Burnley

Burnley Goalkeeper

Burnley — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Dúbravka31902790 min1113.6 /90612 /9000 /90
M. Weiß490360 min92.3 /9061.5 /9000 /90
Burnley — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Dúbravka n 890
2.16/3

Burnley Defensive

Burnley — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Estève30862585 min321.1 /90371.3 /90250.9 /901224.2 /90120.4 /9000 /90
K. Walker29882549 min431.5 /90381.3 /90100.4 /901134 /90271 /9080.3 /90
Q. Hartman19891683 min412.2 /90281.5 /9030.2 /90583.1 /90100.5 /9010.1 /90
B. Humphreys16861373 min251.6 /9070.5 /90161 /90614 /90130.9 /9050.3 /90
H. Ekdal16851358 min231.5 /9090.6 /9090.6 /90734.8 /9080.5 /9010.1 /90
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Burnley — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Dúbravka n 890
00/0
0.54/0
—
M. Estève n 888
0.53/1
0.42/1
F. Kadıoğlu
L. Ugochukwu n 875.4
16/1
0.63/1
D. Gómez
K. Walker n 884
0.31/1
0.73/2
—
J. Anthony n 885
0.74/1
1.25/3
D. Gómez
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Burnley — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Estève n 888
1.25/3
L. Ugochukwu n 875.4
1.87/3
K. Walker n 884
1.23/3
J. Anthony n 885
1.15/3
J. Laurent n 868
1.55/2
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Burnley Attacking

Burnley — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Foster22621370 min20.1 /9030.2 /90110.7 /9050.3 /90110.7 /90100.7 /90
J. Bruun Larsen22491078 min00 /9030.3 /90121 /9050.4 /90161.3 /90131.1 /90
L. Tchaouna22491068 min20.2 /9000 /90171.4 /9080.7 /9060.5 /9060.5 /90
Z. Flemming20671348 min80.5 /9000 /90291.9 /90181.2 /9080.5 /9040.3 /90
Marcus Edwards16661051 min10.1 /9030.3 /90121 /9050.4 /90211.8 /90171.5 /90
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Burnley — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Dúbravka n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Estève n 888
0.32/0
00/0
L. Ugochukwu n 875.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
K. Walker n 884
00/0
00/0
J. Anthony n 885
2.37/6
0.96/1
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Burnley — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Dúbravka n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Estève n 888
00/0
00/0
L. Ugochukwu n 875.4
00/0
0.11/0
K. Walker n 884
00/0
0.11/0
J. Anthony n 885
0.32/0
00/0
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Brighton

Brighton Goalkeeper

Brighton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Verbruggen31902790 min872.8 /90371.2 /9010 /90
Jason Steele590450 min224.4 /9061.2 /9000 /90
Brighton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Verbruggen n 890
2.97/6
Jason Steele n 890
3.86/5

Brighton Defensive

Brighton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Kadıoğlu35822886 min591.8 /90220.7 /9070.2 /901354.2 /90200.6 /9070.2 /90
J. van Hecke32872768 min441.4 /90321 /90280.9 /901745.7 /90220.7 /9080.3 /90
L. Dunk30892655 min331.1 /90291 /90280.9 /901143.9 /90150.5 /90110.4 /90
M. Wieffer21761593 min583.3 /90241.4 /9060.3 /901226.9 /90271.5 /9070.4 /90
M. De Cuyper20601199 min171.3 /90100.8 /9010.1 /90453.4 /90171.3 /9020.2 /90
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Brighton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Kadıoğlu n 890
0.43/0
1.66/6
M. Estève
D. Gómez n 872.4
3.38/7
00/0
J. Anthony
J. van Hecke n 884.1
0.83/2
1.16/2
—
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
L. Dunk n 890
0.54/0
0.11/0
—
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Brighton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Kadıoğlu n 890
1.35/3
D. Gómez n 872.4
3.68/6
J. van Hecke n 884.1
1.55/3
L. Dunk n 890
1.47/3
D. Welbeck n 867.9
1.35/3
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Brighton Attacking

Brighton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Welbeck30661973 min130.6 /9010 /90391.8 /90221 /90211 /90100.5 /90
G. Rutter27671796 min20.1 /9020.1 /90281.4 /90150.8 /90261.3 /90271.4 /90
C. Kostoulas943385 min00 /9010.2 /9092.1 /9030.7 /9051.2 /9071.6 /90
S. Tzimas934309 min30.9 /9020.6 /9072 /9051.5 /9061.7 /9020.6 /90
H. Howell460238 min10.4 /9020.8 /9031.1 /9020.8 /9031.1 /9020.8 /90
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Brighton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Kadıoğlu n 890
0.85/1
0.43/0
D. Gómez n 872.4
1.15/1
0.64/0
J. van Hecke n 884.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Dunk n 890
0.53/1
0.11/0
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Brighton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Kadıoğlu n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Gómez n 872.4
0.32/0
0.21/0
J. van Hecke n 884.1
00/0
00/0
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Dunk n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BurnleyBrighton
50%Possession50%
0.88Expected goals (xG)1.93
10Shots13
5Shots on target6
3Shots off target3
2Blocked shots4
8Shots inside the box9
8Corners2
2Offsides1
7Fouls11
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves4
475Passes477
81%Pass accuracy83%

Burnley Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Dúbravka9000000007.9
H. Ekdal9000000107.9
M. Estève90000002Y6.6
J. Ward-Prowse9000004206.9
J. Anthony9000111206.3
Z. Flemming9000320006.7
B. Humphreys8200112207
Q. Hartman8200000006.2
Florentino82001010Y6.5
Marcus Edwards7500110007.3
L. Ugochukwu6700100006.3
J. Bruun Larsen sub2300000006.5
M. Trésor sub1500001106.7
K. Walker sub800000106.7
Lucas Pires sub800000006.3
A. Broja sub800000006.5

Brighton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Verbruggen9000000008.9
M. Wieffer9020220609.3
J. van Hecke90000012Y7.3
O. Boscagli9000001207.5
F. Kadıoğlu9000100307.3
Y. Ayari9001002407.3
P. Groß9001003207.3
D. Gómez8800100307.3
Y. Minteh8000003206.2
J. Hinshelwood7500211207.3
D. Welbeck7500331006.2
G. Rutter sub1500000106.5
C. Baleba sub1500000006.9
K. Mitoma sub1000000206.6
J. Veltman sub900000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Burnley v Brighton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BurnleyDLLDL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
BrightonWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Burnley 1 · 3 draws · Brighton 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-01-03 Brighton 2–0 Burnley
  • 2024-04-13 Burnley 1–1 Brighton
  • 2023-12-09 Brighton 1–1 Burnley
  • 2022-02-19 Brighton 0–3 Burnley
  • 2021-08-14 Burnley 1–2 Brighton
  • 2021-02-06 Burnley 1–1 Brighton
League standing · 2025/26
Burnley#19 pos22 pts38 pl-37 GD
Brighton#8 pos53 pts38 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Burnley scored1
Brighton scored1.37
Burnley conceded1.97
Brighton conceded1.21

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Burnley 0.81 xG from 10 shots, Brighton 1.07 from 13. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Jaidon Anthony 9' · 0.42 xGDanny Welbeck 47' · 0.16 xGJack Hinshelwood 47' · 0.14 xGJack Hinshelwood 63' · 0.12 xGDanny Welbeck 4' · 0.11 xGZian Flemming 9' · 0.10 xGDanny Welbeck 62' · 0.10 xGDanny Welbeck 19' · 0.09 xGYankuba Minteh 24' · 0.08 xGChimuanya Ugochukwu 46' · 0.07 xGDiego Gómez 62' · 0.05 xGMarcus Edwards 56' · 0.05 xGZian Flemming 58' · 0.04 xGZian Flemming 59' · 0.04 xGZian Flemming 58' · 0.03 xGGeorginio Rutter 83' · 0.03 xGZian Flemming 79' · 0.03 xGYankuba Minteh 31' · 0.02 xGFlorentino Luís 45' · 0.02 xGBashir Humphreys 27' · 0.02 xGFerdi Kadioglu 52' · 0.02 xGMats Wieffer 42' · 0.09 xG · goalMats Wieffer 88' · 0.07 xG · goal
Burnley (attacking right)Brighton (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Burnley1000.81
Brighton1321.07

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Burnley 0.56, Brighton 0.39. At full time, xG was level: Burnley 0.81, Brighton 1.07. The widest gap was 0.41 xG to Burnley, in the ninth minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.10.500′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Brighton 42 minGoal - Brighton 88 min
Burnley 0.81 xGBrighton 1.07 xGdots = goals · 23 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Burnley v Brighton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Burnley v Brighton was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Burnley and Brighton?
In their last 6 meetings, Burnley won 1, Brighton won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Burnley and Brighton?
Recent form — Burnley 0W 2D 3L; Brighton 4W 0D 1L.

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