Manchester City v Arsenal result

Full-time · Manchester City 2–1 Arsenal

Premier League · Sun, 19 Apr 2026 16:30 BST · Etihad Stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Manchester City · Arsenal · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Manchester City 2–1 Arsenal — Manchester City won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Manchester City 2.82, Arsenal 2.63 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Manchester City beat Arsenal 2–1 at Etihad Stadium in the Premier League on Sunday 19 April. Manchester City have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Manchester City: R. Cherki (16’, assisted by Matheus Nunes) and Erling Haaland (65’); Arsenal: Kai Havertz (18’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Erling Haaland’s goal on 65 minutes.

Discipline

A. Taylor showed four yellow cards — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 22 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Manchester City: M. Guéhi (60’) and Erling Haaland (83’); Arsenal: Cristhian Mosquera (36’) and Gabriel Magalhães (83’).

What it changes

Manchester City stay second after this result (32 league matches played). Manchester City have scored 77 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Manchester City have conceded 35 goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Arsenal stay first after this result (33 league matches played). Arsenal have scored 71 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Arsenal have conceded 27 goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs.

Manchester City have won their last four matches in all competitions. Arsenal are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, R. Cherki (Manchester City) 6.4, Kai Havertz (Arsenal) 5.2 and Abduqodir Khusanov (Manchester City) 5.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Manchester City next travel to Nottingham Forest on 7 November 2026.

Arsenal next host Hull City on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Manchester City: Nottingham Forest v Manchester City, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Arsenal: Arsenal v Hull City, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Manchester City 2–1 Arsenal · Premier League
Venue: Etihad Stadium · Manchester
Referee: A. Taylor
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Manchester City 1 · draws 3 · Arsenal 2 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Manchester City 3W 1D 1L · Arsenal 1W 1D 3L

Manchester City 2–1 Arsenal (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1

Goals

against 1.13 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

8.5 / 6.88

Corners

against 2.63 / 3.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

6.25 / 5

Shots on target

against 4.38 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.38 / 1

Cards

against 2.38 / 1.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.36 yellows

Referee · A. Taylor

21.32 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 22 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Manchester City for / against	Line	Arsenal for / against
Goals scored	2 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	8.5 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.88 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	16.88 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15.38 for · 9.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6.25 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.25 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.63 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.38 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: A. Taylor — 4.36 yellow cards a game, 0.09 red cards, 21.32 fouls over 22 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Manchester City

Manchester City Goalkeeper

Manchester City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
G. Donnarumma	37	903330 min	882.4 /90	361 /90	20.1 /90
J. Trafford	13	901170 min	312.4 /90	90.7 /90	10.1 /90
A. Ramsdale	1	9090 min	55 /90	33 /90	00 /90

Manchester City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
G. Donnarumma n 8	90	3 7/5
J. Trafford n 8	90	2.4 6/3

Manchester City Defensive

Manchester City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
N. O'Reilly	47	753518 min	1002.6 /90	270.7 /90	100.3 /90	2145.5 /90	571.5 /90	70.2 /90
Matheus Nunes	42	813417 min	701.8 /90	421.1 /90	80.2 /90	1864.9 /90	290.8 /90	60.2 /90
Rúben Dias	32	832646 min	220.7 /90	260.9 /90	200.7 /90	1063.6 /90	240.8 /90	40.1 /90
A. Khusanov	29	772227 min	512.1 /90	471.9 /90	90.4 /90	913.7 /90	230.9 /90	60.2 /90
J. Gvardiol	24	781870 min	281.3 /90	251.2 /90	120.6 /90	864.1 /90	241.2 /90	20.1 /90
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Manchester City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
E. Haaland n 8	83.1	0.7 5/0	0.8 4/1	—
N. O'Reilly n 8	84.3	1.7 7/4	0.3 1/1	Gabriel Magalhães
Bernardo Silva n 8	75.8	1.3 6/2	0.1 1/0	Declan Rice
Matheus Nunes n 8	85.9	0.9 6/1	1.2 5/4	Gabriel Magalhães
T. Reijnders n 8	44.3	1.5 4/2	1 4/0	—
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Manchester City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
E. Haaland n 8	83.1	0.4 2/1
N. O'Reilly n 8	84.3	2.5 7/5
Bernardo Silva n 8	75.8	1.5 5/3
Matheus Nunes n 8	85.9	1.3 5/4
T. Reijnders n 8	44.3	1.3 4/1
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Manchester City Attacking

Manchester City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
E. Haaland	47	793730 min	350.8 /90	80.2 /90	1353.3 /90	812 /90	340.8 /90	170.4 /90
Sávio	24	561342 min	40.3 /90	30.2 /90	231.5 /90	151 /90	241.6 /90	443 /90
Omar Marmoush	21	541126 min	40.3 /90	30.2 /90	272.2 /90	131 /90	191.5 /90	131 /90
R. McAidoo	2	79158 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	42.3 /90	31.7 /90	31.7 /90	52.8 /90
A. Elanga	1	4545 min	12 /90	00 /90	24 /90	12 /90	00 /90	24 /90
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Manchester City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
E. Haaland n 8	83.1	2.7 7/5	1.5 5/2
N. O'Reilly n 8	84.3	1.3 7/3	1.3 7/3
Bernardo Silva n 8	75.8	0.9 5/1	0.7 4/1
Matheus Nunes n 8	85.9	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0
T. Reijnders n 8	44.3	2.5 3/2	1 3/1
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Manchester City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
E. Haaland n 8	83.1	0.5 2/1	0.1 1/0
N. O'Reilly n 8	84.3	0.7 3/2	0.1 1/0
Bernardo Silva n 8	75.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Matheus Nunes n 8	85.9	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
T. Reijnders n 8	44.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Arsenal

Arsenal Goalkeeper

Arsenal — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
David Raya	43	903870 min	791.8 /90	270.6 /90
Kepa Arrizabalaga	9	90807 min	212.3 /90	101.1 /90
Robert Sánchez	1	9090 min	11 /90	11 /90

Arsenal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
David Raya n 8	90	2.5 6/3
Kepa Arrizabalaga n 8	89.6	2.6 6/4

Arsenal Defensive

Arsenal — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Gabriel Magalhães	41	813325 min	491.3 /90	230.6 /90	451.2 /90	2015.4 /90	270.7 /90	40.1 /90
J. Timber	41	763129 min	832.4 /90	290.8 /90	60.2 /90	1805.2 /90	451.3 /90	60.2 /90
William Saliba	39	853319 min	481.3 /90	220.6 /90	90.2 /90	1614.4 /90	350.9 /90	20.1 /90
Piero Hincapié	29	742134 min	552.3 /90	261.1 /90	110.5 /90	1235.2 /90	190.8 /90	30.1 /90
Riccardo Calafiori	28	661849 min	401.9 /90	211 /90	30.1 /90	1185.7 /90	311.5 /90	70.3 /90
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Arsenal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Martín Zubimendi n 8	82.3	0.8 5/1	0.5 3/1	—
Viktor Gyökeres n 8	68.5	1 5/1	1.5 6/3	—
David Raya n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 3/0	—
Declan Rice n 8	90	0.9 4/2	0.1 1/0	Bernardo Silva
Gabriel Magalhães n 8	87.8	0.9 5/2	1 5/2	Matheus Nunes
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Arsenal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Martín Zubimendi n 8	82.3	1.8 7/3
Viktor Gyökeres n 8	68.5	0.2 1/0
Declan Rice n 8	90	1.5 6/4
Gabriel Magalhães n 8	87.8	1.7 8/3
J. Timber n 8	71.6	2 7/3
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Arsenal Attacking

Arsenal — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Viktor Gyökeres	44	672950 min	180.5 /90	20.1 /90	601.8 /90	321 /90	270.8 /90	100.3 /90
Bukayo Saka	40	712832 min	90.3 /90	50.2 /90	611.9 /90	431.4 /90	762.4 /90	591.9 /90
Leandro Trossard	37	642357 min	60.2 /90	70.3 /90	421.6 /90	170.6 /90	411.6 /90	271 /90
Gabriel Martinelli	32	571830 min	100.5 /90	50.2 /90	402 /90	201 /90	291.4 /90	391.9 /90
Noni Madueke	29	581692 min	60.3 /90	30.2 /90	291.5 /90	170.9 /90	331.8 /90	452.4 /90
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Arsenal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Martín Zubimendi n 8	82.3	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
Viktor Gyökeres n 8	68.5	1.3 6/1	0.8 5/0
David Raya n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Declan Rice n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0.4 2/1
Gabriel Magalhães n 8	87.8	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
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Arsenal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Martín Zubimendi n 8	82.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Viktor Gyökeres n 8	68.5	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
David Raya n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Declan Rice n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Gabriel Magalhães n 8	87.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Manchester City		Arsenal
59%	Possession	41%
1.36	Expected goals (xG)	1.62
15	Shots	9
5	Shots on target	3
5	Shots off target	3
5	Blocked shots	3
13	Shots inside the box	8
8	Corners	5
0	Offsides	4
5	Fouls	12
2	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	2
498	Passes	348
85%	Pass accuracy	75%

Manchester City Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
G. Donnarumma	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Matheus Nunes	90	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	7.2
A. Khusanov	90	0	0	1	1	2	1	0	6.9
M. Guéhi	90	0	0	1	1	0	1	Y	6.7
N. O'Reilly	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	8.3
Bernardo Silva	90	0	0	1	0	1	3	0	6.3
E. Haaland	90	1	0	4	1	1	0	Y	7.5
A. Semenyo	89	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Rodri	88	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.6
J. Doku	88	0	0	2	1	1	1	0	7.5
R. Cherki	85	1	0	1	1	2	0	0	8.2
P. Foden sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Nico González sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Sávio sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
N. Aké sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Arsenal Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
David Raya	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
William Saliba	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
Gabriel Magalhães	90	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.9
Piero Hincapié	90	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.5
Martin Ødegaard	90	0	0	0	4	0	0	6.5
Declan Rice	90	0	0	0	1	3	0	6.5
K. Havertz	90	1	3	2	0	0	0	7.3
Martín Zubimendi	84	0	0	0	0	4	0	6.9
Cristhian Mosquera	74	0	1	0	0	3	Y	6.7
Eberechi Eze	74	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.3
Noni Madueke	45	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.3
Gabriel Martinelli sub	45	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.3
Ben White sub	16	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Leandro Trossard sub	16	0	0	0	1	1	0	7
Viktor Gyökeres sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Manchester City v Arsenal — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Manchester CityDLWWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

ArsenalLLWLD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Manchester City 1 · 3 draws · Arsenal 2 · 2.5 goals/game

2026-03-22 Arsenal 0–2 Manchester City
2025-09-21 Arsenal 1–1 Manchester City
2025-02-02 Arsenal 5–1 Manchester City
2024-09-22 Manchester City 2–2 Arsenal
2024-03-31 Manchester City 0–0 Arsenal
2023-10-08 Arsenal 1–0 Manchester City

League standing · 2025/26

Manchester City#2 pos78 pts38 pl+42 GD

Arsenal#1 pos85 pts38 pl+44 GD

Goals per game

Manchester City scored2.03

Arsenal scored1.87

Manchester City conceded0.92

Arsenal conceded0.71

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Manchester City 2.82 xG from 15 shots, Arsenal 2.63 from 9. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Manchester City (attacking right)Arsenal (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Manchester City	15	2	2.82
Arsenal	9	1	2.63

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Manchester City led on xG, 1.29 to 0.60. At full time, xG was level: Manchester City 2.82, Arsenal 2.63. The widest gap was 1.62 xG to Manchester City, in the 51st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Manchester City 2.82 xGArsenal 2.63 xGdots = goals · 24 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Manchester City v Arsenal?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Manchester City v Arsenal was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Manchester City and Arsenal?: In their last 6 meetings, Manchester City won 1, Arsenal won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Manchester City and Arsenal?: Recent form — Manchester City 3W 1D 1L; Arsenal 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.