LiverpoolCrystal Palace

Liverpool v Crystal Palace result

Full-time · Liverpool 3–1 Crystal Palace

Premier League · · Anfield

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Liverpool 3–1 Crystal Palace — Liverpool won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 546 of 850 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Crystal Palace: 2.22 to 1.46 in expected goals, from 14 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the 45th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Liverpool beat Crystal Palace 3–1 at Anfield in the Premier League on Saturday 25 April. It is Liverpool’s first win over Crystal Palace since 5 October 2024, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Liverpool led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Liverpool: Alexander Isak (35’, assisted by Alexis Mac Allister), Andrew Robertson (40’, assisted by Curtis Jones) and Florian Wirtz (90’, assisted by Alexis Mac Allister); Crystal Palace: D. Muñoz (71’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Alexander Isak’s goal on 35 minutes.

Discipline

A. Madley showed four yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 19 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Liverpool: Dominik Szoboszlai (90’); Crystal Palace: D. Muñoz (19’), Dean Henderson (32’) and Borna Sosa (90+3’).

What it changes

Liverpool move up from fifth to fourth (34 league matches played).

Crystal Palace stay 13th after this result (33 league matches played).

Crystal Palace are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool) 8.3, Curtis Jones (Liverpool) 6.1 and D. Muñoz (Crystal Palace) 5.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Crystal Palace are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Liverpool.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.3% of the time in the last 90 days (352 of 515).

Next up

Liverpool next travel to Crystal Palace on 8 November 2026.

Crystal Palace next host Liverpool on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Liverpool: Crystal Palace v Liverpool, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Liverpool 3–1 Crystal Palace · Premier League
  • Venue: Anfield · Liverpool
  • Referee: A. Madley
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Liverpool 1 · draws 2 · Crystal Palace 3 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Liverpool 2W 0D 3L · Crystal Palace 3W 1D 1L

Liverpool 3–1 Crystal Palace (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.5 / 0.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5 / 3.86
Corners
against 3.63 / 4.14 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.75 / 3.29
Shots on target
against 5.25 / 3.14 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.5 / 1.57
Cards
against 1.25 / 2.71 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.53 yellows
Referee · A. Madley
23 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 19 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 20 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLiverpool for / againstLineCrystal Palace for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 3.63 against n 8
9.5standard
3.86 for · 4.14 against n 7
Shots
16 for · 12.88 against n 8
19.5standard
11.43 for · 9.14 against n 7
Shots on target
5.75 for · 5.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3.29 for · 3.14 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 9.5 against n 8
21.5standard
13.86 for · 11.57 against n 7
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.57 for · 2.71 against n 7

Referee: A. Madley — 3.53 yellow cards a game, 0.26 red cards, 23 fouls over 19 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Liverpool

Liverpool Goalkeeper

Liverpool — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Alisson Becker33892936 min742.3 /90321 /9000 /90
G. Mamardashvili18851532 min482.8 /90291.7 /9010.1 /90
F. Woodman261122 min75.2 /9032.2 /9000 /90
Liverpool — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 20 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Alisson Becker n 890
2.56/3
G. Mamardashvili n 886
3.38/6

Liverpool Defensive

Liverpool — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
V. van Dijk49904401 min290.6 /90320.7 /90320.7 /902515.1 /90330.7 /9060.1 /90
I. Konaté44853748 min651.6 /90411 /90310.7 /902496 /90521.2 /9080.2 /90
M. Kerkez38762906 min632 /90260.8 /90120.4 /901524.7 /90280.9 /9050.2 /90
A. Robertson26661720 min191 /90160.8 /9050.3 /90422.2 /90130.7 /9010.1 /90
Jeremie Frimpong25591464 min181.1 /90100.6 /9000 /90643.9 /90201.2 /9010.1 /90
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Liverpool — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 20 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
V. van Dijk n 890
1.17/2
00/0
M. Lacroix
A. Mac Allister n 862.1
26/3
1.15/1
A. Wharton
D. Szoboszlai n 888.5
0.84/2
1.45/4
T. Mitchell
R. Gravenberch n 881.4
0.73/1
1.25/3
—
I. Konaté n 888.4
1.97/5
16/2
M. Lacroix
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Liverpool — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 20 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
V. van Dijk n 890
15/3
A. Mac Allister n 862.1
0.93/2
D. Szoboszlai n 888.5
1.97/4
R. Gravenberch n 881.4
1.97/5
I. Konaté n 888.4
1.86/5
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Liverpool Attacking

Liverpool — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Ekitike42662779 min160.5 /9060.2 /90812.6 /90331.1 /90331.1 /90682.2 /90
A. Isak1851918 min30.3 /9010.1 /90242.4 /90131.3 /9050.5 /9040.4 /90
Rio Ngumoha1640642 min10.1 /9000 /90111.5 /9071 /90131.8 /90283.9 /90
F. Chiesa1441575 min20.3 /9030.5 /90132 /9050.8 /9091.4 /9040.6 /90
A. Mac Allister48713416 min50.1 /9050.1 /90421.1 /90200.5 /90431.1 /90180.5 /90
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Liverpool — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 20 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
V. van Dijk n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Mac Allister n 862.1
1.45/2
0.73/1
D. Szoboszlai n 888.5
1.33/3
0.42/1
R. Gravenberch n 881.4
1.14/2
0.43/0
I. Konaté n 888.4
0.64/1
0.32/0
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Liverpool — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 20 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
V. van Dijk n 890
0.11/0
00/0
A. Mac Allister n 862.1
00/0
0.21/0
D. Szoboszlai n 888.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
R. Gravenberch n 881.4
0.11/0
00/0
I. Konaté n 888.4
00/0
00/0
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Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace Goalkeeper

Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Henderson42903780 min1082.6 /90431 /9010 /90
W. Benítez590450 min71.4 /9040.8 /9000 /90
Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 20 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Henderson n 890
2.96/4
W. Benítez n 590
1.42/1

Crystal Palace Defensive

Crystal Palace — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Lacroix43873761 min681.6 /90521.2 /90170.4 /902395.7 /90471.1 /9040.1 /90
C. Richards39893458 min812.1 /90531.4 /90210.5 /902296 /90240.6 /9040.1 /90
M. Guéhi30862591 min401.4 /90421.5 /90150.5 /901394.8 /90240.8 /9070.2 /90
J. Canvot21771622 min402.2 /90181 /90170.9 /90935.2 /90231.3 /9040.2 /90
C. Riad762436 min40.8 /9040.8 /9010.2 /90224.5 /9081.7 /9030.6 /90
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Crystal Palace — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 20 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Lacroix n 879.6
1.75/3
0.43/0
I. Konaté
D. Henderson n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
T. Mitchell n 889.9
14/2
0.65/0
D. Szoboszlai
A. Wharton n 858.8
1.75/3
0.63/0
A. Mac Allister
C. Richards n 890
0.53/1
0.11/0
—
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Crystal Palace — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 20 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Lacroix n 879.6
0.84/2
T. Mitchell n 889.9
2.68/5
A. Wharton n 858.8
1.13/2
C. Richards n 890
15/2
Yeremy Pino n 851.3
1.34/2
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Crystal Palace Attacking

Crystal Palace — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Yeremy Pino37682502 min50.2 /9040.1 /90361.3 /90190.7 /90662.4 /90281 /90
J. Mateta35752636 min120.4 /9020.1 /90682.3 /90381.3 /90140.5 /90160.5 /90
I. Sarr34812742 min140.5 /9010 /90521.7 /90301 /90210.7 /90240.8 /90
E. Nketiah1737631 min40.6 /9010.1 /90182.6 /90111.6 /90142 /9060.9 /90
B. Johnson1564965 min00 /9020.2 /90100.9 /9030.3 /90141.3 /9040.4 /90
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Crystal Palace — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 20 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Lacroix n 879.6
0.74/1
0.32/0
D. Henderson n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Mitchell n 889.9
0.54/0
0.32/0
A. Wharton n 858.8
0.42/0
0.21/0
C. Richards n 890
0.32/0
00/0
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Crystal Palace — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 20 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Lacroix n 879.6
0.32/0
00/0
D. Henderson n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Mitchell n 889.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
A. Wharton n 858.8
00/0
0.62/1
C. Richards n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LiverpoolCrystal Palace
53%Possession47%
1.15Expected goals (xG)2.26
9Shots14
3Shots on target7
2Shots off target6
4Blocked shots1
6Shots inside the box11
5Corners8
1Offsides4
10Fouls10
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
5Saves0
465Passes400
81%Pass accuracy82%

Liverpool Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Woodman9000000007.9
I. Konaté9000000007.9
V. van Dijk9000000006.6
D. Szoboszlai90000002Y6.9
A. Mac Allister9002102207.3
F. Wirtz9010110007.3
C. Gakpo9000000006.9
C. Jones8701001306.7
A. Robertson8710111008.3
A. Isak7910110007.2
Mohamed Salah5900101006.3
Jeremie Frimpong sub3100000106.7
R. Gravenberch sub1100000006.5
M. Kerkez sub1100000006.9
J. Gomez sub1100001106.9

Crystal Palace Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Henderson90000000Y6.2
C. Richards9000100005.7
M. Lacroix9000220106.3
J. Canvot9000000306.7
D. Muñoz90102102Y6.9
D. Kamada9000001407.3
A. Wharton9000003007
I. Sarr9000221006.9
J. Mateta7000220006.2
B. Johnson5900101207.3
T. Mitchell4500002006.3
B. Sosa sub45001010Y6.2
Yeremy Pino sub3100102106.2
J. Strand Larsen sub2000100006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Liverpool v Crystal Palace — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LiverpoolLLWLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Crystal PalaceWWWLD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Liverpool 1 · 2 draws · Crystal Palace 3 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2025-10-29 Liverpool 0–3 Crystal Palace
  • 2025-09-27 Crystal Palace 2–1 Liverpool
  • 2025-08-10 Crystal Palace 2–2 Liverpool
  • 2025-05-25 Liverpool 1–1 Crystal Palace
  • 2024-10-05 Crystal Palace 0–1 Liverpool
  • 2024-04-14 Liverpool 0–1 Crystal Palace
League standing · 2025/26
Liverpool#5 pos60 pts38 pl+10 GD
Crystal Palace#15 pos45 pts38 pl-10 GD
Goals per game
Liverpool scored1.66
Crystal Palace scored1.08
Liverpool conceded1.39
Crystal Palace conceded1.34

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Liverpool 1.46 xG from 9 shots, Crystal Palace 2.22 from 14. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Chris Richards 10' · 0.47 xGJørgen Strand Larsen 83' · 0.37 xGJean-Philippe Mateta 38' · 0.32 xGIsmaila Sarr 70' · 0.29 xGJean-Philippe Mateta 39' · 0.22 xGIsmaila Sarr 63' · 0.13 xGMaxence Lacroix 45' · 0.13 xGDominik Szoboszlai 33' · 0.11 xGMohamed Salah 31' · 0.08 xGMaxence Lacroix 45' · 0.07 xGBrennan Johnson 19' · 0.07 xGDaniel Muñoz 45' · 0.06 xGFlorian Wirtz 6' · 0.06 xGDominik Szoboszlai 5' · 0.04 xGBorna Sosa 50' · 0.04 xGAlexis Mac Allister 34' · 0.02 xGBrennan Johnson 16' · 0.02 xGYeremi Pino 76' · 0.02 xGJeremie Frimpong 66' · 0.02 xGAndrew Robertson 39' · 0.44 xG · goalAlexander Isak 34' · 0.38 xG · goalFlorian Wirtz 95' · 0.30 xG · goalDaniel Muñoz 70' · 0.01 xG · goal
Liverpool (attacking right)Crystal Palace (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Liverpool931.46
Crystal Palace1412.22

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Liverpool 1.14, Crystal Palace 1.36. At full time, Crystal Palace led on xG, 2.22 to 1.46. The widest gap was 1.06 xG to Crystal Palace, in the 83rd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.21.100′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Liverpool 34 minGoal - Liverpool 39 minGoal - Crystal Palace 70 minGoal - Liverpool 95 min
Liverpool 1.46 xGCrystal Palace 2.22 xGdots = goals · 23 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Liverpool v Crystal Palace?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Liverpool v Crystal Palace was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Liverpool and Crystal Palace?
In their last 6 meetings, Liverpool won 1, Crystal Palace won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Liverpool and Crystal Palace?
Recent form — Liverpool 2W 0D 3L; Crystal Palace 3W 1D 1L.

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