Chelsea v Manchester City result

Full-time · Chelsea 0–3 Manchester City

Premier League · Sun, 12 Apr 2026 16:30 BST · Stamford Bridge

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Chelsea · Manchester City · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Chelsea 0–3 Manchester City — Manchester City won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 502 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 928 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Manchester City: 2.41 to 1.22 in expected goals, from 18 shots to 12, ahead on xG from the 46th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Manchester City have scored 69 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game).

Manchester City won 3–0 at Stamford Bridge in the Premier League on Sunday 12 April.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Manchester City: N. O'Reilly (51’, assisted by R. Cherki), M. Guéhi (57’, assisted by R. Cherki) and Jérémy Doku (68’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with N. O'Reilly’s goal on 51 minutes.

Discipline

C. Kavanagh showed four yellow cards — against 4.5 yellows a game across the last 22 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Chelsea: Estêvão (12’), Marc Cucurella (54’) and Dário Essugo (90+8’); Manchester City: Antoine Semenyo (38’).

What it changes

Chelsea stay sixth after this result (32 league matches played). Chelsea have scored 54 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 35 games, ranked per game). Chelsea have conceded 48 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Manchester City stay second after this result (31 league matches played). Manchester City have conceded 32 goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game).

Manchester City have won their last three matches in all competitions. Manchester City have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Manchester City have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Guéhi (Manchester City) 10.9, R. Cherki (Manchester City) 8.1 and N. O'Reilly (Manchester City) 7.7 led the match.

Head-to-head

Manchester City are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Chelsea, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.7% of the time in the last 90 days (345 of 502).

Next up

Chelsea next host Leeds on 21 November 2026.

Manchester City next host Fulham on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Chelsea: Chelsea v Leeds, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Manchester City: Manchester City v Fulham, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Chelsea 0–3 Manchester City · Premier League
Venue: Stamford Bridge · London
Referee: C. Kavanagh
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Chelsea 0 · draws 3 · Manchester City 3 · 3.17 goals/game
Recent form: Chelsea 1W 0D 4L · Manchester City 2W 1D 2L

Chelsea 0–3 Manchester City (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1.75

Goals

against 2.13 / 1.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

7.86 / 7.38

Corners

against 2.71 / 2.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

6 / 5.88

Shots on target

against 5.14 / 4.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.71 / 1.63

Cards

against 1.14 / 2 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

4.45 yellows

Referee · C. Kavanagh

22.5 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 22 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Chelsea for / against	Line	Manchester City for / against
Goals scored	2 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	7.86 for · 2.71 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	7.38 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15 for · 8.43 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	16.38 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6 for · 5.14 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	5.88 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.14 for · 10.14 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	10.38 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.71 for · 1.14 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: C. Kavanagh — 4.45 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 22.5 fouls over 22 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Chelsea

Chelsea Goalkeeper

Chelsea — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
Robert Sánchez	44	893915 min	1212.8 /90	531.2 /90
F. Jörgensen	11	85939 min	161.5 /90	161.5 /90
Kepa Arrizabalaga	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90

Chelsea — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Robert Sánchez n 8	90	2.5 6/5
F. Jörgensen n 8	84.4	2 5/3

Chelsea Defensive

Chelsea — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Gusto	44	672933 min	762.3 /90	481.5 /90	40.1 /90	1394.3 /90	260.8 /90	70.2 /90
T. Chalobah	43	853659 min	360.9 /90	461.1 /90	190.5 /90	1603.9 /90	240.6 /90	40.1 /90
Marc Cucurella	43	783371 min	772.1 /90	401.1 /90	140.4 /90	1634.4 /90	621.7 /90	90.2 /90
R. James	36	752688 min	622.1 /90	461.5 /90	90.3 /90	1384.6 /90	321.1 /90	60.2 /90
W. Fofana	28	742079 min	210.9 /90	401.7 /90	200.9 /90	1245.4 /90	271.2 /90	70.3 /90
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Chelsea — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
E. Fernández n 8	76.9	1.2 4/2	1.5 6/3	—
Pedro Neto n 8	73.1	0.9 4/2	0.3 2/0	—
João Pedro n 8	78.3	1.6 7/4	1.7 7/4	E. Haaland
Robert Sánchez n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 3/0	—
M. Gusto n 8	65.4	0.5 3/0	1 5/1	N. O'Reilly
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Chelsea — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
E. Fernández n 8	76.9	1.3 5/3
Pedro Neto n 8	73.1	0 0/0
João Pedro n 8	78.3	1.2 5/2
M. Gusto n 8	65.4	1.5 3/3
T. Chalobah n 8	89.5	0.6 5/0
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Chelsea Attacking

Chelsea — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
João Pedro	45	713211 min	210.6 /90	60.2 /90	671.9 /90	391.1 /90	371 /90	421.2 /90
L. Delap	29	451311 min	30.2 /90	40.3 /90	332.3 /90	201.4 /90	110.8 /90	130.9 /90
J. Bynoe-Gittens	23	461066 min	10.1 /90	50.4 /90	141.2 /90	70.6 /90	171.4 /90	353 /90
Tyrique George	11	48528 min	40.7 /90	10.2 /90	91.5 /90	81.4 /90	81.4 /90	30.5 /90
Marc Guiu	9	49438 min	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	132.7 /90	81.6 /90	30.6 /90	20.4 /90
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Chelsea — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
E. Fernández n 8	76.9	1.2 5/2	0.9 4/1
Pedro Neto n 8	73.1	0.9 2/1	0.8 2/1
João Pedro n 8	78.3	2.7 8/5	1.6 7/2
Robert Sánchez n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Gusto n 8	65.4	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
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Chelsea — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
E. Fernández n 8	76.9	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
Pedro Neto n 8	73.1	0.5 1/1	0.5 3/0
João Pedro n 8	78.3	0.7 3/1	0.1 1/0
Robert Sánchez n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Gusto n 8	65.4	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
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Manchester City

Manchester City Goalkeeper

Manchester City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
G. Donnarumma	36	903240 min	852.4 /90	361 /90	20.1 /90
J. Trafford	13	901170 min	312.4 /90	90.7 /90	10.1 /90
A. Ramsdale	1	9090 min	55 /90	33 /90	00 /90

Manchester City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
G. Donnarumma n 8	90	3 7/5
J. Trafford n 8	90	2.4 6/3

Manchester City Defensive

Manchester City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
N. O'Reilly	46	753454 min	962.5 /90	270.7 /90	100.3 /90	2085.4 /90	551.4 /90	70.2 /90
Matheus Nunes	41	813327 min	701.9 /90	401.1 /90	80.2 /90	1835 /90	290.8 /90	60.2 /90
Rúben Dias	32	832646 min	220.7 /90	260.9 /90	200.7 /90	1063.6 /90	240.8 /90	40.1 /90
A. Khusanov	28	762137 min	512.1 /90	461.9 /90	70.3 /90	913.8 /90	200.8 /90	60.3 /90
J. Gvardiol	24	781870 min	281.3 /90	251.2 /90	120.6 /90	864.1 /90	241.2 /90	20.1 /90
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Manchester City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
E. Haaland n 8	77.5	0.6 4/0	0.9 4/1	João Pedro
N. O'Reilly n 8	79.5	1.6 6/3	0.3 1/1	M. Gusto
Bernardo Silva n 8	76.9	1.5 6/3	0.3 2/0	—
Matheus Nunes n 8	85.9	0.9 6/1	1.2 5/4	—
T. Reijnders n 8	44.3	1.5 4/2	1 4/0	—
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Manchester City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
E. Haaland n 8	77.5	0.1 1/0
N. O'Reilly n 8	79.5	2.4 7/5
Bernardo Silva n 8	76.9	0.9 4/2
Matheus Nunes n 8	85.9	1.4 6/4
T. Reijnders n 8	44.3	1.3 4/1
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Manchester City Attacking

Manchester City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
E. Haaland	46	793640 min	350.9 /90	80.2 /90	1323.3 /90	802 /90	340.8 /90	170.4 /90
Sávio	24	561342 min	40.3 /90	30.2 /90	231.5 /90	151 /90	241.6 /90	443 /90
Omar Marmoush	21	541126 min	40.3 /90	30.2 /90	272.2 /90	131 /90	191.5 /90	131 /90
R. McAidoo	2	79158 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	42.3 /90	31.7 /90	31.7 /90	52.8 /90
A. Elanga	1	4545 min	12 /90	00 /90	24 /90	12 /90	00 /90	24 /90
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Manchester City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
E. Haaland n 8	77.5	2.6 7/4	1.6 5/2
N. O'Reilly n 8	79.5	1.4 7/3	1.4 7/3
Bernardo Silva n 8	76.9	0.7 4/1	0.6 3/1
Matheus Nunes n 8	85.9	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0
T. Reijnders n 8	44.3	2.5 3/2	1 3/1
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Manchester City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
E. Haaland n 8	77.5	0.7 3/1	0.1 1/0
N. O'Reilly n 8	79.5	0.6 2/2	0.1 1/0
Bernardo Silva n 8	76.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Matheus Nunes n 8	85.9	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
T. Reijnders n 8	44.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Chelsea		Manchester City
37%	Possession	63%
1.14	Expected goals (xG)	2.29
12	Shots	18
3	Shots on target	8
4	Shots off target	4
5	Blocked shots	6
7	Shots inside the box	14
4	Corners	12
6	Offsides	0
10	Fouls	15
3	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
5	Saves	3
407	Passes	685
84%	Pass accuracy	92%

Chelsea Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Robert Sánchez	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.6
W. Fofana	90	0	0	0	3	0	6.9
J. Hato	90	0	0	0	4	0	6
Marc Cucurella	90	2	1	2	2	Y	6.5
C. Palmer	90	2	1	2	0	0	6.7
Pedro Neto	90	1	1	3	0	0	6.7
M. Gusto	88	0	0	0	5	0	6.2
M. Caicedo	82	0	0	0	1	0	6
João Pedro	81	1	0	0	0	0	6.9
Andrey Santos	67	1	0	1	1	0	6.9
Estêvão	67	0	0	1	0	Y	5.9
R. Lavia sub	23	0	0	1	1	0	7.2
A. Garnacho sub	23	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Joshua Kofi Acheampong sub	11	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
L. Delap sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Dário Essugo sub	8	0	0	0	3	Y	7.2

Manchester City Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
G. Donnarumma	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.9
Matheus Nunes	90	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	7.5
A. Khusanov	90	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	7.6
M. Guéhi	90	1	0	1	1	1	3	0	9.3
Rodri	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
A. Semenyo	90	0	0	3	2	1	0	Y	6.6
E. Haaland	90	0	0	3	1	0	2	0	6.2
Bernardo Silva	81	0	0	1	1	0	4	0	6.7
R. Cherki	76	0	2	1	1	2	0	0	7.9
J. Doku	76	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	7.9
N. O'Reilly	64	1	0	1	1	2	4	0	8.2
R. Aït-Nouri sub	26	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
P. Foden sub	14	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	6.6
Sávio sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
M. Kovačić sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Chelsea v Manchester City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ChelseaLLLLW

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

Manchester CityLDLWW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Chelsea 0 · 3 draws · Manchester City 3 · 3.17 goals/game

2026-01-04 Manchester City 1–1 Chelsea
2025-01-25 Manchester City 3–1 Chelsea
2024-08-18 Chelsea 0–2 Manchester City
2024-04-20 Manchester City 1–0 Chelsea
2024-02-17 Manchester City 1–1 Chelsea
2023-11-12 Chelsea 4–4 Manchester City

League standing · 2025/26

Chelsea#10 pos52 pts38 pl+6 GD

Manchester City#2 pos78 pts38 pl+42 GD

Goals per game

Chelsea scored1.53

Manchester City scored2.03

Chelsea conceded1.37

Manchester City conceded0.92

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Chelsea 1.22 xG from 12 shots, Manchester City 2.41 from 18. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Chelsea (attacking right)Manchester City (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Chelsea	12	0	1.22
Manchester City	18	3	2.41

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Chelsea 0.28, Manchester City 0.45. At full time, Manchester City led on xG, 2.41 to 1.22. The widest gap was 1.66 xG to Manchester City, in the 67th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Chelsea 1.22 xGManchester City 2.41 xGdots = goals · 30 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Chelsea v Manchester City?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Chelsea v Manchester City was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Chelsea and Manchester City?: In their last 6 meetings, Chelsea won 0, Manchester City won 3 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chelsea and Manchester City?: Recent form — Chelsea 1W 0D 4L; Manchester City 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.