Crystal PalaceNewcastle

Crystal Palace v Newcastle result

Full-time · Crystal Palace 2–1 Newcastle

Premier League · · Selhurst Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Crystal Palace · Newcastle · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Crystal Palace 2–1 Newcastle — Crystal Palace won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Crystal Palace: 3.14 to 1.27 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, from 11 shots to 7, ahead on xG from the 68th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Crystal Palace beat Newcastle 2–1 at Selhurst Park in the Premier League on Sunday 12 April. Newcastle have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Crystal Palace came from behind: Newcastle led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Newcastle: William Osula (43’, assisted by Lewis Miley); Crystal Palace: Jean-Philippe Mateta (80’, assisted by Tyrick Mitchell; 90’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jean-Philippe Mateta’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

A. Madley showed three yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 18 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Newcastle: Malick Thiaw (68’), Joelinton (74’) and A. Ramsdale (90+3’).

What it changes

Crystal Palace move up from 14th to 13th (31 league matches played). Crystal Palace have scored 41 goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Crystal Palace have conceded 51 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Newcastle move down from 12th to 14th (32 league matches played). Newcastle have scored 53 goals, the ninth-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Newcastle have conceded 55 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs.

It is Crystal Palace’s first win over Newcastle since 24 April 2024, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds). Crystal Palace are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Newcastle have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jean-Philippe Mateta (Crystal Palace) 11.2, Tyrick Mitchell (Crystal Palace) 5.9 and D. Muñoz (Crystal Palace) 5.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Newcastle are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Crystal Palace.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.4% of the time in the last 90 days (366 of 543).

Next up

Crystal Palace next host Liverpool on 8 November 2026.

Newcastle next travel to Fulham on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace v Liverpool, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Newcastle: Fulham v Newcastle, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Crystal Palace 2–1 Newcastle · Premier League
  • Venue: Selhurst Park · London
  • Referee: A. Madley
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Crystal Palace 1 · draws 2 · Newcastle 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Crystal Palace 3W 2D 0L · Newcastle 1W 1D 3L

Crystal Palace 2–1 Newcastle (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.63
Goals
against 0.5 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.71 / 5.25
Corners
against 3.71 / 5.5 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.57 / 5.25
Shots on target
against 3.86 / 6.13 · 0 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.43 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.71 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.28 yellows
Referee · A. Madley
22.72 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 18 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCrystal Palace for / againstLineNewcastle for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 0.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 2.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.71 for · 3.71 against n 7
9.5standard
5.25 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
12.43 for · 9.71 against n 7
19.5standard
13.25 for · 15.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3.57 for · 3.86 against n 7
8.5standard
5.25 for · 6.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.71 for · 11.29 against n 7
21.5standard
12.13 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.43 for · 2.71 against n 7
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: A. Madley — 3.28 yellow cards a game, 0.28 red cards, 22.72 fouls over 18 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace Goalkeeper

Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Henderson39903510 min992.5 /90401 /9010 /90
W. Benítez590450 min71.4 /9040.8 /9000 /90
Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Henderson n 890
35/3
W. Benítez n 590
1.42/1

Crystal Palace Defensive

Crystal Palace — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Lacroix40893540 min641.6 /90481.2 /90140.4 /902205.6 /90431.1 /9040.1 /90
C. Richards36893188 min792.2 /90521.5 /90200.6 /902176.1 /90230.6 /9040.1 /90
M. Guéhi30862591 min401.4 /90421.5 /90150.5 /901394.8 /90240.8 /9070.2 /90
J. Canvot18751352 min332.2 /90161.1 /90120.8 /90775.1 /90211.4 /9040.3 /90
C. Riad665387 min40.9 /9030.7 /9010.2 /90194.4 /9061.4 /9020.5 /90
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Crystal Palace — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Lacroix n 882.5
1.67/3
0.74/1
M. Thiaw
D. Henderson n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
A. Wharton n 874.3
2.16/4
0.64/0
—
T. Mitchell n 890
0.53/1
0.95/1
S. Tonali
C. Richards n 890
0.42/1
00/0
M. Thiaw
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Crystal Palace — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Lacroix n 882.5
14/1
A. Wharton n 874.3
1.25/2
T. Mitchell n 890
1.67/3
C. Richards n 890
1.35/4
Yeremy Pino n 850.9
1.54/3
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Crystal Palace Attacking

Crystal Palace — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Yeremy Pino34672294 min50.2 /9040.2 /90331.3 /90180.7 /90602.4 /90261 /90
J. Mateta32792535 min100.4 /9020.1 /90662.3 /90361.3 /90130.5 /90160.6 /90
I. Sarr31842595 min130.5 /9010 /90501.7 /90281 /90190.7 /90230.8 /90
E. Nketiah1737631 min40.6 /9010.1 /90182.6 /90111.6 /90142 /9060.9 /90
B. Johnson1363823 min00 /9020.2 /9080.9 /9030.3 /90131.4 /9040.4 /90
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Crystal Palace — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Lacroix n 882.5
16/1
0.43/0
D. Henderson n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Wharton n 874.3
0.84/1
0.32/0
T. Mitchell n 890
0.65/0
0.43/0
C. Richards n 890
0.54/0
00/0
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Crystal Palace — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Lacroix n 882.5
0.32/0
00/0
D. Henderson n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Wharton n 874.3
00/0
0.52/1
T. Mitchell n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
C. Richards n 890
00/0
00/0
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Newcastle

Newcastle Goalkeeper

Newcastle — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Pope31902777 min993.2 /90401.3 /9010 /90
A. Ramsdale18901627 min543 /90291.6 /9010.1 /90
J. Trafford19090 min44 /9011 /9000 /90
Newcastle — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Pope n 890
3.46/5
A. Ramsdale n 890
3.56/6

Newcastle Defensive

Newcastle — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Thiaw44863799 min501.2 /90461.1 /90461.1 /902095 /90330.8 /9080.2 /90
D. Burn35852970 min511.5 /90300.9 /90220.7 /901895.7 /90491.5 /90110.3 /90
Lewis Hall35772693 min712.4 /90371.2 /90180.6 /902046.8 /90180.6 /9030.1 /90
K. Trippier31752336 min481.8 /90150.6 /9030.1 /901023.9 /90281.1 /9050.2 /90
S. Botman25801992 min190.9 /90150.7 /90190.9 /901024.6 /9090.4 /9010 /90
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Newcastle — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Barnes n 875.5
0.95/1
1.36/3
—
M. Thiaw n 883.3
1.15/2
0.74/1
C. Richards
S. Tonali n 885.5
1.16/2
0.94/3
T. Mitchell
A. Gordon n 863.5
0.21/0
2.57/3
—
N. Woltemade n 873.8
1.15/1
1.25/3
—
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Newcastle — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Barnes n 875.5
0.64/0
M. Thiaw n 883.3
1.14/3
S. Tonali n 885.5
1.47/4
A. Gordon n 863.5
0.93/1
N. Woltemade n 873.8
26/5
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Newcastle Attacking

Newcastle — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Barnes47622893 min120.4 /9050.2 /90662.1 /90391.2 /90371.2 /90200.6 /90
A. Gordon40672698 min160.5 /9040.1 /90612 /90371.2 /90441.5 /90521.7 /90
N. Woltemade40652603 min100.3 /9030.1 /90341.2 /90180.6 /90281 /90210.7 /90
A. Elanga35541891 min20.1 /9010 /90211 /90110.5 /90261.2 /90190.9 /90
Y. Wissa1740682 min30.4 /9010.1 /90172.2 /9081.1 /9030.4 /9020.3 /90
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Newcastle — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Barnes n 875.5
1.97/5
15/2
M. Thiaw n 883.3
0.75/0
0.43/0
S. Tonali n 885.5
0.85/1
0.43/0
A. Gordon n 863.5
2.16/3
1.24/2
N. Woltemade n 873.8
0.84/1
0.52/1
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Newcastle — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Barnes n 875.5
0.32/0
0.32/0
M. Thiaw n 883.3
00/0
00/0
S. Tonali n 885.5
0.11/0
0.32/0
A. Gordon n 863.5
0.53/0
00/0
N. Woltemade n 873.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Crystal PalaceNewcastle
41%Possession59%
2.56Expected goals (xG)1.13
11Shots7
5Shots on target3
3Shots off target1
3Blocked shots3
9Shots inside the box5
2Corners4
1Offsides0
17Fouls12
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves3
380Passes542
80%Pass accuracy81%

Crystal Palace Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Henderson9000000006.2
C. Richards9000000106.7
M. Lacroix9000000206.7
J. Canvot9000100207.3
D. Muñoz9000221606.6
J. Lerma9000100007.3
T. Mitchell8901002407.3
Yeremy Pino7600212208.2
J. Strand Larsen6500000106.5
W. Hughes6400000106.5
B. Johnson6400001006.7
A. Wharton sub2600000006.9
I. Sarr sub2600000106.9
J. Mateta sub2520221108.5
D. Kamada sub1400000006.5
B. Sosa sub10000000–

Newcastle Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Ramsdale90000000Y6.6
T. Livramento9000000006.9
M. Thiaw90000003Y7.3
S. Botman9000100005.9
Lewis Hall9000111006.5
L. Miley9001001106.6
S. Tonali8900001006.7
J. Murphy8900001106.2
Joelinton84000000Y6.2
W. Osula8410220107.7
A. Gordon7100000006.7
H. Barnes sub1900000006.5
N. Woltemade sub1600000006.5
J. Ramsey sub1600000006.6
Y. Wissa sub10000000–
A. Elanga sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Crystal Palace v Newcastle — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Crystal PalaceWDDWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
NewcastleLDWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Crystal Palace 1 · 2 draws · Newcastle 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-01-04 Newcastle 2–0 Crystal Palace
  • 2025-04-16 Newcastle 5–0 Crystal Palace
  • 2024-11-30 Crystal Palace 1–1 Newcastle
  • 2024-04-24 Crystal Palace 2–0 Newcastle
  • 2023-10-21 Newcastle 4–0 Crystal Palace
  • 2023-01-21 Crystal Palace 0–0 Newcastle
League standing · 2025/26
Crystal Palace#15 pos45 pts38 pl-10 GD
Newcastle#12 pos49 pts38 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Crystal Palace scored1.08
Newcastle scored1.39
Crystal Palace conceded1.34
Newcastle conceded1.45

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Crystal Palace 3.14 xG from 11 shots, Newcastle 1.27 from 7. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Jefferson Lerma 68' · 0.73 xGDaniel Muñoz 38' · 0.51 xGJaydee Canvot 36' · 0.42 xGWilliam Osula 49' · 0.38 xGDaniel Muñoz 34' · 0.08 xGAnthony Gordon 21' · 0.07 xGIsmaila Sarr 97' · 0.07 xGSven Botman 9' · 0.07 xGDaniel Muñoz 68' · 0.06 xGJacob Murphy 46' · 0.06 xGLewis Hall 47' · 0.06 xGYeremi Pino 61' · 0.05 xGYeremi Pino 33' · 0.05 xGSven Botman 72' · 0.03 xGJørgen Strand Larsen 46' · 0.02 xGJean-Philippe Mateta 93' · 0.76 xG · goalWilliam Osula 42' · 0.61 xG · goalJean-Philippe Mateta 79' · 0.39 xG · goal
Crystal Palace (attacking right)Newcastle (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Crystal Palace1123.14
Newcastle711.27

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Crystal Palace 1.05, Newcastle 0.75. At full time, Crystal Palace led on xG, 3.14 to 1.27, 0.76 of it from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.87 xG to Crystal Palace, in the 97th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.11.600′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Newcastle 42 minGoal - Crystal Palace 79 minGoal - Crystal Palace 93 min
Crystal Palace 3.14 xGNewcastle 1.27 xGdots = goals · 18 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Crystal Palace v Newcastle?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Crystal Palace v Newcastle was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Crystal Palace and Newcastle?
In their last 6 meetings, Crystal Palace won 1, Newcastle won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Crystal Palace and Newcastle?
Recent form — Crystal Palace 3W 2D 0L; Newcastle 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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