This Matchweek

ChelseaHull City

Chelsea v Hull City result

Full-time · Chelsea 2–2 Hull City

Premier League · · Stamford Bridge

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Chelsea · Hull City

The model’s pre-match pick

Chelsea 2–2 Hull City — this Premier League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.12 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,911 of 2,557 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Hull City: 1.82 to 1.21 in expected goals, from 13 shots to 12, ahead on xG from the 27th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Chelsea and Hull City drew 2–2 at Stamford Bridge in the Premier League on Saturday 12 September. Chelsea have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Hull City led 2–1 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Chelsea: Morgan Rogers (7’, assisted by João Pedro) and João Pedro (66’, assisted by Cole Palmer); Hull City: Mohamed Belloumi (28’, assisted by Ryan Giles; 34’, assisted by Oliver McBurnie).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with João Pedro’s goal on 66 minutes.

Discipline

Farai Hallam, England showed six yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Chelsea: Valentín Barco (80’); Hull City: Oliver McBurnie (17’), John Egan (50’), Matt Crooks (52’), Timothy Iroegbunam (88’) and Brooke Norton-Cuffy (90+6’).

What it changes

Chelsea stay fourth after this result (four league matches played). Chelsea have scored 19 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Chelsea have conceded 15 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Hull City move down from second to third (four league matches played). Hull City have scored 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Hull City have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Hull City are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, João Pedro (Chelsea) 8.7, Mohamed Belloumi (Hull City) 8.7 and Morgan Rogers (Chelsea) 7.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Chelsea are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Hull City, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Chelsea or Hull City (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Chelsea next travel to Sunderland on 8 November 2026.

Hull City next travel to Arsenal on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Chelsea: Sunderland v Chelsea, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Hull City: Arsenal v Hull City, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Chelsea 2–2 Hull City · Premier League
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge · London
  • Referee: Farai Hallam, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Chelsea 3 · draws 0 · Hull City 0 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Chelsea 4W 0D 1L · Hull City 2W 2D 1L

Chelsea 2–2 Hull City (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 26 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.38 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.75 / 0.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4 / 3.86
Corners
against 5 / 5.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5 / 3
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 2.71 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.75 / 2.29
Cards
against 2.13 / 0.71 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameChelsea for / againstLineHull City for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5our book
0.88 for · 0.25 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
3.86 for · 5.29 against n 7
Shots
14.25 for · 13.63 against n 8
19.5standard
8.71 for · 13.71 against n 7
Shots on target
5 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
3 for · 2.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.5 for · 12.38 against n 8
21.5standard
9.43 for · 8 against n 7
Cards shown
2.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.29 for · 0.71 against n 7

Referee: Farai Hallam, England.

Chelsea

Chelsea Goalkeeper

Chelsea — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Martínez290180 min126 /9052.5 /9000 /90
M. Penders290180 min42 /9000 /9000 /90
Robert Sánchez19090 min44 /9022 /9000 /90
Chelsea — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Robert Sánchez n 887
3.16/5

Chelsea Defensive

Chelsea — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Lacroix590450 min102 /9040.8 /9030.6 /90255 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
Joshua Kofi Acheampong576382 min122.8 /9030.7 /9020.5 /90194.5 /9020.5 /9000 /90
Pep Chavarría551253 min51.8 /9041.4 /9000 /9082.8 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Levi Colwill379238 min41.5 /9020.8 /9000 /90114.2 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
W. Fofana279158 min31.7 /9031.7 /9031.7 /9063.4 /9031.7 /9010.6 /90
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Chelsea — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Lacroix n 590
0.63/0
0.42/0
—
C. Palmer n 883.4
0.74/1
1.87/5
—
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 864.9
0.32/0
13/1
—
M. Rogers n 574.4
1.95/3
0.72/1
—
R. James n 857.8
1.24/2
0.84/0
R. Slater
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Chelsea — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Lacroix n 590
25/2
C. Palmer n 883.4
0.95/2
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 864.9
2.46/3
M. Rogers n 574.4
13/1
R. James n 857.8
0.84/0
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Chelsea Attacking

Chelsea — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Palmer580398 min40.9 /9010.2 /90204.5 /90102.3 /90132.9 /9092 /90
M. Rogers574372 min20.5 /9041 /9061.5 /9020.5 /90163.9 /9081.9 /90
João Pedro472287 min20.6 /9020.6 /9082.5 /9041.3 /9061.9 /9051.6 /90
Pedro Neto454217 min20.8 /9000 /9041.7 /9031.2 /9041.7 /9020.8 /90
D. Welbeck282163 min31.7 /9000 /9063.3 /9042.2 /9000 /9010.6 /90
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Chelsea — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Lacroix n 590
0.42/0
00/0
C. Palmer n 883.4
3.47/7
1.87/5
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 864.9
00/0
00/0
M. Rogers n 574.4
1.54/1
0.52/0
R. James n 857.8
15/0
0.84/0
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Chelsea — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Lacroix n 590
00/0
0.21/0
C. Palmer n 883.4
0.74/1
0.11/0
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 864.9
00/0
00/0
M. Rogers n 574.4
0.52/0
12/1
R. James n 857.8
00/0
00/0
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Hull City

Hull City Goalkeeper

Hull City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Tzolakis390270 min93 /9000 /9000 /90
D. Phillips19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
Hull City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Tzolakis n 390
32/2
D. Phillips n 391.7
2.63/2

Hull City Defensive

Hull City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Egan479315 min51.4 /9051.4 /9041.1 /90164.6 /9030.9 /9010.3 /90
L. Coyle467269 min41.3 /9020.7 /9000 /90124 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90
N. Mendy460239 min51.9 /9020.8 /9051.9 /9083 /9041.5 /9000 /90
L. Herrington442166 min21.1 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9073.8 /9010.5 /9000 /90
R. Giles388265 min31 /9020.7 /9000 /9082.7 /9000 /9000 /90
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Hull City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Egan n 878.8
0.95/1
0.94/1
—
R. Slater n 881.4
1.46/3
14/1
R. James
L. Coyle n 878.5
0.74/1
14/3
—
N. Mendy n 459.8
1.53/1
0.41/0
—
L. Herrington n 441.5
0.51/0
00/0
—
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Hull City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Egan n 878.8
1.66/3
R. Slater n 881.4
2.18/3
L. Coyle n 878.5
1.45/3
N. Mendy n 459.8
1.92/2
L. Herrington n 441.5
1.12/0
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Hull City Attacking

Hull City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Oliver McBurnie390270 min00 /9000 /9051.7 /9020.7 /9041.3 /9031 /90
L. Millar22550 min11.8 /9000 /9035.4 /9011.8 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Gelhardt13131 min00 /9000 /9012.9 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
R. Slater475300 min00 /9010.3 /9030.9 /9010.3 /9030.9 /9010.3 /90
M. Belloumi385255 min00 /9010.4 /9051.8 /9010.4 /9020.7 /9031.1 /90
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Hull City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Egan n 878.8
0.61/1
00/0
R. Slater n 881.4
0.42/1
0.11/0
L. Coyle n 878.5
0.32/0
00/0
N. Mendy n 459.8
1.94/1
1.13/0
L. Herrington n 441.5
00/0
00/0
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Hull City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 9 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Egan n 878.8
00/0
00/0
R. Slater n 881.4
00/0
0.11/0
L. Coyle n 878.5
00/0
00/0
N. Mendy n 459.8
0.41/0
00/0
L. Herrington n 441.5
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ChelseaHull City
68%Possession32%
0.91Expected goals (xG)1.38
12Shots14
7Shots on target5
4Shots off target5
1Blocked shots4
6Shots inside the box9
10Corners4
1Offsides1
7Fouls12
1Yellow cards5
0Red cards0
3Saves5
577Passes265
87%Pass accuracy70%

Chelsea Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Levi Colwill9000001006.9
E. Martínez9000000006.9
João Pedro9011111007.9
R. James9000320207.7
C. Palmer9001303007
M. Rogers9010220207.9
Pedro Neto8600111106.2
W. Fofana8600000207.3
M. Gusto7800001006.2
R. Lavia6900000106.7
J. Hato4500000105.9
Pep Chavarría sub4500000006.7
V. Barco sub21000000Y7
D. Welbeck sub1200001006.7
Estêvão sub1100110106.7
M. Lacroix sub1100000106.6

Hull City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Slater9000112307.3
R. Giles9001002106.5
J. Egan90002002Y6.5
S. Ajayi9000100106
K. Tzolakis9000000006.3
Oliver McBurnie82011111Y6.9
L. Coyle8200001106
M. Crooks69000002Y6.2
E. Stroud6000100206.2
M. Belloumi6020221108.3
N. Mendy5900000206.9
L. Herrington sub3100000006.2
M. Cho sub3000211007
S. Thomas sub3000001006.5
T. Iroegbunam sub21000001Y6.6
B. Norton-Cuffy sub8000000Y6.6
R. Vaz sub800000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Chelsea v Hull City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ChelseaWWWLW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 3.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Hull CityWDWDL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 0.8 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Chelsea 3 · 0 draws · Hull City 0 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2026-02-13 Hull City 0–4 Chelsea
  • 2020-01-25 Hull City 1–2 Chelsea
  • 2018-02-16 Chelsea 4–0 Hull City
League standing · 2026/27
Chelsea#4 pos16 pts9 pl+4 GD
Hull City#11 pos11 pts9 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Chelsea scored2.11
Hull City scored1.22
Chelsea conceded1.67
Hull City conceded1.11

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Chelsea 1.21 xG from 12 shots, Hull City 1.82 from 13. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Oliver McBurnie 60' · 0.61 xGMohamed Ali-Cho 86' · 0.34 xGMorgan Rogers 83' · 0.27 xGSemi Ajayi 33' · 0.23 xGLewie Coyle 32' · 0.08 xGEstêvão 90' · 0.07 xGPedro Neto 21' · 0.07 xGBrooke Norton-Cuffy 83' · 0.07 xGCole Palmer 77' · 0.06 xGReece James 52' · 0.05 xGMohamed Belloumi 5' · 0.05 xGMohamed Ali-Cho 60' · 0.04 xGCole Palmer 96' · 0.04 xGRegan Slater 60' · 0.03 xGReece James 75' · 0.03 xGMalo Gusto 46' · 0.03 xGJohn Egan 93' · 0.02 xGReece James 50' · 0.02 xGSorba Thomas 86' · 0.02 xGElliot Stroud 46' · 0.01 xGCole Palmer 69' · 0.01 xGJoão Pedro 65' · 0.45 xG · goalMohamed Belloumi 27' · 0.28 xG · goalMorgan Rogers 6' · 0.11 xG · goalMohamed Belloumi 33' · 0.04 xG · goal
Chelsea (attacking right)Hull City (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Chelsea1221.21
Hull City1321.82

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Hull City led on xG, 0.67 to 0.18. At full time, Hull City led on xG, 1.82 to 1.21. The widest gap was 1.09 xG to Hull City, in the 60th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.80.900′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Chelsea 6 minGoal - Hull City 27 minGoal - Hull City 33 minGoal - Chelsea 65 min
Chelsea 1.21 xGHull City 1.82 xGdots = goals · 25 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Chelsea v Hull City?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Chelsea v Hull City was Home or Away (best price 1.12 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Chelsea and Hull City?
In their last 3 meetings, Chelsea won 3, Hull City won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chelsea and Hull City?
Recent form — Chelsea 4W 0D 1L; Hull City 2W 2D 1L.

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