Chelsea v Manchester United result

Full-time · Chelsea 2–0 Manchester United

Premier League · Sat, 31 Oct 2026 12:30 GMT · Stamford Bridge

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 03:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Chelsea · Manchester United · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Chelsea 2–0 Manchester United — Chelsea won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.62 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Chelsea: 2.79 to 1.39 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, from 18 shots to 12, ahead on xG from the 79th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Chelsea beat Manchester United 2–0 at Stamford Bridge in the Premier League on Saturday 31 October. Manchester United are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Chelsea: Morgan Rogers (50’, assisted by Roméo Lavia) and Cole Palmer (64’ pen). Lisandro Martínez (63’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Morgan Rogers’s goal on 50 minutes.

Discipline

P. Bankes showed five yellow cards and one red — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition).

What it changes

Chelsea stay fourth after this result (nine league matches played). Chelsea have scored 19 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Chelsea have conceded 15 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Manchester United stay 16th after this result (nine league matches played). Manchester United have scored 10 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Manchester United have conceded 15 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Cole Palmer (Chelsea) 10.9, Roméo Lavia (Chelsea) 9.3 and Morgan Rogers (Chelsea) 8.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Chelsea next travel to Sunderland on 8 November 2026.

Manchester United next host Aston Villa on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Chelsea: Sunderland v Chelsea, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Manchester United: Manchester United v Aston Villa, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Chelsea 2–0 Manchester United · Premier League
Venue: Stamford Bridge · London
Referee: P. Bankes
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Chelsea 2 · draws 1 · Manchester United 3 · 2.83 goals/game
Recent form: Chelsea 2W 1D 2L · Manchester United 0W 2D 3L

Chelsea 2–0 Manchester United (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 0.75

Goals

against 1.75 / 2 · 1 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

5.71 / 5.5

Corners

against 5.14 / 3.25 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

5.57 / 4.13

Shots on target

against 5.57 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.14 / 2

Cards

against 2.71 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

3.93 yellows

Referee · P. Bankes

21.33 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 15 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Chelsea for / against	Line	Manchester United for / against
Goals scored	2.13 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	0.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.71 for · 5.14 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5.5 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.57 for · 13 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	15.13 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.57 for · 5.57 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4.13 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.29 for · 11.71 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	10.25 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.14 for · 2.71 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: P. Bankes — 3.93 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 21.33 fouls over 15 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Chelsea

Chelsea Goalkeeper

Chelsea — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
E. Martínez	6	88525 min	254.3 /90	111.9 /90
M. Penders	4	71285 min	82.5 /90	20.6 /90
Robert Sánchez	1	9090 min	44 /90	22 /90

Chelsea — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
E. Martínez n 6	87.5	4.3 6/6
M. Penders n 4	71.3	2.5 2/2
Robert Sánchez n 8	87	3.1 6/5

Chelsea Defensive

Chelsea — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Lacroix	9	90810 min	151.7 /90	91 /90	50.6 /90	384.2 /90	60.7 /90	10.1 /90
Joshua Kofi Acheampong	9	75671 min	233.1 /90	40.5 /90	20.3 /90	385.1 /90	50.7 /90	10.1 /90
Levi Colwill	8	86688 min	81 /90	40.5 /90	40.5 /90	324.2 /90	60.8 /90	10.1 /90
Pep Chavarría	8	60478 min	81.5 /90	81.5 /90	00 /90	173.2 /90	50.9 /90	00 /90
J. Hato	7	62437 min	122.5 /90	40.8 /90	30.6 /90	234.7 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90
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Chelsea — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Palmer n 8	82.9	1.4 6/4	1.5 6/3	Bruno Fernandes
M. Rogers n 8	83.3	1.4 6/4	1.5 6/4	Bruno Fernandes
M. Lacroix n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.4 3/0	—
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 8	72.6	0.8 5/0	0.3 2/0	Diogo Dalot
Pedro Neto n 8	78.4	1.4 6/3	0.6 4/0	B. Mbeumo
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Chelsea — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Palmer n 8	82.9	1.2 5/3
M. Rogers n 8	83.3	1.5 6/3
M. Lacroix n 8	90	1.3 8/2
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 8	72.6	2.8 7/5
Pedro Neto n 8	78.4	2 7/4
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Chelsea Attacking

Chelsea — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Rogers	10	82816 min	40.4 /90	40.4 /90	121.3 /90	60.7 /90	202.2 /90	171.9 /90
João Pedro	7	77538 min	50.8 /90	30.5 /90	142.3 /90	91.5 /90	71.2 /90	71.2 /90
D. Welbeck	3	78234 min	31.2 /90	00 /90	62.3 /90	41.5 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90
Estêvão	3	48143 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.9 /90	00 /90	63.8 /90	53.1 /90
J. Bynoe-Gittens	1	4545 min	00 /90	00 /90	24 /90	24 /90	12 /90	12 /90
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Chelsea — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Palmer n 8	82.9	2.4 6/5	1 5/2
M. Rogers n 8	83.3	1.4 6/3	0.7 4/1
M. Lacroix n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 8	72.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Pedro Neto n 8	78.4	1.7 8/3	1.6 7/3
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Chelsea — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Palmer n 8	82.9	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0
M. Rogers n 8	83.3	0.4 3/0	0.5 2/1
M. Lacroix n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 8	72.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Pedro Neto n 8	78.4	0.6 3/1	0.1 1/0
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Manchester United

Manchester United Goalkeeper

Manchester United — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
S. Lammens	11	90990 min	292.6 /90	141.3 /90	00 /90
K. Darlow	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Manchester United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
S. Lammens n 8	90	2.5 5/4

Manchester United Defensive

Manchester United — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Diogo Dalot	10	82819 min	182 /90	121.3 /90	20.2 /90	525.7 /90	101.1 /90	20.2 /90
H. Maguire	9	90810 min	111.2 /90	151.7 /90	40.4 /90	535.9 /90	70.8 /90	30.3 /90
Lisandro Martínez	9	78700 min	81 /90	60.8 /90	60.8 /90	222.8 /90	81 /90	10.1 /90
Leny Yoro	7	73509 min	132.3 /90	152.7 /90	10.2 /90	213.7 /90	50.9 /90	00 /90
N. Mazraoui	6	69412 min	102.2 /90	20.4 /90	30.7 /90	204.4 /90	30.7 /90	00 /90
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Manchester United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
B. Mbeumo n 8	81.3	1 4/2	1 6/1	Pedro Neto
Y. Tielemans n 8	73.9	0.9 5/1	2.1 7/4	—
S. Lammens n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Bruno Fernandes n 8	76.8	0.6 3/1	1 3/3	M. Rogers
Diogo Dalot n 8	82.6	1 4/2	0.4 3/0	Joshua Kofi Acheampong
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Manchester United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Mbeumo n 8	81.3	0.7 5/0
Y. Tielemans n 8	73.9	2.6 7/4
Bruno Fernandes n 8	76.8	1.2 7/1
Diogo Dalot n 8	82.6	2.2 8/4
H. Maguire n 8	90	1.4 6/2
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Manchester United Attacking

Manchester United — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Matheus Cunha	9	75679 min	20.3 /90	20.3 /90	162.1 /90	81.1 /90	111.5 /90	40.5 /90
J. Zirkzee	6	24146 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	53.1 /90	31.8 /90	31.8 /90	63.7 /90
Benjamin Šeško	5	39196 min	20.9 /90	00 /90	41.8 /90	20.9 /90	00 /90	20.9 /90
B. Mbeumo	12	83992 min	40.4 /90	10.1 /90	222 /90	131.2 /90	181.6 /90	111 /90
Y. Tielemans	12	74883 min	00 /90	30.3 /90	101 /90	40.4 /90	171.7 /90	50.5 /90
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Manchester United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
B. Mbeumo n 8	81.3	2.1 7/5	1.1 6/2
Y. Tielemans n 8	73.9	1.1 4/1	0.2 1/0
S. Lammens n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Bruno Fernandes n 8	76.8	2.1 8/3	0.7 4/1
Diogo Dalot n 8	82.6	0.8 4/2	0 0/0
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Manchester United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. Mbeumo n 8	81.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Y. Tielemans n 8	73.9	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
S. Lammens n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Bruno Fernandes n 8	76.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Diogo Dalot n 8	82.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Chelsea		Manchester United
59%	Possession	41%
2.71	Expected goals (xG)	1.19
19	Shots	12
10	Shots on target	5
6	Shots off target	4
3	Blocked shots	3
13	Shots inside the box	7
8	Corners	7
3	Offsides	2
8	Fouls	20
1	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	1
3	Saves	8
561	Passes	396

Chelsea Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
C. Palmer	97	1	0	4	2	3	2	0	7.5
Joshua Kofi Acheampong	90	0	0	2	1	0	4	0	7.2
Levi Colwill	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7.2
R. Lavia	90	0	1	0	0	2	5	0	7.7
M. Rogers	90	1	0	1	1	3	2	0	8.2
M. Penders	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	7.6
W. Fofana	90	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	7
Pedro Neto	87	0	0	3	2	0	1	0	6.3
M. Caicedo	87	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.1
Estêvão	87	0	0	6	3	3	1	0	7.3
M. Palestra	74	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
Pep Chavarría	16	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
D. Welbeck	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
V. Barco	3	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.2
M. Gusto	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.8
Geovany Tcherno Quenda	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

Manchester United Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
B. Mbeumo	90	1	1	2	2	Y	6.5
Bruno Fernandes	90	2	0	3	3	0	5.8
H. Maguire	90	0	0	0	2	Y	5.9
Leny Yoro	90	0	0	2	3	0	6.5
S. Lammens	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.6
Diogo Dalot	90	0	0	0	3	0	6
A. Diallo	77	4	2	0	1	0	6.3
Matheus Cunha	66	1	1	1	3	0	5.8
Andrey Santos	66	1	0	0	2	0	6.3
Lisandro Martínez	63	0	0	1	1	R	5.1
C. Baleba	58	1	0	0	1	0	5.7
K. Mainoo	32	0	0	0	0	Y	5.9
M. Mount	24	0	0	0	1	0	6
A. Heaven	24	0	0	0	0	0	6.1
J. Zirkzee	13	2	1	0	0	Y	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Chelsea v Manchester United — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ChelseaLWWLD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Manchester UnitedDLDLL

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Chelsea 2 · 1 draw · Manchester United 3 · 2.83 goals/game

2026-04-18 Chelsea 0–1 Manchester United
2025-09-20 Manchester United 2–1 Chelsea
2025-05-16 Chelsea 1–0 Manchester United
2024-11-03 Manchester United 1–1 Chelsea
2024-04-04 Chelsea 4–3 Manchester United
2023-12-06 Manchester United 2–1 Chelsea

League standing · 2026/27

Chelsea#4 pos16 pts9 pl+4 GD

Manchester United#17 pos7 pts9 pl-5 GD

Goals per game

Chelsea scored2.11

Manchester United scored1.11

Chelsea conceded1.67

Manchester United conceded1.67

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Chelsea 2.79 xG from 18 shots, Manchester United 1.39 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Chelsea (attacking right)Manchester United (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Chelsea	18	2	2.79
Manchester United	12	0	1.39

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Manchester United led on xG, 1.31 to 0.63. At full time, Chelsea led on xG, 2.79 to 1.39, 0.76 of it from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.40 xG to Chelsea, in the 98th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Chelsea 2.79 xGManchester United 1.39 xGdots = goals · 30 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Chelsea v Manchester United?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Chelsea v Manchester United was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.62 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Chelsea and Manchester United?: In their last 6 meetings, Chelsea won 2, Manchester United won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chelsea and Manchester United?: Recent form — Chelsea 2W 1D 2L; Manchester United 0W 2D 3L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 03:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.